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Effectiveness Of Time Varying Hedge Ratio With Constant Conditional Correlation
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Book Synopsis Effectiveness of Time-Varying Hedge Ratio with Constant Conditional Correlation by : Sheraz Ahmed
Download or read book Effectiveness of Time-Varying Hedge Ratio with Constant Conditional Correlation written by Sheraz Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study demonstrates how hedging methodologies can be evaluated in a modern risk management context and provides a hedging effectiveness of dynamic hedge ratios. The results provide an indication of the superior performance of the time varying hedge ratio as compared with traditional constant ratio. Time varying hedge ratio estimated by CCC-GARCH model shows a clear advantage over linear regression based constant hedge ratio in minimizing the variance (risk) of portfolio returns over the whole 10 years of analysis. The time-varying hedge ratio estimated in our study provides an efficient measure for bond investors to maximize the value of their investments by changing positions in both spot and future markets of U.S. Treasuries with the change in actual yields of cash market. The results are robust in the sense that constant conditional correlation model does take account of the conditional heteroskedasticity present in the data in case of spot market.
Book Synopsis The Hedging Effectiveness of Single Stock Futures by : Nathalie Senez
Download or read book The Hedging Effectiveness of Single Stock Futures written by Nathalie Senez and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of Constant and Time-varying Futures Optimal Hedge Ratios by :
Download or read book The Effectiveness of Constant and Time-varying Futures Optimal Hedge Ratios written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Time Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures by : Kenneth F. Kroner
Download or read book Time Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures written by Kenneth F. Kroner and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Hedging Effectiveness of Constant and Time Varying Hedge Ratio in Indian Stock and Commodity Futures Markets by : Brajesh Kumar
Download or read book Hedging Effectiveness of Constant and Time Varying Hedge Ratio in Indian Stock and Commodity Futures Markets written by Brajesh Kumar and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines hedging effectiveness of futures contract on a financial asset and commodities in Indian markets. In an emerging market context like India, the growth of capital and commodity futures market would depend on effectiveness of derivatives in managing risk. For managing risk, understanding optimal hedge ratio is critical for devising effective hedging strategy. We estimate dynamic and constant hedge ratio for Samp;P CNX Nifty index futures, Gold futures and Soybean futures. Various models (OLS, VAR, and VECM) are used to estimate constant hedge ratio. To estimate dynamic hedge ratios, we use VAR-MGARCH. We compare in-sample and out-of-sample performance of these models in reducing portfolio risk. It is found that in most of the cases, VAR-MGARCH model estimates of time varying hedge ratio provide highest variance reduction as compared to hedges based on constant hedge ratio. Our results are consistent with findings of Myers (1991), Baillie and Myers (1991), Park and Switzer (1995a,b), Lypny and Powella (1998), Kavussanos and Nomikos (2000), Yang (2001), and Floros and Vougas (2006).
Book Synopsis Dynamic Hedging with Futures by : Chih-Chiang Hsu
Download or read book Dynamic Hedging with Futures written by Chih-Chiang Hsu and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a number of prior studies it has been demonstrated that the traditional regression-based static approach is inappropriate for hedging with futures, with the result that a variety of alternative dynamic hedging strategies has emerged. In this paper we propose a class of new copula-based GARCH models for the estimation of the optimal hedge ratio and compare their effectiveness with that of other hedging models, including the conventional static, the constant conditional correlation (CCC) GARCH, and the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH models. In regards to the reduction of variance in the returns of hedged portfolios, our empirical results show that in both the in-sample and out-of-sample tests, with full flexibility in the distribution specifications, the copula-based GARCH models perform more effectively than other dynamic hedging models.
Book Synopsis Time-Varying Distribution and Hedging Effectiveness of Three Pacific-Basin Stock Futures by : Taufiq Choudhry
Download or read book Time-Varying Distribution and Hedging Effectiveness of Three Pacific-Basin Stock Futures written by Taufiq Choudhry and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the hedging effectiveness of Australian, Hong Kong and Japanese stock futures markets. For each market two sets of futures indices are used in the empirical tests. Effectiveness of four different hedging ratios depending on different estimation procedures are investigated. The unhedged, the traditional hedge and the minimum variance hedge ratios are all constant while the bivariate GARCH hedge ratio is time-varying. The effectiveness of the hedge ratio are compared by investigating the out-of-sample performance of the four ratios. The whole sample consist of daily returns from January 1990 to December 1998. Two out-of-sample periods are used January1997 to December 1998 (two years) and from January 1998 to December 1998 (one year). Results show that the time-varying GARCH hedge ratio out-performs the constant ratios in most of the cases but not all. This is true using both out-of-sample periodsKeyWords: Hedge Ratio, Bivariate GARCH, Cash Index, Futures Index, Variance.
Book Synopsis Hedging Short-Term Interest Risk Under Time-Varying Distributions by : Louis Gagnon
Download or read book Hedging Short-Term Interest Risk Under Time-Varying Distributions written by Louis Gagnon and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the performance of conditional hedging strategies in the context of banker's acceptance positions. This strategy is based on the GARCH methodology developed by Engle (1982) and Bollerslev (1986), and incorporates information contained in past return innovations as well as past conditional variances. We extend previous research byallowing asymmetries in the volatility response to positive shocks and to negative shocks in the construction of our hedged positions, and by relaxing the constant conditional correlation assumption imposed by previous researchers. Our evidence not only supports earlier findings suggesting that the conditional hedging strategy outperforms the constant hedge model, both statistically and economically, but also shows that even greater risk reduction may be achieved by accounting for asymmetries in the spot-futures joint dynamics. Our results also indicate that the constant hedging model is superior to the widely based duration-based approach. This study represents the first investigation of the Montreal Exchange's BA futures contract (BAX).
Book Synopsis Estimation of Constant and Time-Varying Hedge Ratios for Indian Stock Index Futures Market by : P. Srinivasan
Download or read book Estimation of Constant and Time-Varying Hedge Ratios for Indian Stock Index Futures Market written by P. Srinivasan and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the hedging effectiveness of the S&P CNX Nifty index futures by employing four competing models, viz., the simple Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, the Bivariate Vector Autoregressive (BVAR) model, the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and the multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) with error correction model. The hedge performances obtained from the different econometric models for the in-sample and out-of-sample periods are compared in terms of variance minimization criterion.
Book Synopsis Hedge Ratio Estimation and Hedging Effectiveness by : Dimitris Kenourgios
Download or read book Hedge Ratio Estimation and Hedging Effectiveness written by Dimitris Kenourgios and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the hedging effectiveness of the Standard amp; Poor's (Samp;P) 500 stock index futures contract using weekly settlement prices for the period July 3rd, 1992 to June 30th, 2002. Particularly, it focuses on three areas of interest: the determination of the appropriate model for estimating a hedge ratio that minimizes the variance of returns; the hedging effectiveness and the stability of optimal hedge ratios through time; an in-sample forecasting analysis in order to examine the hedging performance of different econometric methods. The hedging performance of this contract is examined considering alternative methods, both constant and time-varying, for computing more effective hedge ratios. The results suggest the optimal hedge ratio that incorporates nonstationarity, long run equilibrium relationship and short run dynamics is reliable and useful for hedgers. Comparisons of the hedging effectiveness and in-sample hedging performance of each model imply that the error correction model (ECM) is superior to the other models employed in terms of risk reduction. Finally, the results for testing the stability of the optimal hedge ratio obtained from the ECM suggest that it remains stable over time.
Download or read book Document de Travail written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management by : Madaleno, Mara
Download or read book Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management written by Madaleno, Mara and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2022-01-14 with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk affects many different companies, industries, and institutions, and the COVID-19 pandemic has caused more challenges than before to arise. In the wake of these new challenges, new risk management strategies must arise. Risk affects many companies differently, though in the aftermath of a global pandemic, similar management strategies may be adapted to maintain a flourishing business. Financial risk management has become increasingly important in the last years, and a profound understanding of this subject is vital. The Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management discusses the financial instruments firms use to manage the difference kinds of financial risks and risk management practices in a variety of different countries. This book offers an international focus of risk management, comparing different practices from all over the world. Covering topics such as bank stability, environmental assets, and perceived risk theory, this book is a valuable research source for regulatory authorities, accountants, managers, academicians, students, researchers, graduate students, researchers, faculty, and practitioners.
Book Synopsis Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics by : Vladik Kreinovich
Download or read book Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 1167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents recent research on probabilistic methods in economics, from machine learning to statistical analysis. Economics is a very important – and at the same a very difficult discipline. It is not easy to predict how an economy will evolve or to identify the measures needed to make an economy prosper. One of the main reasons for this is the high level of uncertainty: different difficult-to-predict events can influence the future economic behavior. To make good predictions and reasonable recommendations, this uncertainty has to be taken into account. In the past, most related research results were based on using traditional techniques from probability and statistics, such as p-value-based hypothesis testing. These techniques led to numerous successful applications, but in the last decades, several examples have emerged showing that these techniques often lead to unreliable and inaccurate predictions. It is therefore necessary to come up with new techniques for processing the corresponding uncertainty that go beyond the traditional probabilistic techniques. This book focuses on such techniques, their economic applications and the remaining challenges, presenting both related theoretical developments and their practical applications.
Book Synopsis Market Risk and Financial Markets Modeling by : Didier Sornette
Download or read book Market Risk and Financial Markets Modeling written by Didier Sornette and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-02-03 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current financial crisis has revealed serious flaws in models, measures and, potentially, theories, that failed to provide forward-looking expectations for upcoming losses originated from market risks. The Proceedings of the Perm Winter School 2011 propose insights on many key issues and advances in financial markets modeling and risk measurement aiming to bridge the gap. The key addressed topics include: hierarchical and ultrametric models of financial crashes, dynamic hedging, arbitrage free modeling the term structure of interest rates, agent based modeling of order flow, asset pricing in a fractional market, hedge funds performance and many more.
Download or read book Journal of Empirical Finance written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 1096 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Energy Trading and Risk Management by : Tadahiro Nakajima
Download or read book Energy Trading and Risk Management written by Tadahiro Nakajima and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-11-03 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces empirical methods for analyzing energy markets. Even beginners in econometrics and mathematical finance must be able to learn how to utilize these methodologies and how to interpret the analysis results. This book provides some example analyses of the North American, European, and Asian energy markets. The reader will experience some theories and practices of energy trading and risk management. This book reveals the characteristics of energy markets using quantitative analyses. Examples include unit root, cointegration, long-term equilibrium, stochastic arbitrage simulation, multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models, exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models, optimal hedge ratio, copula, value-at-risk (VaR), expected shortfall, vector autoregressive (VAR) models, vector moving average (VMA) models, connectedness, and frequency decomposition. This book is suitable for people interested in the empirical study of energy markets and energy trade.
Book Synopsis Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling by : Vladik Kreinovich
Download or read book Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 784 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.
