Equity Prices Bond Spreads And Credit Default Swaps In Emerging Markets

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Credit Default Swaps

Author : Marti Subrahmanyam
Publisher : Now Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781601989000
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Default Swaps by : Marti Subrahmanyam

Download or read book Credit Default Swaps written by Marti Subrahmanyam and published by Now Publishers. This book was released on 2014-12-19 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Default Swaps: A Survey is the most comprehensive review of all major research domains involving credit default swaps (CDS). CDS have been growing in importance in the global financial markets. However, their role has been hotly debated, in industry and academia, particularly since the credit crisis of 2007-2009. The authors review the extant literature on CDS that has accumulated over the past two decades and divide the survey into seven topics after providing a broad overview in the introduction. The second section traces the historical development of CDS markets and provides an introduction to CDS contract definitions and conventions. The third section discusses the pricing of CDS, from the perspective of no-arbitrage principles, structural, and reduced-form credit risk models. It also summarizes the literature on the determinants of CDS spreads, with a focus on the role of fundamental credit risk factors, liquidity and counterparty risk. The fourth section discusses how the development of the CDS market has affected the characteristics of the bond and equity markets, with an emphasis on market efficiency, price discovery, information flow, and liquidity. Attention is also paid to the CDS-bond basis, the wedge between the pricing of the CDS and its reference bond, and the mispricing between the CDS and the equity market. The fifth section examines the effect of CDS trading on firms' credit and bankruptcy risk, and how it affects corporate financial policy, including bond issuance, capital structure, liquidity management, and corporate governance. The sixth section analyzes how CDS impact the economic incentives of financial intermediaries. The seventh section reviews the growing literature on sovereign CDS and highlights the major differences between the sovereign and corporate CDS markets. The eighth section discusses CDS indices, especially the role of synthetic CDS index products backed by residential mortgage-backed securities during the financial crisis. The authors close with our suggestions for promising future research directions on CDS contracts and markets.

Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

Author : Iva Petrova
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455252859
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads by : Iva Petrova

Download or read book Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads written by Iva Petrova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. During the current global financial and economic crisis, sovereign bond spreads widened dramatically for both developed and emerging market economies. This deterioration has widely been attributed to rapidly growing public debts and balance sheet risks. Our results indicate that in the long run, fundamentals are significant determinants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads, while in the short run, financial volatility is a more important determinant of sperads than fundamentals indicators.

Credit Risk

Author : Niklas Wagner
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1584889950
Total Pages : 600 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk by : Niklas Wagner

Download or read book Credit Risk written by Niklas Wagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-05-28 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475589581
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Global Financial Stability Report examines current risks facing the global financial system and policy actions that may mitigate these. It analyzes the key challenges facing financial and nonfinancial firms as they continue to repair their balance sheets. Chapter 2 takes a closer look at whether sovereign credit default swaps markets are good indicators of sovereign credit risk. Chapter 3 examines unconventional monetary policy in some depth, including the policies pursued by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

Author : Jiri Podpiera
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455200573
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions by : Jiri Podpiera

Download or read book The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions written by Jiri Podpiera and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-06-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly data over 2004 - 08 for 29 European LCFIs. The results from a dynamic panel data estimator show that LCFIs’ business models, earnings potential, and economic uncertainty (represented by market expectations about the future risks of a particular LCFI and market views on prospects for economic growth) are among the most significant determinants of credit risk. The findings of the paper are broadly consistent with those of the literature on bank failure, where the determinants of the latter include the entire CAMELS structure - that is, Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Management Quality, Earnings Potential, Liquidity, and Sensitivity to Market Risk. By establishing a link between the financial and market fundamentals of LCFIs and their CDS spreads, the paper offers a potential tool for fundamentals-based vulnerability and early warning system for LCFIs.

Completing the Market: Generating Shadow CDS Spreads by Machine Learning

Author : Nan Hu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513524089
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Completing the Market: Generating Shadow CDS Spreads by Machine Learning by : Nan Hu

Download or read book Completing the Market: Generating Shadow CDS Spreads by Machine Learning written by Nan Hu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-12-27 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We compared the predictive performance of a series of machine learning and traditional methods for monthly CDS spreads, using firms’ accounting-based, market-based and macroeconomics variables for a time period of 2006 to 2016. We find that ensemble machine learning methods (Bagging, Gradient Boosting and Random Forest) strongly outperform other estimators, and Bagging particularly stands out in terms of accuracy. Traditional credit risk models using OLS techniques have the lowest out-of-sample prediction accuracy. The results suggest that the non-linear machine learning methods, especially the ensemble methods, add considerable value to existent credit risk prediction accuracy and enable CDS shadow pricing for companies missing those securities.

Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices

Author : Mr. Evan Papageorgiou
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616357592
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices by : Mr. Evan Papageorgiou

Download or read book Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices written by Mr. Evan Papageorgiou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-12-16 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An interesting disconnect has taken shape between local currency- and hard currency-denominated bonds in emerging markets with respect to their portfolio flows and prices since the start of the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Emerging market assets have recovered sharply from the COVID-19 sell-off in 2020, but the post-pandemic recovery in 2021 has been highly uneven. This note seeks to answer why. Yields of local currency-denominated bonds have risen faster and are approaching their pandemic highs, while hard currency bond yields are still near their post-pandemic lows. Portfolio flows to local currency debt have similarly lagged flows to hard currency bonds. This disconnect is closely linked to the external environment and fiscal and inflationary pressures. Its evolution remains a key consideration for policymakers and investors, since local markets are the main source of funding for emerging markets. This note draws from the methodology developed in earlier Global Financial Stability Reports on fundamentals-based asset valuation models for funding costs and forecasting models for capital flows (using the at-risk framework). The results are consistent across models, indicating that local currency assets are significantly more sensitive to domestic fundamentals while hard currency assets are dependent on the external risk sentiment to a greater extent. This suggests that the post-pandemic, stressed domestic fundamentals have weighed on local currency bonds, partially offsetting the boost from supportive global risk sentiment. The analysis also highlights the risks emerging markets face from an asynchronous recovery and weak domestic fundamentals.

Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets

Author : Mahmood Pradhan
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463935129
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets by : Mahmood Pradhan

Download or read book Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets written by Mahmood Pradhan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-20 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Equity Prices, Credit Default Swaps, and Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets

Author : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451844559
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Equity Prices, Credit Default Swaps, and Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets by : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau

Download or read book Equity Prices, Credit Default Swaps, and Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2004-02-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines equilibrium price relationships and price discovery between credit defaul swap (CDS), bond, and equity markets for emerging market sovereign issuers. Findings suggest that CDS and bond spreads converge despite various pressures that arise in the market. In most countries, however, we do not find any equilibrium price relationship between the bond and CDS markets and the equity markets. As for price discovery, our results are mixed. This stands in contrast to the empirical findings on corporate issuers in the United States and Europe.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

Author : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1616405414
Total Pages : 692 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report by : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission

Download or read book The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report written by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2011-05-01 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2018 Cambodia

Author : Asian Development Bank
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292610678
Total Pages : 113 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2018 Cambodia by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2018 Cambodia written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2018-02-01 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide is a comprehensive explanation of the region's bond markets. It provides information such as the history, legal and regulatory framework, specific characteristics of the market, trading and transaction (including settlement systems), and other relevant information. The Bond Market Guide 2018 for Cambodia is an outcome of the support and contributions of ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum members and experts, particularly from Cambodia.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616352477
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-04-18 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The April 2012 Global Financial Stability Report assesses changes in risks to financial stability over the past six months, focusing on sovereign vulnerabilities, risks stemming from private sector deleveraging, and assessing the continued resilience of emerging markets. The report probes the implications of recent reforms in the financial system for market perception of safe assets, and investigates the growing public and private costs of increased longevity risk from aging populations.

Emerging Market Volatility

Author : Ms.Ratna Sahay
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484356004
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Volatility by : Ms.Ratna Sahay

Download or read book Emerging Market Volatility written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-02 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies have spurred increased capital inflows into emerging markets since the global financial crisis. Starting in May 2013, when the Federal Reserve publicly discussed its plans for tapering unconventional monetary policies, these emerging markets have experienced financial turbulence at the same that their domestic economic activity has slowed. This paper examines their experiences and policy responses and draws broad policy lessons. For emerging markets, good macroeconomic fundamentals matter, and early and decisive measures to strengthen macroeconomic policies and reduce vulnerabilities help dampen market reactions to external shocks. For advanced economies, clear and effective communication about the exit from unconventional monetary policy can and did help later to reduce the risk of excessive market volatility. And for the global community, enhanced global cooperation, including a strong global financial safety net, offers emerging markets effective protection against excessive volatility.

Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization

Author : Augusto de la Torre
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821365444
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization by : Augusto de la Torre

Download or read book Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization written by Augusto de la Torre and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2006-10-20 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Back in the early 1990s, economists and policy makers had high expectations about the prospects for domestic capital market development in emerging economies, particularly in Latin America. Unfortunately, they are now faced with disheartening results. Stock and bond markets remain illiquid and segmented. Debt is concentrated at the short end of the maturity spectrum and denominated in foreign currency, exposing countries to maturity and currency risk. Capital markets in Latin America look particularly underdeveloped when considering the many efforts undertaken to improve the macroeconomic environment and to reform the institutions believed to foster capital market development. The disappointing performance has made conventional policy recommendations questionable, at best. 'Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization' analyzes where we stand and where we are heading on capital market development. First, it takes stock of the state and evolution of Latin American capital markets and related reforms over time and relative to other countries. Second, it analyzes the factors related to the development of capital markets, with particular interest on measuring the impact of reforms. And third, in light of this analysis, it discusses the prospects for capital market development in Latin America and emerging economies and the implications for the reform agenda.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

Author : Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505531
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

Derivatives and Hedge Funds

Author : Stephen Satchell
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137554177
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (375 download)

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Book Synopsis Derivatives and Hedge Funds by : Stephen Satchell

Download or read book Derivatives and Hedge Funds written by Stephen Satchell and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-18 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last 20 years hedge funds and derivatives have fluctuated in reputational terms; they have been blamed for the global financial crisis and been praised for the provision of liquidity in troubled times. Both topics are rather under-researched due to a combination of data and secrecy issues. This book is a collection of papers celebrating 20 years of the Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds (JDHF). The 18 papers included in this volume represent a small sample of influential papers included during the life of the Journal, representing industry-orientated research in these areas. With a Preface from co-editor of the journal Stephen Satchell, the first part of the collection focuses on hedge funds and the second on markets, prices and products.

ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2017 Indonesia

Author : Asian Development Bank
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292578782
Total Pages : 185 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2017 Indonesia by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2017 Indonesia written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2017-08-01 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide is a comprehensive explanation of the region's bond markets. It provides information such as the history, legal and regulatory framework, specific characteristics of the market, trading and transaction (including settlement systems), and other relevant information. The Bond Market Guide 2017 for Indonesia is an outcome of the support and contributions of ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum members and experts, particularly from Indonesia.