Financial Market Complexity Financial Markets As Complex Systems 2 Standard Finance Theory 3 A Complex Walk Down Wall Street 4 Financial Market Models With Global Interactions 5 Financial Market Models With Local Interactions 6 Non Zero Risk In The Real World 7 Deterministic Dynamics Chaos And Crashes

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Complexity, Risk, and Financial Markets

Author : Edgar E. Peters
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471437093
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis Complexity, Risk, and Financial Markets by : Edgar E. Peters

Download or read book Complexity, Risk, and Financial Markets written by Edgar E. Peters and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2001-06-06 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Patterns in the Dark is that rare book that offers an entirely new perspective on an issue of ongoing concern to investors: the unpredictability of financial markets. In this groundbreaking work, leading investment strategist and authority on chaos theory, Edgar Peters makes accessible ways of understanding market behavior that-until now-were known only to specialists. Patterns in the Dark draws on a broad range of human knowledge and experience to clarify the behavior of a system that now operates on a global, 24-hour, and thoroughly interconnected basis. Peters illuminates the complex operation of the marketplace by including keen observations drawn from science, mathematics, and artistic creation as well as economics. His models include the social visions of the Austrian economists, Darwinian ideas of evolution, the laws of physics, and the creative risks of the artist. His meditations on financial markets weigh the effects of limitations vs. rules, risks vs. uncertainty, and order vs. chaos. As a guide to a world marketplace that has become increasingly complex and uncertain, Patterns in the Dark offers the investor a rich source of insight, illumination, and wisdom.

Financial Market Complexity

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (771 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Complexity by :

Download or read book Financial Market Complexity written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Complexity in Financial Markets

Author : Matthieu Cristelli
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3319007238
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Complexity in Financial Markets by : Matthieu Cristelli

Download or read book Complexity in Financial Markets written by Matthieu Cristelli and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-08-28 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tools and methods from complex systems science can have a considerable impact on the way in which the quantitative assessment of economic and financial issues is approached, as discussed in this thesis. First it is shown that the self-organization of financial markets is a crucial factor in the understanding of their dynamics. In fact, using an agent-based approach, it is argued that financial markets’ stylized facts appear only in the self-organized state. Secondly, the thesis points out the potential of so-called big data science for financial market modeling, investigating how web-driven data can yield a picture of market activities: it has been found that web query volumes anticipate trade volumes. As a third achievement, the metrics developed here for country competitiveness and product complexity is groundbreaking in comparison to mainstream theories of economic growth and technological development. A key element in assessing the intangible variables determining the success of countries in the present globalized economy is represented by the diversification of the productive basket of countries. The comparison between the level of complexity of a country's productive system and economic indicators such as the GDP per capita discloses its hidden growth potential.

The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets

Author : Johannes Voit
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3662051257
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets by : Johannes Voit

Download or read book The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets written by Johannes Voit and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook describes parallels between statistical physics and finance - both those established in the 100-year-long interaction between these disciplines, as well as new research results on capital markets. The random walk, well known in physics, is also the basic model in finance, upon which are built, for example, the Black--Scholes theory of option pricing and hedging, or methods of risk control using diversification. Here the underlying assumptions are discussed using empirical financial data and analogies to physical models such as fluid flows, turbulence, or superdiffusion. On this basis, new theories of derivative pricing and risk control can be formulated. Computer simulations of interacting agent models of financial markets provide insights into the origins of asset price fluctuations. Stock exchange crashes can be modelled in ways analogous to phase transitions and earthquakes. These models allow for predictions. This study edition has been updated with a presentation of several new and significant developments, e.g. the dynamics of volatility smiles and implied volatility surfaces, path integral approaches to option pricing, a new and accurate simulation scheme for options, multifractals, the application of nonextensive statistical mechanics to financial markets, and the minority game. Moreover, the book was scanned for and corrected from errors, both typographical and in presentation.

An Introduction to Financial Markets

Author : Paolo Brandimarte
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118594665
Total Pages : 893 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Financial Markets by : Paolo Brandimarte

Download or read book An Introduction to Financial Markets written by Paolo Brandimarte and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-02-22 with total page 893 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: COVERS THE FUNDAMENTAL TOPICS IN MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS, AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT THAT ARE REQUIRED FOR A THOROUGH STUDY OF FINANCIAL MARKETS This comprehensive yet accessible book introduces students to financial markets and delves into more advanced material at a steady pace while providing motivating examples, poignant remarks, counterexamples, ideological clashes, and intuitive traps throughout. Tempered by real-life cases and actual market structures, An Introduction to Financial Markets: A Quantitative Approach accentuates theory through quantitative modeling whenever and wherever necessary. It focuses on the lessons learned from timely subject matter such as the impact of the recent subprime mortgage storm, the collapse of LTCM, and the harsh criticism on risk management and innovative finance. The book also provides the necessary foundations in stochastic calculus and optimization, alongside financial modeling concepts that are illustrated with relevant and hands-on examples. An Introduction to Financial Markets: A Quantitative Approach starts with a complete overview of the subject matter. It then moves on to sections covering fixed income assets, equity portfolios, derivatives, and advanced optimization models. This book’s balanced and broad view of the state-of-the-art in financial decision-making helps provide readers with all the background and modeling tools needed to make “honest money” and, in the process, to become a sound professional. Stresses that gut feelings are not always sufficient and that “critical thinking” and real world applications are appropriate when dealing with complex social systems involving multiple players with conflicting incentives Features a related website that contains a solution manual for end-of-chapter problems Written in a modular style for tailored classroom use Bridges a gap for business and engineering students who are familiar with the problems involved, but are less familiar with the methodologies needed to make smart decisions An Introduction to Financial Markets: A Quantitative Approach offers a balance between the need to illustrate mathematics in action and the need to understand the real life context. It is an ideal text for a first course in financial markets or investments for business, economic, statistics, engineering, decision science, and management science students.

Financial Markets Theory

Author : Emilio Barucci
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1447173228
Total Pages : 843 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets Theory by : Emilio Barucci

Download or read book Financial Markets Theory written by Emilio Barucci and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-06-08 with total page 843 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work, now in a thoroughly revised second edition, presents the economic foundations of financial markets theory from a mathematically rigorous standpoint and offers a self-contained critical discussion based on empirical results. It is the only textbook on the subject to include more than two hundred exercises, with detailed solutions to selected exercises. Financial Markets Theory covers classical asset pricing theory in great detail, including utility theory, equilibrium theory, portfolio selection, mean-variance portfolio theory, CAPM, CCAPM, APT, and the Modigliani-Miller theorem. Starting from an analysis of the empirical evidence on the theory, the authors provide a discussion of the relevant literature, pointing out the main advances in classical asset pricing theory and the new approaches designed to address asset pricing puzzles and open problems (e.g., behavioral finance). Later chapters in the book contain more advanced material, including on the role of information in financial markets, non-classical preferences, noise traders and market microstructure. This textbook is aimed at graduate students in mathematical finance and financial economics, but also serves as a useful reference for practitioners working in insurance, banking, investment funds and financial consultancy. Introducing necessary tools from microeconomic theory, this book is highly accessible and completely self-contained. Advance praise for the second edition: "Financial Markets Theory is comprehensive, rigorous, and yet highly accessible. With their second edition, Barucci and Fontana have set an even higher standard!"Darrell Duffie, Dean Witter Distinguished Professor of Finance, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University "This comprehensive book is a great self-contained source for studying most major theoretical aspects of financial economics. What makes the book particularly useful is that it provides a lot of intuition, detailed discussions of empirical implications, a very thorough survey of the related literature, and many completely solved exercises. The second edition covers more ground and provides many more proofs, and it will be a handy addition to the library of every student or researcher in the field."Jaksa Cvitanic, Richard N. Merkin Professor of Mathematical Finance, Caltech "The second edition of Financial Markets Theory by Barucci and Fontana is a superb achievement that knits together all aspects of modern finance theory, including financial markets microstructure, in a consistent and self-contained framework. Many exercises, together with their detailed solutions, make this book indispensable for serious students in finance."Michel Crouhy, Head of Research and Development, NATIXIS

Chaos Theory in the Financial Markets

Author : Dimitris N. Chorafas
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 9781557385550
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (855 download)

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Book Synopsis Chaos Theory in the Financial Markets by : Dimitris N. Chorafas

Download or read book Chaos Theory in the Financial Markets written by Dimitris N. Chorafas and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 1994-03-22 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chaos theory is a revolutionary approach to understanding and forecasting the behavior of complex systems. The theory, which utilizes nonlinear mathematics to identify the underlying rules of evolving systems, provides extraordinary insights into the dynamics of the financial markets. In so doing, Dr. Chorafas explores a variety of new approaches that provide an entirely new perspective on financial market analysis and forecasting. Topics include: the concepts and mathematics of chaos theory; using nonlinear equations and fractals to forecast the currency market; genetic algorithms and neural networks.

Multifractal Financial Markets

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Author : Yasmine Hayek Kobeissi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146144490X
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Multifractal Financial Markets by : Yasmine Hayek Kobeissi

Download or read book Multifractal Financial Markets written by Yasmine Hayek Kobeissi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-07-23 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multifractal Financial Markets explores appropriate models for estimating risk and profiting from market swings, allowing readers to develop enhanced portfolio management skills and strategies. Fractals in finance allow us to understand market instability and persistence. When applied to financial markets, these models produce the requisite amount of data necessary for gauging market risk in order to mitigate loss. This brief delves deep into the multifractal market approach to portfolio management through real-world examples and case studies, providing readers with the tools they need to forecast profound shifts in market activity.

The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets

Author : Benoit B. Mandelbrot
Publisher : Profile Books
ISBN 13 : 1847651550
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (476 download)

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Book Synopsis The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets by : Benoit B. Mandelbrot

Download or read book The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets written by Benoit B. Mandelbrot and published by Profile Books. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This international bestseller, which foreshadowed a market crash, explains why it could happen again if we don't act now. Fractal geometry is the mathematics of roughness: how to reduce the outline of a jagged leaf or static in a computer connection to a few simple mathematical properties. With his fractal tools, Mandelbrot has got to the bottom of how financial markets really work. He finds they have a shifting sense of time and wild behaviour that makes them volatile, dangerous - and beautiful. In his models, the complex gyrations of the FTSE 100 and exchange rates can be reduced to straightforward formulae that yield a much more accurate description of the risks involved.

Financial Market Complexity: What Physics Can Tell Us about Market Behaviour

Author : Neil F Johnson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780191712104
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Complexity: What Physics Can Tell Us about Market Behaviour by : Neil F Johnson

Download or read book Financial Market Complexity: What Physics Can Tell Us about Market Behaviour written by Neil F Johnson and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work draws on ideas from the science of complexity and complex systems, to address the following questions: how do financial markets behave? why is this? and what can we do to minimize risk, given this behaviour?

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

Author : Robert A. Meyers
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers

Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

Financial Market Analytics

Author : John L. Teall
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN 13 : 0313371032
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (133 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Analytics by : John L. Teall

Download or read book Financial Market Analytics written by John L. Teall and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 1999-01-30 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A variety of quantitative concepts and models essential to understanding financial markets are introduced and explained in this broad overview of financial analytical tools designed for financial practitioners, advanced students, and researchers lacking a strong mathematical background. Coverage ranges from matrix mathematics and elementary calculus with their applications to portfolio and fixed income analysis to probability and stochastic processes with their applications to option pricing. The book is sequenced by mathematics topics, most of which are followed by relevant usage to areas such as valuation, risk management, derivatives, back-testing of financial models, and market efficiency. The book begins by motivating the need for understanding quantitative technique with a brief discussion of financial mathematics and financial literature review. Preliminary concepts including geometric expansion, elementary statistics, and basic portfolio techniques are introduced in chapters 2 and 3. Chapters 4 and 5 present matrix mathematics and differential calculus applied to yield curves, APT, state preference theory, binomal option pricing, mean-variance analysis, and other applications. Integral calculus and differential equations follow in chapter 6. The rest of the book covers applications of probability, statistics and stochastic processes as well as a sampling of topics from numerical methods used in financial analysis.

An Engine, Not a Camera

Author : Donald MacKenzie
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262250047
Total Pages : 782 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis An Engine, Not a Camera by : Donald MacKenzie

Download or read book An Engine, Not a Camera written by Donald MacKenzie and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2008-08-29 with total page 782 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In An Engine, Not a Camera, Donald MacKenzie argues that the emergence of modern economic theories of finance affected financial markets in fundamental ways. These new, Nobel Prize-winning theories, based on elegant mathematical models of markets, were not simply external analyses but intrinsic parts of economic processes. Paraphrasing Milton Friedman, MacKenzie says that economic models are an engine of inquiry rather than a camera to reproduce empirical facts. More than that, the emergence of an authoritative theory of financial markets altered those markets fundamentally. For example, in 1970, there was almost no trading in financial derivatives such as "futures." By June of 2004, derivatives contracts totaling $273 trillion were outstanding worldwide. MacKenzie suggests that this growth could never have happened without the development of theories that gave derivatives legitimacy and explained their complexities. MacKenzie examines the role played by finance theory in the two most serious crises to hit the world's financial markets in recent years: the stock market crash of 1987 and the market turmoil that engulfed the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998. He also looks at finance theory that is somewhat beyond the mainstream—chaos theorist Benoit Mandelbrot's model of "wild" randomness. MacKenzie's pioneering work in the social studies of finance will interest anyone who wants to understand how America's financial markets have grown into their current form.

New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets

Author : Catherine Kyrtsou
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 042958394X
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (295 download)

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Book Synopsis New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets by : Catherine Kyrtsou

Download or read book New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets written by Catherine Kyrtsou and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-06-04 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is motivated by the disruptions introduced by the financial crisis and the many attempts that have followed to propose new ideas and remedies. Assembling contributions by authors from a variety of backgrounds, this collection illustrates the potentials resulting from the marriage of financial economics, complexity theory and an out-of-equilibrium view of the economic world. Challenging the traditional hypotheses that lie behind financial market functioning, new evidence is provided about the hidden factors fuelling bubbles, the impact of agents’ heterogeneity, the importance of endogeneity in the information transmission mechanism, the dynamics of herding, the sources of volatility, the portfolio optimization techniques, the financial innovation and the trend identification in a nonlinear time-series framework. Presenting the advances made in financial market analysis, and putting emphasis on nonlinear dynamics, this book suggests interdisciplinary methodologies for the study of well-known stylised facts and financial abnormalities. This book was originally published as a special issue of The European Journal of Finance.

Mathematics of Financial Markets

Author : Robert J Elliott
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475771460
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematics of Financial Markets by : Robert J Elliott

Download or read book Mathematics of Financial Markets written by Robert J Elliott and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the mathematics that underpins pricing models for derivative securities such as options, futures and swaps in modern markets. Models built upon the famous Black-Scholes theory require sophisticated mathematical tools drawn from modern stochastic calculus. However, many of the underlying ideas can be explained more simply within a discrete-time framework. This is developed extensively in this substantially revised second edition to motivate the technically more demanding continuous-time theory.

Strategic Analysis Of Financial Markets, The (In 2 Volumes)

Author : Steven D Moffitt
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
ISBN 13 : 9813143770
Total Pages : 1119 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Analysis Of Financial Markets, The (In 2 Volumes) by : Steven D Moffitt

Download or read book Strategic Analysis Of Financial Markets, The (In 2 Volumes) written by Steven D Moffitt and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2017-03-24 with total page 1119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volume 1 of 'The Strategic Analysis of Financial Markets,' — Framework, is premised on the belief that markets can be understood only by dropping the assumptions of rationality and efficient markets in their extreme forms, and showing that markets still have an inherent order and inherent logic. But that order results primarily from the 'predictable irrationality' of investors, as well as from people's uncoordinated attempts to profit. The market patterns that result do not rely on rationality or efficiency.A framework is developed for understanding financial markets using a combination of psychology, statistics, game and gambling analysis, market history and the author's experience. It expresses analytically how professional investors and traders think about markets — as games in which other participants employ inferior, partially predictable strategies. Those strategies' interactions can be toxic and lead to booms, bubbles, busts and crashes, or can be less dramatic, leading to various patterns that are mistakenly called 'market inefficiencies' and 'stylized facts.'A logical case is constructed, starting from two foundations, the psychology of human decision making and the 'Fundamental Laws of Gambling.' Applying the Fundamental Laws to trading leads to the idea of 'gambling rationality' (grationality), replacing the efficient market's concept of 'rationality.' By classifying things that are likely to have semi-predictable price impacts (price 'distorters'), one can identify, explore through data analysis, and create winning trading ideas and systems. A structured way of doing all this is proposed: the six-step 'Strategic Analysis of Market Method.' Examples are given in this and Volume 2.Volume 2 of 'The Strategic Analysis of Financial Markets' — Trading System Analytics, continues the development of Volume 1 by introducing tools and techniques for developing trading systems and by illustrating them using real markets. The difference between these two Volumes and the rest of the literature is its rigor. It describes trading as a form of gambling that when properly executed, is quite logical, and is well known to professional gamblers and analytical traders.But even those elites might be surprised at the extent to which quantitative methods have been justified and applied, including a life cycle theory of trading systems. Apart from a few sections that develop background material, Volume 2 creates from scratch a trading system for Eurodollar futures using principles of the Strategic Analysis of Markets Method (SAMM), a principled, step-by-step approach to developing profitable trading systems. It has an entire Chapter on mechanical methods for testing and improvement of trading systems, which transcends the rather unstructured and unsatisfactory 'backtesting' literature. It presents a breakout trend following system developed using factor models. It also presents a specific pairs trading system, and discusses its life cycle from an early, highly profitable period to its eventual demise. Recent developments in momentum trading and suggestions on improvements are also discussed.

Why Stock Markets Crash

Author : Didier Sornette
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400885094
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Stock Markets Crash by : Didier Sornette

Download or read book Why Stock Markets Crash written by Didier Sornette and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-03-21 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.