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Estimates Of The Trade And Welfare Effects Of Nafta
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Book Synopsis Estimates of the Trade and Welfare Effects of NAFTA by : Lorenzo Caliendo
Download or read book Estimates of the Trade and Welfare Effects of NAFTA written by Lorenzo Caliendo and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We build into a Ricardian model sectoral linkages and differing productivity levels across sectors to understand how the gains from tariff reductions in a given sector spread to the rest of the economy. We also propose a new method to estimate sectoral trade elasticities consistent with any trade model that delivers a gravity trade equation. We apply our model and use our estimated elasticities to identify the impact of NAFTA's tariff reductions on exports and imports of all members. We find that the trade and welfare effects of tariff reductions are reduced by more than 40% when the structure of production does not take into account intermediate goods in production and input-output linkages. We then decompose the effects of tariff changes for NAFTA members and find that 93% of Mexico's, 58% of Canada's and 55% of the United States' trade effects due to tariff reductions can be attributed to NAFTA's tariff reductions.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements by : Aaditya Mattoo
Download or read book Handbook of Deep Trade Agreements written by Aaditya Mattoo and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2020-09-23 with total page 768 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Deep trade agreements (DTAs) cover not just trade but additional policy areas, such as international flows of investment and labor and the protection of intellectual property rights and the environment. Their goal is integration beyond trade or deep integration. These agreements matter for economic development. Their rules influence how countries (and hence, the people and firms that live and operate within them) transact, invest, work, and ultimately, develop. Trade and investment regimes determine the extent of economic integration, competition rules affect economic efficiency, intellectual property rights matter for innovation, and environmental and labor rules contribute to environmental and social outcomes. This Handbook provides the tools and data needed to analyze these new dimensions of integration and to assess the content and consequences of DTAs. The Handbook and the accompanying database are the result of collaboration between experts in different policy areas from academia and other international organizations, including the International Trade Centre (ITC), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), and World Trade Organization (WTO).
Book Synopsis Benefits and Costs of Regional Integration: The Impact of NAFTA on the Mexican Economy by : Karl-Guenther Illing
Download or read book Benefits and Costs of Regional Integration: The Impact of NAFTA on the Mexican Economy written by Karl-Guenther Illing and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2004-04-20 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diploma Thesis from the year 2004 in the subject Economics - Foreign Trade Theory, Trade Policy, grade: 1,3 (A), European Business School - International University Schloß Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel (Economic Policy and Political Economy), language: English, abstract: In January 1994, after two and a half years of negotiation, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) came into force. The treaty between Canada, Mexico and the United States has created the largest economic area in the world, slightly surpassing the European Union in market size. But NAFTA is also outstanding in a second aspect: it has constituted the first major regional integration arrangement between two highly developed countries, the United States and Canada, and a developing country, Mexico. The North-South nature of North American integration has polarized the debate about NAFTA from the earliest stage on. On the one hand it was unclear how much the U.S. would gain from the agreement. Would it stabilize its southern neighbor and thus benefit the U.S. economically and politically? Or would it cause the “giant sucking sound” Ross Perot feared, drawing thousands of jobs from the U.S. over the border (Thorbecke/Eigen-Zucchi 2002, p. 648)? Regarding these concerns, Canada was at most a side-player, possessing neither intense trade relations nor geographical proximity to Mexico. Mexico’s gains from NAFTA, on the other hand, seemed even more unsure. The agreement’s effects on the southern member state, whether positive or negative, were expected to be unequally greater than on the U.S. On the one hand, it seemed, Mexico could gain immensely through improved access to the North American market, increasing trade, attracting foreign investment, and importing growth and stability. On the other hand, some trade economists, such as Arvind Panagaria (1996, pp. 512-513) warned that Mexico could only lose when opening its market to its powerful northern neighbors, while receiving little in return that it would not have obtained anyway. Furthermore, would Mexico’s move towards regional integration hamper any further step into the direction of multilateral opening, after promising reforms had been started in the mid-1980s? Concerns also regarded the adverse effects of NAFTA within Mexico. These centered around large adjustment costs from sectoral restructuring and resource reallocation. This would occur if inefficient, partly subsidized Mexican industries declined after removing tariffs and non-tariff barriers, allowing the North American competition to enter the national market. In addition, would this hit mostly those Mexican regions that were poor anyway?
Book Synopsis Putting Canada in the Penalty Box by : Scott L. Baier
Download or read book Putting Canada in the Penalty Box written by Scott L. Baier and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Three years ago, very few economists would have imagined that one of the newest and fastest growing research areas in international trade is the use of quantitative trade models to estimate the economic welfare losses from dissolutions of major countries' economic integration agreements (EIAs). In 2016, "Brexit" was passed in a United Kingdom referendum. Moreover, in 2019, the existence of the entire North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is at risk if the United States withdraws - a threat President Trump has made if the proposed United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement is not passed by the U.S. Congress. We use state-of-the-art econometric methodology to estimate the partial (average treatment) effects on international trade flows of the six major types of EIAs. Armed with precise estimates of the average treatment effect for a free trade agreement, we examine the general equilibrium trade and welfare effects of the elimination of NAFTA (and for robustness U.S. withdrawal only). Although all the member countries' standards of living fall, surprisingly the smallest economy, Mexico, is not the biggest loser; Canada is the biggest loser. Canada's welfare (per capita income) loss of 2.11 percent is nearly two times that of Mexico's loss of 1.15 percent and is nearly eight times the United States' loss of 0.27 percent. The simulations will illustrate the important influence of trade costs - international and intranational - in contributing to the gains (or losses) from an economic integration agreement's formation (or elimination).
Book Synopsis A Review of the Assessments of the Likely Economic Impact of NAFTA on the United States by : Gregory K. Schoepfle
Download or read book A Review of the Assessments of the Likely Economic Impact of NAFTA on the United States written by Gregory K. Schoepfle and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Estimating the Effects of NAFTA by : Bruce Arnold
Download or read book Estimating the Effects of NAFTA written by Bruce Arnold and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Looking for Local Labor Market Effects of NAFTA by : John McLaren
Download or read book Looking for Local Labor Market Effects of NAFTA written by John McLaren and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using US Census data for 1990 and 2000, we estimate effects of the NAFTA agreement on the US wages. We look for any indication of effects of the agreement on (i) local labor markets dependent on industries vulnerable to import competition from Mexico, and (ii) workers employed in industries competing with Mexican imports. We find evidence of only modest local labor-market effects, but evidence for a strong industry effect, dramatically lowering wage growth for blue-collar workers in the most affected industries. These distributional effects are much larger than aggregate welfare effects estimated by other authors. In addition, we find strong evidence of anticipatory adjustment in places whose protection was expected to fall but had not yet fallen; this adjustment appears to have conferred an anticipatory rent to workers in those locations.
Book Synopsis NAFTA to USMCA: What is Gained? by : Mary E. Burfisher
Download or read book NAFTA to USMCA: What is Gained? written by Mary E. Burfisher and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-26 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States – Mexico – Canada Agreement (USMCA) was signed on November 30, 2018 and aims to replace and modernize the North-American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). This paper uses a global, multisector, computable-general-equilibrium model to provide an analytical assessment of five key provisions in the new agreement, including tighter rules of origin in the automotive, textiles and apparel sectors, more liberalized agricultural trade, and other trade facilitation measures. The results show that together these provisions would adversely affect trade in the automotive, textiles and apparel sectors, while generating modest aggregate gains in terms of welfare, mostly driven by improved goods market access, with a negligible effect on real GDP. The welfare benefits from USMCA would be greatly enhanced with the elimination of U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico and the elimination of the Canadian and Mexican import surtaxes imposed after the U.S. tariffs were put in place.
Book Synopsis Economy-wide Modeling of the Economic Implications of a FTA with Mexico and a NAFTA with Canada and Mexico by : United States International Trade Commission
Download or read book Economy-wide Modeling of the Economic Implications of a FTA with Mexico and a NAFTA with Canada and Mexico written by United States International Trade Commission and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 728 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Methodology for Impact Assessment of Free Trade Agreements by : Michael G. Plummer
Download or read book Methodology for Impact Assessment of Free Trade Agreements written by Michael G. Plummer and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2011-02-01 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication displays the menu for choice of available methods to evaluate the impact of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs). It caters mainly to policy makers from developing countries and aims to equip them with some economic knowledge and techniques that will enable them to conduct their own economic evaluation studies on existing or future FTAs, or to critically re-examine the results of impact assessment studies conducted by others, at the very least.
Download or read book Lessons from NAFTA written by Luis Serven and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2004-11-15 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analyzing the experience of Mexico under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), 'Lessons from NAFTA' aims to provide guidance to Latin American and Caribbean countries considering free trade agreements with the United States. The authors conclude that the treaty raised external trade and foreign investment inflows and had a modest effect on Mexico's average income per person. It is likely that the treaty also helped achieve a modest reduction in poverty and an improvement in job quality. This book will be of interest to scholars and policymakers interested in international trade and development.
Book Synopsis Environmental Externalities and the Welfare Effects of NAFTA by : Matthew Francis LeBaron
Download or read book Environmental Externalities and the Welfare Effects of NAFTA written by Matthew Francis LeBaron and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Future of North American Trade Policy by : Kevin P. Gallagher
Download or read book The Future of North American Trade Policy written by Kevin P. Gallagher and published by . This book was released on 2009-11-30 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Economy-wide Modeling of the Economic Implications of a FTA with Mexico and a NAFTA with Canada and Mexico by : United States International Trade Commission
Download or read book Economy-wide Modeling of the Economic Implications of a FTA with Mexico and a NAFTA with Canada and Mexico written by United States International Trade Commission and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on a symposium held at the Commission February 24-25, 1992, of nearly all of the research by computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelers currently involved in studying the NAFTA as well as one macroeconomic forecasting model of a FTA with Mexico. The first volume is a critical review and summary prepared by the Commission staff. Volume 2 (USITC pub. 2508) is an addendum of all the papers submitted by the authors and discussants' written comments.
Book Synopsis Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare by : Tom Krebs
Download or read book Trade Policy, Income Risk and Welfare written by Tom Krebs and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper studies empirically the relationship between trade policy and individual income risk faced by workers, and uses the estimates of this empirical analysis to evaluate the welfare effect of trade reform. The analysis proceeds in three steps. First, longitudinal data on workers are used to estimate time-varying individual income risk parameters in various manufacturing sectors. Second, the estimated income risk parameters and data on trade barriers are used to analyze the relationship between trade policy and income risk. Finally, a simple dynamic incomplete-market model is used to assess the corresponding welfare costs. In the implementation of this methodology using Mexican data, we find that trade policy changes have a significant short run effect on income risk. Further, while the tariff level has an insignificant mean effect, it nevertheless changes the degree to which macroeconomic shocks affect income risk"--NBER website
Book Synopsis NAFTA, Estimates of Job Effects and Industry Trade Trends After 4 1/2 Years by : Mary Jane Bolle
Download or read book NAFTA, Estimates of Job Effects and Industry Trade Trends After 4 1/2 Years written by Mary Jane Bolle and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book NAFTA written by Mary Jane Bolle and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
