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Author : Gregory C. Chow
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780608160115
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (61 download)
Download or read book Evaluating the Reliability of Macro-Economic Models written by Gregory C. Chow and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Gregory C. Chow
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (22 download)
Download or read book Evaluating the Reliability of Macroeconomic Models written by Gregory C. Chow and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : P. Fisher
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401580022
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)
Download or read book Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models written by P. Fisher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Author : Ray C. Fair
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780674831803
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Specification, Estimation, and Analysis of Macroeconometric Models written by Ray C. Fair and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 1984 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives a practical, applications-oriented account of the latest techniques for estimating and analyzing large, nonlinear macroeconomic models. Ray Fair demonstrates the application of these techniques in a detailed presentation of several actual models, including his United States model, his multicountry model, Sargent's classical macroeconomic model, autoregressive and vector autoregressive models, and a small (twelve equation) linear structural model. He devotes a good deal of attention to the difficult and often neglected problem of moving from theoretical to econometric models. In addition, he provides an extensive discussion of optimal control techniques and methods for estimating and analyzing rational expectations models. A computer program that handles all the techniques in the book is available from the author, making it possible to use the techniques with little additional programming. The book presents the logic of this program. A smaller program for personal microcomputers for analysis of Fair's United States model is available from Urban Systems Research & Engineering, Inc. Anyone wanting to learn how to use large macroeconomic models, including researchers, graduate students, economic forecasters, and people in business and government both in the United States and abroad, will find this an essential guidebook.
Author : W. Driehuis
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 148329451X
Total Pages : 500 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Challenges for Macroeconomic Modelling written by W. Driehuis and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects the revised and edited proceedings of the conference held in honour of the 50th anniversary of Professor Tinbergen's first macroeconomic policy model. Written by experts both in the field of model building and policy analysis, the contributions provide an invaluable overview of the state of the art and the use of macroeconomic models in our time.
Author : Giancarlo Gandolfo
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642954596
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (429 download)
Download or read book A Disequilibrium Model of Real and Financial Accumulation in an Open Economy written by Giancarlo Gandolfo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the fourth version of a model that five years ago we set out to build and estimate along the lines of the continuous time approach clarified In chapter 1. Previous versions appeared in journal articles and conference proceedings, where the space is notoriously limited. Therefore we welcome the possibility of publishing a book-length treatment of this fourth version, so that we can describe its theoretical and empirical aspects in some detail. Although we have worked closely together and accept joint responsibility for the whole book, chs. 1 and 2 and appendix I have been written by G. Gandolfo, whilst chs. ] and 4 and appendix II have been written by P.c. Padoan. Different parts of this version of the model have been discussed In various lectures at the European University Institute (Florence) in 1984, In a seminar organized by the Bank of Italy (Sadiba, Perugia, Italy, February 16-18, 1984), in the second Viennese Workshop on Economic Applications of Control Theory (Vienna, May 16-18, 1984), and in the sixth annual Conference of the Society for Economic Dynamics and Control (Nice, France, June 13-15, 1984). In all of these we received helpful comments; similarly helpful were the comments of Clifford R .. Wymer, who, however, is absolved of any responsibility.
Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349588024
Total Pages : 7493 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (495 download)
Download or read book The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics written by and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-18 with total page 7493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.
Author : Michael P. Clements
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 140517191X
Total Pages : 616 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (51 download)
Download or read book A Companion to Economic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 616 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Companion to Economic Forecasting provides an accessible and comprehensive account of recent developments in economic forecasting. Each of the chapters has been specially written by an expert in the field, bringing together in a single volume a range of contrasting approaches and views. Uniquely surveying forecasting in a single volume, the Companion provides a comprehensive account of the leading approaches and modeling strategies that are routinely employed.
Author : Frederick van Der Ploeg
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 148327036X
Total Pages : 649 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics written by Frederick van Der Ploeg and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-01 with total page 649 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics summarizes some of the efforts of a second-phase program for first-rate candidates with a Master's degree in economics who wish to continue with a doctoral degree in quantitative economics. This book is organized into three main topics—macroeconomics, microeconomics, and econometrics. This text specifically discusses the Neo-Keynesian macroeconomics in an open economy, international coordination of monetary policies under alternative exchange-rate regimes, and prospects for global trade imbalances. The post-war developments in labor economics, introduction to overlapping generation models, and measurement of expectations and direct tests of the REH are also elaborated. This monograph likewise covers the dynamic econometric modeling of decisions under uncertainty and fundamental bordered matrix of linear estimation. This publication is a good reference for students and specialists interested in quantitative economics.
Author : Clive William John Granger
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780198287360
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (873 download)
Download or read book Modelling Economic Series written by Clive William John Granger and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a volume of readings for graduate students, especially those taking courses in applied econometrics, who need to learn how to evaluate the validity of present theories and techniques. The aim of the text is to aid readers in the difficult task of actually constructing models. The essays vary in the degree of technical sophistication used, but each paper intends to provide students with a sound knowledge of the practical difficulties of model specification, evaluation and interpretation, as well as advice on tackling these difficulties.
Author : Alban William Housego Phillips
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521571359
Total Pages : 535 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (215 download)
Download or read book A. W. H. Phillips: Collected Works in Contemporary Perspective written by Alban William Housego Phillips and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-08-03 with total page 535 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Virtually all of contemporary macroeconomics is underpinned by a Phillips curve of one variety or another; yet most of this literature displays a curious neglect of the theoretical dynamic stabilisation perspective provided by A. W. H. Phillips. This 2000 volume collected for the first time the major work of one of the great economists, integrating Phillips's empirical work with his theoretical contribution. In addition to twelve substantive chapters, twenty-nine economists including Lawrence Klein, James Meade, Thomas Sargent, Peter Phillips, David Hendry, William Baumol, Richard Lipsey and Geoffrey Harcourt highlight and interpret Phillips's ongoing influence. This volume also contains six of Phillips's previously unpublished essays, four of which were thought to have been lost. The fifth such essay (Phillips's second empirical Phillips curve) was previously an informal working paper of which few copies circulated, and the sixth essay is a forerunner of the Lucas Critique written by Phillips shortly before his death.
Author : David Kaplan
Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 1483365875
Total Pages : 529 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)
Download or read book The SAGE Handbook of Quantitative Methodology for the Social Sciences written by David Kaplan and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2004-06-21 with total page 529 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Click ′Additional Materials′ for downloadable samples "The 24 chapters in this Handbook span a wide range of topics, presenting the latest quantitative developments in scaling theory, measurement, categorical data analysis, multilevel models, latent variable models, and foundational issues. Each chapter reviews the historical context for the topic and then describes current work, including illustrative examples where appropriate. The level of presentation throughout the book is detailed enough to convey genuine understanding without overwhelming the reader with technical material. Ample references are given for readers who wish to pursue topics in more detail. The book will appeal to both researchers who wish to update their knowledge of specific quantitative methods, and students who wish to have an integrated survey of state-of- the-art quantitative methods." —Roger E. Millsap, Arizona State University "This handbook discusses important methodological tools and topics in quantitative methodology in easy to understand language. It is an exhaustive review of past and recent advances in each topic combined with a detailed discussion of examples and graphical illustrations. It will be an essential reference for social science researchers as an introduction to methods and quantitative concepts of great use." —Irini Moustaki, London School of Economics, U.K. "David Kaplan and SAGE Publications are to be congratulated on the development of a new handbook on quantitative methods for the social sciences. The Handbook is more than a set of methodologies, it is a journey. This methodological journey allows the reader to experience scaling, tests and measurement, and statistical methodologies applied to categorical, multilevel, and latent variables. The journey concludes with a number of philosophical issues of interest to researchers in the social sciences. The new Handbook is a must purchase." —Neil H. Timm, University of Pittsburgh The SAGE Handbook of Quantitative Methodology for the Social Sciences is the definitive reference for teachers, students, and researchers of quantitative methods in the social sciences, as it provides a comprehensive overview of the major techniques used in the field. The contributors, top methodologists and researchers, have written about their areas of expertise in ways that convey the utility of their respective techniques, but, where appropriate, they also offer a fair critique of these techniques. Relevance to real-world problems in the social sciences is an essential ingredient of each chapter and makes this an invaluable resource. The handbook is divided into six sections: • Scaling • Testing and Measurement • Models for Categorical Data • Models for Multilevel Data • Models for Latent Variables • Foundational Issues These sections, comprising twenty-four chapters, address topics in scaling and measurement, advances in statistical modeling methodologies, and broad philosophical themes and foundational issues that transcend many of the quantitative methodologies covered in the book. The Handbook is indispensable to the teaching, study, and research of quantitative methods and will enable readers to develop a level of understanding of statistical techniques commensurate with the most recent, state-of-the-art, theoretical developments in the field. It provides the foundations for quantitative research, with cutting-edge insights on the effectiveness of each method, depending on the data and distinct research situation.
Author : Josef Gruber
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642516750
Total Pages : 629 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)
Download or read book Econometric Decision Models written by Josef Gruber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 629 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains a refereed selection of revised papers which were originally presented at the Second International Conference on Econometric Decision Models, University of Hagen (FernUni versitat). The conference was held in Haus Nordhelle, a meeting place in the mountainous area " Sauerland" , some 50 kilometers south of Hagen, on August 29 - September 1, 1989. Some details about this conference are given in the first paper, they need not be repeated here. The 40 papers included in this volume are organized in 10 "parts", shown in the table of contents. Included are such "fashionable" topics like "optimal control", "cointegration" and "rational expec tations models". In each part, the papers have been arranged alphabetically by author, unless there were good reasons for a different arrangement. To facilitate the decision making of the readers, all papers (except a few short ones) contain an abstract, a list of keywords and a table of contents. At the end of the proceedings volume, there is a list of authors. More than ten years ago, I began to organize meetings of econometricians, mainly called "seminar" or " colloquium". One major purpose of these meetings has always been to improve international cooperation of econometric model builders (and model users) from "the East" and "the West". Unprecedented changes to the better have taken place recently ("perestroika"). For a large fraction of participants from the Soviet Union, the 1989 conference was the first conference in a Western country.
Author : M.J.M. Rao
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483290077
Total Pages : 292 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Filtering and Control of Macroeconomic Systems written by M.J.M. Rao and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in computer technology, coupled with the sophistication of econometric modelling, have enabled rapid progress in the formulation and solution of optimal control and filtering programmes, especially in the sphere of macroeconomic policy designing. These developments in systems methodology have prompted the need for an interface between optimal control theory and dynamic macroeconomic analysis. The implications of this convergence have already aroused a great deal of research, but it remains to be seen whether policy makers in most developing countries will consider actually incorporating these techniques into planning. The author argues that control and systems theory can be of immense help in stabilizing those economies plagued by cyclical and structural problems. By demonstrating the applicability of control & filter theory to short-term macroeconomic planning, this book illuminates the impressive array of problems that can thereby be solved, and helps foster a closer working relationship between economists and control theorists. The work deals specifically with the construction of a Kalman filter mechanism, for deriving short-term optimal economic policies under conditions of uncertainty. It specifies and resolves a macroeconometric model which is linked to a unique observation sub-system of a given economy, congruent with the errors in information signalling which are prevalent within the data base context of most developing countries. An evaluation of control settings contrasts short and long-term economic policies. This indicates that an economy may `overheat' under protracted settings of instrument values around their optimal levels if the constraints on the system, in the form of external shocks, are too great to allow reaching all targets simultaneously using feasible instrument paths.
Author : Kenneth Frank Wallis
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781782541622
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (416 download)
Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling written by Kenneth Frank Wallis and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'An excellent reference volume of this author's work, bringing together articles published over a 25 year span on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large scale macroeconomic modelling and the interface between them.' - Aslib Book Guide This major volume of essays by Kenneth F. Wallis features 28 articles published over a quarter of a century on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large-scale macroeconometric modelling, and the interface between them. The first part deals with time-series econometrics and includes significant early contributions to the development of the LSE tradition in time-series econometrics, which is the dominant British tradition and has considerable influence worldwide. Later sections discuss theoretical and practical issues in modelling seasonality and forecasting with applications in both large-scale and small-scale models. The final section summarizes the research programme of the ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau, a unique comparison project among economy-wide macroeconometric models.
Author : Antonio Aznar Grasa
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401713588
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Econometric Model Selection written by Antonio Aznar Grasa and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a new methodology for the selection of one (model) from among a set of alternative econometric models. Let us recall that a model is an abstract representation of reality which brings out what is relevant to a particular economic issue. An econometric model is also an analytical characterization of the joint probability distribution of some random variables of interest, which yields some information on how the actual economy works. This information will be useful only if it is accurate and precise; that is, the information must be far from ambiguous and close to what we observe in the real world Thus, model selection should be performed on the basis of statistics which summarize the degree of accuracy and precision of each model. A model is accurate if it predicts right; it is precise if it produces tight confidence intervals. A first general approach to model selection includes those procedures based on both characteristics, precision and accuracy. A particularly interesting example of this approach is that of Hildebrand, Laing and Rosenthal (1980). See also Hendry and Richard (1982). A second general approach includes those procedures that use only one of the two dimensions to discriminate among models. In general, most of the tests we are going to examine correspond to this category.
Author : L. G. Godfrey
Publisher : Manchester University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780719032745
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (327 download)
Download or read book The Implementation and Constructive Use of Misspecification Tests in Econometrics written by L. G. Godfrey and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on 1992 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a collection of papers co-authored by members of the Department of Economics and Related Studies and the Institute for Research in the Social Sciences at the University of York, which deals with methods for calculating asymptotically valid tests for use with samples of the size available in empirical economics. The papers also address the scope for using test statistics to determine the nature of specification errors and for providing suitable corrections to estimates or parameters.
