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Early Warning And Monitoring System Ewams Project
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Book Synopsis Early Warning and Monitoring System (EWAMS) Project by : Frederick A. Rothe
Download or read book Early Warning and Monitoring System (EWAMS) Project written by Frederick A. Rothe and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The early Warning and Monitoring System (EWAMS) project has ended. With it ends the World Event Interaction Survey (WEIS) data collection--the longest running day-to-day international politics data collection of its type. The two projects (WEIS and EWAMS) are closely connected. WEIS was the 'basic' research forerunner to the 'applied' EWAMS. WEIS data, concepts, computer technology, indicators, and statistical techniques were implemented in the EWAMS project. Five years ago, the EWAMS project was initiated, eleven years after the WEIS project collected its first data. The main idea for the EWAMS project was to transfer all that had been learned, built, collected, and produced in a university setting to a government foreign affairs setting. Then, as now, the basic thought was far reaching and exciting; a product (WEIS) developed with government funds in an academic setting for theoretical concerns would potentially be used by foreign affairs personnel with very definite practical policy concerns. Despite all the excitement, the computer time, the government funding, and the brain trust assembled to undertake this task, the bridge between theory and practice was never actually built. Many reasons for this exist. The main purpose of this Final Report is to outline some of those reasons. This is done so that future projects of this type will be better prepared for some of the obstacles, for which avenues not to take, and for which mistakes not to repeat. It is important to keep in mind that the EWAMS was successful, but that the final goal of bridging theory and practice proved elusive.
Book Synopsis Users Guide to the Early Warning and Monitoring System by : Thomas R. Davies
Download or read book Users Guide to the Early Warning and Monitoring System written by Thomas R. Davies and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Early Warning and Monitoring System(EWAMS) is being developed, tested and transferred at the direction of the Cybernetics Technology Office of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA/CTO). The EWAMS is being developed to assist the intelligence community by providing them with an interactive computer-based system of political, economic, and domestic indicators for daily monitoring of international and intranational affairs and for warning of crisis and conflict. The EWAMS has been designed to fulfill three basic needs of potential users. First, it can be used as an information retrieval system. The EWAMS allows users to retrieve data on the historical, political actions taken by countries as far back as 1966. Second, the system can be used as a monitoring system. Users can monitor the entire international political environment on a daily basis. Third, the EWAMS can be used as warning system. It allows users to receive numerical assessments of the probability of a crisis on a monthly basis. The EWAMS is comprised of several independent computer programs. This users guide contains an overview of these programs and a description of their operation. The EWAMS program is designed to be implemented on a Tektronix 4051 in interaction with a PDP/11-70 computer. (Author).
Book Synopsis The Keyword Option in the Analytic Early Warning and Monitoring System by : M. Pulley
Download or read book The Keyword Option in the Analytic Early Warning and Monitoring System written by M. Pulley and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Early Warning and Monitoring System (EWAMS) now consists of three modules: The country-level indicator CAP (Country Activity Profile), the basis for a country scanning option which will be refined and expanded in the future; Analytic Indications and Warning (I & W); and Automated I & W. This memorandum discusses the function of keyword, provides an overview of its uses, and presents sample output for a variety of actors and contexts. The keyword option is designed to perform keyword-based content analyses of the WEIS/EWAMS data. As has been emphasized in earlier EWAMS reports, the Early Warning and Monitoring System features three basic functions; information retrieval; international relations tracking or monitoring; and crisis and conflict warning. Keyword is especially relevant to the information retrieval dimension. A specific example is the capability of tracking a particular issue or personality across time. A second illustration is the possible use of the keyword option for retrieving current and recent textual items without having to look at all of the text. A third way to use keyword is as a supplement to historical searches. Historical search, a feature of automated I & W, permits a user to obtain indicator readings for any country pair or set of regions in the world. A fourth illustration of the utility of the keyword option concerns in-depth case studies of a particular country, country pair, or region. Case studies are presented.
Book Synopsis Internal and External Crisis Early Warning and Monitoring by : Gerald W. Hopple
Download or read book Internal and External Crisis Early Warning and Monitoring written by Gerald W. Hopple and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes research on the Early Warning and Monitoring System (EWAMS). The proliferation of quantitative computer-based systems for facilitating I & W (Indications and Warning) analysis has provided a significant impetus for EWAMS research. Extensive evidence from behavioral decision theory indicates that humans are susceptible to various cognitive-perceptual biases and fallacies and that a computer-based tracking and warning system can be of value to intelligence analysts. Basic and applied political, social, and computer science R & D has facilitated the process of designing, testing, and refining EWAMS on both the international and intranational level. Initial EWAMS research revolved around: testing of quantitative political indicators; development of general scans; and selection of a computer base for the system. A key objective of the recent political research program involved crisis warning. Discriminant analysis methodology was tested extensively and subsequently incorporated into the system.
Download or read book Naval Research Reviews written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 486 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Preventive Measures by : John L. Davies
Download or read book Preventive Measures written by John L. Davies and published by Rowman & Littlefield Publishers. This book was released on 1998-09-03 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State failure, ethnopolitical war, genocide, famine, and refugee flows are variants of a type of complex political and humanitarian crisis, exemplified during the 1990s in places like Somalia, Bosnia, Liberia, and Afghanistan. The international consequences of such crises are profound, often threatening regional security and requiring major inputs of humanitarian assistance. They also may pose long-term and costly challenges of rebuilding shattered governments and societies. A vital policy question is whether failures can be diagnosed far enough in advance to facilitate effective international efforts at prevention or peaceful transformation. This volume of original essays examines crisis early warning factors at different levels, in different settings, and judges their effectiveness according to various models. Top contributors offer answers along with analyses as they move from early warning to early response in their policy recommendations.
Book Synopsis Early Warning and Monitoring System by : Gerald W. Hopple
Download or read book Early Warning and Monitoring System written by Gerald W. Hopple and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Early Warning and Monitoring System by : Judith Ayres Daly
Download or read book The Early Warning and Monitoring System written by Judith Ayres Daly and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This technical report documents and summarizes the progress made toward the development of a crisis early warning and monitoring system. Chapter 1 reviews the crisis warning problem and proposed solution. Chapter 2 summarizes the contract tasking and project accomplishments. The components of the early warning system and their interrelationships are detailed in Chapter 3. Chapter 4 reports on progress in developing new indicators and software capabilities. Chapter 5 documents developments made in transferring and demonstrating the prototype system. The current status of the blend between empirical and decision analytic warning methodologies is described in Chapter 6. Chapter 7 outlines future research developments to be designed, tested, and integrated. The Early Warning and Monitoring system is comprised of several main components including quantitative indicators, general scans, a forecasting methodology, and an interactive computer base. The quantitative indicators include international political indicators of activity, tension, and uncertainty. The monthly forecasts are based on extensive retrospective tests of past crisis behavior. Testing has shown that the computer-based system is capable of substantially improving the defense community's ability to forecast specific international crises.
Book Synopsis Cult of the Irrelevant by : Michael Desch
Download or read book Cult of the Irrelevant written by Michael Desch and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-09-28 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How professionalization and scholarly “rigor” made social scientists increasingly irrelevant to US national security policy To mobilize America’s intellectual resources to meet the security challenges of the post–9/11 world, US Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates observed that “we must again embrace eggheads and ideas.” But the gap between national security policymakers and international relations scholars has become a chasm. In Cult of the Irrelevant, Michael Desch traces the history of the relationship between the Beltway and the Ivory Tower from World War I to the present day. Recounting key Golden Age academic strategists such as Thomas Schelling and Walt Rostow, Desch’s narrative shows that social science research became most oriented toward practical problem-solving during times of war and that scholars returned to less relevant work during peacetime. Social science disciplines like political science rewarded work that was methodologically sophisticated over scholarship that engaged with the messy realities of national security policy, and academic culture increasingly turned away from the job of solving real-world problems. In the name of scientific objectivity, academics today frequently engage only in basic research that they hope will somehow trickle down to policymakers. Drawing on the lessons of this history as well as a unique survey of current and former national security policymakers, Desch offers concrete recommendations for scholars who want to shape government work. The result is a rich intellectual history and an essential wake-up call to a field that has lost its way.
Book Synopsis Foreign Policy Analysis by : Valerie M. Hudson
Download or read book Foreign Policy Analysis written by Valerie M. Hudson and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2007 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Aimed at advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students, this book covers the theory of foreign policy analysis. Beginning with an overview, it then tackles theory and research at multiple levels of analysis, ending with an examination of the areas in which the next generation of foreign policy analysts can make important contributions.
Book Synopsis Early Warning System a Clear and Concise Reference by : Gerardus Blokdyk
Download or read book Early Warning System a Clear and Concise Reference written by Gerardus Blokdyk and published by 5starcooks. This book was released on 2018-05-20 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to deal with Early warning system Changes? What is our formula for success in Early warning system ? Do we monitor the Early warning system decisions made and fine tune them as they evolve? Is there a recommended audit plan for routine surveillance inspections of Early warning system's gains? What other jobs or tasks affect the performance of the steps in the Early warning system process? This one-of-a-kind Early warning system self-assessment will make you the dependable Early warning system domain master by revealing just what you need to know to be fluent and ready for any Early warning system challenge. How do I reduce the effort in the Early warning system work to be done to get problems solved? How can I ensure that plans of action include every Early warning system task and that every Early warning system outcome is in place? How will I save time investigating strategic and tactical options and ensuring Early warning system costs are low? How can I deliver tailored Early warning system advice instantly with structured going-forward plans? There's no better guide through these mind-expanding questions than acclaimed best-selling author Gerard Blokdyk. Blokdyk ensures all Early warning system essentials are covered, from every angle: the Early warning system self-assessment shows succinctly and clearly that what needs to be clarified to organize the required activities and processes so that Early warning system outcomes are achieved. Contains extensive criteria grounded in past and current successful projects and activities by experienced Early warning system practitioners. Their mastery, combined with the easy elegance of the self-assessment, provides its superior value to you in knowing how to ensure the outcome of any efforts in Early warning system are maximized with professional results. Your purchase includes access details to the Early warning system self-assessment dashboard download which gives you your dynamically prioritized projects-ready tool and shows you exactly what to do next. Your exclusive instant access details can be found in your book.
Book Synopsis National Security Crisis Forecasting And Management by : Gerald W. Hopple
Download or read book National Security Crisis Forecasting And Management written by Gerald W. Hopple and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-03-08 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book identifies the central problems of crisis research, assesses the progress of work in the area, and discusses prospects for the future. It addresses Soviet, Chinese, and U.S. crisis management patterns, computer-based early warning systems, terrorism, and the Rapid Deployment Force.
Download or read book Technical Abstract Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Early Warning System on a National Level by : Martin Apel
Download or read book Early Warning System on a National Level written by Martin Apel and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Behavior & Society written by and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Government Reports Announcements & Index by :
Download or read book Government Reports Announcements & Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 1120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis An early warning and monitoring system for distributed process control systems by : Keld Ramstedt Bach
Download or read book An early warning and monitoring system for distributed process control systems written by Keld Ramstedt Bach and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
