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Forecasting Domestic Guest Nights In Hill Country Of Sri Lanka
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Book Synopsis Forecasting Domestic Guest Nights in Hill Country of Sri Lanka by : Udaya Konarasinghe
Download or read book Forecasting Domestic Guest Nights in Hill Country of Sri Lanka written by Udaya Konarasinghe and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 1 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increasing of domestic traveling shows significant improvements. The Hill Country becomes one of the highest occupied regions by the domestic tourist in Sri Lanka. Domestic travelers may travel to Hill Country not only the leisure; there could be many more purposes. The study was focused on forecasting occupancy guest nights of domestic tourist in Hill Country. Monthly data of domestic guest nights for the period of January 2008 to December 2016 were obtained from annual reports of 2008 -2016 published by Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority (SLTDA). The Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models were tested for forecasting. The Anderson-Darling test, Auto-Correlation Function (ACF) and Ljung-Box Q (LBQ)-test were used to test the validation criterion and fit the model. Forecasting ability of the models was assessed by relative and absolute measurements of errors. The results of the study revealed that ARIMA (1,0,0)(0,1,1)6 model satisfied all validation criterion. The measurements of errors are very low in validation and verification. The results of the study concluded that the ARIMA (1,0,0)(0,1,1)6 model is suitable for forecasting occupancy guest nights. Therefore, future night occupancy can be forecasted by past night occupancy, past errors and seasonal components. The results can be used for strategy development to maximize the benefits of the tourism industry in Hill Country. New product development and increasing the volume of products can be decided by forecasting occupancy guest nights. The results will be useful for financial managers to estimate cash/ credit flow, multiple expenses that will be generated in different departments such as food and beverages, laundry, transport, and rooms. High occupancy increase higher volume of garbage. Therefore, authorities should plan for efficient and effective solid management practices. In addition, they have to work out safety, security and traffic control measures during high occupancy period to protect tourist from various forms of threats and minimize the traffic congestions. The data series of this study shows a wave-like pattern. Therefore, it is recommended to test the Sama Circular Model (SCM), in order to see whether the forecasting ability improves.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Foreign Guest Nights in Hill Country of Sri Lanka by : K.M.U.B Konarasinghe
Download or read book Forecasting Foreign Guest Nights in Hill Country of Sri Lanka written by K.M.U.B Konarasinghe and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past years, tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka show increasing trend. Hill Country is one of the highest occupied regions which are located in the Central province of Sri Lanka. Hill country consist many UNESCO world heritage sites namely; Kandy city, Knuckles Mountain Range, Adam's Peak and Horton Plains. The natural beauty and the cultural value increase the demand for international tourist for Hill country. It creates high demand for accommodation of all types of hotels in the region. An increasing occupancy will increase the demand for accommodation; hence the competition in hotel industry also will increase. Therefore the hotel industry should adopt various management practices to maximize profits and optimize operations. This can be achieved by accurate forecasting of occupancy by tourist. But it was hard to find attempts of forecasting occupancy guest nights in Hill Country of Sri Lanka. On the view of the above, the study was focused on forecasting occupancy guest nights of international tourist in Hill Country of Sri Lanka. Monthly data of foreign guest nights for the period of January 2008 to December 2016 were obtained from annual reports of 2008-2016 published by SLTDA. Time series plots and Auto-Correlation Function (ACF) were used for pattern identification. The Decomposition, SARIMA, and Holt-Winters models were tested for forecasting. The Anderson-Darling test, ACF, and Ljung-Box Q (LBQ)-test were used to test the validation criterion and fit the model. Forecasting ability of the models was assessed by both relative and absolute measurements are very low in model fitting. Decomposition and Holt-Winters models do not satisfy the model validation criterion. But the relative and absolute measurements of errors of the model ARIMA(2,0,1)(2,1,1)4 are very low in model fitting. The Anderson-Darling Normality test confirmed the normality of residuals; the LBQ- test confirmed the independence of residuals (h=0). The results of the study concluded that the SARIMA is suitable for forecasting occupancy guest nights in Hill Country of Sri Lanka.The results of this study can be used for planning to manage and controlling the business operations of the tourism industry in Hill Country of Sri Lanka. Planning new products to create demand, the volume of products can decide suitable periods for promotional campaigns can be decided with the help of the results of this study. The decomposition and Holt's Winters three parameter approaches were not successful in this study, while, the SARIMA was highly successful. However, a wave-like pattern may contain both seasonal and cyclical variation, but the SARIMA is unable to separate them. The Circular Model is a recently developed univariate forecasting technique, which can be used to capture both seasonal and cyclical patterns. Therefore, it is recommended to test the Circular Model for de-trended data, in order to see whether it improves the forecasting.
Book Synopsis Farming Like the Forest by : Karin Hochegger
Download or read book Farming Like the Forest written by Karin Hochegger and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis International Recommendations for Tourism Statistics 2008 by :
Download or read book International Recommendations for Tourism Statistics 2008 written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United Nations publication. Sales no. E.08.XVII.28--T.p. verso.
Book Synopsis The Tourism Area Life Cycle: Conceptual and theoretical issues by : Richard Butler
Download or read book The Tourism Area Life Cycle: Conceptual and theoretical issues written by Richard Butler and published by Channel View Publications. This book was released on 2006 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is divided into five sections: the conceptual origins of the TALC, spatial relationships and the TALC, alternative conceptual approaches, renewing or retiring with the TALC, and predicting with the TALC. It concludes with a review of the future potential of the model in the area of the destination development process.
Book Synopsis The Sri Lankan Economy by : Prema-chandra Athukorala
Download or read book The Sri Lankan Economy written by Prema-chandra Athukorala and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2017-10-01 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a pivotal period in Sri Lanka's economic development. The end of conflict opens a door for accelerated economic growth and poverty reduction. Reform is needed to regain momentum because fiscal imbalances and rising public debt could jeopardize macroeconomic stability. The economy would benefit from significant trade and commercial policy reform. The labor market suffers from sluggish growth of formal sector employment and from skills mismatches, which can be addressed by changes in education policy and systems. The book analyzes these and related critical constraints on the Sri Lankan economy, and proposes a set of policy reforms that would lay the foundations for more rapid and inclusive development.
Book Synopsis Out of Darkness by : Ashley Hope Pérez
Download or read book Out of Darkness written by Ashley Hope Pérez and published by Carolrhoda Lab ®. This book was released on 2015-09-01 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Michael L. Printz Honor Book "This is East Texas, and there's lines. Lines you cross, lines you don't cross. That clear?" New London, Texas. 1937. Naomi Vargas and Wash Fuller know about the lines in East Texas as well as anyone. They know the signs that mark them. They know the people who enforce them. But sometimes the attraction between two people is so powerful it breaks through even the most entrenched color lines. And the consequences can be explosive. Ashley Hope Pérez takes the facts of the 1937 New London school explosion—the worst school disaster in American history—as a backdrop for a riveting novel about segregation, love, family, and the forces that destroy people. "[This] layered tale of color lines, love and struggle in an East Texas oil town is a pit-in-the-stomach family drama that goes down like it should, with pain and fascination, like a mix of sugary medicine and artisanal moonshine."—The New York Times Book Review "Pérez deftly weaves [an] unflinchingly intense narrative....A powerful, layered tale of forbidden love in times of unrelenting racism."―starred, Kirkus Reviews "This book presents a range of human nature, from kindness and love to acts of racial and sexual violence. The work resonates with fear, hope, love, and the importance of memory....Set against the backdrop of an actual historical event, Pérez...gives voice to many long-omitted facets of U.S. history."―starred, School Library Journal
Download or read book Overbooked written by Elizabeth Becker and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2016-02-23 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Travel is no longer a past-time but a colossal industry, arguably one of the biggest in the world and second only to oil in importance for many poor countries. One out of 12 people in the world are employed by the tourism industry which contributes $6.5 trillion to the world's economy. To investigate the size and effect of this new industry, Elizabeth Becker traveled the globe. She speaks to the Minister of Tourism of Zambia who thinks licensing foreigners to kill wild animals is a good way to make money and then to a Zambian travel guide who takes her to see the rare endangered sable antelope. She travels to Venice where community groups are fighting to stop the tourism industry from pushing them out of their homes, to France where officials have made tourism their number one industry to save their cultural heritage; and on cruises speaking to waiters who earn $60 a month--then on to Miami to interview their CEO. Becker's sharp depiction reveals travel as a product; nations as stewards. Seeing the tourism industry from the inside out, the world offers a dizzying range of travel options but very few quiet getaways"--
Book Synopsis Sri Lanka Style by : Channa Daswatte
Download or read book Sri Lanka Style written by Channa Daswatte and published by Tuttle Publishing. This book was released on 2012-05-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sri Lanka Style showcases 30 of the finest traditional and modern dwellings in Sri Lanka. Reflecting its location and status as a hub of Indian Ocean trade from time immemorial, the tropical island of Sri Lanka has always been open to the movements and patterns of world culture. Indigenous architects and cultural traditions, colonial incursions and the vagaries of living in a tropical environment have combined to produce a distinctive Sri Lankan architectural style: thick lime-washed walls, tall windows and doors, terracotta or granite tile floors, open pavilions and verandas, courtyard gardens, elaborately carved furniture and vibrant hand-looms. The Sri Lankan homes vary from private homes to retreats and resorts, all designed by the island's most creative architects and interior designers including some by the world-renowned architect Geoffrey Bawa that have never been seen before. These works demonstrate the essentials of the Sri Lankan spaces open to the elements and the natural use of space and decor, contributing to a palpable sense of peace and discipline. In addition, there are practical design ideas that can be applied to any tropical locale. Photographed entirely on location, Sri Lanka Style is an inspirational sourcebook of contemporary tropical style.
Download or read book Sri Lanka written by Russell R. Ross and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Shock Waves by : Stephane Hallegatte
Download or read book Shock Waves written by Stephane Hallegatte and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2015-11-23 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ending poverty and stabilizing climate change will be two unprecedented global achievements and two major steps toward sustainable development. But the two objectives cannot be considered in isolation: they need to be jointly tackled through an integrated strategy. This report brings together those two objectives and explores how they can more easily be achieved if considered together. It examines the potential impact of climate change and climate policies on poverty reduction. It also provides guidance on how to create a “win-win†? situation so that climate change policies contribute to poverty reduction and poverty-reduction policies contribute to climate change mitigation and resilience building. The key finding of the report is that climate change represents a significant obstacle to the sustained eradication of poverty, but future impacts on poverty are determined by policy choices: rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development can prevent most short-term impacts whereas immediate pro-poor, emissions-reduction policies can drastically limit long-term ones.
Book Synopsis The Routledge Handbook of Tourism in Asia by : C. Michael Hall
Download or read book The Routledge Handbook of Tourism in Asia written by C. Michael Hall and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-09-13 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asia is regarded as the fastest growing area for international and domestic tourism in the world today and over the next 20 years. Given the economic, social and environmental importance of tourism in the region, there is a need for a comprehensive and readable overview of the critical debates and controversies in tourism in the region and the major factors that are affecting tourism development both now and in the foreseeable future. This Handbook provides a contemporary survey of the region and its continued growth and development as a key destination and generator of tourism, which is marked by a high proportion of intra-regional travel. The book is divided into five sections. This first section provides an introduction to the region and context to the nationally focused chapters. The next three sections are then broadly based on the three UNWTO Asian regions: South-East Asia, South and Central Asia, and East and North-East Asia, providing readers with a valuable snapshot of tourism at various scales, and from various approaches and positions. The concluding section considers future prospects for tourism in Asia. The handbook is interdisciplinary in coverage and is also international in scope through its authorship and content. It presents a range of perspectives and understanding of the processes and forces that are shaping tourism in this fascinating and dynamic region that is one of the focal points of global tourism. This is essential reading for students, researchers and academics interested in tourism in the growth region of Asia now and in the future.
Book Synopsis Sri Lanka at the Crossroads of History by : Zoltán Biedermann
Download or read book Sri Lanka at the Crossroads of History written by Zoltán Biedermann and published by UCL Press. This book was released on 2017-06-07 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The peoples of Sri Lanka have participated in far-flung trading networks, religious formations, and Asian and European empires for millennia. This interdisciplinary volume sets out to draw Sri Lanka into the field of Asian and Global History by showing how the latest wave of scholarship has explored the island as a ‘crossroads’, a place defined by its openness to movement across the Indian Ocean.Experts in the history, archaeology, literature and art of the island from c.500 BCE to c.1850 CE use Lankan material to explore a number of pressing scholarly debates. They address these matters from their varied disciplinary perspectives and diverse array of sources, critically assessing concepts such as ethnicity, cosmopolitanism and localisation, and elucidating the subtle ways in which the foreign may be resisted and embraced at the same time. The individual chapters, and the volume as a whole, are a welcome addition to the history and historiography of Sri Lanka, as well as studies of the Indian Ocean region, kingship, colonialism, imperialism, and early modernity.
Download or read book Brixton Beach written by Roma Tearne and published by Gallic Books. This book was released on 2018-05-15 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Described as 'rich and satisfying' by The Times, Brixton Beach is the story of an artistic young girl forced to leave war-torn Sri Lanka, only to find that the shadow of violence has followed her to London. 'An ambitious, lyrical novel' TLS Opening dramatically with the horrors of the 2005 London bombings, this is the profoundly moving story of a country on the brink of civil war and a child's struggle to come to terms with loss. London. On a bright July morning a series of bombs bring the capital to a halt. Simon Swann, a medic from one of the large teaching hospitals, is searching frantically amongst the chaos and the rubble. All around police sirens and ambulances are screaming but Simon does not hear. He is out of breath because he has been running, and he is distraught. But who is he looking for? To find out we have first to go back thirty years to a small island in the Indian Ocean where a little girl named Alice Fonseka is learning to ride a bicycle on the beach. The island is Sri Lanka, with its community on the brink of civil war. Alice's life is about to change forever. Soon she will have to leave for England, abandoning her beloved grandfather, and accompanied by her mother Sita, a woman broken by a series of terrible events. In London, Alice grows into womanhood. Trapped in a loveless marriage, she has a son. Slowly she fulfils her grandfather's prophecy and becomes an artist. Eventually she finds true love. But London in the twenty first century is a mass of migration and suspicion. The war on terror has begun and everyone, even Simon Swann, middle class, rational, medic that he is, will be caught up in this war in the most unexpected and terrible way.
Download or read book The 2030 Spike written by Colin Mason and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The clock is relentlessly ticking! Our world teeters on a knife-edge between a peaceful and prosperous future for all, and a dark winter of death and destruction that threatens to smother the light of civilization. Within 30 years, in the 2030 decade, six powerful 'drivers' will converge with unprecedented force in a statistical spike that could tear humanity apart and plunge the world into a new Dark Age. Depleted fuel supplies, massive population growth, poverty, global climate change, famine, growing water shortages and international lawlessness are on a crash course with potentially catastrophic consequences. In the face of both doomsaying and denial over the state of our world, Colin Mason cuts through the rhetoric and reams of conflicting data to muster the evidence to illustrate a broad picture of the world as it is, and our possible futures. Ultimately his message is clear; we must act decisively, collectively and immediately to alter the trajectory of humanity away from catastrophe. Offering over 100 priorities for immediate action, The 2030 Spike serves as a guidebook for humanity through the treacherous minefields and wastelands ahead to a bright, peaceful and prosperous future in which all humans have the opportunity to thrive and build a better civilization. This book is powerful and essential reading for all people concerned with the future of humanity and planet earth.
Book Synopsis Crimes Committed by Terrorist Groups by : Mark S. Hamm
Download or read book Crimes Committed by Terrorist Groups written by Mark S. Hamm and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication. Examines terrorists¿ involvement in a variety of crimes ranging from motor vehicle violations, immigration fraud, and mfg. illegal firearms to counterfeiting, armed bank robbery, and smuggling weapons of mass destruction. There are 3 parts: (1) Compares the criminality of internat. jihad groups with domestic right-wing groups. (2) Six case studies of crimes includes trial transcripts, official reports, previous scholarship, and interviews with law enforce. officials and former terrorists are used to explore skills that made crimes possible; or events and lack of skill that the prevented crimes. Includes brief bio. of the terrorists along with descriptions of their org., strategies, and plots. (3) Analysis of the themes in closing arguments of the transcripts in Part 2. Illus.
Book Synopsis World Travel Guide by : Columbus Publishing Ltd
Download or read book World Travel Guide written by Columbus Publishing Ltd and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 932 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With E-World guide CD.
