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Author : Dobromi·l Serwa
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (643 download)
Download or read book Empirical Evidence on Financial Spillovers and Contagion to International Stock Markets written by Dobromi·l Serwa and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Empirical Evidence on Financial Spillovers and Contagion to International Stock Markets written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis different definitions of financial contagion are explored. These definitions are applied to test for evidence of contagion on a number of stock markets and during several turbulent periods. First, we investigate the question whether emerging stock markets are more or less vulnerable to large financial shocks than developed capital markets. Second, this study analyzes how significant financial turmoil can change the direction and strength of spillovers between a mature calm market and emerging crisis markets. Additionally, we explore the direction of spillovers and contagion effects between two crisis markets during the same turbulent period. Third, dynamic dependencies between mature stock markets are explored to learn how the strength of spillovers changes in tranquil and turbulent times and how crisis markets are influenced by the leading stock market.
Author : John Beirne
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Volatility Spillovers and Contagion from Mature to Emerging Stock Markets written by John Beirne and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the transmission mechanism-contagion-during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature), regional, and local markets are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs), with a dummy capturing parameter shifts during turbulent episodes. LR tests suggest that mature markets influence conditional variances in many emerging markets. Moreover, spillover parameters change during turbulent episodes. Conditional variances in most EMEs rise during these episodes, but there is only limited evidence of shifts in conditional correlations between mature and emerging markets.
Author : John Beirne
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451871449
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (714 download)
Download or read book Volatility Spillovers and Contagion from Mature to Emerging Stock Markets written by John Beirne and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2008-12-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the transmission mechanism-contagion-during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature), regional, and local markets are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs), with a dummy capturing parameter shifts during turbulent episodes. LR tests suggest that mature markets influence conditional variances in many emerging markets. Moreover, spillover parameters change during turbulent episodes. Conditional variances in most EMEs rise during these episodes, but there is only limited evidence of shifts in conditional correlations between mature and emerging markets.
Author : Stijn Claessens
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475733143
Total Pages : 461 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)
Download or read book International Financial Contagion written by Stijn Claessens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.
Author : Mardi Dungey
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Identifying International Financial Contagion written by Mardi Dungey and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2005 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book tackles these factors theoretically, providing an intellectually satisfying framework for the understanding of financial contagion."--Jacket.
Author : Stéphane Goutte
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030985423
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)
Download or read book Financial Market Dynamics after COVID 19 written by Stéphane Goutte and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-04-27 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in different areas of Finance emphasizing the contagion effect in capital markets. The volume presents evidence-based case studies from the global financial crisis that followed after the onset of the pandemic in March 2020.
Author : Suk-Joong Kim
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
ISBN 13 : 9789813223578
Total Pages : 626 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (235 download)
Download or read book Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance written by Suk-Joong Kim and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2017 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contents in this volume are based on the program Sets and Computations that was held at the Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore from 30 March until 30 April 2015. This special collection reports on important and recen
Author : Najakorn Khajonchotpanya
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (114 download)
Download or read book Measuring Factors Affecting Financial Contagion written by Najakorn Khajonchotpanya and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The thesis aims to develop a framework and a model of the fundamental-based contagion in the international stock market. Rather than studying the contagion effect directly across countries' stock markets as in past studies, this thesis assumes the distribution of stock market return is determined by a hidden process called the domestic fundamental, which is defned as the health of the economy, and study the contagion through the fundamentals. Under the framework proposed by this thesis, the mechanism of the fundamental-based contagion in the international stock market consists of two effects: the transmission of shocks and the shock amplification effects. The proposed model is estimated using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Then, results from the empirical study on the international stock market contagion between Japan - Thailand, Hong Kong- Thailand and the Us - Thailand reveals that financial linkage is the only transmision channel of shock to Thailand and that there is a significant evidence of the effect of shock amplication by the Thai fundamental. Thus, as the fnancial linkage gets larger, more external shocks would transmit to Thailand, and if the Thai fundamental is weak, it would suffer from the shocks more greatly. Lastly, this thesis finds that Thailand was affected by the fundamental of the US the most, and the effect of changes in the US fundamental on the Thai fundamental and stock market returns became more pronounced during the 2008 global fnancial crisis.
Author : Stijn Claessens
Publisher : Boom Koninklijke Uitgevers
ISBN 13 : 9780792372851
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (728 download)
Download or read book International Financial Contagion written by Stijn Claessens and published by Boom Koninklijke Uitgevers. This book was released on 2001-05-31 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Within less than two years, a currency crisis that began in Thailand had spread throughout East Asia, Russia, and Brazil, affecting developed economies as well as emerging markets around the world. The scope and virulence of this international financial contagion was completely unexpected. In an attempt to better understand these events, a group of leading economists from international institutions, academic universities, and the private sector gathered at a conference sponsored by the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and Asian Development Bank. This book presents a selection of the papers given at this conference. This is the most extensive collection to date of research on international financial contagion. It includes survey articles and policy discussions, as well as detailed theoretical models and empirical analyses. Topics range from how to define contagion, to the relative importance of real versus financial linkages, to what policies could reduce contagion in the future. Many of the chapters perform empirical tests attempting to explain why crises spread, either by focusing on a specific transmission channel or an individual country or region. The chapters in this book have made impressive strides toward better understanding the causes and channels of international financial contagion.
Author : Rob Quail
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118016521
Total Pages : 570 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)
Download or read book Financial Contagion written by Rob Quail and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-09 with total page 570 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Financial Contagion: The Viral Threat to the Wealth of Nations covers a lot of territory. It is, of course, terribly important to analyze case histories to discover potential triggers, mechanisms of transmission, and viable ways to contain the damage of financial contagion. The problem is, as these articles amply demonstrate, that there’s always a new virus or a mutation of a former one lurking in some corner of the financial world. We don’t know what it is or where it is. And, even if we had some inkling, there’s almost never enough time to develop a financial flu shot." --SeekingAlpha.com The latest insights on financial contagion and how both nations and investors can effectively deal with it. The domino-style structure in which the financial system exists is a perilous one. Although historically, the financial system has been able to deal with major shocks, the fact remains that our financial system is not as secure as it should be. Recent years have brought about too many examples of contagion and systemic risk. That is why Financial Contagion is such an important read. In it, the serious concerns that revolve around our fragile economic system are investigated, researched, and explained. Throughout the book, Kolb offers valuable insights on this dilemma as he compiles the history of financial contagion, highlights the latest research on systemic failure and interrelated markets, and analyzes the risks and consequences we face moving forward. Examines the importance of careful regulation and what must be done to stabilize the global financial system Includes contributed chapters from both academics and experienced professionals, offering a variety of perspectives and a rich interplay of ideas Details how close we are to witnessing a financial contagion that could devastate the world economy We have been harshly reminded of how fragile our economic ecosystem is. With Financial Contagion, you'll hold a better understanding of what needs to be done to strengthen our system and safeguard our financial future.
Author : Ms. Brenda González-Hermosillo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451896816
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Unanticipated Shocks and Systemic Influences written by Ms. Brenda González-Hermosillo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: August to September 1998 has been characterized as one of the worst episodes of global financial distress in decades. This paper investigates the transmission of the Russian and the LTCM crises through global equity markets using a panel of 14 developing and industrial countries. The results show that contagion was systemic during the period, with industrial countries providing the dominant cross-country transmission linkages. Both crises reinforced each other, highlighting the importance of studying them jointly. An implication of the empirical results is that models of contagion that exclude industrial countries are potentially misspecified and may yield misleading outcomes.
Author : Dimitrios I. Dimitriou
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Contagion Channels of the USA Subprime Financial Crisis Evidence from USA, EMU, China and Japan Equity Markets written by Dimitrios I. Dimitriou and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to investigate empirically contagion channels of the 2007 US subprime financial crisis by employing a multivariate GARCH model for four major, international equity markets, namely the USA, EMU, China and Japan.Design/methodology/approach - In this study, contagion channels of the 2007 US subprime financial crisis are investigated empirically by employing a multivariate GARCH model for four major, international equity markets, namely the USA, EMU, China and Japan.Findings - There is empirical evidence of contagion in all markets with the US market through various channels, which have not been discussed in other related studies. Specifically, the empirical results suggest that Japanese and EMU markets have been directly affected from the crisis. However, while China's equity market has been mainly unaffected by the US subprime crisis, has been affected indirectly through Japan. Moreover, the Japanese equity market exhibits positive and significant spillovers effects with China and EMU, revealing an indirect volatility transmission channel of US subprime crisis.Research limitations/implications - Further research could consider the asymmetric effects on conditional covariance through, for example, asymmetric generalized dynamic conditional correlation models. All under examination markets show evidence of contagion through different channels.Practical implications - Despite the financial advices for diversification, since the increasing globalization and stock market interdependence throughout the last 15 years, through the US subprime crisis equity investors had fewer opportunities for diversification. From policy makers' perspective, they should carefully examine and uncover possible decoupling strategies to insulate these economies from contagion in future crises.Social implications - This study provides useful information to international organizations, such as World Bank and World Trade Organization (WTO) in order to protect markets from contagion during future crises.Originality/value - A novel finding of this paper is the indirect channel of contagion (i.e. Japanese market) for Chinese market. This indirect channel may help explain why China's equity market performed badly in 2008 after the subprime crisis in the USA emerged.
Author : Rakesh Shahani
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Dynamics of Contagion and Spillover Effects written by Rakesh Shahani and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present study makes an attempt to investigate the dynamics of contagion and spillover of volatility amongst stock markets of five economies which include three developed nations; US , UK and Japan and two Asian emerging economies viz. India and China The period of study is eleven years; Jan 1, 2009-Dec 31, 2019 and the data is collected for daily closing prices of the indices. The study makes a distinction between contagion and spillover whereby a shock is considered spillover if its impact is seen with a lag of one period only and no more lags after the shock has occurred, while contagion is a residual transmission after accounting for all other transmissions including spillover(Masson, P. (1998) ; Dungey, M. and Martin, V.L. (2007)) The results of the study revealed that there was substantial contagion and information flows from one market to another , be it developed or emerging . Further although US markets continue to play a major role in deciding the direction of markets, the importance of other markets has increased over the years. Further, US market on its own now appears to look for clues from both developed and emerging markets including India and China. On the other hand , the stock market of UK follows the return movement and volatility mainly from US markets. The two emerging markets of Asia, India and China observe a lot of co-movement in returns with spillovers being linked to the developed markets which includes US as global market and Japan as regional market. The study also tested for pre-conditions of stationarity, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity and the model was modified wherever necessary in order to make the results of the study robust.
Author : Chee Wooi Hooy
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Stock Market Integration and the Pricing for Regionalism written by Chee Wooi Hooy and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jing Xue
Publisher : Open Dissertation Press
ISBN 13 : 9781361006122
Total Pages : 142 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (61 download)
Download or read book FINANCIAL CONTAGION & HERDING written by Jing Xue and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Financial Contagion and Herding Behavior: Evidence From the Stock and Indirect Real Estate Markets" by Jing, Xue, 薛晶, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Financial contagion, in this study, refers to spreading of crisis across markets in different locations. The observable consequence is usually in the form of increase in co-movement of asset prices in two markets after a crisis event. The causes of financial contagion have been studied for over twenty years, however, up till now, results have been mixed. One unsettled issue is whether market fundamentals alone can explain financial contagion. Pure fundamental based explanation suggests that the financial, economic and trade linkages are solely responsible for the transmission of crisis across markets. On the other hand, the behavioral finance researchers propose that herding behavior also plays an important role in explaining financial contagion. This issue cannot be easily resolved since it is difficult to empirically distinguish linkage effect and herding behavior. This thesis contributes to this unresolved issue by examining financial contagion in the stock market and indirect real estate market. In the stock market, both fundamental linkages and herding are likely to exist. However some securities are less prone to herding than others. Herding across international markets is likely to be less serious when there is less information asymmetry between investors and management. In addition, compared with foreign investors, local investors are more confident in the link between market fundamentals and the corresponding securities. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are likely to suffer from less information asymmetry problem since the REITs market has more stringent regulatory requirements for information disclosure. Furthermore, the pricing of real estate asset, the main type of assets held by the REITs, often requires local knowledge. Local investors investing in REITs are less likely to mimic the investor behavior in another overseas REITs market. Listed property companies also share some similarities with REITs, although they are less immune to herding compared with REITs as information disclosure is less stringent for listed property companies. Since the asset prices of real estate are affected by the economic performance, fundamental linkages amongst all indirect real estate still likely to exist and are similar to other types of listed companies. If market fundamental is the only source of financial contagion (i.e. no herding), financial contagion in the global stock and indirect real estate markets should be similar. This thesis uses the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) as the crisis event to examine financial contagion across the world's major equity markets. Our empirical results show that financial contagion is stronger in the entire stock markets than in the indirect real estate markets and that financial contagion is the weakest in the REITs markets, which support the herding behavior hypothesis and reject the pure fundamental explanation. This reasoning does not require indirect real estate to be totally immune from herding. All that is needed is that indirect real estate is less prone to herding compared with the common stocks. Herding behavior can be rational or irrational. The latter refers to revision of asset prices by following the pricing behavior of other markets irrespective of market fundamentals. Our empirical evidence cannot reject irrational herding behavior in the indirect real estate market since contagion effect becomes stronger wh
Author : Martin Feldstein
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241807
Total Pages : 500 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)
Download or read book International Capital Flows written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.
