Three Essays on Financial Analysts

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Total Pages : 130 pages
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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Financial Analysts by : Dong Hyun Son

Download or read book Three Essays on Financial Analysts written by Dong Hyun Son and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays in Financial Analysts and Corporate Disclosure Using Textual Analysis

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Book Synopsis Three Essays in Financial Analysts and Corporate Disclosure Using Textual Analysis by : Zhu Chen

Download or read book Three Essays in Financial Analysts and Corporate Disclosure Using Textual Analysis written by Zhu Chen and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The dissertation consists of two essays in financial analysts and one essay in corporate disclosure, all utilizing textual analysis. In the first essay, I decompose analysts’ estimates of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) into abnormal and expected components using a risk characteristic-based model. I find that the abnormal component predicts future stock returns, especially when combined with EPS and dispersion of EPS forecasts. Additional analysis shows that the abnormal component of WACC predicts underlying firms’ future fundamental performance, particularly for experienced analysts and firms with low information intensity. My findings highlight that the abnormal component of analysts’ WACC estimates is informative. Analysts’ decision process to map their forecast inputs such as EPS forecasts and risk assessment to their investment opinions such as target price and recommendation remains to be a black box in the previous literature. In the second essay, I find that analysts’ estimate of WACC is negatively associated with their target price forecasts. It provides empirical evidence that analysts would rationalize the DCF model. From the investor’s perspective, I find that investors generally overreact to the information in WACC estimates when evaluating analysts’ target price forecasts. The extent of the overreaction depends on whether target price changes are conflicted by WACC changes. In light of psychological theories, I provide empirical evidence that when the investors' optimistic verifiable expectation is rejected, they switch to the unverifiable component - WACC for information. At last, I show similar empirical evidence for analyst recommendation.In the third essay, using 4,262 Form 20-F filings from 37 countries, we find that corporate risk-taking is positively associated with managerial expectation as measured by forward-looking statement (FLS) tone, particularly for firms from countries with strong institutions and for FLS tone related to macroeconomics. Our study advances the measure of overall managerial expectations and links it to corporate risk-taking in an international setting"--

Essays on Financial Analysts

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Analysts by : Hiep Manh Nguyen

Download or read book Essays on Financial Analysts written by Hiep Manh Nguyen and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial analysts play an important role in capital markets. Through the issuance of analysis reports, they facilitate the incorporation of costly private information into security prices, supporting the informational efficiency of financial markets. Thus, understanding their behavior has important implications for firms, investors, and policy makers. Despite decades of work, there are still many open questions regarding how financial analysts produce and how these reports are influenced by their working environment.In this dissertation, we attempt at contributing to the literature of analyst behavior and its effects on the capital market by addressing several new research questions. The first two papers of this thesis try to better understand the incentives behind the well-known analyst bias and identify new sources of bias. The third paper extends into an analysis of corporate governance and the role of financial analysts in alleviating information asymmetry.

Three Essays on Financial Analysts' Performance

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Total Pages : 135 pages
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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Financial Analysts' Performance by : Andreea Moraru-Arfire

Download or read book Three Essays on Financial Analysts' Performance written by Andreea Moraru-Arfire and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Financial Analysts' Forecasts

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Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (775 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Analysts' Forecasts by : Marius del Giudice Rodriguez

Download or read book Essays on Financial Analysts' Forecasts written by Marius del Giudice Rodriguez and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation contains three self-contained chapters dealing with specific aspects of financial analysts' earnings forecasts. After recent accounting scandals, much attention has turned to the incentives present in the career of professional financial analysts. The literature points to several reasons why financial analysts behave overoptimistically when providing their predictions. In particular, analysts may wish to maintain good relations with firm management, to please the underwriters and brokerage houses at which they are employed, and to broaden career choice. While the literature has focused more on analysts' strategic behavior in these situations, less attention has been paid to the implications these factors have on financial analysts' loss functions. The loss function dictates the criteria that analysts use in order to build their forecasts. Using a simple compensation scheme in which the sign of prediction errors affect their incomes differently, in the first chapter we examine the implications this has on their loss function. We show that depending on the contract offered, analysts have a strict preference for under-prediction or over-prediction and the size of this asymmetric behavior depends on the parameter that governs the financial analyst's preferences over wealth. This is turn affects the bias in their forecasts. Recent developments in the forecasting literature allow for the estimation of asymmetry parameters after observing data on forecasts. Moreover, they allow for a more general test of rationality once asymmetries are present. We make use of forecast data from financial analysts, provided by I/B/E/S, and present evidence of asymmetries and weak evidence against rationality. In the second chapter we study the evolution over time in the revisions to financial analysts' earnings estimates for the 30 Dow Jones firms over a 20 year period. If analysts' forecasts used information efficiently, earnings revisions should not be predictable. However, we find strong evidence that earnings revisions can in fact be predicted by means of the sign of the last revision or by using publicly available information such as short interest rates and past revisions. We propose a three-state model that accounts for the very different magnitude and persistence of positive, negative and `no change' revisions and find that this model forecasts earnings revisions significantly better than an autoregressive model. We also find that our forecasts of earnings revisions predict the actual earnings figure beyond the information contained in analysts' earnings estimates. Finally, the empirical literature on financial analysts' forecast revisions of corporate earnings has focused on past stock returns as the key determinant. The effects of macroeconomic information on forecast revisions is widely discussed, yet rarely tested in the literature. In the third chapter, we use dynamic factor analysis for large data sets to summarize a large cross-section of macroeconomic variables. The estimated factors are used as predictors of the average analyst's forecast revisions for different sectors of the economy. Our analysis suggests that factors extracted from macroeconomic variables do, indeed, improve on the current model with only past stock returns. In trying to explain what drives financial analysts' forecast revisions, the factors representing the macroeconomic environment must be considered to avoid a potential omitted variable problem. Moreover, the explanatory power and direction of such factors strongly depend on the industry in question.

Two Essays on Financial Analysts

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Total Pages : 103 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays on Financial Analysts by : Kerry Xiao

Download or read book Two Essays on Financial Analysts written by Kerry Xiao and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Financial Analysts and Broker-hosted Conferences

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Analysts and Broker-hosted Conferences by : Yang Wang

Download or read book Essays on Financial Analysts and Broker-hosted Conferences written by Yang Wang and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Financial Analysts

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Total Pages : 0 pages
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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Financial Analysts by : Li, Xi

Download or read book Three Essays on Financial Analysts written by Li, Xi and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first chapter improves on the three controversies in the previous analyst literature: Sample coverage, risk adjustments, and performance measurement. I show that at the aggregate level, analyst portfolios generate significant abnormal returns. However, this abnormal performance is generated mainly within a narrow event window around the recommendation date, with no significant post-event return drift. Individually, a large number of analysts significantly outperform risk-adjusted benchmarks. In addition, performance improves with the number of recommendations issued, the number of stocks covered, and the size of their brokerage firms. All-American analyst ranking of Institutional Investor cannot predict analyst performance. Moreover, analysts with more reputation capital at stake recommend less risky portfolios and deviate less from the herd. The second chapter examines the performance persistence of financial analysts at the quarterly, semiannual, and annual intervals in both a two-period and a multi-period framework. The results reveal one-period ahead performance persistence for financial analysts' buy recommendations, which is invariant to testing methodologies, portfolio weighting schemes, return measurement intervals, and risk adjustments. The results also suggest that this performance persistence is more pronounced for raw returns than for risk-adjusted returns and is largely attributable to past winners rather than losers. The third chapter investigates the relation between three important career concerns of financial analysts and their investment recommendation performance. It provides an understanding of different career concerns and evidence relevant to the current policy debate on reforming analyst compensation structure to reduce bias. I find that reputation and recognition are much more important than performance and efforts for Institutional Investor all-star ranking. In contrast, performance and efforts are the most important for Wall Street Journal all-star ranking. Reputation and recognition only have effects for Wall Street Journal non-all-stars to be elected, and performance is the most important for both non-all-stars and all-stars. Career termination provides some extra incentive for better performance and efforts, although it also depends on reputation and recognition.

Three Essays on Financial Analysts

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (522 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Financial Analysts by : Li, Xi

Download or read book Three Essays on Financial Analysts written by Li, Xi and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on the Monitoring Role of Financial Analysts

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Total Pages : 0 pages
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Book Synopsis Three Essays on the Monitoring Role of Financial Analysts by : Zhongwei Huang

Download or read book Three Essays on the Monitoring Role of Financial Analysts written by Zhongwei Huang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three chapters that present three standalone essays on the monitoring role of financial analysts. Chapter 1 investigates the monitoring role of financial analysts in the financial reporting process by examining the informativeness and monitoring effect of their written comments on earnings quality. I find that these comments have incremental predictability with respect to future accounting restatements, and convey information to investors beyond that in the earnings forecasts, stock ratings, price targets, and other qualitative text in analyst reports. Further analyses suggest that the market's reaction to these comments is primarily driven by negative comments and comments written with certainty. In addition, controlling for accrual reversals, I find that firms significantly reduce the level of accruals-based earnings management after receiving negative comments, and this reduction is not accompanied by an increase in real activities management. Overall, the first chapter provides direct evidence on analysts' monitoring role in financial reporting. Chapter 2 examines whether and how analysts' monitoring of the financial reporting process alleviates a well-known agency problem in which a manager inflates her compensation by manipulating earnings. I argue that analysts' monitoring reduces a manager's ability to conceal earnings management from directors, thus facilitating directors' adjustment of executive compensation in the presence of earnings management. Consistent with this argument, I find that earnings carry a lower weight in the determination of CEO compensation in firms that are criticized by analysts regarding earnings quality, but only when directors are likely to be aware of the critical analyst reports. The main findings are robust to matching on performance and controlling for firm-fixed effects and are not driven by other text in the analyst reports. Additional analyses suggest that the weight placed on earnings decreases as the actual accruals deviate from analysts' accruals forecasts. Overall, the second chapter emphasizes analysts' monitoring role in alleviating managerial rent extraction in executive compensation. Chapter 3 provides evidence on the impact of recent analyst independence reforms (the National Association of Securities Dealers [NASD] Rule 2711 and the companion New York Stock Exchange [NYSE] Rule 472 Amendment, and the Global Settlement) on analysts' monitoring role in the financial reporting process. The NASD Rule 2711 requires brokerage firms to structurally separate investment banking from equity research; meanwhile, the Global Settlement mandates the participating banks to fund independent research firms to the amount of 432.5 million dollars from 2004 to 2009. I find evidence consistent with an increase in analysts' monitoring effectiveness following the reforms. Further analyses suggest that this increase is primarily driven by the Global Settlement, rather than by the adoption of NASD Rule 2711. The evidence is robust to a difference-in-difference specification with Canadian firms as the control group. Moreover, I document a reversal of the increase in monitoring effectiveness following the end of the Global Settlement's five-year funding. Overall, the third chapter highlights the interaction between the monitoring role of financial analysts and the regulatory environment.

Two Essays on the Sell-side Financial Analysts

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Book Synopsis Two Essays on the Sell-side Financial Analysts by : Liu, Xi

Download or read book Two Essays on the Sell-side Financial Analysts written by Liu, Xi and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the first essay titled "The Information Role of Analysts' Contrarian Revisions," I study a special group of revisions: contrarian revisions, defined as recommendation changes that are inconsistent with sizable stock price movements during the past week. I find that contrarian revisions are relatively more informative than trending revisions. In particular, contrarian revisions are associated with a both statistically and economically larger post-announcement drift. I also find contrarian downgrades are less likely to be issued by all-star analysts and analysts with more experience. After implementation of Regulation RD, the market reaction to contrarian revisions issued by all-stars significantly decreases, indicating private information contained in contrarian recommendations has declined. Overall, our results suggest analyst recommendations are important information sources for market participants. In the second essay titled "Market Reaction to Earnings When Investors Disagree," I investigate how the divergence of opinions between individual and institutional investors affects stock price movements around public news events, specifically earnings announcements. I use a discrete static market equilibrium model to illustrate that divergence of investors' opinions has a significant impact on stock price movements around earnings announcements. Specifically, the divergence of opinion has a negative relation with the immediate market reaction but a positive relation with the subsequent stock price drift. I also investigate trading volume around earnings announcements to explore how traders respond to changes in the divergence of investors' opinions. Empirical evidence supports the model implications and indicates announcement trading volume decreases inversely to the divergence of opinions.

Essays on Financial Analysts, Corporate Governance, and Capital Markets

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Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (621 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Analysts, Corporate Governance, and Capital Markets by : Tianqi Jiang

Download or read book Essays on Financial Analysts, Corporate Governance, and Capital Markets written by Tianqi Jiang and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Corporate Insiders and Financial Analysts

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Corporate Insiders and Financial Analysts by : Huabing Wang

Download or read book Three Essays on Corporate Insiders and Financial Analysts written by Huabing Wang and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Financial Analysts' Stock Price Forecasts

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Financial Analysts' Stock Price Forecasts by : Quoc Tuan Quoc Ho

Download or read book Three Essays on Financial Analysts' Stock Price Forecasts written by Quoc Tuan Quoc Ho and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis, I study three aspects of sell-side analysts' stock price forecasts, henceforth target prices: analyst teams' target price forecast characteristics, analysts' use of information to revise target prices, and determinants of target price disagreement between analysts. The first essay studies the target price forecast performance of team analysts in the UK and finds that teams issue timelier but not less accurate target prices. Unlike evidence from previous studies, my findings suggest that analyst teamwork may improve forecast timeliness without sacrificing forecast accuracy. However, market reactions to team target price revisions are not significantly different from those to individual analyst target price revisions, suggesting that although target prices issued by analyst teams are timelier and not less accurate than those of individual analysts, investors do not consider analyst team target prices more informative. I conjecture that analysts may work in teams to meet the demand to cover more companies while maintaining the quality of research by individual team members rather than to issue more informative reports. In the second essay, I study how analysts revise their target prices in response to new information implicit in recent market returns, stock excess returns and other analysts' target price revisions. The results suggest that analysts' target price revisions are significantly influenced by market returns, stock excess return and other analysts' target price revisions. I also find that the correlation between target price revisions and stock excess returns is significantly higher when the news implicit in these returns is bad rather than good. I conjecture that analysts discover more bad news from the information in stock excess returns because firms tend to withhold bad news, disclosing it only when it becomes inevitable, while they disclose good news early. Using a new measure of bad to good news concentration, I show that the asymmetric responsiveness of target price revisions to positive and negative stock excess returns is significant for firms with the highest concentration of bad news but is insignificant for firms with the lowest concentration of bad news. I argue that firms with the highest concentration of bad news are more likely to withhold and accumulate bad news. The findings, therefore, support my hypothesis that analysts discover more bad news than good news from stock returns because firms tend to withhold bad news, disclosing it only when it is inevitable. The third essay examines the determinants of analyst target price disagreement. I find that while disagreement in short-term earnings and in long-term earnings growth forecasts are significant determinants, recent 12-month idiosyncratic return volatility has the strongest explanatory power for target price disagreement. The findings suggest that target price disagreement is driven not only by analyst disagreement about short-term earnings and long-term earnings growth, but also by differences in analysts' opinions about the impact of recent firm-specific events on value drivers beyond short-term future earnings and long-term growth, which are eventually reflected in past idiosyncratic return volatility.

Essays on Characteristics of Sell-side Financial Analysts and Information Environment of Financial Markets

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Total Pages : 0 pages
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Book Synopsis Essays on Characteristics of Sell-side Financial Analysts and Information Environment of Financial Markets by : Yihan Li

Download or read book Essays on Characteristics of Sell-side Financial Analysts and Information Environment of Financial Markets written by Yihan Li and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note is part of Quality testing.

Two Essays on the Role of Financial Analysts in Capital Markets

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 83 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (881 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays on the Role of Financial Analysts in Capital Markets by : Yihong Wang

Download or read book Two Essays on the Role of Financial Analysts in Capital Markets written by Yihong Wang and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Two Essays in Financial Accounting

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 143 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (773 download)

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Book Synopsis Two Essays in Financial Accounting by : Dorothy Alexander-Smith

Download or read book Two Essays in Financial Accounting written by Dorothy Alexander-Smith and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 143 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essay 1: The Association of Earnings Quality with Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecast Attributes. This study investigates the association between firms' earnings quality and analysts' forecast errors and dispersion. The findings suggest that the quality of earnings is inversely related to analysts' forecast errors but is not associated with forecast dispersion. These results are better understood by an examination of the relationship of forecast error and dispersion with the major sub-components of earnings quality- the quality of the innate accrual component (quality of accruals related to the complexity of the firm's operations) and the quality of the discretionary accrual component (quality of managements' judgment as reflected in accruals used to project future performance). The inverse association between earnings quality and forecast error is driven primarily by the quality of the firm's innate accrual component (InnAQ). As firm complexity and variability increase, earnings contain larger amounts of management judgment and estimation. The larger amount of management estimation included in earnings renders it relatively less reliable and thus forecasting difficulty (reflected in greater forecast errors and dispersion) is amplified for poorer InnAQ. This inverse association is the dominant effect in earnings quality's association with analysts' forecast errors. The quality of firms' discretionary accrual components depends upon whether managers use of their discretion to provide value relevant information, or whether they use the discretionary component to incorporate manipulative and noisy discretionary accruals. In a regression of the of firms' discretionary earnings components on forecast dispersion I find an inverse relationship between the magnitude of the firm's discretionary earnings component and analysts' forecast dispersion. This is consistent with managers using the discretionary component to provide information on firm performance, thus facilitating more precision in analysts' forecasts. This essay contributes to two controversial areas of accounting research. The study indirectly provides evidence supporting managers' (on average) use of their discretion to provide value relevant information in earnings; and it simultaneously demonstrates analysts' expertise in incorporating information related to EQ and its sub components into their forecasts. Essay 2: The Influence of Earnings Quality on Financial Analysts' Herding Behavior. Essay 2 investigates how firms' EQ and its innate (the quality of accruals related to the complexity of the firm's operations) and discretionary (the quality of accruals based on managements' discretion) sub-components affect analysts' motivation to issue herding forecasts. Herding forecasts are forecasts which mimic those issued by other analysts and ignore the analyst's own private information. Although theoretical studies have linked herding behavior to analysts' rational reputational concerns, herding reduces the information available to investors in the market and hence negatively impacts market efficiency. Conversely, bold forecasts, forecasts issued which move away from the consensus (linked in prior studies to greater private information release and higher accuracy) are likely to contribute to improved market efficiency. As capital market intermediaries, financial analysts are charged with facilitating investors' investment decisions. The literature documents that poor earnings quality reduces investors' ability to evaluate firm performance. This essay contributes to the literature by providing evidence on how financial analysts' herding behavior is influenced by EQ and its sub components. Results show that the quality of the firm's innate accrual component is the major driver of analysts' bold forecasting. The negative association between forecast boldness and firms' innate accrual quality indicates that analysts issue bolder forecasts when investors have more difficulty determining firm value (noisier signal from innate accrual component). Given the prior literature finds that bolder forecasts contain more private information and are more accurate, the results suggests that analysts are effectively performing their market intermediary function. The lack of a significant association between bold forecasting and the discretionary earnings component is in line with prior literature's documentation of analysts' poor utilization of the discretionary information in their forecasts. However, this study's evidence of a positive association between bold forecasts and analysts' firm specific experience implies that analysts with more firm specific experience have a greater understanding of managers' discretionary signals and exploit their advantage by issuing bolder forecasts. Results show a negative association between firms' overall EQ and analysts' forecast boldness implying that analysts herd more the higher the firm's EQ. This finding underscores the importance of reputational concerns and the demand for analysts' investment advice for analysts' herding behavior.