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Exchange Rate Volatility And Productivity Growth
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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth by : Philippe Aghion
Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth written by Philippe Aghion and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a significant impact on long-term rate of productivity growth, but the effect depends critically on a country's level of financial development. For countries with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for financially advanced countries, there is no significant effect. Our empirical analysis is based on an 83country data set spanning the years 1960-2000; our results appear robust to time window, alternative measures of financial development and exchange rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty exacerbates the negative investment effects of domestic credit market constraints. Our approach delivers results that are in striking contrast to the vast existing empirical exchange rate literature, which largely finds the effects of exchange rate volatility on real activity to be relatively small and insignificant.
Book Synopsis Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Firm Level Data by : Kodjovi M. Eklou
Download or read book Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Firm Level Data written by Kodjovi M. Eklou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-05-26 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the impact of Dollar exchange rate volatility on firm productivity in Emerging Markets economies (EMs). Using firm level data covering 16 EMs over the period 1998 -2019, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility reduces firm productivity growth. Exploring channels, its finds that the results are driven by countries with low level of financial development, high dollar invoicing, high bilateral trade with the US, high collective bargaining coverage and open capital account. Exploring the role of policy, it finds that Foreign Exchange Interventions (FXI) dampen this impact on firm productivty. Further, exploiting firm level data, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility operates also through the financial friction channel, reducing contemporaneous investments, especially at firms with low liquidity buffers and weak balance sheet (high leverage). The role of financial frictions is confirmed through the finding that younger firms, more likely to face financial constraints, are also found to be more vulnerable to dollar exchange rate volatility. In addition, we also find evidence of a large and persistent effect on firms with highly irreversible investment, lending support for the real option channel of uncertainty on the dollar exchange rate. These findings are robust to a battery of tests, including controlling for uncertainty, financial crises and using an instrumental variable strategy exploiting US monetary policy shocks as an exogenous source of variation in dollar exchange rate volatility.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth by : Kenza Benhima
Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth written by Kenza Benhima and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Volatility and Growth by : Philippe Aghion
Download or read book Volatility and Growth written by Philippe Aghion and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2005-07-28 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It has long been recognized that productivity growth and the business cycle are closely interrelated. Yet, until recently, the two phenomena have been investigated separately in the economics literature. This book provides the first consistent attempt to analyze the effects of macroeconomic volatility on productivity growth, and also the reverse causality from growth to business cycles. The authors show that by looking at the economy through the lens of private entrepreneurs, who invest under credit constraints, one can go some way towards explaining persistent macroeconomic volatility and the effects of volatility on growth. Beginning with an analysis of the effects of volatility on growth, the authors argue that the lower the level of financial development in a country the more detrimental the effect of volatility on growth. This prediction is confirmed by cross-country panel regressions. The data also suggests that a fixed exchange rate regime or more countercyclical budgetary policies are growth-enhancing in countries with a lower level of financial development. The former reduce aggregate volatility whereas the latter reduce the negative effects of volatility on long-term productivity-enhancing investment by firms. The book concludes with an investigation into how the interplay between credit constraints and pecuniary externalities is sufficient to generate persistent business cycles and to explain the occurrence of currency crises.
Book Synopsis Productivity growth and the exchange rate regime[ by : Philippe Aghion
Download or read book Productivity growth and the exchange rate regime[ written by Philippe Aghion and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rates Policy and Productivity by : Ibrahima Amadou Diallo
Download or read book Exchange Rates Policy and Productivity written by Ibrahima Amadou Diallo and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation investigates how the real effective exchange rate (REER) and its associated asurements (REER volatility and REER misalignment) affect total factor productivity growth (TFPG). It also analyzes the channels through which the REER and its associated measurements act on total factor productivity (TFP). The first part studies how the REER itself, on the one hand, and the REER volatility, on the other hand, influence productivity. An analysis of the link between the level of REER and TFP in chapter 1 reveals that an exchange rate appreciation causes an increase of TFP. But this impact is also nonlinear: below the threshold, real exchange rate influences negatively productivity while above the threshold it acts positively. The results of chapter 2 illustrate that REER volatility affects negatively TFPG. We also found that REER volatility acts on TFP according to the level of financial development. For moderately financially developed countries, REER volatility reacts negatively on productivity and has no effect on productivity for very low and very high levels of financial development. The second part examines the channels through which the REER and its associated measurements influence productivity. The results of chapter 3 illustrate that the exchange rate volatility has a strong negative impact on investment. This outcome is robust in low income and middle income countries, and by using an alternative measurement of exchange rate volatility. Chapter 4 show that both real exchange rate misalignment and real exchange rate volatility affect negatively exports. It also demonstrates that real exchange rate volatility is more harmful to exports than misalignment. These outcomes are corroborated by estimations on subsamples of Low- ncome and Middle-Income countries.
Book Synopsis Does Productivity Growth Lead to Appreciation of the Real Exchange Rate? by : Man-Keung Tang
Download or read book Does Productivity Growth Lead to Appreciation of the Real Exchange Rate? written by Man-Keung Tang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We revisit the time-honored link between productivity and the real exchange rate. Consistent with the traditional view, we find that higher labor productivity tends to lead to appreciation of the real exchange rate. Contrary to the traditional view, however, we find that the positive productivity effect is transmitted through the real exchange rate based on tradable prices, rather than through relative prices between tradables and nontradables. Moreover, higher total factor productivity is found, if anything, to lead to depreciation of the real exchange rate. These last two pieces of evidence provide support for the emerging view that limited tradability of goods and services provides scope for the strategic pricing decision, which has material consequences for the aggregate real exchange rate.
Book Synopsis Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth? by : Ying Qian
Download or read book Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth? written by Ying Qian and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1992 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inconsistency in the relationship between exchange rate volatility and export growth reflects differences among countries in the currency in which trade is invoiced. Also, exchange rate volatility may affect the allocation of trade more than its level.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Movements and Their Impact on Trade and Investment in the APEC Region by : Mr.Tamim Bayoumi
Download or read book Exchange Rate Movements and Their Impact on Trade and Investment in the APEC Region written by Mr.Tamim Bayoumi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-12-04 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 18 members of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (APEC) encompass not only a wide geographic area but also broad differences in stages of economic development, including among them some of the fastest- growing economies in the world. Such rapid growth has been ficilitated by high levels of investment and trade, international linkages, and, in most APEC economies, macroeconomic policies that have sustained growth while not sparking excessive inflation. This study offers insights about how medium and long-term changes in real exchange rates have affected international (and intra-APEC) trade and investment in the region.
Book Synopsis When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle by : Falkmar Butgereit
Download or read book Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle written by Falkmar Butgereit and published by Diplomica Verlag. This book was released on 2010 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Still after more than thirty years of free floating exchange rates, large parts of exchange rate dynamics remain a puzzle. As this book shows, much progress has been made in explaining exchange rate movements over longer horizons. It also shows, however, that short-run movements are far more challenging to explain. The book is based upon a variety of papers, many of them released recently. A key aspiration of the literature has always been not only to explain past exchange rate behavior but also to forecast out of sample and to compare it to the simple random walk outcome. Here some development has been made after Meese and Rogoff's (1983) truculent verdict of the performance of common exchange rate models. By means of empirical analysis and descriptive statistics this book further supports the established long-run relationships between exchange rates and fundamentals such as expected productivity growth, real GDP growth, domestic investment, interest rates, inflation, government spending, and current account balances. It finds that these fundamentals affect the exchange rate to varying degrees over time. Turning to short-term exchange rate dynamics, it turns out that a different set of forces is at play. The key to explaining short-run movements is to be found in an extensive micro-foundation that factors in a pronounced heterogeneity among market participants and information asymmetries, as well as the possibility of sudden shifts in sentiment, beliefs, and the degree of risk aversion. Promising results have been obtained by order-flow analysis and high frequency data. Also, the consideration of chartism and speculators facilitates understanding for otherwise puzzling exchange rate movements. The last attempt to tackle the understanding of exchange rate behavior is the use of frequency domain analysis and in particular spectral analysis which tries to track down any cyclical patterns in the various moments of time series. And as we shall see forex indeed incorpor
Book Synopsis Pick Your Poison by : Mr.Shigeru Iwata
Download or read book Pick Your Poison written by Mr.Shigeru Iwata and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We characterize a country's exchange rate regime by how its central bank channels a capital account shock across three variables: exchange depreciation, interest rates, and international reserve flows. Structural vector autoregression estimates for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey reveal such responses, both contemporaneously and over time. Capital account shocks are further shown to affect output growth and inflation. The nature and magnitude of these effects may depend on the exchange rate regime.
Book Synopsis The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output by : Michael Frenkel
Download or read book The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output written by Michael Frenkel and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2001-11-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends the Dornbusch model of overshooting exchange rates to discuss both exchange rate and output effects of capital controls that involve additional costs for international asset transactions. We show that, on the one hand, such capital controls have the merit of reducing the volatility of exchange rates following a monetary shock. On the other hand, the implementation increases exchange rate volatility in the short run and induces costs for the real sector in the form of lower equilibrium output levels.
Book Synopsis Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth? by : Ying Qian
Download or read book Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth? written by Ying Qian and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451956770 Total Pages :228 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (519 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Staff papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-01-01 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A central proposition regarding effects of different mechanisms of fi-nancing public expenditures is that, under specific circumstances, it makes no difference to the level of aggregate demand if the government finances its outlays by debt or taxation. This so-called Ricardian equivalence states that, for a given expenditure path, substitution of debt for taxes does not affect private sector wealth and consumption. This paper provides a model illustrating the implications of Ricardian equivalence, surveys the litera-ture, considers effects of relaxing the basic assumptions, provides a frame-work to study implications of various extensions, and critically reviews recent empirical work on Ricardian equivalence.
Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Volatility in the Long-run Growth Process by : Simon Shui-Ming Wan
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Volatility in the Long-run Growth Process written by Simon Shui-Ming Wan and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico Publisher : ISBN 13 :9789291319626 Total Pages :0 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (196 download)
Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
