The Inflation-Targeting Debate

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226044734
Total Pages : 469 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis The Inflation-Targeting Debate by : Ben S. Bernanke

Download or read book The Inflation-Targeting Debate written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 469 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past fifteen years, a significant number of industrialized and middle-income countries have adopted inflation targeting as a framework for monetary policymaking. As the name suggests, in such inflation-targeting regimes, the central bank is responsible for achieving a publicly announced target for the inflation rate. While the objective of controlling inflation enjoys wide support among both academic experts and policymakers, and while the countries that have followed this model have generally experienced good macroeconomic outcomes, many important questions about inflation targeting remain. In Inflation Targeting, a distinguished group of contributors explores the many underexamined dimensions of inflation targeting—its potential, its successes, and its limitations—from both a theoretical and an empirical standpoint, and for both developed and emerging economies. The volume opens with a discussion of the optimal formulation of inflation-targeting policy and continues with a debate about the desirability of such a model for the United States. The concluding chapters discuss the special problems of inflation targeting in emerging markets, including the Czech Republic, Poland, and Hungary.

Mending the Crystal Ball: Enhanced Inflation Forecasts with Machine Learning

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Mending the Crystal Ball: Enhanced Inflation Forecasts with Machine Learning by : Yang Liu

Download or read book Mending the Crystal Ball: Enhanced Inflation Forecasts with Machine Learning written by Yang Liu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-09-27 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting inflation has become a major challenge for central banks since 2020, due to supply chain disruptions and economic uncertainty post-pandemic. Machine learning models can improve forecasting performance by incorporating a wider range of variables, allowing for non-linear relationships, and focusing on out-of-sample performance. In this paper, we apply machine learning (ML) models to forecast near-term core inflation in Japan post-pandemic. Japan is a challenging case, because inflation had been muted until 2022 and has now risen to a level not seen in four decades. Four machine learning models are applied to a large set of predictors alongside two benchmark models. For 2023, the two penalized regression models systematically outperform the benchmark models, with LASSO providing the most accurate forecast. Useful predictors of inflation post-2022 include household inflation expectations, inbound tourism, exchange rates, and the output gap.

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles

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Author :
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 044451838X
Total Pages : 461 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles by : C. Milas

Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles written by C. Milas and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2006-02-08 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume of Contributions to Economic Analysis addresses a number of important questions in the field of business cycles including: How should business cycles be dated and measured? What is the response of output and employment to oil-price and monetary shocks? And, is the business cycle asymmetric, and does it matter?

Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 044452942X
Total Pages : 691 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty by : David E. Rapach

Download or read book Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty written by David E. Rapach and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2008-02-29 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting in the presence of structural breaks and model uncertainty are active areas of research with implications for practical problems in forecasting. This book addresses forecasting variables from both Macroeconomics and Finance, and considers various methods of dealing with model instability and model uncertainty when forming forecasts.

Inflation Expectations

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Why Inflation Targeting?

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145187233X
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Inflation Targeting? by : Charles Freedman

Download or read book Why Inflation Targeting? written by Charles Freedman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-04-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the second chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled "On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." We begin by discussing the costs of inflation, including their role in generating boom-bust cycles. Following a general discussion of the need for a nominal anchor, we describe a specific type of monetary anchor, the inflation-targeting regime, and its two key intellectual roots-the absence of long-run trade-offs and the time-inconsistency problem. We conclude by providing a brief introduction to the way in which inflation targeting works.

Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels

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Author :
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0444521224
Total Pages : 563 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels by : Carl Chiarella

Download or read book Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels written by Carl Chiarella and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2006-05-30 with total page 563 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book represents an ongoing research agenda the aim of which is to contribute to the Keynesian paradigm in macroeconomics. It examines the Dynamic General Equilibrium (DGE) model, the assumption of intertemporal optimizing behavior of economic agents, competitive markets and price mediated market clearing through flexible wages and prices.

Economic Events, Ideas, and Policies

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Publisher : Brookings Inst Press
ISBN 13 : 9780815770121
Total Pages : 365 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Events, Ideas, and Policies by : George L. Perry

Download or read book Economic Events, Ideas, and Policies written by George L. Perry and published by Brookings Inst Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume examines how the application of economic analysis has affected U.S. policymaking since the 1960s.

Monetary Policy and Forecasting Inflation with and Without the Output Gap

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Forecasting Inflation with and Without the Output Gap by : Weshah Razzak

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Forecasting Inflation with and Without the Output Gap written by Weshah Razzak and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Economics Letters

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 804 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (765 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics Letters by :

Download or read book Economics Letters written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 804 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444513957
Total Pages : 1071 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : G. Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by G. Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-07-14 with total page 1071 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Section headings in this handbook include: 'Forecasting Methodology; 'Forecasting Models'; 'Forecasting with Different Data Structures'; and 'Applications of Forecasting Methods.'.

Journal of Economic Literature

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Economic Literature by :

Download or read book Journal of Economic Literature written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Simple Macrofiscal Model for Policy Analysis: An Application to Morocco

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 151359298X
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis A Simple Macrofiscal Model for Policy Analysis: An Application to Morocco by : Daniel Baksa

Download or read book A Simple Macrofiscal Model for Policy Analysis: An Application to Morocco written by Daniel Baksa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-16 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper describes a semistructural macrofiscal approach to simulating and forecasting macroeconomic policies. The model focuses on only a few variables that are consistent with the New Keynesian framework. Thanks to its simplicity, it facilitates an initial and intuitive understanding of monetary and fiscal policy transmission channels, and their main impact on economic activity. The model is adapted to Morocco and we demonstrate its application with an illustrative scenario of policy responses to a slower-than-expected recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic, under different monetary policy and exchange rate regimes.

Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 026225820X
Total Pages : 517 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy by : Jeff Fuhrer

Download or read book Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy written by Jeff Fuhrer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2009-09-11 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current perspectives on the Phillips curve, a core macroeconomic concept that treats the relationship between inflation and unemployment. In 1958, economist A. W. Phillips published an article describing what he observed to be the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment; subsequently, the “Phillips curve” became a central concept in macroeconomic analysis and policymaking. But today's Phillips curve is not the same as the original one from fifty years ago; the economy, our understanding of price setting behavior, the determinants of inflation, and the role of monetary policy have evolved significantly since then. In this book, some of the top economists working today reexamine the theoretical and empirical validity of the Phillips curve in its more recent specifications. The contributors consider such questions as what economists have learned about price and wage setting and inflation expectations that would improve the way we use and formulate the Phillips curve, what the Phillips curve approach can teach us about inflation dynamics, and how these lessons can be applied to improving the conduct of monetary policy. Contributors Lawrence Ball, Ben Bernanke, Oliver Blanchard, V. V. Chari, William T. Dickens, Stanley Fischer, Jeff Fuhrer, Jordi Gali, Michael T. Kiley, Robert G. King, Donald L. Kohn, Yolanda K. Kodrzycki, Jane Sneddon Little, Bartisz Mackowiak, N. Gregory Mankiw, Virgiliu Midrigan, Giovanni P. Olivei, Athanasios Orphanides, Adrian R. Pagan, Christopher A. Pissarides, Lucrezia Reichlin, Paul A. Samuelson, Christopher A. Sims, Frank R. Smets, Robert M. Solow, Jürgen Stark, James H. Stock, Lars E. O. Svensson, John B. Taylor, Mark W. Watson

Reimagining Capitalism in a Post-Globalization World

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303159858X
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Reimagining Capitalism in a Post-Globalization World by : Silvia L. Fotea

Download or read book Reimagining Capitalism in a Post-Globalization World written by Silvia L. Fotea and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Document de Travail

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Document de Travail by :

Download or read book Document de Travail written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Endogenous Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (114 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Endogenous Risk by : Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Endogenous Risk written by Tobias Adrian and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: