Essays on Mutual Fund Performance and Predictability

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Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Mutual Fund Performance and Predictability by : Yu Xia

Download or read book Essays on Mutual Fund Performance and Predictability written by Yu Xia and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This thesis consists of two essays on evaluating mutual fund performance and its predictability. In the first essay, I study the ex ante predictability of 12 well-known predictors for fund performance from investors' perspective. The 12 predictors cover three major categories: fund characteristics, fund performance, and holding-based activeness measures, which are constructed using real-time information. For performance evaluation, I exploit two types of fund picking strategies with either rule-based approach or machine learning methods and find that utilizing machine learning can deliver superior real-time economic gains for investors with fund short-term performance being the primary driver underlying predictability. Specifically, using variable selection methods such as LASSO and elastic net at individual predictor level can generate annual 1.3%-1.7% real-time alphas after adjusting for standard risk factors. The essay further examines whether real-world investors react to those well-known predictors when evaluating mutual fund performance. Using a novel approach to decomposing fund returns, I find that conditional on investors' usage of CAPM, investors react to the components of CAPM alpha implied by predictors in different ways, and investor reaction to predictive information embedded in predictors is stronger within aggressive growth funds. These results provide empirical support for Gârleanu and Pedersen (2018) and suggest ex ante predictability exists not due to lack of investor reaction but as the compensation for employing costly algorithms to identify skilled managers.The second essay examines how decision-making hierarchy in team-managed U.S. equity mutual funds affects their performance and risk-taking behavior. Employing a unique hand-collected dataset, we find that vertically-managed funds with lead managers earn 75 bps per year lower Fama-French five-factor alpha than their horizontally-managed counterparts. Moreover, vertically-managed funds hold less concentrated portfolios and are exposed to lower residual risk, thus showing signs of inferior security selection ability. Using mutual fund industry as a laboratory, the second essay provides evidence supporting a horizontal decision-making structure in organizations functioning in an uncertain expectation environment. These results echo similar mechanisms as in recent cross-country studies on the benefits of democratic form of government for country's economic growth"--

Three Essays on the Strategies of Mutual Funds

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on the Strategies of Mutual Funds by : Zhi Wang

Download or read book Three Essays on the Strategies of Mutual Funds written by Zhi Wang and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Mutual Fund Performance Evaluation with Clientele Effects

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Mutual Fund Performance Evaluation with Clientele Effects by : Manel Kammoun

Download or read book Essays on Mutual Fund Performance Evaluation with Clientele Effects written by Manel Kammoun and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis studies the performance evaluation of mutual funds from the point of view of their most favorable clienteles. It contains three essays in which we develop and adapt a performance measurement approach that accounts for investor disagreement and clientele effects to answer three research questions. In the first essay, we investigate investor disagreement and clientele effects in performance evaluation by developing a measure that considers the best potential clienteles of mutual funds. The measure is an upper performance bound in an incomplete market under the law-of-one-price condition and a no-good-deal condition that rules out investment opportunities with unreasonably high Sharpe ratios. We find that considering investor disagreement and focusing on the best potential clienteles lead to a generally positive performance for mutual funds. The total disagreement measured by the difference between upper and lower performance bounds is economically and statistically significant. In the second essay, we diagnose the validity of standard performance measures by comparing their alphas with the alpha from a performance measure that evaluates mutual funds from the point of view of their most favorable investors. The results show that unconditional linear factor models, their conditional versions and the law-of-one price measure give severe but admissible evaluations of fund performance. Consumption-based models suffer from an inadmissibility problem. The manipulation proof performance measure generates alphas that are sensitive to the choice of risk aversion parameter. In the third essay, we propose a clientele-specific performance evaluation based on the style preferences of mutual fund investors. Considering performance disagreement and better exploiting style classification data, we investigate eight measures to represent clienteles with favorable preferences for size and value equity styles. We find that funds assigned to size and value styles have neutral to positive average alphas when evaluated with their appropriate clientele-specific measure. The performance of the other funds is sensitive to the clienteles. Our findings support a significant role for style clienteles in performance evaluation.

Essays on Mutual Funds Performance

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Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (663 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Mutual Funds Performance by : Lubomira Ivanova

Download or read book Essays on Mutual Funds Performance written by Lubomira Ivanova and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the first chapter of my dissertation I present a survey of the literature on mutual fund performance. The first section of chapter one discusses two approaches to portfolio evaluation. The returns-based approach evaluates the net portfolio returns of the funds. The second, holdings-based approach, directly measures the stock-picking talent of mutual fund managers by focusing on manager's equity holdings. The second section of chapter one presents the literature on flows of funds and its relationship to portfolio evaluation.

Essays on Mutual Fund Performance and Organization

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Mutual Fund Performance and Organization by : Iordanis Karagiannidis

Download or read book Essays on Mutual Fund Performance and Organization written by Iordanis Karagiannidis and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Two Essays on Mutual Fund Performance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 91 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays on Mutual Fund Performance by : Andrew A. Lynch

Download or read book Two Essays on Mutual Fund Performance written by Andrew A. Lynch and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In these two essays, I examine the relation between mutual fund characteristics and fund performance. In the first essay, I test the impact of liquidity and liquidity risk on mutual fund returns. I find that equity funds with the most illiquid holdings outperform those with the most liquid holdings by as much as 4.40 percent annually. Funds with high liquidity beta only marginally outperform those with low liquidity beta on average. However, this outperformance is significantly stronger after excluding periods of extreme market illiquidity. Testing the liquidity and liquidity risk effects jointly reveals that both independently positively influence fund returns. In the second essay, I test the relation between fund fees and fund performance. Theory suggests that mutual fund fees should be positively related to before-fee returns (Berk and Green (2004)), while recent empirical work documents a negative relation (Gil-Bazo and Ruiz-Verdu (2009)). I find that the previously identified negative relation is not robust to alternative empirical specifications. Portfolio sorting and regression analysis with controls for fund characteristics find a positive relation between before-fee returns and expense ratios. I also find a positive relation between before-fee returns and management fees, the fee used to compensate fund managers. Extending the analysis to proxies for manager skill, I find a positive relation between fees and both trading skill and active share of holdings.

Three Essays in Measuring Mutual Fund Performance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (376 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays in Measuring Mutual Fund Performance by : Fan Hu

Download or read book Three Essays in Measuring Mutual Fund Performance written by Fan Hu and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Mutual Funds

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (992 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Mutual Funds by : Xuemei Guo

Download or read book Three Essays on Mutual Funds written by Xuemei Guo and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation investigates the determinants of mutual fund flows and mutual fund performance. The first chapter examines the response of fund investors to style volatility and the impact of style volatility on the flow-performance relationship. Three main empirical findings are obtained using both a portfolio approach and a multivariate regression approach. First, I find that there is a significant positive relationship between the style volatility and the subsequent fund flows to mutual funds. This finding can be interpreted as either fund managers having style timing ability or fund managers catering to investors preferences or tastes. Second, the positive relationship between past style volatility and fund flows is less pronounced for funds with superior past performance. Lastly, fund style volatility has a dampening effect on the flow-performance relationship: the flow-performance sensitivity weakens by 12% when the past style volatility increases by one standard deviation. It is likely that performance is perceived as a less informative signal of investment ability for fund managers who follow inconsistent styles over time. The second chapter studies how the response of fund investors to past risk varies over business cycles. I employ the NBER boom indicator, the Consumer Sentiment Index, and the National Activity Index to proxy for economic conditions. I find that mutual fund investors react differently to risk across economic environments. Funds with more volatile past returns discourage fund investors. The investors’ demand for actively managed funds is higher under good market conditions. Fund flows are less responsive to risk during expansionary economic periods. This finding may indicate that fund investors are risk averse and become less risk averse in good market states. The third chapter empirically examines whether mutual fund performance is affected by prior family performance. I propose two testable hypotheses: the information and resource sharing hypothesis and the cross-fund subsidization hypothesis. The empirical findings suggest that there is a significant positive relationship between prior family performance and subsequent fund performance. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that mutual funds in the same family share informational resources. This positive relation also justifies the finding in the mutual fund flow literature that fund flows are higher for funds with higher past family performance. Furthermore, I find that the predictive power of the prior family performance is stronger in larger fund families.

Essay One

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (389 download)

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Book Synopsis Essay One by : Hsiu-Lang Chen

Download or read book Essay One written by Hsiu-Lang Chen and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays in Finance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (957 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays in Finance by : Candy Sikes

Download or read book Three Essays in Finance written by Candy Sikes and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In essay one, The Impact of Information Asymmetry on Stock Split Announcement Returns, using research and development expenses as a proxy for information asymmetry, we examine the impact of information asymmetry on stock split announcement returns to provide support for the signaling theory. We find no significant difference between the announcement returns of firms with research and development expenses and those firms without research and development expenses. If the signaling theory holds, there should be a difference in these announcement returns due to the different levels of information asymmetry. As a result, the signaling theory is not supported in the context of stock splits. In the second essay, Do Mutual Fund Closures Cause the Decline in Fund Performance after Closing?, we find that closing a mutual fund is not effective at protecting fund performance but it is also not the cause of the decline in fund performance. We find that closed mutual funds do not display a consistent return pattern between the period before and after a fund closing indicating that fund closures do not have a common motivation or result. We also find that a matched group of non-closed mutual funds exhibit a return pattern that is similar to the one observed in closed mutual funds. As a result, closing a fund does not cause the decline in fund performance that is typically observed when a mutual fund closes. In the third essay, Hedge Fund Performance Before and After Fund Closure, we find that even in the place of a compensation contract that is different from the compensation contract of mutual funds, hedge funds that close exhibit a significant decline in fund performance after closing to new investors. Similar to mutual funds that close, the closure of a hedge fund is ineffective at protecting performance but it also not the cause of the decline in fund performance. Closed hedge funds do not display a consistent return pattern between the period before and after a fund closure indicating that fund closures do not have a common motivation or result. Analysis of a matched group of non-closed hedge funds shows that these non-closed funds exhibit similar growth and return patterns around fund closure again indicating that the closure of a hedge fund does not cause the resulting performance decline.

Essays on Mutual Funds

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Mutual Funds by :

Download or read book Essays on Mutual Funds written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first essay examines the relation between fund performance and stock selection process. I classify mutual funds into two groups according to their distinctive stock selection approaches: tire kickers who rely on fund managers' personal judgment and fundamental analysis to pick stocks, and quant jocks who use computer-based models to select stocks. I examine how the stock selection approach affects mutual fund performance and economies of scale. I document an increasing trend of quantitative techniques used by mutual funds, in addition to some unique characteristics of quant jocks. Quant jocks and tire kickers have similar factor-adjusted alphas, but quant jocks have higher Sharpe ratios. Quant jocks tend to be much smaller than tire kickers. I explore possible explanations for the size difference. I find that although quant jocks can cheaply screen a large universe of stocks, the stocks that quant jocks invest in are smaller and less liquid, which results in higher transaction costs and limited scalability of quantitative investment strategies. The second essay investigates mutual fund managers' private information about future stock returns as revealed in their portfolio holdings. Specifically, we develop three different stock alpha estimators to predict stock returns based on portfolio compositions and past performance of mutual funds. We find that investment strategies based on our stock alpha estimators perform well, when using information on recent fund holdings and fund purchases. This evidence suggests that fund managers' stock selection skills are quite persistent, and vary widely in the cross-section. We also compare our strategies with 12 quantitative investment signals based on market anomalies, and find that our strategies are not subsumed by these quantitative signals. Thus, our stock alpha estimators reflect private skills of active fund managers that are unrelated to known anomalies. Finally, we develop a conditional stock alpha estimator using information on stock characteristics and fund characteristics. Investment strategies based on the conditional stock alphas deliver further improved performance.

Two Essays on Managerial Behaviors in the Mutual Fund Industry

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Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays on Managerial Behaviors in the Mutual Fund Industry by : Leng Ling

Download or read book Two Essays on Managerial Behaviors in the Mutual Fund Industry written by Leng Ling and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essay 1. Does mutual fund window-dressing promote fund flows?--I investigate the effectiveness of window-dressing as a potential strategy to be used by mutual fund managers to promote fund flows. Using a rank gap measure as a proxy for the likelihood that window-dressing has occurred, I find that fund investors as whole punish those managers who are suspected to have engaged in window-dressing. That is, I find a negative relation between the window-dressing measure and net fund flows in subsequent quarters after controlling for fund performance, size, expense ratio, and other pertinent characteristics. I also find that window-dressing leads to higher trading activities and lower fund performance. Essay 2. A life cycle analysis of performance and growth in U.S. mutual funds--I propose a five-stage growth model to describe the life cycle evolution of mutual funds and show that mutual funds exhibit distinctive performance, size, expense ratios, asset turnover, and other pertinent characteristics through stages of incubation, high-growth, low-growth, maturity, and decline. I also investigate the viability of managerial strategies to affect a fund's life cycle evolution and find that changing a declining fund's investment objective is effective in rejuvenating asset growth and thus repositioning the fund to younger life cycle stages. However, the strategy of adding portfolio managers appears to have no such rejuvenation effect.

Two Essays on Mutual Fund Managerial Skills and Performance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (711 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays on Mutual Fund Managerial Skills and Performance by : Ao Wang

Download or read book Two Essays on Mutual Fund Managerial Skills and Performance written by Ao Wang and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of two essays that study mutual fund managerial skills and performance.Understanding whether mutual funds have skills is important as it could help investors make investment decision. My fist essay studies whether and how fund size affects managers' risk-taking behavior in the setting of fund mergers. I test the relation between fund size and risk-shifting. The main findings are as follows. First, acquiring fund managers' risk-taking declines as size increases resulting from mergers. The decline in risk-taking remains significant after controlling for fund characteristics, diversification effect, and portfolio's systematic risk exposure that can be correlated with managers' investment choices. Second, liquidity is a driving factor for the negative impact of size on managers' risk-taking. Third, I decompose fund size into two components based on either liquidity or risk-taking and examine which component(s) correlate with fund performance. I document that risk-taking is, beyond liquidity, another underlying mechanism for decreasing returns to scale.In the second essay, I study the timing ability of mutual funds in different sentiment periods. I first use DGTW (1997) style timing measure (CT) to examine if mutual funds perform better in high sentiment periods when stock mispricing is enlarged, providing more trading opportunities for mutual funds. Results show that mutual funds have better style timing ability in high sentiment than in low sentiment. The result is robust when I use alternative sentiment measures and different model specifications. Moreover, the style timing ability in high sentiment periods is more pronounced for less expensive funds with lower turnover and active shares. Then I investigate the source of this timing ability using 9 well-known stock return anomalies. I construct an anomaly timing measure (AT) using each of the 9 individual anomalies as well as the composite anomaly. AT is developed to detect whether fund managers could successfully time a certain anomaly. I find that mutual funds have better anomaly timing ability in composite anomaly and 4 contrarian anomalies which are investment-to-assets, asset growth, composite equity issue and net operating assets. Furthermore, I provide evidence that mutual funds with better timing abilities could outperform overall.

Essays on Mutual Funds

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (125 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Mutual Funds by : Xiang Kang

Download or read book Essays on Mutual Funds written by Xiang Kang and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is composed of two empirical studies on mutual funds. Chapter 1 studies the implication of the timing of mutual fund entry for subsequent long-term fund performance. As fund companies choose when to open new funds and what investment styles they practice, these choices may be informative about the fund qualities. I empirically explore the relation between entrant fund performance and past style performance. By examining a sample of 2,801 mutual fund entrant during the period of 1991--2015, I find that entrant funds with investment styles that have recently performed well tend to underperform in the future. The post-entry performance of hot style entrants is worse than both the post-entry performance of cold style entrants and the concurrent performance of incumbents in the same style categories. The empirical findings are unlikely to be driven by stock-level return reversals or competition among mutual funds, but consistent with fund investors practicing style investing and extrapolating their beliefs on style returns, leading to lower entry thresholds for fund managers in hot investment styles. Chapter 2 includes my joint work with David Xiaoyu Xu on how regulations in the Chinese stock market can affect investor behavior in the mutual fund market. We show that trading suspension, a regulatory policy on stock trading activities, gives rise to stale mutual fund NAVs and indirectly affects fund investors' behavior. Using a sample of 3,205 long-term trading suspension events in China during 2004--2018, we find that opportunistic investors combine firm-specific news and fund portfolio reports to make investment decisions. Quarterly fund flows positively respond to suspended portfolio stocks' unrealized impact on fund NAVs. Such responses are stronger for impactful good news, and portfolio disclosure plays a key role in this mechanism. Our findings suggest the need for a better integrated financial regulatory framework in emerging markets

Essays in Mutual Fund Performance, the Home Equity Bias and the Effects of Financial Frictions on Output and Occupational Choice

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ISBN 13 : 9781109222821
Total Pages : 188 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (228 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Mutual Fund Performance, the Home Equity Bias and the Effects of Financial Frictions on Output and Occupational Choice by : Evangelos Benos

Download or read book Essays in Mutual Fund Performance, the Home Equity Bias and the Effects of Financial Frictions on Output and Occupational Choice written by Evangelos Benos and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis we explore issues of mutual fund manager performance, we propose a factor that helps explain the home equity bias and theoretically explore the effects of such financial frictions as poor contract enforcement and intermediation costs on occupational choice and output.

Essays on Mutual Fund Performance

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Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Mutual Fund Performance by : Gulnara R. Zaynutdinova

Download or read book Essays on Mutual Fund Performance written by Gulnara R. Zaynutdinova and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapter two investigates timing abilities of alpha-opportunities by mutual fund managers. Active portfolio management is costly and may not deliver higher net returns to investors in the absence of sufficient alpha-opportunities when, e.g., stock returns are predominantly driven by systematic factors and highly correlated. Thus, mutual funds should engage in less active trading when stock valuation is expected to be less divergent. Our results show that mutual funds on average have the ability timing alpha-opportunities, with large-value and large-growth funds exhibiting the strongest timing skill. The results are robust when we control for past fund flows and returns, macroeconomic variables, and other potential timing skills. More importantly, funds with significantly positive timing skill earn 0.05% higher monthly returns, as measured by four-factor alpha, in subsequent month than those with negative timing skill. Our study contributes to the existing literature by proposing a novel measure to assess an important attribute of mutual fund active management ability.

Two Essays On Mutual Funds

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Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays On Mutual Funds by : Pramodkumar Yadav

Download or read book Two Essays On Mutual Funds written by Pramodkumar Yadav and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first essay examines whether fund flows of mutual fund family employees are smart. Using hand-collected data on investment of fund family employees, I show that employee flows predict fund performance up to two years. Moreover, employee flows lead flows of other investors, but not vice versa, further indicating that employee flows are smart. The predictive power of employee flows is stronger when fund family employees are located close to fund managers, pointing to employees exploiting their proximity to managers to learn about the managers' skill or effort. The results do not appear to be driven by ownership changes of portfolio managers themselves, family cross-subsidization efforts, plan design, or employee sophistication.The second essay (with Daniel Dorn) examines psychological cost of team structure in mutual fund industry. We show that team-managed mutual funds have a greater propensity to sell winners and hold losers than solo funds. This propensity is costly as winners sold outperform losers held by 56bp during the next quarter relative to stocks with similar size, book-to-market, and momentum characteristics. Disposition effects are strongest when positions are initiated by a subset of the team who thus bears special responsibility. In contrast, there is no disposition effect when positions are initiated by all team members. This suggests that the difficulty of admitting mistakes to peers (vanity), rather than conformity to in-group pressures (groupthink), poses a costly challenge for teams.