Essays on Labor Market Responses to the Great Recession and on the Effects of Monetary Unification on Macroeconomic Stability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Labor Market Responses to the Great Recession and on the Effects of Monetary Unification on Macroeconomic Stability by : Dominik Groll

Download or read book Essays on Labor Market Responses to the Great Recession and on the Effects of Monetary Unification on Macroeconomic Stability written by Dominik Groll and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

From the Great Recession to Labour Market Recovery

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230295185
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis From the Great Recession to Labour Market Recovery by : I. Islam

Download or read book From the Great Recession to Labour Market Recovery written by I. Islam and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-12-14 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book sheds light on the impact of the Great Recession from the perspective of both developing and developed countries. It traces the complex and multiple causes of the Great Recession, delineates the diversity in the macroeconomic and labour market consequences, and highlights the effectiveness of policy responses undertaken so far.

Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302605
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession by : Christopher J. Erceg

Download or read book Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession written by Christopher J. Erceg and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal times” (that is, in response to small or transitory shocks) but drops markedly in the wake of a large and persistent aggregate demand shock. Finally, we show that these considerations can have potentially crucial implications for the design of monetary policy, especially under circumstances in which adjustments to the short-term interest rate are constrained by the zero lower bound.

Essays on Macroeconomic Stabilization

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Macroeconomic Stabilization by : Rohan Kekre

Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomic Stabilization written by Rohan Kekre and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by policy debates emerging from the U.S. Great Recession and Eurozone crisis, I study the stabilization role of monetary, fiscal, and macroprudential policies in response to short-run fluctuations. In the first essay on "Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization", I characterize the role of unemployment insurance (UI) generosity as a particular instrument of fiscal policy, and use my framework to quantitatively evaluate the employment and welfare effects of UI extensions in the U.S. over 2008-13. In the second essay on "Labor Market Frictions in a Monetary Union", I study stabilization trade-offs and optimal monetary policy in a monetary union where labor markets are frictional and heterogeneous across member states, with implications for the sustainability of the Euro and policy of the ECB. In the third essay on "Firm vs. Bank Leverage over the Business Cycle", I develop a general equilibrium model explaining the contrasting cyclical behavior of non-financial corporate and bank leverage in U.S. data, and study its implications for macroprudential regulation in banking. Methodologically, these essays share a focus on building theoretical models of closed and open economies to address policy-relevant questions in macroeconomics, drawing on additional ideas from related fields such as public economics and finance.

Financial Instability and Economic Security After the Great Recession

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0857934848
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (579 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Instability and Economic Security After the Great Recession by : Charles J. Whalen

Download or read book Financial Instability and Economic Security After the Great Recession written by Charles J. Whalen and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ÔThis book advances the re-unification of the Institutionalist and Keynesian traditions, now unstoppable, which when last combined eighty years ago proved the power of progressive and pragmatic thought. Let the spirit of Keynes and Commons inspire our new era Ð and perhaps this time a coherent, enduring and useful academic economics may also result.Õ Ð James K. Galbraith, President, Association for Evolutionary Economics (2012) ÔFinancial Instability and Economic Security after the Great Recession is a welcomed volume for a variety of reasons. The book does a good job of: 1) surveying the foundations of Post-Keynesian Institutionalism (PKI); 2) unfolding new ways of understanding and appreciating the economic and institutional insights of Hyman Minsky (which are many); and 3) providing new economic analysis into the recent financial crisis both in the United States and globally. . . How uncertainty affects institutions and individual behavior is something that needs more exploration, and this volume contributes to a much-needed discussion on how both institutionalists and Post-Keynesians can work together on this. . . a very interesting and stimulating book that provides some new insights in the development of both Institutionalist and Post-Keynesian thought.Õ Ð Heterodox Economics Newsletter ÔThis important and fascinating book confirms that policymakers would do well to brush up on their reading of Hyman Minsky as they wrestle with the ongoing effects of the global financial crisis. It makes a compelling case for understanding the current situation as a crisis of capitalism Ð a system that veers between stability and instability Ð and for managing and regulating economies on the basis of MinskyÕs insight that stability breeds instability. MinskyÕs insight was psychological, not merely economic, and this volume furthers the argument for including disciplines such as psychology and philosophy in understanding markets. It also helps us recognize the truth that, in the end, economies are human constructs and it will require strong doses of humanism to successfully manage our economic future.Õ Ð Michael E. Lewitt, Harch Capital Management and author of The Death of Capital: How Creative Policy Can Restore Stability ÔThe volume offers an intriguing economic frame that vastly broadens the possibilities for economic research and shifts the focus of economists from markets to people. . . This volume makes a coherent and articulate case for a new interpretation of existing economic theories with long traditions that could help inform both research and policy in the future.Õ Ð Christian Weller, Perspectives on Work ÔA failing orthodoxy calls out for powerful alternatives. Neoclassical economics is that failed orthodoxy; Whalen and his contributors are the critical alternative. In this finely orchestrated edited volume, the contributors take turns wielding a sledgehammer to demolish the weakened edifice of neoclassical theory. Then, each adds a brick to a new theoretical foundation as they work together to expand upon the Post-Keynesian Institutionalist approach, especially the ideas laid down by Hyman Minsky. Their critique is clear and the alternative theory and policies they present are critical for anyone trying to understand the nature and operation of market-based economies.Õ Ð Dorene Isenberg, University of Redlands, US ÔA convergence of Post Keynesian and Institutional economics, which have much in common, offers a sound and practical way forward after the Great Recession. By drawing inspiration from Hyman Minsky and tracing similarities in the economics of Veblen, Commons and Keynes, this book pursues such a convergence in an original and thought-provoking manner. The result is a new way of thinking about economics, one based on serious economic theory and rooted firmly in economic reality.Õ Ð Philip Arestis, University of Cambridge, UK ÔFinancial Instability and Economic Security after the Great Recession explores the close relationship between Institutional and Post Keynesian economics, thereby contributing greatly to our understanding of the recent Ð indeed, still ongoing Ð crisis in the U.S. economy and global financial markets. Together these two schools of thought provide coherent diagnoses and prescriptions that are wholly lacking in orthodox neoclassical theory. We are reminded that institutions matter, unregulated financial markets are not self-correcting, economies stall at equilibriums far below potential, and activist government is the only path to rebuilding a stable and balanced economy. This book will help greatly in the important task of rethinking economics and pointing us in the direction of reform and recovery.Õ Ð Timothy A. Canova, Chapman University School of Law, US ÔFor those who take the work of Hyman Minsky seriously, this collection of essays provides a most welcome and refreshing examination of modern economic reality. It also demonstrates just how fruitful a conjoining of Post Keynesian and Institutionalist theory can be. Whalen has chosen his authors wisely, and, taken as a whole, their contributions provide an illuminating inquiry into what Minsky called Òmoney-manager capitalismÓ. The authors continue in the Minsky tradition, complementing his theoretical work and driving it forward. I highly recommend this book to not only economists who consider themselves Post Keynesian or Institutionalist, but to all who are looking for a way out of the theoretical impasse posed by conventional economics.Õ Ð John Henry, University of Missouri-Kansas City, US ÔIn the 1930s, economic theory and policy underwent dramatic change; such a shift occurs rarely and only in times of great calamity. We are in a similar period today, and this book enlightens economic policy and contributes to change that is ongoing in the mainstream of economic thinking. Economists and policymakers alike will benefit from this book.Õ Ð Ronnie J. Phillips, Colorado State University, US ÔCharles Whalen has been the torch-bearer for Post-Keynesian Institutionalism for many years. The fruit of his thought and time is reaped in the publication of this valuable work that should be of interest to all economists, particularly those concerned with the macroeconomic workings of the real economy. While there are multiple authors, Whalen wrote or co-authored half of the chapters, giving the book coherence not usually found in a collection of essays; a first-rate book.Õ Ð Charles K. Wilber, University of Notre Dame, US ÔThe end of the Great Moderation (a period characterized by modest business cycles) and the demise of its intellectual underpinnings, such as the efficient market hypothesis, opens the door to fresh thinking about the evolution of the US and world economies. This volume responds with a compendium of insights that grow out of Post-Keynesian Institutionalism. Central constructs in the analysis Ð essential to understanding the new Great Instability and to generating constructive policy responses Ð include money-manager capitalism, financial regulation, and economic evolution. The book provides a persuasive basis for reconstructing macroeconomics and for finding sets of policies that could lead to greater world prosperity. This is an important contribution, since much of the intellectual and policy response to the current crisis has challenged the status quo very little and has not inoculated the global economy from further instability.Õ Ð Kenneth P. Jameson, University of Utah, US ÔThis book makes a major contribution toward developing an economic framework to address the policy failures that precipitated the 2007Ð2009 financial crisis and slowed recovery from the Great Recession. It begins that process with wonderfully clear analyses of the influence of earlier non-classical economic thinkers on Keynes and Minsky and then uses their insights and hypotheses to critique the economic thinking that failed to anticipate the crisis. But, unlike many other excellent analyses of recent events, it also identifies policy options capable of preventing future crises and ensuring a more rapid recovery. The authors have laid a strong foundation for the theoretical perspective required to secure the broadly shared prosperity that many view as the overriding objective of an economic system.Õ Ð Jane DÕArista, University of Massachusetts at Amherst, US ÔInstitutionalists and Post Keynesians have a great deal in common, so much so that it is surprising how little cooperation there has been between them. This innovative and engaging volume will help to put this right. Several of the contributors identify the ideas of Hyman Minsky as providing a bridge between the two traditions (in much the same way as Micha Kalecki connects Post Keynesian and Marxian thought), suggesting important ways these camps can profit from each otherÕs insights. Across the volume, the crucial concepts of ÔfuturityÕ, expectations and fundamental uncertainty shape the authorsÕ approach to economic theory, while an insistence on the need for a Ômore wisely managed capitalismÕ unites their policy discussions. This book deserves to be widely read; it will have important consequences.Õ Ð John E. King, La Trobe University, Australia This timely book rethinks economic theory and policy by addressing the problem of economic instability and the need to secure broadly shared prosperity. It stresses that advancing economics in the wake of the Great Recession requires an evolutionary standpoint, greater attention to uncertainty and expectations, and the integration of finance into macroeconomics. The result is a broader array of policy options Ð and challenges Ð than conventional economics presents. Building on the pioneering work of Thorstein Veblen, John R. Commons and John Maynard Keynes, the authors synthesize key insights from Institutional and Post Keynesian economics into Post-Keynesian Institutionalism. Then they use that framework to explore an array of economic problems confronting the United States and the world. Inspired by the work of Hyman Minsky, the authors place financial relations at the center of their analysis of how economies operate and change over time. Students and scholars of macroeconomics and public policy will find this book of interest, as will a wider audience of financial analysts, policymakers and citizens interested in understanding economic booms and downturns.

Labor Market Policies and IMF Advice in Advanced Economies during the Great Recession

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484325486
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Market Policies and IMF Advice in Advanced Economies during the Great Recession by : Mr.Olivier J Blanchard

Download or read book Labor Market Policies and IMF Advice in Advanced Economies during the Great Recession written by Mr.Olivier J Blanchard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-29 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper does two things. First, it articulates what are the main implications of theoretical and empirical research for design of labor market policies and labor market institutions. Second, in this light, the paper analyzes the IMF’s labor market recommendations since the beginning of the crisis, both in general, and more specifically in program countries

The Great Recession

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Publisher : Nova Science Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781536136562
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (365 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Recession by : Anis Chowdhury

Download or read book The Great Recession written by Anis Chowdhury and published by Nova Science Publishers. This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The chapters in this volume were written as commentaries between mid-2008 and early-2016 in the wake of the Great Recession of 2008-2009. The primary topics around which the various essays are compiled are: (a) crisis and response, (b) fiscal policy, (c) monetary and capital account policy, (d) employment, and (e) development. The chapters not only provide a critique of mainstream macroeconomics, but also suggest a way forward. This volume contains an extensive introduction to synthesise the debate on macroeconomic orthodoxy and to assess the attempts at its reconstruction in light of its dismal failure in predicting the crisis and responding to it. As a background, it briefly traces the retreat of post-Great Depression Keynesian macroeconomics (with it, full employment as the primary policy goal) and the rise of new orthodoxy (concerned with a single target, inflation) that came to dominate major international financial institutions, notably the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. It also highlights contrasting analyses of the global macroeconomic issues by the Bretton Woods Institutions (BWIs) vis-á-vis the United Nations, and their contributions to macroeconomics-development discourse. Two main conclusions about the various attempts at reconstructing macroeconomics are that they: (1) suffer from an advanced country bias, and (2) do not pay sufficient attention to employment even in developed countries. The benign neglect of developing countries in reconstructing macroeconomics is not at all surprising, as both post-Great Depression macroeconomics and its orthodox replacement evolved without paying due regard to the particular circumstances and problems of developing countries. The neglect of employment in rethinking macroeconomics shows how deeply orthodoxy still remains embedded in the major institutions, as well as among professional economists and policymakers. There is no sign of any significant shift even when a good deal of research within the BWIs themselves report findings that are contrary to conventional wisdom. Thus, unfortunately, whatever is likely to emerge as post-Great Recession macroeconomics does not seem very encouraging for employment and development. The essays compiled in this volume suggest how macroeconomics can serve the dual objectives of short-term stabilisation and long-term inclusive sustainable development goals with decent and productive employment featuring prominently for both developed and developing countries.

Three Essays on Labor Market Friction and the Business Cycle

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (964 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Labor Market Friction and the Business Cycle by : Jong-Seok Oh

Download or read book Three Essays on Labor Market Friction and the Business Cycle written by Jong-Seok Oh and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation examines the macroeconomic impact of reduced labor market friction on the U.S. business cycle after the mid-1980s. The first two essays investigate the relationship between labor market flexibility and macroeconomic stability from a post-Keynesian perspective. In the third essay which reviews the relationship between labor market flexibility and patterns of U.S. business cycle, I test the argument that after 1985 Okun's coefficient became larger due to the flexible labor market. In essay 1, considering two aspects of labor market flexibility, employment flexibility and real wage flexibility, I adopt the flex-output model (Skott, 2015) to first discuss employment flexibility and then extend it by incorporating real wage dynamics induced from a wage-price Phillips curve (Flaschel and Krolzig, 2006) to address real wage flexibility. The simulation of model explains that employment flexibility increases instability of an economy whereas real wage flexibility reduces it. Empirical results of this paper suggest that during the Great Moderation, real wage flexibility played a major role in stabilizing the U.S. economy. On the other hand, employment flexibility has contributed to destabilizing the economy during the Great Recession. In essay 2, using structural VAR analysis, I provide more rigorous empirical evidence to support the hypothesis in essay 1 - real wage flexibility played a major role in stabilizing U.S. economy during the Great Moderation, and employment flexibility has contributed to destabilizing the economy during the Great Recession. I found that during the Great Moderation (1) Employment and real wage flexibilities were operating simultaneously; (2) The employment flexibility was not so severe; (3) Flexible real wages functioned as an autonomic stabilizer; (4) Therefore, stabilized goods market during the Great Moderation can be explained by dominating effect of the real wage flexibility over the employment flexibility. For the Great Recession, however, severe asymmetry in the business cycle and the lack of observations obstructs reliable empirical work. In essay 3, I discuss the observations of increased cyclicality in aggregate hours and increased responsiveness of the (un)employment rate to output changes after 1985, which have contributed to recent debate about the validity of Okun's law. To investigate this, I measure Okun's coefficients in three phases of the business cycle - recessions, early expansions and late expansions. Related findings include: (1) The main determining factor for an increased coefficient for aggregate hours is the increased responsiveness of the employment rate during late expansions. (2) The increased responsiveness of hours per employee in early expansion is another main determining factor for more reactive aggregate hours. These findings conflict with the flexible labor market hypothesis that focuses mainly on firms' firing behaviors during recessions when they incur less costs than previously.

Confronting Policy Challenges of the Great Recession

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Publisher : W.E. Upjohn Institute
ISBN 13 : 0880996366
Total Pages : 152 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Confronting Policy Challenges of the Great Recession by : Eskander Alvi

Download or read book Confronting Policy Challenges of the Great Recession written by Eskander Alvi and published by W.E. Upjohn Institute. This book was released on 2017-11-20 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a notable group of macroeconomists who describe the unprecedented events and often extraordinary policies put in place to limit the economic damage suffered during the Great Recession and then to put the economy back on track. Contributers include Barry Eichengreen; Gary Burtless; Donald Kohn; Laurence Ball, J. Bradford DeLong, and Lawrence H. Summers; and Kathryn M.E. Dominguez.

Labor Market Institutions and the Cost of Recessions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475592248
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Market Institutions and the Cost of Recessions by : Mr.Tom Krebs

Download or read book Labor Market Institutions and the Cost of Recessions written by Mr.Tom Krebs and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-04-03 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the effect of two labor market institutions, unemployment insurance (UI) and job search assistance (JSA), on the output cost and welfare cost of recessions. The paper develops a tractable incomplete-market model with search unemployment, skill depreciation during unemployment, and idiosyncratic as well as aggregate labor market risk. The theoretical analysis shows that an increase in JSA and a reduction in UI reduce the output cost of recessions by making the labor market more fluid along the job finding margin and thus making the economy more resilient to macroeconomic shocks. In contarst, the effect of JSA and UI on the welfare cost of recessions is in general ambiguous. The paper also provides a quantitative appliation to the German labor market reforms of 2003-2005, the so-called Hartz reforms, which improved JSA (Hartz III reform) and reduced UI (Hartz IV reform). According to the baseline calibration, the two labor market reforms led to a substantial reduction in the output cost of recessions and a moderate reduction in the welfare cost of recessions in Germany.

Essays on Labor Markets, Monetary Policy, and Uncertainty

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Labor Markets, Monetary Policy, and Uncertainty by : Neil Ware White (IV)

Download or read book Essays on Labor Markets, Monetary Policy, and Uncertainty written by Neil Ware White (IV) and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation examines the impacts on the labor market of monetary policy and macroeconomic uncertainty. The first chapter examines how monetary policy shocks in the U.S. affect the flows of workers among three labor market categories--employment, unemployment, and non-participation--and assesses each flow's relative importance to changes in labor market "stock'' variables like the unemployment rate. I find that job loss accounts for the largest portion of monetary policy's effect on labor markets. I develop a New Keynesian model that incorporates these channels and show how a central bank can achieve welfare gains from targeting job loss, rather than output, in an otherwise standard Taylor rule. The second chapter examines the role of monetary policy in "job polarization.'' I argue that contractionary monetary policy has accelerated the decline of employment in routine occupations, which largely affected workers with a high-school degree but no college. In part by disproportionately affecting industries with high shares of routine occupations, contractionary monetary policy shocks lead to large and persistent shifts away from routine employment. Expansionary shocks, on the other hand, have little effect on these industries. Indeed, monetary policy's effect on overall employment is concentrated in routine jobs. These results highlight monetary policy's role in generating fluctuations not only in the level of employment, but also the composition of employment across occupations and industries. The third chapter introduces new direct measures of uncertainty derived from the Michigan Survey of Consumers. The series underlying these new measures are more strongly correlated with economic activity than many other series that are the basis for uncertainty proxies. The survey also facilitates comparison with response dispersion or disagreement, a commonly used proxy for uncertainty in the literature. Dispersion measures have low or negative correlation with direct measures of uncertainty and often have causal effects of opposite sign, suggesting that they are poor proxies for uncertainty. For the measures based on series most closely correlated with economic activity, positive uncertainty shocks are mildly expansionary. This result is robust across identification and estimation strategies and is consistent with "growth options'' theories of the effects of uncertainty.

Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (859 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession by : Christopher J. Erceg

Download or read book Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession written by Christopher J. Erceg and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during "normal times" (that is, in response to small or transitory shocks) but drops markedly in the wake of a large and persistent aggregate demand shock. Finally, we show that these considerations can have potentially crucial implications for the design of monetary policy, especially under circumstances in which adjustments to the short-term interest rate are constrained by the zero lower bound.

Essays in Macroeconomic Dynamics Over Severe Recessions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Macroeconomic Dynamics Over Severe Recessions by : Benjamin Barfod Lidofsky

Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomic Dynamics Over Severe Recessions written by Benjamin Barfod Lidofsky and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In these essays, I study macroeconomic responses to large recessions, in environments with heterogeneous agents. In the first chapter, "Long-Term Debt, Default Risk, and Policy Transmission during Severe Recessions", I study the implications of rollover risk on firm-level investment and aggregate dynamics. A growing empirical literature suggests that the maturity risk associated with long-term debt reduces firm-level investment, particularly during recessions. I introduce discretely maturing long-term debt into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model where heterogeneous firms borrow subject to default risk. My model is distinguished relative to existing long-term debt models in that it captures the rollover risk arising from uncertainty about what economic conditions will be when debt matures. Moreover, my firms actively save in a short-term financial asset to help hedge against the maturity risk associated with their debt. Nonetheless, the rollover risk associated with discretely maturing long-term debt exacerbates the debt overhang problem arising in conventional long-term debt models. Thus, firms effectively face greater financial frictions, and output is on average lower. Consequently, my model predicts a larger rise in defaults and a greater decline in endogenous aggregate productivity in its response to a financial shock. Thus, its financial recessions are both deeper and longer-lived than in conventional models. I also consider a large non-financial aggregate shock, and use my model to study the efficacy of targeted stimulus policies implemented over the U.S. 2020 recession. My findings suggest that the combined effects of the Paycheck Protection Program and the expansion of quantitative easing helped stem the rise in defaults and stimulate the subsequent economic recovery. The second chapter, "The Persistence of Recessions with Incomplete Markets and Time-Varying Risk" (joint with Aubhik Khan), studies the implications of precautionary savings behavior across households on aggregate responses to crises. We study the propagation of recessions in overlapping generations economies wherein households, with uncertain lifetimes and uninsurable earnings risk, face cyclical employment risk. Business cycles are driven by persistent shocks to TFP growth and household-level employment. Increases in employment risk cause fluctuations in both the unemployment rate and in labor force participation. In this setting, we introduce elements commonly used to deliver a strong and countercyclical precautionary savings motive. Specifically, households have non-separable utility characterized by high levels of risk aversion, and a diminishing marginal productivity of investment leads to a time-varying price of capital. We find that changes in precautionary savings, following aggregate shocks, have important implications for aggregate consumption. Persistent negative shocks to TFP growth, associated with increases in risk to employment, drive large declines in consumption. This helps explain the large fall in consumption observed over the Great Recession. An empirically consistent, moderate shock to TFP growth rates implies a large and persistent fall, against trend, in aggregate consumption. Moreover, an estimated rise in households' risk of long-term non-employment reduces labor force participation and reconciles the swift recovery in TFP growth rates with a protracted decline in consumption and output.

Three Essays on the Macroeconomics of the Labor Market

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on the Macroeconomics of the Labor Market by : Ioannis Kospentaris

Download or read book Three Essays on the Macroeconomics of the Labor Market written by Ioannis Kospentaris and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this dissertation, I build macroeconomic models to answer questions of empirical relevance for the study of labor markets. The dissertation consists of an introductory overview and three research essays. The first essay is devoted to duration dependence in unemployment, namely the fact that recently unemployed workers have a signicantly better chance of finding a job than the long-term unemployed. I build a directed search model to quantify the importance of three common explanations for this fact: (i) unobserved worker differences, (ii) skill loss, and (iii) job-search effort decline. Two novel results emerge: first, the bulk of the effect of unobserved heterogeneity is concentrated in the first six months of the unemployment spell; the drop in job-finding rates observed at longer spells is mostly a result of skill loss and lower search effort. Second, skill loss has a vastly greater impact on job-finding than the decline in search effort. These results have two clear implications for labor market policy: (i) the impact of active labor market programs is expected to be larger for the long-term unemployed; (ii) job-training programs are expected to be more effective than job-search assistance policies at reducing long-term unemployment. In the second essay I study how information obtained by a worker while trying to find a job affects her job-search effort. Specically, I analyze how a worker, who is uncertain about her labor market traits and learns about them while looking for a job, allocates her search effort over the unemployment spell. The main result is that search effort is increasing over time when the worker is optimistic about her traits but decreasing when the worker is pessimistic about her traits. This result can explain discrepant empirical findings from previous literature on search effort. The final essay is devoted to job-search effort as an insurance channel. I build a model in which workers face substantial risk in the labor market but they have two means of self-insurance against this risk: increase their savings and their search effort. The main result is that when labor market risk becomes more severe workers increase both their savings and search effort but the increase in savings is twice as large as the increase in search effort. That is, workers make use of search effort as an insurance channel but much less than the savings channel.

Essays on the U.S. Labor Market

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on the U.S. Labor Market by : Matthew D. French

Download or read book Essays on the U.S. Labor Market written by Matthew D. French and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Special Issue: The Great Recession and European Labor Market Responses

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 209 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Special Issue: The Great Recession and European Labor Market Responses by : Josef C. Brada

Download or read book Special Issue: The Great Recession and European Labor Market Responses written by Josef C. Brada and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Labor Market Frictions and Macroeconomic Welfare

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 108 pages
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Book Synopsis Essays on Labor Market Frictions and Macroeconomic Welfare by : Guanyi Yang

Download or read book Essays on Labor Market Frictions and Macroeconomic Welfare written by Guanyi Yang and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapter 2 studies frictions in firm's hiring and firing decisions in an environment with dual labor markets. More firms execute employment decisions in two labor markets: a permanent (regular) market with firing costs and a frictionless temporary labor market. This paper studies the employment response of firms to heightened idiosyncratic risk and firing rigidity. Rising firing rigidity in the regular market and heightened risks reduce employment and output, which creates large welfare loss. By introducing a temporary labor market, firms switch from regular employment to temporary employment and reduce total employment loss. Thus, temporary employment creates a buffer for firms' employment decisions and for the economy's welfare. However, it cannot fully compensate the efficiency cost from rising firing cost and risk.