Efficient Inflation Estimation

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Efficient Inflation Estimation

Author : Michael F. Bryan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Efficient Inflation Estimation by : Michael F. Bryan

Download or read book Efficient Inflation Estimation written by Michael F. Bryan and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the use of trimmed means as high-frequency estimators of" inflation. The known characteristics of price change distributions, specifically the observation" that they generally exhibit high levels of kurtosis, imply that simple averages of price data are" unlikely to produce efficient estimates of inflation. Trimmed means produce superior estimates" of core inflation, ' which we define as a long-run centered moving average of CPI and PPI" inflation. We find that trimming 9% from each tail of the CPI price-change distribution from the tails of the PPI price-change distribution, yields an efficient estimator of core inflation" for these two series, although lesser trims also produce substantial efficiency gains. Historically the optimal trimmed estimators are found to be nearly 23% more efficient (in terms of root-mean-square error) than the standard mean CPI Moreover, the efficient estimators are robust to sample period and to the definition of the" presumed underlying long-run trend in inflation

A Note on the Efficient Estimation of Inflation in Brazil

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (834 download)

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Book Synopsis A Note on the Efficient Estimation of Inflation in Brazil by :

Download or read book A Note on the Efficient Estimation of Inflation in Brazil written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Efficient Estimation of Core Inflation in Romania

Author : Nimish Mathur
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (212 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficient Estimation of Core Inflation in Romania by : Nimish Mathur

Download or read book Efficient Estimation of Core Inflation in Romania written by Nimish Mathur and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation Expectations

Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Efficient Estimation of Forecast Uncertainty Based on Recent Forecast Errors

Author : Malte Knüppel
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficient Estimation of Forecast Uncertainty Based on Recent Forecast Errors by : Malte Knüppel

Download or read book Efficient Estimation of Forecast Uncertainty Based on Recent Forecast Errors written by Malte Knüppel and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multi-step-ahead forecasts of forecast uncertainty in practice are often based on the horizon-specific sample means of recent squared forecast errors, where the number of available past forecast errors decreases one-to-one with the forecast horizon. In this paper, the efficiency gains from the joint estimation of forecast uncertainty for all horizons in such samples are investigated. Considering optimal forecasts, the efficiency gains can be substantial if the sample is not too large. If forecast uncertainty is estimated by seemingly unrelated regressions, the covariance matrix of the squared forecast errors does not have to be estimated, but simply needs to have a certain structure. In Monte Carlo studies it is found that seemingly unrelated regressions mostly yield estimates which are more efficient than the sample means even if the forecasts are not optimal. Seemingly unrelated regressions are used to address questions concerning the inflation forecast uncertainty of the Bank of England.

The Great Inflation

Author : Michael D. Bordo
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226066959
Total Pages : 545 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Inflation by : Michael D. Bordo

Download or read book The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-28 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.

Optimisation, Econometric and Financial Analysis

Author : Erricos Kontoghiorghes
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540366261
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimisation, Econometric and Financial Analysis by : Erricos Kontoghiorghes

Download or read book Optimisation, Econometric and Financial Analysis written by Erricos Kontoghiorghes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-17 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses issues associated with the interface of computing, optimisation, econometrics and financial modeling, emphasizing computational optimisation methods and techniques. The first part addresses optimisation problems and decision modeling, plus applications of supply chain and worst-case modeling and advances in methodological aspects of optimisation techniques. The second part covers optimisation heuristics, filtering, signal extraction and time series models. The final part discusses optimisation in portfolio selection and real option modeling.

Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy

Author : Jeff Fuhrer
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 026225820X
Total Pages : 517 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy by : Jeff Fuhrer

Download or read book Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy written by Jeff Fuhrer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2009-09-11 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current perspectives on the Phillips curve, a core macroeconomic concept that treats the relationship between inflation and unemployment. In 1958, economist A. W. Phillips published an article describing what he observed to be the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment; subsequently, the “Phillips curve” became a central concept in macroeconomic analysis and policymaking. But today's Phillips curve is not the same as the original one from fifty years ago; the economy, our understanding of price setting behavior, the determinants of inflation, and the role of monetary policy have evolved significantly since then. In this book, some of the top economists working today reexamine the theoretical and empirical validity of the Phillips curve in its more recent specifications. The contributors consider such questions as what economists have learned about price and wage setting and inflation expectations that would improve the way we use and formulate the Phillips curve, what the Phillips curve approach can teach us about inflation dynamics, and how these lessons can be applied to improving the conduct of monetary policy. Contributors Lawrence Ball, Ben Bernanke, Oliver Blanchard, V. V. Chari, William T. Dickens, Stanley Fischer, Jeff Fuhrer, Jordi Gali, Michael T. Kiley, Robert G. King, Donald L. Kohn, Yolanda K. Kodrzycki, Jane Sneddon Little, Bartisz Mackowiak, N. Gregory Mankiw, Virgiliu Midrigan, Giovanni P. Olivei, Athanasios Orphanides, Adrian R. Pagan, Christopher A. Pissarides, Lucrezia Reichlin, Paul A. Samuelson, Christopher A. Sims, Frank R. Smets, Robert M. Solow, Jürgen Stark, James H. Stock, Lars E. O. Svensson, John B. Taylor, Mark W. Watson

Robust Measures of Core Inflation for Vietnam

Author : Sanjay Kalra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498316646
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Robust Measures of Core Inflation for Vietnam by : Sanjay Kalra

Download or read book Robust Measures of Core Inflation for Vietnam written by Sanjay Kalra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-02-10 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper develops robust measures of core inflation for Vietnam that can be used in policy making. These core inflation measures (CIMs) are based on an analytical evaluation of the inflation process in Vietnam, and use a filtering approach to narrow down potential measures that satisfy certain empirically desirable criteria. The paper finds that commonly used exclusion-based measures (EBMs) do not perform well against these empirical criteria; trimmed mean measures (TMMs) do better. Among TMMs, “one trim does not fit all periods”; periods of high and variable inflation require larger trims, and conversely. EVIEWS and MATLAB programs which accompany the paper allow quick, timely replication of CIMs as new data become available, making them valuable tools for the State Bank of Vietnam on an ongoing basis.

Measurement of Rent Inflation

Author : Jonathan McCarthy
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437929311
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Measurement of Rent Inflation by : Jonathan McCarthy

Download or read book Measurement of Rent Inflation written by Jonathan McCarthy and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication. Rent, paid either to a landlord or to oneself as an owner-occupant, has a large weight in the CPI and in the personal consumption expenditures deflator. The authors describe how the Bureau of Labor Stat. (BLS) estimates tenant rent and owners¿ equivalent rent. They then estimate alternative inflation rates for tenant rent and owners¿ equivalent rent based on Amer. Housing Survey data, following BLS methodology as closely as possible. The authors¿ alternative tenant rent inflation series is generally consistent with the corresponding BLS series. However, their alternative owners¿ equivalent rent inflation series is consistently lower than the corresponding BLS series by an amount large enough to have a significant effect on the overall inflation rate.

Is Poland Ready for Inflation Targeting?

Author : Mr.Robert F. Westcott
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451846088
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Is Poland Ready for Inflation Targeting? by : Mr.Robert F. Westcott

Download or read book Is Poland Ready for Inflation Targeting? written by Mr.Robert F. Westcott and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-03-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary policymakers in advanced transition economies such as Poland are increasingly interested in how inflation responds to changes in policy instruments and other economic forces. In this paper, measures of underlying CPI inflation based upon optimal trimming concepts are developed. The sensitivity of these CPI measures to changes in a set of 25 policy and economic variables is then studied via Granger causality tests and impulse responses and a multivariate model of CPI inflation developed. The results show that a core set of variables characterize one-period-ahead underlying inflation moderately well but that statistical linkages are not yet robust.

Inflation-indexed Securities

Author : Mark Deacon
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470868988
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation-indexed Securities by : Mark Deacon

Download or read book Inflation-indexed Securities written by Mark Deacon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-04-21 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global market for inflation-indexed securities has ballooned in recent years, and this trend is set to continue. This book examines the rationale behind issuance and investment decisions, and details the issues facing anyone who designs indexed securities, illustrating them wherever possible with actual examples from the international capital markets. In particular, an extensive review of indexed debt markets throughout the world is provided - including for the first time, a comprehensive and consistent set of cash flow and price-yield equations for the instruments already in existence in the major bond markets - forming an important reference for those already experienced in the field, as well as practitioners and academics approaching the subject for the first time. The book also provides unique insight into the development of inflation-indexed derivative products, and the analytical tools required to value such instruments.

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets

Author : Mr.Christian Ebeke
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513599984
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets by : Mr.Christian Ebeke

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Christian Ebeke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-28 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the effects of the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) on the choice of exchange rate regime in emerging markets (EMs), conditional on certain macroeconomic conditions. Using a large sample of EMs and after controlling for the selection bias associated with the adoption of IT, we find that IT countries on average have a relatively more flexible exchange rate regime than other EMs. However, the flexibility of the exchange rate regime shows strong heterogeneity among IT countries depending on their degree of openness and exposure to FX risks. Moreover, we find that the marginal effect of IT adoption on the exchange rate flexibility increases with the duration of the IT regime in place, and with the propensity scores to adopt it.

Efficiency in the Public Sector

Author : Kevin J. Fox
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475735928
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficiency in the Public Sector by : Kevin J. Fox

Download or read book Efficiency in the Public Sector written by Kevin J. Fox and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regardless of where we live, the management of the public sector impacts on our lives. Hence, we all have an interest, one way or another, in the achievement of efficiency and productivity improvements in the activities of the public sector. For a government agency that provides a public service, striving for unreasonable benchmark targets for efficiency may lead to a deterioration of service quality, along with an increase in stress and job dissatisfaction for public sector employees. Slack performance targets may lead to gross inefficiency, poor quality of service, and low self-esteem for employees. In the case of regulation, inappropriate policies can lead to unprecedented disasters. Examples include the decimation of fish stocks through mismanagement of fisheries, and power blackouts through inappropriate restrictions on electricity generators and distributors. Efficient taxation policies minimise the tax bill for citizens. In all of these cases, efficient management is required, although it is often unclear how to assess this efficiency. In this volume, several authors consider various aspects and contexts of performance measurement. Hence, this volume represents a unique collection of advances in efficiency assessment for the public sector by leading researchers in the field. Efficiency in the Public Sector is divided into two sections. The first is titled "Issues in Public Sector Efficiency Evaluation" and comprises of chapters 1-4. The second section is titled "Efficiency Analysis in the Public Sector - Advances in Theory and Practice." This division is somewhat arbitrary, in the sense there are significant overlapping themes in both sections. However, it serves to separate chapters that can be characterised as dealing with broader issues (Section I), from chapters that can be characterised as focusing on specific theoretical problems and empirical cases (Section II).

Aircraft Fuel Efficiency Program

Author : United States. Congress. Senate. Aeronautical and Space Sciences Committee
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Aircraft Fuel Efficiency Program by : United States. Congress. Senate. Aeronautical and Space Sciences Committee

Download or read book Aircraft Fuel Efficiency Program written by United States. Congress. Senate. Aeronautical and Space Sciences Committee and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation Theory in Economics

Author : Max Gillman
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134021747
Total Pages : 422 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Theory in Economics by : Max Gillman

Download or read book Inflation Theory in Economics written by Max Gillman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-03-23 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These essays bring together a progression in monetary theory. The major theme that runs through all of the chapters is that in order to do monetary economics well in general equilibrium, it helps to have a good money demand underlying the theory. A proper underlying money demand sets up arguably the best foundation from which to make extensions of monetary economics from the basic model. At the same time that money demand is modelled, this also “endogenizes” the velocity of money. This has been a challenge in the literature that these essays solve and then use to extend basic neoclassical growth and business cycle theory. Solving this problem, in a way that is a natural, direct, and “micro-founded” extension of the standard monetary theory is the first major contribution of the collection. The second major contribution is the extension of the neoclassical monetary models, using this solution, to reinvigorate classic issues of monetary economics and take them to the frontier.

Supplying Energy Through Greater Efficiency

Author : Alan Meier
Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520327918
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis Supplying Energy Through Greater Efficiency by : Alan Meier

Download or read book Supplying Energy Through Greater Efficiency written by Alan Meier and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2022-07-15 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title is part of UC Press's Voices Revived program, which commemorates University of California Press’s mission to seek out and cultivate the brightest minds and give them voice, reach, and impact. Drawing on a backlist dating to 1893, Voices Revived makes high-quality, peer-reviewed scholarship accessible once again using print-on-demand technology. This title was originally published in 1983.