Estimators Based On Time Series

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Recursive Estimation and Time-Series Analysis

Author : Peter C. Young
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642219810
Total Pages : 505 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Recursive Estimation and Time-Series Analysis by : Peter C. Young

Download or read book Recursive Estimation and Time-Series Analysis written by Peter C. Young and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-04 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a revised version of the 1984 book of the same name but considerably modified and enlarged to accommodate the developments in recursive estimation and time series analysis that have occurred over the last quarter century. Also over this time, the CAPTAIN Toolbox for recursive estimation and time series analysis has been developed at Lancaster, for use in the MatlabTM software environment (see Appendix G). Consequently, the present version of the book is able to exploit the many computational routines that are contained in this widely available Toolbox, as well as some of the other routines in MatlabTM and its other toolboxes. The book is an introductory one on the topic of recursive estimation and it demonstrates how this approach to estimation, in its various forms, can be an impressive aid to the modelling of stochastic, dynamic systems. It is intended for undergraduate or Masters students who wish to obtain a grounding in this subject; or for practitioners in industry who may have heard of topics dealt with in this book and, while they want to know more about them, may have been deterred by the rather esoteric nature of some books in this challenging area of study.

Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models

Author : Daniel Straumann
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540269789
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models by : Daniel Straumann

Download or read book Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models written by Daniel Straumann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-01-27 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his seminal 1982 paper, Robert F. Engle described a time series model with a time-varying volatility. Engle showed that this model, which he called ARCH (autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic), is well-suited for the description of economic and financial price. Nowadays ARCH has been replaced by more general and more sophisticated models, such as GARCH (generalized autoregressive heteroscedastic). This monograph concentrates on mathematical statistical problems associated with fitting conditionally heteroscedastic time series models to data. This includes the classical statistical issues of consistency and limiting distribution of estimators. Particular attention is addressed to (quasi) maximum likelihood estimation and misspecified models, along to phenomena due to heavy-tailed innovations. The used methods are based on techniques applied to the analysis of stochastic recurrence equations. Proofs and arguments are given wherever possible in full mathematical rigour. Moreover, the theory is illustrated by examples and simulation studies.

Recursive Estimation and Time-Series Analysis

Author : Peter C. Young
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364282336X
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (428 download)

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Book Synopsis Recursive Estimation and Time-Series Analysis by : Peter C. Young

Download or read book Recursive Estimation and Time-Series Analysis written by Peter C. Young and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book has grown out of a set of lecture notes prepared originally for a NATO Summer School on "The Theory and Practice of Systems ModelLing and Identification" held between the 17th and 28th July, 1972 at the Ecole Nationale Superieure de L'Aeronautique et de L'Espace. Since this time I have given similar lecture courses in the Control Division of the Engineering Department, University of Cambridge; Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Western Australia; the University of Ghent, Belgium (during the time I held the IBM Visiting Chair in Simulation for the month of January, 1980), the Australian National University, and the Agricultural University, Wageningen, the Netherlands. As a result, I am grateful to all the reci pients of these lecture courses for their help in refining the book to its present form; it is still far from perfect but I hope that it will help the student to become acquainted with the interesting and practically useful concept of recursive estimation. Furthermore, I hope it will stimulate the reader to further study the theoretical aspects of the subject, which are not dealt with in detail in the present text. The book is primarily intended to provide an introductory set of lecture notes on the subject of recursive estimation to undergraduate/Masters students. However, the book can also be considered as a "theoretical background" handbook for use with the CAPTAIN Computer Package.

Generalized Method of Moments Estimation

Author : Laszlo Matyas
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521669672
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (696 download)

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Book Synopsis Generalized Method of Moments Estimation by : Laszlo Matyas

Download or read book Generalized Method of Moments Estimation written by Laszlo Matyas and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-04-13 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation has emerged as providing a ready to use, flexible tool of application to a large number of econometric and economic models by relying on mild, plausible assumptions. The principal objective of this volume is to offer a complete presentation of the theory of GMM estimation as well as insights into the use of these methods in empirical studies. It is also designed to serve as a unified framework for teaching estimation theory in econometrics. Contributors to the volume include well-known authorities in the field based in North America, the UK/Europe, and Australia. The work is likely to become a standard reference for graduate students and professionals in economics, statistics, financial modeling, and applied mathematics.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Author : Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475725264
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by : Peter J. Brockwell

Download or read book Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting written by Peter J. Brockwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Econometric Modelling with Time Series

Author : Vance Martin
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521139813
Total Pages : 925 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (211 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Modelling with Time Series by : Vance Martin

Download or read book Econometric Modelling with Time Series written by Vance Martin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 925 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Maximum likelihood estimation is a general method for estimating the parameters of econometric models from observed data. The principle of maximum likelihood plays a central role in the exposition of this book, since a number of estimators used in econometrics can be derived within this framework. Examples include ordinary least squares, generalized least squares and full-information maximum likelihood. In deriving the maximum likelihood estimator, a key concept is the joint probability density function (pdf) of the observed random variables, yt. Maximum likelihood estimation requires that the following conditions are satisfied. (1) The form of the joint pdf of yt is known. (2) The specification of the moments of the joint pdf are known. (3) The joint pdf can be evaluated for all values of the parameters, 9. Parts ONE and TWO of this book deal with models in which all these conditions are satisfied. Part THREE investigates models in which these conditions are not satisfied and considers four important cases. First, if the distribution of yt is misspecified, resulting in both conditions 1 and 2 being violated, estimation is by quasi-maximum likelihood (Chapter 9). Second, if condition 1 is not satisfied, a generalized method of moments estimator (Chapter 10) is required. Third, if condition 2 is not satisfied, estimation relies on nonparametric methods (Chapter 11). Fourth, if condition 3 is violated, simulation-based estimation methods are used (Chapter 12). 1.2 Motivating Examples To highlight the role of probability distributions in maximum likelihood estimation, this section emphasizes the link between observed sample data and 4 The Maximum Likelihood Principle the probability distribution from which they are drawn"-- publisher.

Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods

Author : James Durbin
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191627194
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods by : James Durbin

Download or read book Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods written by James Durbin and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2012-05-03 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edition updates Durbin & Koopman's important text on the state space approach to time series analysis. The distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that observations are regarded as made up of distinct components such as trend, seasonal, regression elements and disturbance terms, each of which is modelled separately. The techniques that emerge from this approach are very flexible and are capable of handling a much wider range of problems than the main analytical system currently in use for time series analysis, the Box-Jenkins ARIMA system. Additions to this second edition include the filtering of nonlinear and non-Gaussian series. Part I of the book obtains the mean and variance of the state, of a variable intended to measure the effect of an interaction and of regression coefficients, in terms of the observations. Part II extends the treatment to nonlinear and non-normal models. For these, analytical solutions are not available so methods are based on simulation.

Nonparametric Curve Estimation from Time Series

Author : Lazlo Györfi
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 146123686X
Total Pages : 157 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonparametric Curve Estimation from Time Series by : Lazlo Györfi

Download or read book Nonparametric Curve Estimation from Time Series written by Lazlo Györfi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-12-21 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Because of the sheer size and scope of the plastics industry, the title Developments in Plastics Technology now covers an incredibly wide range of subjects or topics. No single volume can survey the whole field in any depth and what follows is, therefore, a series of chapters on selected topics. The topics were selected by us, the editors, because of their immediate relevance to the plastics industry. When one considers the advancements of the plastics processing machinery (in terms of its speed of operation and conciseness of control), it was felt that several chapters should be included which related to the types of control systems used and the correct usage of hydraulics. The importance of using cellular, rubber-modified and engineering-type plastics has had a major impact on the plastics industry and therefore a chapter on each of these subjects has been included. The two remaining chapters are on the characterisation and behaviour of polymer structures, both subjects again being of current academic or industrial interest. Each of the contributions was written by a specialist in that field and to them all, we, the editors, extend our heartfelt thanks, as writing a contribution for a book such as this, while doing a full-time job, is no easy task.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

Author : Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521405737
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter by : Andrew C. Harvey

Download or read book Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter written by Andrew C. Harvey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A synthesis of concepts and materials, that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presents a comprehensive review of theoretical and applied concepts in modeling economic and social time series.

Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods

Author : William W. S. Wei
Publisher : Pearson
ISBN 13 : 9780134995366
Total Pages : 648 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods by : William W. S. Wei

Download or read book Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods written by William W. S. Wei and published by Pearson. This book was released on 2018-03-14 with total page 648 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With its broad coverage of methodology, this comprehensive book is a useful learning and reference tool for those in applied sciences where analysis and research of time series is useful. Its plentiful examples show the operational details and purpose of a variety of univariate and multivariate time series methods. Numerous figures, tables and real-life time series data sets illustrate the models and methods useful for analyzing, modeling, and forecasting data collected sequentially in time. The text also offers a balanced treatment between theory and applications. Time Series Analysis is a thorough introduction to both time-domain and frequency-domain analyses of univariate and multivariate time series methods, with coverage of the most recently developed techniques in the field.

Statistical Portfolio Estimation

Author : Masanobu Taniguchi
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466505613
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Portfolio Estimation by : Masanobu Taniguchi

Download or read book Statistical Portfolio Estimation written by Masanobu Taniguchi and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-01 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The composition of portfolios is one of the most fundamental and important methods in financial engineering, used to control the risk of investments. This book provides a comprehensive overview of statistical inference for portfolios and their various applications. A variety of asset processes are introduced, including non-Gaussian stationary processes, nonlinear processes, non-stationary processes, and the book provides a framework for statistical inference using local asymptotic normality (LAN). The approach is generalized for portfolio estimation, so that many important problems can be covered. This book can primarily be used as a reference by researchers from statistics, mathematics, finance, econometrics, and genomics. It can also be used as a textbook by senior undergraduate and graduate students in these fields.

Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Author : Jan G. De Gooijer
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319432524
Total Pages : 626 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by : Jan G. De Gooijer

Download or read book Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting written by Jan G. De Gooijer and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-03-30 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of the current state-of-the-art of nonlinear time series analysis, richly illustrated with examples, pseudocode algorithms and real-world applications. Avoiding a “theorem-proof” format, it shows concrete applications on a variety of empirical time series. The book can be used in graduate courses in nonlinear time series and at the same time also includes interesting material for more advanced readers. Though it is largely self-contained, readers require an understanding of basic linear time series concepts, Markov chains and Monte Carlo simulation methods. The book covers time-domain and frequency-domain methods for the analysis of both univariate and multivariate (vector) time series. It makes a clear distinction between parametric models on the one hand, and semi- and nonparametric models/methods on the other. This offers the reader the option of concentrating exclusively on one of these nonlinear time series analysis methods. To make the book as user friendly as possible, major supporting concepts and specialized tables are appended at the end of every chapter. In addition, each chapter concludes with a set of key terms and concepts, as well as a summary of the main findings. Lastly, the book offers numerous theoretical and empirical exercises, with answers provided by the author in an extensive solutions manual.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Author : Rob J Hyndman
Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Introductory Time Series with R

Author : Paul S.P. Cowpertwait
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387886982
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (878 download)

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Book Synopsis Introductory Time Series with R by : Paul S.P. Cowpertwait

Download or read book Introductory Time Series with R written by Paul S.P. Cowpertwait and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-28 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives you a step-by-step introduction to analysing time series using the open source software R. Each time series model is motivated with practical applications, and is defined in mathematical notation. Once the model has been introduced it is used to generate synthetic data, using R code, and these generated data are then used to estimate its parameters. This sequence enhances understanding of both the time series model and the R function used to fit the model to data. Finally, the model is used to analyse observed data taken from a practical application. By using R, the whole procedure can be reproduced by the reader. All the data sets used in the book are available on the website http://staff.elena.aut.ac.nz/Paul-Cowpertwait/ts/. The book is written for undergraduate students of mathematics, economics, business and finance, geography, engineering and related disciplines, and postgraduate students who may need to analyse time series as part of their taught programme or their research.

Applied Time Series Analysis with R

Author : Wayne A. Woodward
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498734278
Total Pages : 635 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Time Series Analysis with R by : Wayne A. Woodward

Download or read book Applied Time Series Analysis with R written by Wayne A. Woodward and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 635 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics closing prices of stocks, the cost of money, the jobless rate, and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested, Applied Time Series Analysis with R, Second Edition includes examples across a variety of fields, develops theory, and provides an R-based software package to aid in addressing time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The material is organized in an optimal format for graduate students in statistics as well as in the natural and social sciences to learn to use and understand the tools of applied time series analysis. Features Gives readers the ability to actually solve significant real-world problems Addresses many types of nonstationary time series and cutting-edge methodologies Promotes understanding of the data and associated models rather than viewing it as the output of a "black box" Provides the R package tswge available on CRAN which contains functions and over 100 real and simulated data sets to accompany the book. Extensive help regarding the use of tswge functions is provided in appendices and on an associated website. Over 150 exercises and extensive support for instructors The second edition includes additional real-data examples, uses R-based code that helps students easily analyze data, generate realizations from models, and explore the associated characteristics. It also adds discussion of new advances in the analysis of long memory data and data with time-varying frequencies (TVF).

Good practices in sample-based area estimation

Author : Jonckheere, I.
Publisher : Food & Agriculture Org.
ISBN 13 : 9251385319
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (513 download)

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Book Synopsis Good practices in sample-based area estimation by : Jonckheere, I.

Download or read book Good practices in sample-based area estimation written by Jonckheere, I. and published by Food & Agriculture Org.. This book was released on 2024-02-14 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation, and the role of conservation, sustainable management of forests and enhancement of forest carbon stocks in developing countries (REDD+), as well as greenhouse gas reporting for the agriculture, forestry and other land use sector, requires land use changes to be characterized to estimate the associated greenhouse gas emissions or absorptions. It is becoming increasingly common to generate these estimates using sample-based area estimation (SBAE). This technique has been widely used in recent years in the generation of activity data – particularly for estimating areas of deforestation – for REDD+ measuring, reporting and verification. However, implementing countries and agencies have repeatedly highlighted the lack of guidance on how to address certain frequently encountered issues with this approach. This paper seeks to enable donors, academia, and countries that currently use or want to use SBAE for generating activity data for REDD+ or for other national or international reporting purposes, to delve into current good practice and existing literature, as well as gain a better understanding of the most pressing research needs in the area. The paper moreover will give non-experts an overview of area estimation, as well as its applications and limitations. Published by FAO with the collaborative support of several partners in the Global Forest Observations Initiative (GFOI), the World Bank and the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, the paper is expected to contribute to improved forest data.

Applied Econometrics with R

Author : Christian Kleiber
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387773185
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Econometrics with R by : Christian Kleiber

Download or read book Applied Econometrics with R written by Christian Kleiber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-10 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: R is a language and environment for data analysis and graphics. It may be considered an implementation of S, an award-winning language initially - veloped at Bell Laboratories since the late 1970s. The R project was initiated by Robert Gentleman and Ross Ihaka at the University of Auckland, New Zealand, in the early 1990s, and has been developed by an international team since mid-1997. Historically, econometricians have favored other computing environments, some of which have fallen by the wayside, and also a variety of packages with canned routines. We believe that R has great potential in econometrics, both for research and for teaching. There are at least three reasons for this: (1) R is mostly platform independent and runs on Microsoft Windows, the Mac family of operating systems, and various ?avors of Unix/Linux, and also on some more exotic platforms. (2) R is free software that can be downloaded and installed at no cost from a family of mirror sites around the globe, the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN); hence students can easily install it on their own machines. (3) R is open-source software, so that the full source code is available and can be inspected to understand what it really does, learn from it, and modify and extend it. We also like to think that platform independence and the open-source philosophy make R an ideal environment for reproducible econometric research.