Essays on Uncertainty, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Uncertainty, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability by : Alain Schlaepfer

Download or read book Essays on Uncertainty, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability written by Alain Schlaepfer and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Stability and Financial Stability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (962 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Stability and Financial Stability by : Anamaria-Valeria Piloiu-Popescu

Download or read book Essays on Economic Uncertainty, Monetary Stability and Financial Stability written by Anamaria-Valeria Piloiu-Popescu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Program for Monetary Stability

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Publisher : Ravenio Books
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 166 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Program for Monetary Stability by : Milton Friedman

Download or read book A Program for Monetary Stability written by Milton Friedman and published by Ravenio Books. This book was released on 1960 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: MONETARY PROBLEMS—a by-product of the indirect system of exchange—have long plagued the nations of the world. History is replete with instances in which such problems led not only to economic instability and uncertainty, but to political crises as well. In our own American experience there has hardly been a period when the economy was not beset by one type of monetary ill or another. Consider, for example, the more important monetary disturbances of our own time, viz., those of the last 30 years or so. Our legacy from the financial collapse of 1929 was a monetary and banking system which was virtually defunct. Though some progress was made in shoring up our monetary and banking institutions after 1933, this of itself was inadequate to help us escape the deflation and mass unemployment which persisted throughout the 1930’s. For the decade of the 1940’s, of course, the pendulum swung to the other side of the arc. Following the outbreak of World War II, and particularly after our direct involvement in 1941, an attempt was made to hold the line against inflation. This attempt achieved at best only partial success. Support by the Federal Reserve System of the prices of government securities, wartime military expenditures, the postwar investment boom, and the postwar pent-up demand for consumer goods backed by liquid assets acquired during the War combined to produce a rise in prices throughout the War and early postwar period. Although inflation subsided somewhat after 1948, it was intensified by the outbreak of hostilities in Korea in the period after 1950. During the latter part of 1953, and throughout 1954 and 1955, prices remained relatively stable. But in 1956, the inflationary rise received a new stimulus. Caused largely by another investment boom, the inflationary movement had such momentum that it caused prices to rise even in the face of the 1957-1958 recession. Professor Friedman’s objective in this third of the Moorhouse I. X. Millar Lecture Series is certainly not one of finding a formula which will eradicate all uncertainty and instability attending monetary disturbances. For these, as he puts it, are “unavoidable concomitants of progress and change.” However, it is possible to attenuate further the amplitude of our fluctuations by modifying, and in some cases completely revamping the monetary and banking arrangements currently in force in the United States. Specifically, this is the task to which Professor Friedman addresses himself. This classic is organized as follows: Chapter One. The Background of Monetary Policy Why Should Government Intervene in Monetary and Banking Questions? The Historical Background The Period From 1837 To 1843 The Contraction of 1873-79 The 1890’s The Contraction of 1907-08 Under the Federal Reserve System Conclusion Chapter Two. The Tools of the Federal Reserve System Tools of Specific Credit Policy Eligibility Requirements Control Over Margin Requirements Control Over Consumer Installment Credit Control Over Interest Paid by Banks on Deposits Tools of Monetary Policy The Sufficiency of Open Market Operations Rediscounting Variation in Reserve Requirements Conclusion Chapter Three. Debt Management and Banking Reform Debt Management Banking Reform Defects of Present Banking System Possible Remedies How 100% Reserves Would Work Transition to 100% Reserves The Relation of 100% Reserves to Debt Management Why Interest Should Be Paid on Reserves How Interest Payments on Reserves Might Be Determined Conclusion Chapter Four. The Goals and Criteria of Monetary Policy International Monetary Relations Internal Monetary Policy Conclusion Summary of Recommendations

Can It Happen Again?

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317232496
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (172 download)

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Book Synopsis Can It Happen Again? by : Hyman Minsky

Download or read book Can It Happen Again? written by Hyman Minsky and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-04-14 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the winter of 1933, the American financial and economic system collapsed. Since then economists, policy makers and financial analysts throughout the world have been haunted by the question of whether "It" can happen again. In 2008 "It" very nearly happened again as banks and mortgage lenders in the USA and beyond collapsed. The disaster sent economists, bankers and policy makers back to the ideas of Hyman Minsky – whose celebrated 'Financial Instability Hypothesis' is widely regarded as predicting the crash of 2008 – and led Wall Street and beyond as to dub it as the 'Minsky Moment'. In this book Minsky presents some of his most important economic theories. He defines "It", determines whether or not "It" can happen again, and attempts to understand why, at the time of writing in the early 1980s, "It" had not happened again. He deals with microeconomic theory, the evolution of monetary institutions, and Federal Reserve policy. Minsky argues that any economic theory which separates what economists call the 'real' economy from the financial system is bound to fail. Whilst the processes that cause financial instability are an inescapable part of the capitalist economy, Minsky also argues that financial instability need not lead to a great depression. This Routledge Classics edition includes a new foreword by Jan Toporowski.

Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles: Selected Essays

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814480045
Total Pages : 373 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles: Selected Essays by : Anastasios G Malliaris

Download or read book Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles: Selected Essays written by Anastasios G Malliaris and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2005-10-03 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The compendium of papers in this volume focuses on aspects of economic uncertainty, financial instabilities and asset bubbles.Economic uncertainty is modeled in continuous time using the mathematical techniques of stochastic calculus. A detailed treatment of important topics is provided, including the existence and uniqueness of asymptotic economic growth, the modeling of inflation and interest rates, the decomposition of inflation and its volatility, and the extension of the quantity theory of money to allow for randomness.The reader is also introduced to the methods of chaotic dynamics, and this methodology is applied to asset pricing, the European equity markets, and the multi-fractality in foreign currency markets.Since the techniques of stochastic calculus and chaotic dynamics do not readily accommodate the presence of stochastic bubbles, several papers discuss in depth the presence of financial bubbles in asset prices, and econometric work is performed to link such bubbles to monetary policy.Finally, since bubbles often burst rather than deflate slowly, the last section of the book studies the crash of October 1987 as well as other crashes of national equity markets due to the Persian gulf crisis.

Essays on Financial Stability and Monetary Policy

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (978 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Stability and Monetary Policy by : Pascal Paul

Download or read book Essays on Financial Stability and Monetary Policy written by Pascal Paul and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty by :

Download or read book Three Essays on Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty written by and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the first chapter, I propose a new design of Early Warning Systems to detect early warning signals of an impending financial crisis. The problem of EWS is formulated from a policy maker's perspective. Hence the probability threshold is obtained by minimizing the policy maker's welfare loss. This paper employs the Bayesian Quickest Change Detection as the methodology to detect the early warning signals. We show that the BQCD method outperforms the Logit model used in traditional EWS models based on results of simulation exercise and the out-of-sample prediction of the 1997 Asian financial crises. In the second chapter, I investigated the timing of U.S. monetary policy response to the 2007 financial crisis. The LIBOR-OIS spread jumped significantly on Aug 9, 2007, indicating an unusual increase in distress of the financial sector, but it was not until Aug 17, 2007, that the Federal Reserve responded with a 50 basis points of reduction of the primary credit rate after an unscheduled meeting. I further assumed that the policy maker was uncertain about the intensity of the financial crisis, and that monetary policy responded to more severe financial crisis more intensively. In order to increase the accuracy of choosing the right policy regime, waiting for more information may be desirable. I found that for certain specifications of the intensity of the financial crisis, the optimal timing of the Federal Reserve's policy response should be Aug 15, 2007. I concluded that uncertainty about the intensity of the financial crisis played an important role in the timing decision of the policy maker. In the third chapter, I investigated the issue of international monetary policy coordination under uncertainty. The consensus is that international monetary policy coordination is welfare improving, but some argue that the improvement is not significant quantitatively. This paper studied the role of model uncertainty in international monetary policy coordination, and found that considering model uncertainty can enhance welfare gain of coordination.

The Preparation of Monetary Policy

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792372691
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (726 download)

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Book Synopsis The Preparation of Monetary Policy by : J.M. Berk

Download or read book The Preparation of Monetary Policy written by J.M. Berk and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second innovative aspect of this book is its focus on policy preparation instead of well-covered topics as monetary policy strategy, tactics and implementation. Thirdly, a general, multi-model framework for preparing monetary policy is proposed, which is illustrated by case studies stressing the role of international economic linkages and of expectations. Written in a self-contained fashion, these case studies are of interest by themselves.".

The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability by : Andrew Crockett

Download or read book The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability written by Andrew Crockett and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays in Monetary Policy

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (882 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Monetary Policy by : Gaoyan Tang

Download or read book Essays in Monetary Policy written by Gaoyan Tang and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation presents three chapters addressing issues pertaining to monetary policy, information, and central bank communication. The first chapter studies optimal monetary policy in an environment where policy actions provide a signal of economic fundamentals to imperfectly informed agents. I derive the optimal discretionary policy in closed form and show that, in contrast to the perfect information case, the signaling channel leads the policymaker to be tougher on inflation. The strength of the signaling effect of policy depends on relative uncertainty levels. As the signaling effect strengthens, the optimal policy under discretion approaches that under commitment to a forward-looking linear rule, thereby decreasing the stabilization bias. This contributes to the central bank finding it optimal to withhold its additional information from private agents. Under a general linear policy rule, inflation and output forecasts can respond positively to a positive interest rate surprise when the signaling channel is strong. This positive response is the opposite of what standard perfect information New Keynesian models predict and it matches empirical patterns found by previous studies. Chapter 2 provides new empirical evidence supporting the predictions of the model presented in Chapter 1. More specifically, I find that the responses of inflation forecasts to interest rate surprises is especially positive when there is greater uncertainty regarding the previous forecast. Finally, Chapter 3 examines whether communications by the Federal Open Market Committee might have the ability to influence financial market responses to macroeconomic news. In particular, I am able to relate labor-related word use in FOMC statements and meeting minutes to the amount by which interest rates' response to labor-related news exceeds their response to other news.

Essays on Financial Stability, Monetary Policy and Welfare

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (587 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Stability, Monetary Policy and Welfare by : Ester Faia

Download or read book Essays on Financial Stability, Monetary Policy and Welfare written by Ester Faia and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Uncertainty and Monetary Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Uncertainty and Monetary Policy by : Alex Ilek

Download or read book Essays on Uncertainty and Monetary Policy written by Alex Ilek and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Monetary Policy in Israel

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Monetary Policy in Israel by : Sophia Kazinnik

Download or read book Essays on Monetary Policy in Israel written by Sophia Kazinnik and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current consensus is that central bank communication in the form of forward guidance has a profound effect on monetary policy effectiveness. Forward guidance affects private sector expectations about the future path of the short-term interest rate, which in turn affects interest rates with longer maturities, thus shaping economic decisions of households and companies. There is no consensus, however, on the degree of forward guidance a central bank should exercise. My dissertation, titled “Essays on Monetary Policy in Israel”, and comprised of two essays, explores this question by using Israel as the case study. In one of its recent annual publications, the Bank of Israel evaluates its past policy decisions using a Taylor-type policy rule. A policy rule can be thought of as an ultimate forward guidance instrument, because it provides both an explicit policy objective and a clear strategy for achieving that objective. In the first chapter of my dissertation titled “Policy Rules in Practice: The Case of Israel”, I study whether this level of openness helps policymakers conduct monetary policy consistent with their long term objectives. I use this published policy rule to find that, with the exception of the 2008 financial crisis, monetary policy in Israel can be systematically described as rules-based in the past fifteen years. Immediately after the 2008 crisis, however, the policymakers have exercised flexibility in terms of their primary goal, price stability, as there was more focus on stabilizing economic activity as opposed to inflation. I then assess how market expectations about the future path of the short-term interest rate respond to both the increase in policy transparency and the exercised flexibility during the financial crisis. To examine the increase in policy transparency, I use futures contracts on short term interest rates from the inter-bank market, and find that monetary policy predictability improves in the period following the publication of this rule. This result reveals the value of a simple policy rule as a tool of communication, enabling policymakers to anchor market expectations even in times of greater economic uncertainty. The second chapter of my dissertation, “Text Mining and Central Bank Communication”, extends the question of how much central banks should reveal, by assessing qualitative information in the form of interest rate statements, published by the Bank of Israel. Using modern text mining techniques, I extract the informational content from the set of monthly interest rate decision statements, published from 2006 to 2016. I con- struct a dictionary based sentiment measure, and estimate it in a Taylor type forward looking reaction function. I examine whether the sentiment measure can provide a clear signal about the future direction of monetary policy, and find that, in combination with standard macroeconomic variables, i.e. output gap and inflation, the sentiment measure improves short-run predictability of policy rate decisions. Overall, I find evidence that increased communication has a positive effect on monetary policy effectiveness, with financial markets able to correctly anticipate monetary policy decisions in Israel.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

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ISBN 13 : 9780894991967
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions by : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Essays in Macro Finance and Monetary Economics

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Macro Finance and Monetary Economics by : Modeste Yirbèhogré Somé

Download or read book Essays in Macro Finance and Monetary Economics written by Modeste Yirbèhogré Somé and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Clouded in Uncertainty: Pursuing Financial Stability with Monetary Policy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Clouded in Uncertainty: Pursuing Financial Stability with Monetary Policy by : Sylvain Leduc

Download or read book Clouded in Uncertainty: Pursuing Financial Stability with Monetary Policy written by Sylvain Leduc and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Great Inflation

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226066959
Total Pages : 545 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Inflation by : Michael D. Bordo

Download or read book The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-28 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.