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Evaluating The Reliability Of Macroeconomic Models
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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models by : P. Fisher
Download or read book Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models written by P. Fisher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Book Synopsis Challenges for Macroeconomic Modelling by : W. Driehuis
Download or read book Challenges for Macroeconomic Modelling written by W. Driehuis and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects the revised and edited proceedings of the conference held in honour of the 50th anniversary of Professor Tinbergen's first macroeconomic policy model. Written by experts both in the field of model building and policy analysis, the contributions provide an invaluable overview of the state of the art and the use of macroeconomic models in our time.
Book Synopsis Evaluating the Reliability of Macroeconomic Models by : Gregory C. Chow
Download or read book Evaluating the Reliability of Macroeconomic Models written by Gregory C. Chow and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance by : Shu-Heng Chen
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-01-12 with total page 785 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance provides a survey of both the foundations of and recent advances in the frontiers of analysis and action. It is both historically and interdisciplinarily rich and also tightly connected to the rise of digital society. It begins with the conventional view of computational economics, including recent algorithmic development in computing rational expectations, volatility, and general equilibrium. It then moves from traditional computing in economics and finance to recent developments in natural computing, including applications of nature-inspired intelligence, genetic programming, swarm intelligence, and fuzzy logic. Also examined are recent developments of network and agent-based computing in economics. How these approaches are applied is examined in chapters on such subjects as trading robots and automated markets. The last part deals with the epistemology of simulation in its trinity form with the integration of simulation, computation, and dynamics. Distinctive is the focus on natural computationalism and the examination of the implications of intelligent machines for the future of computational economics and finance. Not merely individual robots, but whole integrated systems are extending their "immigration" to the world of Homo sapiens, or symbiogenesis.
Book Synopsis A Disequilibrium Model of Real and Financial Accumulation in an Open Economy by : Giancarlo Gandolfo
Download or read book A Disequilibrium Model of Real and Financial Accumulation in an Open Economy written by Giancarlo Gandolfo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the fourth version of a model that five years ago we set out to build and estimate along the lines of the continuous time approach clarified In chapter 1. Previous versions appeared in journal articles and conference proceedings, where the space is notoriously limited. Therefore we welcome the possibility of publishing a book-length treatment of this fourth version, so that we can describe its theoretical and empirical aspects in some detail. Although we have worked closely together and accept joint responsibility for the whole book, chs. 1 and 2 and appendix I have been written by G. Gandolfo, whilst chs. ] and 4 and appendix II have been written by P.c. Padoan. Different parts of this version of the model have been discussed In various lectures at the European University Institute (Florence) in 1984, In a seminar organized by the Bank of Italy (Sadiba, Perugia, Italy, February 16-18, 1984), in the second Viennese Workshop on Economic Applications of Control Theory (Vienna, May 16-18, 1984), and in the sixth annual Conference of the Society for Economic Dynamics and Control (Nice, France, June 13-15, 1984). In all of these we received helpful comments; similarly helpful were the comments of Clifford R .. Wymer, who, however, is absolved of any responsibility.
Book Synopsis Modelling Economic Series by : Clive William John Granger
Download or read book Modelling Economic Series written by Clive William John Granger and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a volume of readings for graduate students, especially those taking courses in applied econometrics, who need to learn how to evaluate the validity of present theories and techniques. The aim of the text is to aid readers in the difficult task of actually constructing models. The essays vary in the degree of technical sophistication used, but each paper intends to provide students with a sound knowledge of the practical difficulties of model specification, evaluation and interpretation, as well as advice on tackling these difficulties.
Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling by : Kenneth Frank Wallis
Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling written by Kenneth Frank Wallis and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'An excellent reference volume of this author's work, bringing together articles published over a 25 year span on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large scale macroeconomic modelling and the interface between them.' - Aslib Book Guide This major volume of essays by Kenneth F. Wallis features 28 articles published over a quarter of a century on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large-scale macroeconometric modelling, and the interface between them. The first part deals with time-series econometrics and includes significant early contributions to the development of the LSE tradition in time-series econometrics, which is the dominant British tradition and has considerable influence worldwide. Later sections discuss theoretical and practical issues in modelling seasonality and forecasting with applications in both large-scale and small-scale models. The final section summarizes the research programme of the ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau, a unique comparison project among economy-wide macroeconometric models.
Book Synopsis Routledge Library Editions: Econometrics by : Various
Download or read book Routledge Library Editions: Econometrics written by Various and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-01-15 with total page 5228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reissuing works originally published between 1929 and 1991, this collection of 17 volumes presents a variety of considerations on Econometrics, from introductions to specific research works on particular industries. With some volumes on models for macroeconomics and international economies, this is a widely interesting set of economic texts. Input/Output methods and databases are looked at in some volumes while others look at Bayesian techniques, linear and non-linear models. This set will be of use to those in industry and business studies, geography and sociology as well as politics and economics.
Book Synopsis A Companion to Economic Forecasting by : Michael P. Clements
Download or read book A Companion to Economic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 616 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Companion to Economic Forecasting provides an accessible and comprehensive account of recent developments in economic forecasting. Each of the chapters has been specially written by an expert in the field, bringing together in a single volume a range of contrasting approaches and views. Uniquely surveying forecasting in a single volume, the Companion provides a comprehensive account of the leading approaches and modeling strategies that are routinely employed.
Book Synopsis Filtering and Control of Macroeconomic Systems by : M.J.M. Rao
Download or read book Filtering and Control of Macroeconomic Systems written by M.J.M. Rao and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in computer technology, coupled with the sophistication of econometric modelling, have enabled rapid progress in the formulation and solution of optimal control and filtering programmes, especially in the sphere of macroeconomic policy designing. These developments in systems methodology have prompted the need for an interface between optimal control theory and dynamic macroeconomic analysis. The implications of this convergence have already aroused a great deal of research, but it remains to be seen whether policy makers in most developing countries will consider actually incorporating these techniques into planning. The author argues that control and systems theory can be of immense help in stabilizing those economies plagued by cyclical and structural problems. By demonstrating the applicability of control & filter theory to short-term macroeconomic planning, this book illuminates the impressive array of problems that can thereby be solved, and helps foster a closer working relationship between economists and control theorists. The work deals specifically with the construction of a Kalman filter mechanism, for deriving short-term optimal economic policies under conditions of uncertainty. It specifies and resolves a macroeconometric model which is linked to a unique observation sub-system of a given economy, congruent with the errors in information signalling which are prevalent within the data base context of most developing countries. An evaluation of control settings contrasts short and long-term economic policies. This indicates that an economy may `overheat' under protracted settings of instrument values around their optimal levels if the constraints on the system, in the form of external shocks, are too great to allow reaching all targets simultaneously using feasible instrument paths.
Book Synopsis Statistical Foundations of Econometric Modelling by : Aris Spanos
Download or read book Statistical Foundations of Econometric Modelling written by Aris Spanos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1986-10-30 with total page 722 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A thorough foundation in probability theory and statistical inference provides an introduction to the underlying theory of econometrics that motivates the student at a intuitive as well as a formal level.
Book Synopsis The Cambridge Multisectoral Dynamic Model by : Terry Barker
Download or read book The Cambridge Multisectoral Dynamic Model written by Terry Barker and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1987 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 1998 book presents the econometric analysis of single-equation and simultaneous-equation models in which the jointly dependent variables can be continuous, categorical, or truncated. Despite the traditional emphasis on continuous variables in econometrics, many of the economic variables encountered in practice are categorical (those for which a suitable category can be found but where no actual measurement exists) or truncated (those that can be observed only in certain range). Such variables are involved, for example, in models of occupational choice, choice of tenture in housing, and choice of type of schooling. Models with regulated prices and rationing and models for program evaluation also represent areas of application for the techniques presented by the author.
Book Synopsis Specification Analysis in the Linear Model by : Maxwell L. King
Download or read book Specification Analysis in the Linear Model written by Maxwell L. King and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-03-05 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1987. This collection of original papers deals with various issues of specification in the context of the linear statistical model. The volume honours the early econometric work of Donald Cochrane, late Dean of Economics and Politics at Monash University in Australia. The chapters focus on problems associated with autocorrelation of the error term in the linear regression model and include appraisals of early work on this topic by Cochrane and Orcutt. The book includes an extensive survey of autocorrelation tests; some exact finite-sample tests; and some issues in preliminary test estimation. A wide range of other specification issues is discussed, including the implications of random regressors for Bayesian prediction; modelling with joint conditional probability functions; and results from duality theory. There is a major survey chapter dealing with specification tests for non-nested models, and some of the applications discussed by the contributors deal with the British National Accounts and with Australian financial and housing markets.
Book Synopsis Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty by : Sean Holly
Download or read book Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty written by Sean Holly and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1989-07-20 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An examination of how the rational expectations revolution and game theory have enhanced the understanding of how an economy functions.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policy in Britain 1974-1987 by : Andrew J. Britton
Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy in Britain 1974-1987 written by Andrew J. Britton and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1994-09-29 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Arguing that there were important elements of continuity in the decisions of the Treasury and the Bank of England, this survey of macroeconomic policy in Britain contains a chronological account of policy actions that covers the most influential writings of economists during this period.
Book Synopsis Structural Equation Modeling by : David Kaplan
Download or read book Structural Equation Modeling written by David Kaplan and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2008-07-23 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using detailed, empirical examples, Structural Equation Modeling, Second Edition, presents a thorough and sophisticated treatment of the foundations of structural equation modeling (SEM). It also demonstrates how SEM can provide a unique lens on the problems social and behavioral scientists face. Intended Audience While the book assumes some knowledge and background in statistics, it guides readers through the foundations and critical assumptions of SEM in an easy-to-understand manner.
Book Synopsis Income Distribution in Macroeconomic Models by : Giuseppe Bertola
Download or read book Income Distribution in Macroeconomic Models written by Giuseppe Bertola and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-09-28 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book looks at the distribution of income and wealth and the effects that this has on the macroeconomy, and vice versa. Is a more equal distribution of income beneficial or harmful for macroeconomic growth, and how does the distribution of wealth evolve in a market economy? Taking stock of results and methods developed in the context of the 1990s revival of growth theory, the authors focus on capital accumulation and long-run growth. They show how rigorous, optimization-based technical tools can be applied, beyond the representative-agent framework of analysis, to account for realistic market imperfections and for political-economic interactions. The treatment is thorough, yet accessible to students and nonspecialist economists, and it offers specialist readers a wide-ranging and innovative treatment of an increasingly important research field. The book follows a single analytical thread through a series of different growth models, allowing readers to appreciate their structure and crucial assumptions. This is particularly useful at a time when the literature on income distribution and growth has developed quickly and in several different directions, becoming difficult to overview.
