Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475515383
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output by : Ding Ding

Download or read book Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output written by Ding Ding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-11 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we present various techniques to estimate Sri Lanka’s potential output and output gap, including statistical and model-based approaches. Compared to conventional statistical filters that rely exclusively on information in a single series, the model-based approaches allow potential output estimates to incorporate information contained in observable data series including inflation, actual output, unemployment and capacity utilization. The estimation results suggest that Sri Lanka’s potential output has risen slightly in the last few years.

Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484333934
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output by : Ding Ding

Download or read book Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output written by Ding Ding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-11 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we present various techniques to estimate Sri Lanka’s potential output and output gap, including statistical and model-based approaches. Compared to conventional statistical filters that rely exclusively on information in a single series, the model-based approaches allow potential output estimates to incorporate information contained in observable data series including inflation, actual output, unemployment and capacity utilization. The estimation results suggest that Sri Lanka’s potential output has risen slightly in the last few years.

Sri Lanka

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484305183
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Sri Lanka by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Download or read book Sri Lanka written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-05-16 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper discusses the economic developments and policies in Sri Lanka in recent years. Substantial adjustments in energy prices and operational and financial reforms have helped to improve the performance of state owned enterprises (SOEs) and have reduced the burden on the budget and the banking system. Despite challenging global and domestic market conditions, overall soundness of the financial sector has improved with higher levels of capital, liquidity, and healthy earnings. The Sri Lankan economy is expected to return to a high growth trajectory, though conditional on recovery in external demand.

Global Economic Prospects, January 2018

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464812454
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Economic Prospects, January 2018 by : World Bank Group

Download or read book Global Economic Prospects, January 2018 written by World Bank Group and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2018-01-26 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy is in a broad-based cyclical recovery. Investment, manufacturing and trade are on the rebound. Financing conditions are benign, monetary policies are generally accommodative, and the worst impacts of the recent commodity price collapse have begun to dissipate. However, the global economic outlook remains clouded by a number of risks. These include the possibility of financial market disruptions, rising protectionist sentiment, and heightened geopolitical tensions. Of particular concern is evidence of subdued productivity and slowing potential growth. In addition to discussing global and regional economic developments and prospects, this edition of Global Economic Prospects includes a chapter on the causes of the broad-based slowing of potential growth and suggests remedies. The report also contains Special Focus sections on the impact of the 2014-2016 oil price collapse and the relationship between education demographics and global inequality. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing countries, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). The January edition includes in-depth analyses of topical policy challenges faced by these economies, while the June edition contains shorter analytical pieces.

Sri Lanka

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451823592
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Sri Lanka by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Sri Lanka written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-12-03 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper on Sri Lanka underlies the dynamics of growth and external competitiveness. The slowdown in the contribution of sectors that are labor intensive, together with faster growth in sectors that are capital intensive and have higher productivity levels, resulted in total factor productivity (TFP) as the main contributor to growth. Sri Lanka’s strong growth performance has brought positive benefits to the economy and has benefited from a high quality labor force. The labor productivity is low by regional standards and the internal terms of trade are skewed toward the nontraded sector.

Sri Lanka: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Sri Lanka

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 95 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Sri Lanka: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Sri Lanka by : International Monetary

Download or read book Sri Lanka: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Sri Lanka written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-03-25 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: COVID-19 severely hit the economy, causing a loss of tourism receipts and necessitating several strict lockdowns. Pre-pandemic tax cuts and the impact of COVID-19 led to fiscal deficits larger than 10 percent of GDP in 2020 and 2021 and a rapid increase in public debt to 119 percent of GDP in 2021. Sri Lanka’s access to international capital markets was lost in 2020, prompting a decline of international reserves to critically low levels and large-scale direct lending to the government by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL). External debt repayments and a widening current account deficit have led to foreign exchange (FX) shortages, while the official exchange rate has been de facto fixed since April 2021. Inflation is on the rise, reaching double digits in December 2021, reflecting imported inflation, supply shocks, and a pickup in domestic demand amid loose monetary policy.

Research Bulletin, June 2014

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498320791
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Research Bulletin, June 2014 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book Research Bulletin, June 2014 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-09 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Articles in the June 2014 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin look at “The Rise and Fall of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics” (Joong Shik Kang and Jay C. Shambaugh) and “The Two Sides of the Same Coin?: Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China” (Il Houng Lee, Murtaza Syed, and Xin Wang). The Q&A looks at “Seven Questions on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income Countries” (Andrew Berg, Luisa Charry, Rafael A. Portillo, and Jan Vleck). This issue of the Research Bulletin includes updated listings of IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore. Readers can also find information on free access to a featured article from “IMF Economic Review.”

An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484361512
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka by : Chandranath Amarasekara

Download or read book An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka written by Chandranath Amarasekara and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-25 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study documents a semi-structural model developed for Sri Lanka. This model, extended with a fiscal sector block, is expected to serve as a core forecasting model in the process of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka’s move towards flexible inflation targeting. The model includes a forward-looking endogenous interest rate and foreign exchange rate policy rules allowing for flexible change in policy behavior. It is a gap model that allows for simultaneous identification of business cycle position and long-term equilibrium. The model was first calibrated and then its data-fit was improved using Bayesian estimation technique with relatively tight priors.

The Sri Lankan Economy

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Author :
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292579746
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis The Sri Lankan Economy by : Prema-chandra Athukorala

Download or read book The Sri Lankan Economy written by Prema-chandra Athukorala and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2017-10-01 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a pivotal period in Sri Lanka's economic development. The end of conflict opens a door for accelerated economic growth and poverty reduction. Reform is needed to regain momentum because fiscal imbalances and rising public debt could jeopardize macroeconomic stability. The economy would benefit from significant trade and commercial policy reform. The labor market suffers from sluggish growth of formal sector employment and from skills mismatches, which can be addressed by changes in education policy and systems. The book analyzes these and related critical constraints on the Sri Lankan economy, and proposes a set of policy reforms that would lay the foundations for more rapid and inclusive development.

Indian Journal of Economics

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Indian Journal of Economics by :

Download or read book Indian Journal of Economics written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Programming and Policy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557755797
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (557 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Programming and Policy by : S. Rajcoomar

Download or read book Financial Programming and Policy written by S. Rajcoomar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-05-26 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, by a staff team in the IMF Institute, contains a series of workshops that introduce the process of formulating a hypothetical macroeconomic and structural adjustment program, which is a central element in the financial programming courses offered by the IMF Institute. In addition to elaborating key concepts for the four major sectoral accounts, the workshops are designed to allow the development of a step by step reference scenario for Sri Lanka.

Asian Development Outlook 2016

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Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292573861
Total Pages : 637 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Asian Development Outlook 2016 by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book Asian Development Outlook 2016 written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2016-03-01 with total page 637 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The annual Asian Development Outlook analyzes economic performance in the past year and offers forecasts for the next 2 years for the 45 economies in Asia and the Pacific that make up developing Asia. Global headwinds notwithstanding, developing Asia will continue to contribute 60% of world growth. Modest recovery in Southeast Asia and sustained growth in India will partly offset continued moderation in the People's Republic of China and associated spillover into neighboring economies. Risks to the growth outlook tilt to the downside: future US interest rate hikes that may intensify global financial volatility, a sharper-than-forecast growth slowdown in the People's Republic of China that would hurt regional exports and growth, emerging producer price deflation that may undermine growth in some economies, tepid prices for oil and other commodities, and El Niño. This edition highlights the need to invigorate developing Asia's potential growth, whose decline since its 2007 peak explains much of the region's growth slowdown since the global financial crisis. To ensure a healthy future for potential growth, Asia must employ the full range of policy responses to augment labor supply, improve labor productivity, enhance institutional quality, and maintain macroeconomic stability.

Towards Inflation Targeting in Sri Lanka

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455226076
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Towards Inflation Targeting in Sri Lanka by : Rahul Anand

Download or read book Towards Inflation Targeting in Sri Lanka written by Rahul Anand and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support a transition to an inflation forecast targeting regime in Sri Lanka. The FPAS model provides a relatively good forecast for inflation and a framework to evaluate policy trade-offs. The model simulations suggest that an open-economy inflation targeting rule can reduce macroeconomic volatility and anchor inflationary expectations given the size and type of shocks faced by the economy. Sri Lanka could aim to target a broad inflation range initially due to its susceptibility supply-side shocks while enhancing exchange rate flexibility and strengthening the effectiveness of monetary policy in the transition to an inflation forecast targeting regime.

Estimation and Use of the Potential GDP for Monetary Policy for the SEACEN Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation and Use of the Potential GDP for Monetary Policy for the SEACEN Countries by : Vincent Lim

Download or read book Estimation and Use of the Potential GDP for Monetary Policy for the SEACEN Countries written by Vincent Lim and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

South Asia Economic Update October, 2020

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464816409
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis South Asia Economic Update October, 2020 by : World Bank

Download or read book South Asia Economic Update October, 2020 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2020-10-08 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic, which is still impacting South Asia, has temporarily brought the region to a near standstill. Governments proactively stabilized activity through monetary easing, fiscal stimulus, and supportive financial regulation, but the situation is fragile amid weak buffers and exhausted policy tools. South Asia’s GDP is expected to contract 7.7 percent this year, by far the largest decline on record, but uncertainty around the forecast is substantial. The informal economy in South Asia has been hit hard. Many unorganized workers, self-employed people and microenterprises have experienced a large drop in earnings as the service sectors that were affected most by the lockdowns are dominated by informality. Informal workers and firms tend to have inadequate mechanisms for coping with short-term demand and supply interruptions due to limited savings and constrained access to finance. While the poor have suffered severely during the crisis, many informal workers in the middle of the income distribution have experienced the greatest drop in earnings. Most of them are not covered by social insurance. The crisis lays bare complicated structural problems in the informal sector that need to be addressed.

Market, Regulations and Finance

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 8132217950
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (322 download)

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Book Synopsis Market, Regulations and Finance by : Ratan Khasnabis

Download or read book Market, Regulations and Finance written by Ratan Khasnabis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-03-18 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume’s primary contribution to the field of Economics is that it addresses the issue of inter-linkages between money, finance and macroeconomics with a broad analytical perspective that has commonality with the Post-Keynesians. In an attempt to assess the consequences of economic reforms and the fallout of the global financial crisis on India and the world around, the book argues that with the onset of the crisis, as in most advanced economies, debates and discussions in India have been concerned with three main issues: monetary policy and asset prices, financial stability, and macro-prudential regulation. Three related issues which are also considered important in the Indian context are – rule vs. principle-based supervision, integrated financial supervision, and regulatory and supervisory independence. The book argues that the crisis highlighted the inadequacies of macro-prudential regulatory structure which mainly addresses idiosyncratic risks specific to individual financial institutions. The crisis precipitated an extensive debate on the role of national regulatory and supervisory authorities in crisis prevention and crisis management via macro-prudential regulations which involves a general equilibrium approach to regulation aiming at safeguarding the financial system as a whole. The book then argues that the crisis led to a paradigm shift in macroeconomic theory and policy. This shift has been categorized into four specific areas: monetary policy, financial regulation, corporate governance, and globalization. The book analyses how the characteristics of each of these four categories have changed from the pre-crisis to the post-crisis situation. The book also delves into the phenomenon of rising global commodity prices post-crisis. The book also deals with an analysis of the impact of this crisis on employment in the US economy, by simulating a macroeconomic model developed by the Cambridge Department of Applied Economics in the 1980s.

Sri Lanka

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513518976
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Sri Lanka by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Download or read book Sri Lanka written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-04 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses Sri Lanka’s Sixth Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility and Request for Waiver of Nonobservance and Modification of Performance Criterion. The Sri Lankan economy is gradually recovering from the impact of the Easter Sunday terrorist attacks. Growth is projected to strengthen to 3.5 percent in 2020, from 2.7 percent in 2019, as tourist arrivals and related activities gradually recover. Sustaining fiscal policy discipline remains critical to strengthen resilience and support growth, as important downside risks remain, amid heightened external and domestic uncertainty. The Sri Lankan economy is gradually recovering, supported by the authorities’ security and policy efforts to mitigate the impact of the attacks. Nevertheless, the economy remains vulnerable to shocks, given high public debt and low external buffers, with higher downside risks since the attacks, amid heightened external and domestic uncertainty. Sustained policy discipline and efforts to rebuild reserve buffers remain critical to address Sri Lanka’s vulnerabilities and strengthen the economy’s resilience, while supporting investment and growth.