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Author : Giampiero Maria Gallo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (246 download)
Download or read book Forecast Uncertainty Due to Unreliable Data written by Giampiero Maria Gallo and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : G. M. Gallo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Forecast Uncertainty Due to Unreliable Data written by G. M. Gallo and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : J. C. G. van Vlimmeren
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (92 download)
Download or read book Composition and Pattern of the Forecast Uncertainty Due to Unreliable Data written by J. C. G. van Vlimmeren and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : J. C. G. van Vlimmeren
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Composition and Pattern of the Forecast Uncertainty Due to Unreliable Data written by J. C. G. van Vlimmeren and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309171822
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Demand and Supply of Doctoral Scientists and Engineers written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2000-07-31 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report is the summary of a workshop conducted by the National Research Council in order to learn from both forecast makers and forecast users about improvements that can be made in understanding the markets for doctoral scientists and engineers. The workshop commissioned papers examined (1) the history and problems with models of demand and supply for scientists and engineers, (2) objectives and approaches to forecasting models, (3) margins of adjustment that have been neglected in models, especially substitution and quality, (4) the presentation of uncertainty, and (5) whether these forecasts of supply and demand are worthwhile, given all their shortcomings. The focus of the report was to provide guidance to the NSF and to scholars in this area on how models and the forecasts derived from them might be improved, and what role NSF should play in their improvement. In addition, the report examined issues of reporting forecasts to policymakers.
Author : J. C. G. van Vlimmeren
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Modelling Data Uncertainty Due to Revisions written by J. C. G. van Vlimmeren and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we study the uncertainty in preliminary data as available for the Dutch economy. Because we are interested in the effects of the use of preliminary data on the forecast results, we study the uncertainty in preliminary initial data for the forecasting model. The uncertainty derives from the data revision regime of the Central Bureau of Statistics. We have focussed on a subset of the available dataset. The methods used in this paper can be used to specify covariance and correlation of initial data in studying forecast uncertainty.
Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309180538
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-10-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Author : Rob J Hyndman
Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)
Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Author : Debby Lanser
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)
Download or read book Investigating Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Forecasts by Stochastic Simulation written by Debby Lanser and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Haraldur Olafsson
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128157100
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)
Download or read book Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction written by Haraldur Olafsson and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2020-11-25 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides general knowledge on all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. The book illustrates particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterization of subgrid processes are also assessed, as are uncertainties associated with surface-atmosphere exchange, orographic flows and processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Through a better understanding of the uncertainties to watch for, readers will be able to produce more precise and accurate forecasts. This is an essential work for anyone who wants to improve the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting and interested parties developing tools to enhance the quality of such forecasts. Provides a comprehensive overview of the state of numerical weather prediction at spatial scales, from hundreds of meters, to thousands of kilometers Focuses on short-term 1-15 day atmospheric predictions, with some coverage appropriate for longer-term forecasts Includes references to climate prediction models to allow applications of these techniques for climate simulations
Author : William Denson
Publisher : RIAC
ISBN 13 : 1933904178
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (339 download)
Download or read book Reliability Modeling: The RIAC Guide to Reliability Prediction, Assessment and Estimation written by William Denson and published by RIAC. This book was released on 2006 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The intent of this book is to provide guidance on modeling techniques that can be used to quantify the reliability of a product or system. In this context, reliability modeling is the process of constructing a mathematical model that is used to estimate the reliability characteristics of a product. There are many ways in which this can be accomplished, depending on the product or system and the type of information that is available, or practical to obtain. This book reviews possible approaches, summarizes their advantages and disadvantages, and provides guidance on selecting a methodology based on the specific goals and constraints of the analyst. While this book will not discuss the use of specific published methodologies, in cases where examples are provided, tools and methodologies with which the author has personal experience in their development are used, such as life modeling, NPRD, MIL-HDBK-217 and the RIAC 217Plus--Introduction.
Author : Bharatendra K. Rai
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439803269
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)
Download or read book Reliability Analysis and Prediction with Warranty Data written by Bharatendra K. Rai and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-04-28 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Through simple, practical approaches, Reliability Analysis and Prediction with Warranty Data: Issues, Strategies, and Methods helps Six Sigma black belts and engineers successfully interpret warranty data to make accurate predictions. It discusses how to use this data to define and analyze field problems, provides guidelines for discovering the roo
Author : Neil R. Ericsson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book A Framework for Economic Forecasting written by Neil R. Ericsson and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : You Ling
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 205 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (858 download)
Download or read book Uncertainty Quantification in Time-dependent Reliability Analysis written by You Ling and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Robert E. Melchers
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119265991
Total Pages : 530 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)
Download or read book Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction written by Robert E. Melchers and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-04-02 with total page 530 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction, Third Edition is a textbook which addresses the important issue of predicting the safety of structures at the design stage and also the safety of existing, perhaps deteriorating structures. Attention is focused on the development and definition of limit states such as serviceability and ultimate strength, the definition of failure and the various models which might be used to describe strength and loading. This book emphasises concepts and applications, built up from basic principles and avoids undue mathematical rigour. It presents an accessible and unified account of the theory and techniques for the analysis of the reliability of engineering structures using probability theory. This new edition has been updated to cover new developments and applications and a new chapter is included which covers structural optimization in the context of reliability analysis. New examples and end of chapter problems are also now included.
Author : Georges Kariniotakis
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0081005059
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)
Download or read book Renewable Energy Forecasting written by Georges Kariniotakis and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2017-09-29 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which needs to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave, and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects. Offers comprehensive coverage of wind, solar, wave, and hydropower forecasting in one convenient volume Addresses a topic that is growing in importance, given the increasing penetration of renewable energy in many countries Reviews state-of-the-science techniques for renewable energy forecasting Contains chapters on operational applications
Author : Saeid Eslamian
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466552476
Total Pages : 646 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Engineering Hydrology written by Saeid Eslamian and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-03-21 with total page 646 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While most books examine only the classical aspects of hydrology, this three-volume set covers multiple aspects of hydrology. It examines new approaches, addresses growing concerns about hydrological and ecological connectivity, and considers the worldwide impact of climate change.It also provides updated material on hydrological science and engine
