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Essays On Financial Time Series
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Book Synopsis Forecasting Financial Time Series Using Model Averaging by : Francesco Ravazzolo
Download or read book Forecasting Financial Time Series Using Model Averaging written by Francesco Ravazzolo and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2007 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Believing in a single model may be dangerous, and addressing model uncertainty by averaging different models in making forecasts may be very beneficial. In this thesis we focus on forecasting financial time series using model averaging schemes as a way to produce optimal forecasts. We derive and discuss in simulation exercises and empirical applications model averaging techniques that can reproduce stylized facts of financial time series, such as low predictability and time-varying patterns. We emphasize that model averaging is not a "magic" methodology which solves a priori problems of poorly forecasting. Averaging techniques have an essential requirement: individual models have to fit data. In the first section we provide a general outline of the thesis and its contributions to previ ous research. In Chapter 2 we focus on the use of time varying model weight combinations. In Chapter 3, we extend the analysis in the previous chapter to a new Bayesian averaging scheme that models structural instability carefully. In Chapter 4 we focus on forecasting the term structure of U.S. interest rates. In Chapter 5 we attempt to shed more light on forecasting performance of stochastic day-ahead price models. We examine six stochastic price models to forecast day-ahead prices of the two most active power exchanges in the world: the Nordic Power Exchange and the Amsterdam Power Exchange. Three of these forecasting models include weather forecasts. To sum up, the research finds an increase of forecasting power of financial time series when parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and optimal decision making are included.
Book Synopsis Essays in Financial Economics by : Rita Biswas
Download or read book Essays in Financial Economics written by Rita Biswas and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-10-24 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, dedicated to John W. Kensinger, explores a variety of topics in financial economics, including firm growth, investment risks, and the profitability of the banking industry. With its global perspective, Essays in Financial Economics is a valuable addition to the bookshelf of any researcher in finance.
Download or read book Essays written by Ramesh Gampat and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2022-01-06 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is no information available at this point.
Book Synopsis Analysis of Economic Time Series by : Marc Nerlove
Download or read book Analysis of Economic Time Series written by Marc Nerlove and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 495 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis integrates several topics in economic time-series analysis, including the formulation and estimation of distributed-lag models of dynamic economic behavior; the application of spectral analysis in the study of the behavior of economic time series; and unobserved-components models for economic time series and the closely related problem of seasonal adjustment. Comprised of 14 chapters, this volume begins with a historical background on the use of unobserved components in the analysis of economic time series, followed by an Introduction to the theory of stationary time series. Subsequent chapters focus on the spectral representation and its estimation; formulation of distributed-lag models; elements of the theory of prediction and extraction; and formulation of unobserved-components models and canonical forms. Seasonal adjustment techniques and multivariate mixed moving-average autoregressive time-series models are also considered. Finally, a time-series model of the U.S. cattle industry is presented. This monograph will be of value to mathematicians, economists, and those interested in economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics.
Author :Torben Gustav Andersen Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3540712976 Total Pages :1045 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (47 download)
Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Time Series by : Torben Gustav Andersen
Download or read book Handbook of Financial Time Series written by Torben Gustav Andersen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-04-21 with total page 1045 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Financial Time Series gives an up-to-date overview of the field and covers all relevant topics both from a statistical and an econometrical point of view. There are many fine contributions, and a preamble by Nobel Prize winner Robert F. Engle.
Book Synopsis Analysis of Financial Time Series by : Ruey S. Tsay
Download or read book Analysis of Financial Time Series written by Ruey S. Tsay and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-08-30 with total page 724 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a broad, mature, and systematic introduction to current financial econometric models and their applications to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: Analysis and application of univariate financial time series The return series of multiple assets Bayesian inference in finance methods Key features of the new edition include additional coverage of modern day topics such as arbitrage, pair trading, realized volatility, and credit risk modeling; a smooth transition from S-Plus to R; and expanded empirical financial data sets. The overall objective of the book is to provide some knowledge of financial time series, introduce some statistical tools useful for analyzing these series and gain experience in financial applications of various econometric methods.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data by : Philip Rothman
Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data written by Philip Rothman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 379 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data provides an examination of the flourishing interest that has developed in this area over the past decade. The constant theme throughout this work is that standard linear time series tools leave unexamined and unexploited economically significant features in frequently used data sets. The book comprises original contributions written by specialists in the field, and offers a combination of both applied and methodological papers. It will be useful to both seasoned veterans of nonlinear time series analysis and those searching for an informative panoramic look at front-line developments in the area.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell
Download or read book Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2002-08-22 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets' assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It then uses a technical survey to explain the different ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return.The editors have brought together a set of contributors that give the reader a firm grounding in relevant theory and research and an insight into the cutting edge techniques applied in this field of the financial markets.This book is of particular relevance to anyone who wants to understand dynamic areas of the financial markets.* Traders will profit by learning to arbitrage opportunities and modify their strategies to account for volatility.* Investment managers will be able to enhance their asset allocation strategies with an improved understanding of likely risks and returns.* Risk managers will understand how to improve their measurement systems and forecasts, enhancing their risk management models and controls.* Derivative specialists will gain an in-depth understanding of volatility that they can use to improve their pricing models.* Students and academics will find the collection of papers an invaluable overview of this field.This book is of particular relevance to those wanting to understand the dynamic areas of volatility modeling and forecasting of the financial marketsProvides the latest research and techniques for Traders, Investment Managers, Risk Managers and Derivative Specialists wishing to manage their downside risk exposure Current research on the key forecasting methods to use in risk management, including two new chapters
Book Synopsis Essays in Economic Dynamics by : Akio Matsumoto
Download or read book Essays in Economic Dynamics written by Akio Matsumoto and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-09-22 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reflects the state of the art in nonlinear economic dynamics, providing a broad overview of dynamic economic models at different levels. The wide variety of approaches ranges from theoretical and simulation analysis to methodological study. In particular, it examines the local and global asymptotical behavior of both macro- and micro- level mathematical models, theoretically as well as using simulation. It also focuses on systems with one or more time delays for which new methodology has to be developed to investigate their asymptotic properties. The book offers a comprehensive summary of the existing methodology with extensions to the more complex model variants, since considerations on bounded rationality of complex economic behavior provide the foundation underlying choice-theoretic and policy-oriented studies of macro behavior, which impact the real macro economy. It includes 13 chapters addressing traditional models such as monopoly, duopoly and oligopoly in microeconomics and Keynesian, Goodwinian, and Kaldor–Kaleckian models in macroeconomics. Each chapter presents new aspects of these traditional models that have never been seen before. This work renews the past wisdom and reveals tomorrow's knowledge.
Book Synopsis Handbook of the Economics of Finance by : G. Constantinides
Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Finance written by G. Constantinides and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2003-11-04 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volume 1B covers the economics of financial markets: the saving and investment decisions; the valuation of equities, derivatives, and fixed income securities; and market microstructure.
Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis: Forecasting & Control, 3/E by :
Download or read book Time Series Analysis: Forecasting & Control, 3/E written by and published by Pearson Education India. This book was released on 1994-09 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a complete revision of a classic, seminal, and authoritative text that has been the model for most books on the topic written since 1970. It explores the building of stochastic (statistical) models for time series and their use in important areas of application -forecasting, model specification, estimation, and checking, transfer function modeling of dynamic relationships, modeling the effects of intervention events, and process control.
Author :Charalambos D. Aliprantis Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3662058588 Total Pages :733 pages Book Rating :4.6/5 (62 download)
Book Synopsis Assets, Beliefs, and Equilibria in Economic Dynamics by : Charalambos D. Aliprantis
Download or read book Assets, Beliefs, and Equilibria in Economic Dynamics written by Charalambos D. Aliprantis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 733 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of papers dealing with a broad range of topics in mathematical economics, game theory and economic dynamics. The contributions present both theoretical and applied research. The volume is dedicated to Mordecai Kurz. The papers were presented in a special symposium co-hosted by the Stanford University Department of Economics and by the Stanford Institute of Economic Policy Research in August 2002.
Book Synopsis Local clusters in global value chains by : Roos Kities Andadari
Download or read book Local clusters in global value chains written by Roos Kities Andadari and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips by : Thomas B. Fomby
Download or read book Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips written by Thomas B. Fomby and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2014-11-21 with total page 772 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume honors Professor Peter C.B. Phillips' many contributions to the field of econometrics. The topics include non-stationary time series, panel models, financial econometrics, predictive tests, IV estimation and inference, difference-in-difference regressions, stochastic dominance techniques, and information matrix testing.
Book Synopsis Riskfree rate dynamics by : Michel van der Wel.
Download or read book Riskfree rate dynamics written by Michel van der Wel. and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Social influences on individual decision making processes by : Ferdinand Vieider
Download or read book Social influences on individual decision making processes written by Ferdinand Vieider and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2009 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main focus of this thesis is to combine the multiple findings from social psychology and apply them with an economic approach to decision making. To this purpose, we investigate accountability and its interaction with market mechanisms, more specifically real incentives in experimental settings. This PhD thesis is structured as follows. Chapter 2 studies the effect of accountability on ambiguity aversion-the preference for known over normatively equivalent unknown probabilities. Chapter 3 follows up on the ambiguity aversion issue by studying preference reversals under ambiguity. Chapter 4 examines the influence of accountability on risk attitude. Chapter 5 is of a methodological nature. We separate accountability and incentives, and find several effects. Accountability is found to reduce preference reversals between frames, for which incentives have no effect. Incentives on the other hand are found to reduce risk seeking for losses, where accountability has no effect.
Book Synopsis New insights into behavioral finance by : Guido Baltussen
Download or read book New insights into behavioral finance written by Guido Baltussen and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
