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Empirical Test Of The Capital Asset Pricing Model And The Predictability Of Business Cycles Using Financial Variables
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Book Synopsis Empirical Test of the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Predictability of Business Cycles Using Financial Variables by : Janet Xiuqing He
Download or read book Empirical Test of the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Predictability of Business Cycles Using Financial Variables written by Janet Xiuqing He and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Test of the "Capital Asset Pricing Modell" (CAPM) on Current Stock Data by : Lucas Ammelung
Download or read book An Empirical Test of the "Capital Asset Pricing Modell" (CAPM) on Current Stock Data written by Lucas Ammelung and published by . This book was released on 2020-12-30 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2020 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, Munich University of Applied Sciences, language: English, abstract: The goal of this study is thus to determine the best available asset pricing model in Germany and whether the use of pre-existing datasets, with the factors already calculated, brings results as accurate as a custom dataset. This is relevant in Germany as the CAPM is still the most commonly used way to compute the cost of equity with 34% of companies using it. Another 16% of companies are using asset pricing models with additional risk factors. To determine the answer to this, this study will look into the aforementioned three most commonly used models: the CAPM, the Fama and French three-factor model and the Carhart four-factor model. After explaining the background and functioning of the CAPM, this study will show the flaws within the model and how these flaws led to extensions of the CAPM. Each model will then be statistically analyzed with three distinct sets of data. Two of these are publicly available, while the last has been calculated for this study. Lastly, to understand how the difference in data used can influence the results from asset pricing models, the runtime and underlying factor of datasets will be modified, re-analyzed and compared to the initial results.
Book Synopsis A New Model of Capital Asset Prices by : James W. Kolari
Download or read book A New Model of Capital Asset Prices written by James W. Kolari and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-03-01 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a new capital asset pricing model dubbed the ZCAPM that outperforms other popular models in empirical tests using US stock returns. The ZCAPM is derived from Fischer Black’s well-known zero-beta CAPM, itself a more general form of the famous capital asset pricing model (CAPM) by 1990 Nobel Laureate William Sharpe and others. It is widely accepted that the CAPM has failed in its theoretical relation between market beta risk and average stock returns, as numerous studies have shown that it does not work in the real world with empirical stock return data. The upshot of the CAPM’s failure is that many new factors have been proposed by researchers. However, the number of factors proposed by authors has steadily increased into the hundreds over the past three decades. This new ZCAPM is a path-breaking asset pricing model that is shown to outperform popular models currently in practice in finance across different test assets and time periods. Since asset pricing is central to the field of finance, it can be broadly employed across many areas, including investment analysis, cost of equity analyses, valuation, corporate decision making, pension portfolio management, etc. The ZCAPM represents a revolution in finance that proves the CAPM as conceived by Sharpe and others is alive and well in a new form, and will certainly be of interest to academics, researchers, students, and professionals of finance, investing, and economics.
Book Synopsis Global Stock Markets by : Wolfgang Drobetz
Download or read book Global Stock Markets written by Wolfgang Drobetz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Wolfgang Drobetz provides empirical evidence on the time variation of expected stock returns over the stages of the business cycle.
Book Synopsis An Empirical and Theoretical Analysis of Capital Asset Pricing Model by : Mohammad Sharifzadeh
Download or read book An Empirical and Theoretical Analysis of Capital Asset Pricing Model written by Mohammad Sharifzadeh and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2010-11-18 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problem addressed in this dissertation research was the inability of the single-factor capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to identify relevant risk factors that investors consider in forming their return expectations for investing in individual stocks. Identifying the appropriate risk factors is important for investment decision making and is pertinent to the formation of stocks' prices in the stock market. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to examine theoretical and empirical validity of the CAPM and to develop and test a multifactor model to address and resolve the empirical shortcomings of the single-factor CAPM. To verify the empirical validity of the standard CAPM and of the multifactor model, five hypotheses were developed and tested against historical monthly data for U.S. public companies. Testing the CAPM hypothesis revealed that the explanatory power of the overall stock market rate of return in explaining individual stock's expected rates of return is very weak, suggesting the existence of other risk factors. Testing of the other hypotheses verified that the implied volatility of the overall market as a systematic risk factor and the companies' size and financial leverage as nonsystematic risk factors are important in determining stock's expected returns and investors should consider these factors in their investment decisions. The findings of this research have important implications for social change. The outcome of this study can change the way individual and institutional investors as well as corporations make investment decisions and thus change the equilibrium prices in the stock market. These changes in turn could lead to significant changes in the resource allocation in the economy, in the economy's production capacity and production composition, and in the employment structure of the society.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Theory by : Costis Skiadas
Download or read book Asset Pricing Theory written by Costis Skiadas and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset Pricing Theory is an advanced textbook for doctoral students and researchers that offers a modern introduction to the theoretical and methodological foundations of competitive asset pricing. Costis Skiadas develops in depth the fundamentals of arbitrage pricing, mean-variance analysis, equilibrium pricing, and optimal consumption/portfolio choice in discrete settings, but with emphasis on geometric and martingale methods that facilitate an effortless transition to the more advanced continuous-time theory. Among the book's many innovations are its use of recursive utility as the benchmark representation of dynamic preferences, and an associated theory of equilibrium pricing and optimal portfolio choice that goes beyond the existing literature. Asset Pricing Theory is complete with extensive exercises at the end of every chapter and comprehensive mathematical appendixes, making this book a self-contained resource for graduate students and academic researchers, as well as mathematically sophisticated practitioners seeking a deeper understanding of concepts and methods on which practical models are built. Covers in depth the modern theoretical foundations of competitive asset pricing and consumption/portfolio choice Uses recursive utility as the benchmark preference representation in dynamic settings Sets the foundations for advanced modeling using geometric arguments and martingale methodology Features self-contained mathematical appendixes Includes extensive end-of-chapter exercises
Book Synopsis Empirical Investigation of a Capital Asset Pricing Model Using Fundamental Financial Variables by : Vairamuththu Thuraiappa Alaganar
Download or read book Empirical Investigation of a Capital Asset Pricing Model Using Fundamental Financial Variables written by Vairamuththu Thuraiappa Alaganar and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Capital Asset Pricing Model by : Ali Jahankhani
Download or read book Capital Asset Pricing Model written by Ali Jahankhani and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our research indicated that there is a linear relationship between risk and return and higher risk is associated with higher average return. These results are consistent with the implications of both Sharpe-Lintner version and Black version of the CAPM. Furthermore, our results did not reject the hypotheses that E(Y0)=Rf and E(Y1)=Rm-Rf. therefore, the empirical results of this study supported all the implications of the Sharpe-Lintner CAPM.
Book Synopsis The Predictable and Misleading Consequences When Using Periodic Returns in Traditional Tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model by : Carl R. Schwinn
Download or read book The Predictable and Misleading Consequences When Using Periodic Returns in Traditional Tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model written by Carl R. Schwinn and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers a new understanding of the statistical results obtained by Black, Jensen, and Scholes (1972) and Miller and Scholes (1972) in their tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Numerical examples and simulations are used to illustrate how the empirical results of both papers are what we should expect to observe under the null hypothesis that the CAPM does not hold and the returns, either periodic or continuous, are variable. This paper employs geometric Brownian motion (GBM) as a reasonable first-order approximation for the return generating process to capture the predictable, asymmetrical effects of compounding variable returns. The empirical results of the cross-section and time-series tests in both papers can be explained by the simple mathematical dependence of periodic returns upon the underlying variance of the continuously compounded returns. The numerical examples and simulations reproduce the empirical results by matching the variance of the continuously compounded returns on the market factor in the model of GBM to the variance of the returns on the market portfolio in each sample period, although the securities are not priced in the model to reflect aversion to either beta or the variance of the continuously compounded returns.
Book Synopsis Multifactor Models Regarding Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) Assumptions on European and US Market Data. Advancing the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) by : Arno Popanda
Download or read book Multifactor Models Regarding Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) Assumptions on European and US Market Data. Advancing the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) written by Arno Popanda and published by . This book was released on 2019-09-10 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2018 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1.7, University of Duisburg-Essen (Faculty of Business and Economics), language: English, abstract: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which is developed by Harry Markowitz, lacks on empirical validation and is not economically fully plausible. By only considering a single period within the CAPM, Merton tried to improve the model by implementing different intertemporal assumptions. This paper focuses on the analysis, if the lack of the CAPM can be improved by using the assumptions of the ICAPM and if the eight investigated models are in the sense of Merton's assumptions. The first chapter reviews a short explanation of the classical CAPM and his critics, followed by Merton's intertemporal CAPM and his assumptions in the next chapter. Additionally, there were models developed, trying to be economically plausible by considering the ICAPM main assumptions, which are presented in the second chapter. A different way to develop an empirical better fitting CAPM is by using empirical motivated state variables. Fama & French started to take this approach by developing the three-factor-model (FF3). A lot of researchers were influenced by the FF3 and made their own version of a multifactor model by implementing variables. Even Fama & French enhanced their three-factor-model by adding further variables. In the third section there is the forecasting power of the four ICAPM models and the four empirical motivated multifactor models on the US market data and on the European market data compared. Then follows an examination if these models can be determined in the sense of the ICAPM restrictions. The last chapter concludes the results.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning in Asset Pricing by : Stefan Nagel
Download or read book Machine Learning in Asset Pricing written by Stefan Nagel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A groundbreaking, authoritative introduction to how machine learning can be applied to asset pricing Investors in financial markets are faced with an abundance of potentially value-relevant information from a wide variety of different sources. In such data-rich, high-dimensional environments, techniques from the rapidly advancing field of machine learning (ML) are well-suited for solving prediction problems. Accordingly, ML methods are quickly becoming part of the toolkit in asset pricing research and quantitative investing. In this book, Stefan Nagel examines the promises and challenges of ML applications in asset pricing. Asset pricing problems are substantially different from the settings for which ML tools were developed originally. To realize the potential of ML methods, they must be adapted for the specific conditions in asset pricing applications. Economic considerations, such as portfolio optimization, absence of near arbitrage, and investor learning can guide the selection and modification of ML tools. Beginning with a brief survey of basic supervised ML methods, Nagel then discusses the application of these techniques in empirical research in asset pricing and shows how they promise to advance the theoretical modeling of financial markets. Machine Learning in Asset Pricing presents the exciting possibilities of using cutting-edge methods in research on financial asset valuation.
Book Synopsis Explaining Asset Return Properties with a Real Business Cycle Asset Pricing Model by : Terence Khoo
Download or read book Explaining Asset Return Properties with a Real Business Cycle Asset Pricing Model written by Terence Khoo and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Solving an Empirical Puzzle in the Capital Asset Pricing Model by : John Leusner
Download or read book Solving an Empirical Puzzle in the Capital Asset Pricing Model written by John Leusner and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Capital Asset Pricing Model by : Joseph E. Moussa
Download or read book The Capital Asset Pricing Model written by Joseph E. Moussa and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the relationship between Stocks returns and The Capital asset Pricing Model (CAPM) in the US market by using the S&P 500 companies; it also tests the level of influence of the Size and Book-to-Market on Stocks Returns. The hypothesis tested is whether there is a significant relationship between the CAPM and Stocks Returns. The methodological approach taken was a sampleof 100 companies from S&P 500 compromising top US companies. The Stocks Returns were regressed against the returns that the CAPM predicted to find a relationship between the Stocks returns and the CAPM and to see how precise the CAPM is. Data relating to Beta, Market Return, Size and Price-to-Book were downloaded from the Yahoo Finance website, the Risk free Rate is from the U.S. Federal Bank Website. Regression tests conducted on the data were significant at 1% level. The results lead to the rejection of the null hypothesis, and accepting the alternative hypothesis which states that the CAPM does predict stock returns. However, the results also lead us to a conclusion that other variables may explain stocks return. This results was consistent with all recent results since all studies have agreed that to CAPM can explain an important part of the returns, moreover the results regarding the size and Book-To-Market were inconsistent with Fama and French (1992) theories since they were relatively insignificant.
Book Synopsis Hedge Fund Returns by : Christian Alexander Wegener
Download or read book Hedge Fund Returns written by Christian Alexander Wegener and published by Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH. This book was released on 2011 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present work advances the research on hedge fund returns in three main areas. Firstly, their statistical properties are assessed in order to understand by what degree the returns of this alternative asset class are subject to non-normality, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity. Secondly, state-of-the-art econometric approaches are used for the purpose of analyzing whether and to what extent monthly hedge fund returns are forecastable. Thirdly, an effort is made to identify and explain which economic risks affect the performance of the different hedge fund strategy styles in which way. The empirical results suggest that monthly hedge fund returns are forecastable by means of multivariate regression models which rely on economic predictors such as changes in interest rates or changes in business outlooks. Accounting for the fact that hedge fund returns are non-normally distributed, heteroscedastic and time-varying in their exposure to pervasive risk factors, the devised econometric models are found to deliver significant out-of-sample predictive power. The thesis at hand also documents that the interdependencies between the monthly changes of envisaged risk factors and the subsequent hedge fund returns remain remarkably stable throughout time. In essence, the performance of hedge funds appears to be sensitive to common business cycle movements. Altogether, the results are relevant to researchers in search of a description and application of contemporary return prediction methods as well as to investors in need of a better understanding of the drivers of hedge fund returns.
