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Author : Liyuan Chen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)
Download or read book Essays on Portfolio Optimization, Volatility Modelling and Risk Measurement written by Liyuan Chen and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Xiaolin Sun
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (882 download)
Download or read book Essays on Applications of the Factor Model written by Xiaolin Sun and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimating the volatilities and correlations of asset returns plays an important role in portfolio and risk management. As of late, interest in the estimation of the covariance matrix of large dimensional portfolios has increased. Estimating large dimensional covariance poses a challenge in that the cross-sectional dimension is often similar to or bigger than the number of observations available. Simple estimators are often poorly conditioned with some small eigenvalues, and so are unsuitable for many real world applications, including portfolio optimization and tracking error minimization. The first chapter introduces our two large dimensional covariance matrix estimators. We estimate the large dimensional realized covariance matrix by using the methods of asymptotic principal components analysis based factor modeling and singular value decomposition. In the second chapter, we show though simulation that our proposed estimators are closer to the true covariance matrix than the current popular shrinkage estimator. We also simulate conducting the out sample portfolio performance tests and find that the portfolios constructed based on our proposed estimators have lower risk than portfolios constructed using the shrinkage matrix. Using S&P 500 stocks from 1926 to 2011, we back test our proposed covariance matrix. In addition, the portfolios constructed based on our proposed estimators exhibit lower risk than portfolios constructed using the shrinkage matrix. The third chapter proposes a new volatility index--a cross-sectional volatility index of residuals using factor model. The cross-sectional volatility index moves closely with the VIX for the S&P 500 stock universe. It is a non-parametric, model-free volatility index, which could be estimated at any frequency for any region, sector, and style of world equity market and also does not depend on any option pricing. We provide some interpretation of the cross-sectional volatility index of residuals as a proxy for aggregate economic uncertainty, and show a high correlation between the VIX index and the corresponding cross-sectional volatility index of residuals based on the S&P 500 universe. Our results show that the portfolio hedged based on the cross-sectional volatility index of residuals has a much higher Sharpe ratio than the portfolio without hedge. Overall, these findings suggest that the cross-sectional volatility index of residuals is intimately related to other volatility measures where and when such measures are available, and that it can be used as a reliable proxy for volatility when such measures are not available.
Author : Janke, Oliver
Publisher : Lehmanns Media
ISBN 13 : 396543506X
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (654 download)
Download or read book Essays on Portfolio Optimization and ESG Ratings under Risk Constraints and Incomplete Information written by Janke, Oliver and published by Lehmanns Media. This book was released on with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis, we analyze various problems of dynamic portfolio optimization as well as green capital requirements under risk constraints and incomplete information. First, we examine the problem of optimal expected utility under the constraint of a utility-based shortfall risk measure in an incomplete market. The existence and uniqueness of an optimal solution to the problem are shown using a Lagrange multiplier and duality methods. Second, we consider the optimization problem under various levels of the investor’s information. By using martingale representation theorems, we demonstrate the existence and uniqueness of optimal solutions, which differ in their market dynamics. Third, we analyze the effects of green- and brownwashing on banks’ lending to firms, on the regulator’s deposit insurance subsidy, and on carbon emissions under different green capital requirement functions. Furthermore, we show that green capital requirements may compromise financial stability.
Author : Erricos Kontoghiorghes
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540779582
Total Pages : 425 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)
Download or read book Computational Methods in Financial Engineering written by Erricos Kontoghiorghes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-02-26 with total page 425 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computational models and methods are central to the analysis of economic and financial decisions. Simulation and optimisation are widely used as tools of analysis, modelling and testing. The focus of this book is the development of computational methods and analytical models in financial engineering that rely on computation. The book contains eighteen chapters written by leading researchers in the area on portfolio optimization and option pricing; estimation and classification; banking; risk and macroeconomic modelling. It explores and brings together current research tools and will be of interest to researchers, analysts and practitioners in policy and investment decisions in economics and finance.
Author : Ashish Jain
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (213 download)
Download or read book Essays on Volatility Derivatives and Portfolio Optimization written by Ashish Jain and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : John B. Guerard, Jr.
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387774394
Total Pages : 796 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Portfolio Construction written by John B. Guerard, Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-12 with total page 796 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Portfolio construction is fundamental to the investment management process. In the 1950s, Harry Markowitz demonstrated the benefits of efficient diversification by formulating a mathematical program for generating the "efficient frontier" to summarize optimal trade-offs between expected return and risk. The Markowitz framework continues to be used as a basis for both practical portfolio construction and emerging research in financial economics. Such concepts as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), for example, provide the foundation for setting benchmarks, for predicting returns and risk, and for performance measurement. This volume showcases original essays by some of today’s most prominent academics and practitioners in the field on the contemporary application of Markowitz techniques. Covering a wide spectrum of topics, including portfolio selection, data mining tests, and multi-factor risk models, the book presents a comprehensive approach to portfolio construction tools, models, frameworks, and analyses, with both practical and theoretical implications.
Author : Illia Kovalenko
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (133 download)
Download or read book Essays on Portfolio Optimization and Estimation Risk written by Illia Kovalenko and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Bernhard Pfaff
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119119685
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)
Download or read book Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R written by Bernhard Pfaff and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-08-16 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R, 2nd Edition Bernhard Pfaff, Invesco Global Asset Allocation, Germany A must have text for risk modelling and portfolio optimization using R. This book introduces the latest techniques advocated for measuring financial market risk and portfolio optimization, and provides a plethora of R code examples that enable the reader to replicate the results featured throughout the book. This edition has been extensively revised to include new topics on risk surfaces and probabilistic utility optimization as well as an extended introduction to R language. Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R: Demonstrates techniques in modelling financial risks and applying portfolio optimization techniques as well as recent advances in the field. Introduces stylized facts, loss function and risk measures, conditional and unconditional modelling of risk; extreme value theory, generalized hyperbolic distribution, volatility modelling and concepts for capturing dependencies. Explores portfolio risk concepts and optimization with risk constraints. Is accompanied by a supporting website featuring examples and case studies in R. Includes updated list of R packages for enabling the reader to replicate the results in the book. Graduate and postgraduate students in finance, economics, risk management as well as practitioners in finance and portfolio optimization will find this book beneficial. It also serves well as an accompanying text in computer-lab classes and is therefore suitable for self-study.
Author : Nima Vafai
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 111 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (132 download)
Download or read book Two Essays on how Do Investors Perceive the Optimal Capital Structure and an Essay on Mutual Fund Volatility Decomposition and Manager Skill written by Nima Vafai and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation explores the rational investment hypothesis proposed by classical theories at the stock and portfolio (mutual fund) level. My first two essays focus on the risk associated with the composition of debt and equity at the firm level. The third essay studies the total risk at the portfolio level in the mutual fund setting.In the first essay, we examine the association between deviations from the optimal capital structure and firm-level stock returns by comparing different proxies for optimal capital structure from the literature and constructing improved industry-specific optimal capital structure measures. After comparing the performance of each measure, we use a partial adjustment model to study how firms reduce their gap from optimal leverage. In the second essay, we model firms' deviations from the optimal capital structure as a new risk factor in the cross-section of stock returns. Using Monte-Carlo simulations to conduct bootstrapped mean-variance spanning tests, we examine whether the existing Fama and French factors can explain this potential new risk factor. We also use Text Network Industry Classification (TNIC) to show whether the new risk factor is robust to alternative industry classification. In the third essay, we use a volatility decomposition to identify the underlying sources of differences in the performance of low and high-volatility mutual funds. We then examine whether the difference in performance is fund-specific and due to the manager's skill, or it is a broad characteristic of market volatility. Last, we show how the difference in the performance of low and high volatility mutual funds is related to the existence of a beta anomaly in the mutual fund industry. Furthermore, we examine the idiosyncratic volatility relation with beta and risk-adjusted return (alpha) at the fund level.
Author : Lukas Plachel
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)
Download or read book Essays on Robust Portfolio Management written by Lukas Plachel and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) provides an elegant mathematical framework for the efficient portfolio allocation problem. Despite its exceptional popularity, MPT poses a number of well-documented problems in practical applications. Especially the fact that it generates notoriously extreme and non-robust allocations which may seriously impair the out-of-sample performance. This thesis introduces three methods with the common objective to remedy those shortcomings. Chapter 1 addresses the problems of traditional mean-variance optimization originating from model- and estimation errors. In order to simultaneously tackle both error sources, a joint method for covariance regularization and robust optimization is proposed which exploits the inherent complementarity between the two concepts. An application of the method to equity markets reveals similarly attractive behaviour as pure covariance regularization during normal times and improved performance as measured by out-of-sample volatility if a jump in systematic risk occurs. Chapter 2 introduces a covariance estimation approach which is based solely on characteristic company information. In contrast to traditional, time series based estimation procedures which typically lead to extreme and unreliable estimates, the proposed method produces stable covariance matrices which can be used if no time series data is available, or complementary to traditional methods. We derive characteristics-based covariance matrices for a US stock universe and use them as shrinkage targets in a minimum variance optimization example. The resulting strategies clearly dominate the benchmark case of identity shrinkage in terms of out-of-sample volatility. Chapter 3 bridges the gap between MPT and one of the most vivid fields of contemporary research: Artificial Intelligence. A model is introduced which uses a Neural Network to learn the relation between portfolio weights and arbitrary measures of portfolio.
Author : Wei Liu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (862 download)
Download or read book Essays on the Economic Value of Intraday Covariation Estimators for Risk Prediction written by Wei Liu and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates the economic value of incorporating intraday volatility estimators into the volatility forecasting process. The increased reliance on volatility forecasting in the financial industry has intensified the need for more rigorous analysis from an economic perspective instead of merely statistical point of view. A better understanding of the available methods has implications for portfolio optimization, volatility trading and risk management. More recently, volatility of asset returns was once again under spotlight during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. The study contributes to the extant volatility forecasting literature in three areas. First, it addresses the question of how to practically and effectively exploit intraday price information for variance and covariance modelling and forecasting. Second, it addresses the development of an 'optimal' intraday volatility model that accommodates market practitioners preferences. Third, it evaluates the economic value of combining realized (intraday) volatility estimators for utilizing unique information embedded in each estimator. The thesis is organised as follows. One of the most visible indicators of the crisis that captured the attention of the financial industry was the extremely high level of asset return volatility. This uncertainty prompted much interest for a more accurate, yet practically applicable approach for volatility forecasting. Chapter 2 introduces the various realized volatility estimators, volatility forecasting procedures and their corresponding realized extensions used in our subsequent empirical investigations. Chapter 3 evaluates the economic value of various intraday covariance estimation approaches for mean-variance portfolio optimization. Economic loss functions overwhelmingly favour intraday covariance matrix models instead of their daily counterparts. The constant conditional correlation (CCC) augmented with realized volatility produces the highest economic value when applied with a time-varying volatility timing strategy. Chapter 4 compares the practical value of intraday based single index (univariate) and portfolio (multivariate) models through the lens of Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting. VaR predictions are generated from standard daily univariate or multivariate GARCH models, as well as GARCH models extended with ARFIMA forecasted realized measures. Conditional coverage test results indicate that intraday models, both univariate and multivariate ones, outperform their daily counterparts by providing more accurate VaR forecasts. Chapter 5 investigates the economic value of combining intraday volatility estimators for volatility trading. The simulated option trading results indicate that a naive combination of an intraday estimator and implied volatility cannot be outperformed by the best individual estimator. In addition, trading performance can be further boosted by applying more complex combination models such as a regression based combination of 42 single volatility estimators.
Author : John B. Guerard, Jr.
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319339761
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)
Download or read book Portfolio Construction, Measurement, and Efficiency written by John B. Guerard, Jr. and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-09-23 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, inspired by and dedicated to the work of pioneering investment analyst, Jack Treynor, addresses the issues of portfolio risk and return and how investment portfolios are measured. In a career spanning over fifty years, the primary questions addressed by Jack Treynor were: Is there an observable risk-return trade-off? How can stock selection models be integrated with risk models to enhance client returns? Do managed portfolios earn positive, and statistically significant, excess returns and can mutual fund managers time the market? Since the publication of a pair of seminal Harvard Business Review articles in the mid-1960’s, Jack Treynor has developed thinking that has greatly influenced security selection, portfolio construction and measurement, and market efficiency. Key publications addressed such topics as the Capital Asset Pricing Model and stock selection modeling and integration with risk models. Treynor also served as editor of the Financial Analysts Journal, through which he wrote many columns across a wide spectrum of topics. This volume showcases original essays by leading researchers and practitioners exploring the topics that have interested Treynor while applying the most current methodologies. Such topics include the origins of portfolio theory, market timing, and portfolio construction in equity markets. The result not only reinforces Treynor’s lasting contributions to the field but suggests new areas for research and analysis.
Author : Jing Wu (Ph. D.)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)
Download or read book Essays on Financial Return and Volatility Modeling written by Jing Wu (Ph. D.) and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: My dissertation consists of three essays focusing on modeling financial asset return and volatility. The first essay proposes a threshold GARCH model to describe the regimeswitching in volatility dynamics of financial asset returns. In the threshold model the switching of regimes is triggered by an observable threshold variable, while volatility follows a GARCH process within each regime. This model can be viewed as a special case of the random coefficient GARCH model. We establish theoretical conditions, which ensure that the return process in the threshold model is strictly stationary, as well as conditions for the existence of finite variance and fourth moment. A simulation study is further conducted to examine the finite sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator. The second essay extends our study of the threshold GARCH model to an empirical application. The empirical results support the use of the threshold variable to identify the regime shifts in the volatility process. Especially when VIX is used as the threshold, we are able to separate the clustering of volatile periods corresponding to various financial crises. According to 5 common measures on forecasting evaluation, the threshold GARCH model provides better volatility forecasts for stocks as well as currency exchange rates. The third essay examines the effect of time structure on the estimation performance of independent component analysis (ICA) models and provides guidance in applying the ICA model to time series data. We compare the performance of the basic ICA model to the time series ICA model in which the cross-autocovariances are used as a measure to achieve independence. We conduct a simulation study to evaluate the time series ICA model under different time structure assumptions about the underlying components that generate financial time series. Moreover, the empirical results support the use of the time series ICA model.
Author : Elisa Luciano
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039216244
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (392 download)
Download or read book Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling written by Elisa Luciano and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Measurement is a challenging task, because both the types of risk and the techniques evolve very quickly. This book collects a number of novel contributions to the measurement of financial risk, which address either non-fully explored risks or risk takers, and does so in a wide variety of empirical contexts.
Author : Klaus Grobys
Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 3837090493
Total Pages : 142 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (37 download)
Download or read book Volatility Analysis and Asset Pricing of Stock Portfolios written by Klaus Grobys and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2009 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a vast number of investment funds are available at the market, it may be difficult for investors to figure out which fund might serve their needs the best. Especially in times where the uncertainty in the market increases, it might be even more important to figure out how investment funds response to such volatility shocks. Volatility as a risk measure may not be constant over time, but tight connected to the market risk in contrast. Hence, the exploration of the investment fund's volatility response to shocks in the stock market may give a deeper understanding of what the actual risk of an investor might be.
Author : Louis K. C. Chan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (246 download)
Download or read book On portfolio optimization : forecasting covariances and choosing the risk model written by Louis K. C. Chan and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: We evaluate the performance of different models for the covariance structure of stock returns, focusing on their use for optimal portfolio selection. Comparisons are based on forecasts of future covariances as well as the out-of-sample volatility of optimized portfolios from each model. A few factors capture the general covariance structure but adding more factors does not improve forecast power. Portfolio optimization helps for risk control, but the different covariance models yield similar results. Using a tracking error volatility criterion, larger differences appear, with particularly favorable results for a heuristic approach based on matching the benchmark's attributes.
Author : Bernhard Pfaff
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119119677
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)
Download or read book Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R written by Bernhard Pfaff and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-08-22 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R, 2nd Edition Bernhard Pfaff, Invesco Global Asset Allocation, Germany A must have text for risk modelling and portfolio optimization using R. This book introduces the latest techniques advocated for measuring financial market risk and portfolio optimization, and provides a plethora of R code examples that enable the reader to replicate the results featured throughout the book. This edition has been extensively revised to include new topics on risk surfaces and probabilistic utility optimization as well as an extended introduction to R language. Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R: Demonstrates techniques in modelling financial risks and applying portfolio optimization techniques as well as recent advances in the field. Introduces stylized facts, loss function and risk measures, conditional and unconditional modelling of risk; extreme value theory, generalized hyperbolic distribution, volatility modelling and concepts for capturing dependencies. Explores portfolio risk concepts and optimization with risk constraints. Is accompanied by a supporting website featuring examples and case studies in R. Includes updated list of R packages for enabling the reader to replicate the results in the book. Graduate and postgraduate students in finance, economics, risk management as well as practitioners in finance and portfolio optimization will find this book beneficial. It also serves well as an accompanying text in computer-lab classes and is therefore suitable for self-study.
