Dynamic Jump Intensities and Risk Premia

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Jump Intensities and Risk Premia by : Peter Christoffersen

Download or read book Dynamic Jump Intensities and Risk Premia written by Peter Christoffersen and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We build a new class of discrete time models where the distribution of daily returns is driven by two factors: dynamic volatility and dynamic jump intensity. Each factor has its own risk premium. The likelihood function for the models is available using analytical filtering, which makes them much easier to implement than most existing models. Estimating the models on Samp;P500 returns, we find that they significantly outperform standard models without jumps. We find very strong empirical support for time-varying jump intensities, and thus for flexible skewness and kurtosis dynamics. Compared to the risk premium on dynamic volatility, the risk premium on the dynamic jump intensity has a much larger impact on option prices. We confirm these findings using joint estimation on returns and large option samples, which is feasible in our class of models.

A Jump and Smile Ride

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis A Jump and Smile Ride by : Dario Alitab

Download or read book A Jump and Smile Ride written by Dario Alitab and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We introduce a discrete-time model for log-return dynamics with observable volatility and jumps. Our proposal extends the class of Realized Volatility heterogeneous auto-regressive gamma (HARG) processes adding a jump component with time-varying intensity. The model is able to reproduce the temporary increase in the probability of occurrence of a jump immediately after an abrupt large movement of the asset price. Belonging to the class of exponentially affine models, the moment generating function under the physical measure is available in closed-form. Thanks to a flexible specification of the pricing kernel compensating for equity, volatility, and jump risks, the generating function under the risk-neutral measure inherits analytical tractability too. An application of the leveraged HARG model with dynamic jump intensity to the pricing of a large sample of S&P500 index options assesses its superior performances with respect to state-of-the-art benchmark models.

Extreme News Events, Long-Memory Volatility, and Time Varying Risk Premia in Stock Market Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme News Events, Long-Memory Volatility, and Time Varying Risk Premia in Stock Market Returns by : Wing H. Chan

Download or read book Extreme News Events, Long-Memory Volatility, and Time Varying Risk Premia in Stock Market Returns written by Wing H. Chan and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a new class of GARCH-jump in mean models to test the presence of time varying risk premia associated with normal and extreme news events. The model allows for a dynamic jump component with autoregressive jump intensity, long-range dependence in volatility dynamics, and volatility in mean structure separately for normal and extreme news events. The results show significant jump risk premia in five stock market index returns. We also find that ignoring the long-memory feature in volatility dynamics leads to false rejection of time varying risk premia.

Bond Risk Premia and Realized Jump Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Bond Risk Premia and Realized Jump Volatility by : Jonathan H. Wright

Download or read book Bond Risk Premia and Realized Jump Volatility written by Jonathan H. Wright and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400829232
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing by : Kenneth J. Singleton

Download or read book Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing written by Kenneth J. Singleton and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-12-13 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by one of the leading experts in the field, this book focuses on the interplay between model specification, data collection, and econometric testing of dynamic asset pricing models. The first several chapters provide an in-depth treatment of the econometric methods used in analyzing financial time-series models. The remainder explores the goodness-of-fit of preference-based and no-arbitrage models of equity returns and the term structure of interest rates; equity and fixed-income derivatives prices; and the prices of defaultable securities. Singleton addresses the restrictions on the joint distributions of asset returns and other economic variables implied by dynamic asset pricing models, as well as the interplay between model formulation and the choice of econometric estimation strategy. For each pricing problem, he provides a comprehensive overview of the empirical evidence on goodness-of-fit, with tables and graphs that facilitate critical assessment of the current state of the relevant literatures. As an added feature, Singleton includes throughout the book interesting tidbits of new research. These range from empirical results (not reported elsewhere, or updated from Singleton's previous papers) to new observations about model specification and new econometric methods for testing models. Clear and comprehensive, the book will appeal to researchers at financial institutions as well as advanced students of economics and finance, mathematics, and science.

Mathematical Finance with Applications

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Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039435736
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Finance with Applications by : Wing-Keung Wong

Download or read book Mathematical Finance with Applications written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-07 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical finance plays a vital role in many fields within finance and provides the theories and tools that have been widely used in all areas of finance. Knowledge of mathematics, probability, and statistics is essential to develop finance theories and test their validity through the analysis of empirical, real-world data. For example, mathematics, probability, and statistics could help to develop pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.

Jump-Diffusion Long-Run Risks Models, Variance Risk Premium, and Volatility Dynamics

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Jump-Diffusion Long-Run Risks Models, Variance Risk Premium, and Volatility Dynamics by : Jianjian Jin

Download or read book Jump-Diffusion Long-Run Risks Models, Variance Risk Premium, and Volatility Dynamics written by Jianjian Jin and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper calibrates a class of jump-diffusion long-run risks models and quantifies how well they can account for both equity and variance risk premiums while generating realistic volatility dynamics. I find that jumps in the level and the volatility of long-run consumption growth rates perform equally well in explaining the variance risk premium. Moreover, compared to jump-in-growth models, jump-in-volatility models generate more realistic volatility dynamics and stronger predictability of returns by the variance risk premium. Finally, both jump-in-volatility and jump-in-growth models suggest that a non-trivial portion of the equity risk premium is due to compensation for jump risks.

Risk Premiums in a Multi-Factor Jump-Diffusion Model for the Joint Dynamics of Equity Options and Their Underlying

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Premiums in a Multi-Factor Jump-Diffusion Model for the Joint Dynamics of Equity Options and Their Underlying by : Robert Huitema

Download or read book Risk Premiums in a Multi-Factor Jump-Diffusion Model for the Joint Dynamics of Equity Options and Their Underlying written by Robert Huitema and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a new approach to measure premiums for volatility and jump risks in option markets. These risks are captured by a multi-factor jump-diffusion model for the joint evolution of the underlying and the implied volatility surface. This market-based approach enables us to carefully test and select the most relevant risk factors in option markets. We extend the approach of Schonbucher (1998) to processes that include jumps and derive a condition that ensures absence of dynamic arbitrage. As this condition is derived under the physical measure, it incorporates a premium for each risk factor in the model. We then interpret the no-arbitrage constraint as a noisy measurement of these risk premiums and other latent variables such as the volatility and jump-intensity of the underlying. This allows us to dynamically calibrate these variables to data from several markets using a Bayesian filtering framework. The results shed new light on how option risk premiums vary over time and across markets. As our approach provides an accurate and arbitrage-free description of option price dynamics it can also be used for risk management of portfolios of options and for testing dynamic option strategies.

Dynamic Term Structure Modeling

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470140062
Total Pages : 722 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Term Structure Modeling by : Sanjay K. Nawalkha

Download or read book Dynamic Term Structure Modeling written by Sanjay K. Nawalkha and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-05-23 with total page 722 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Dynamic Term Structure Modeling "This book offers the most comprehensive coverage of term-structure models I have seen so far, encompassing equilibrium and no-arbitrage models in a new framework, along with the major solution techniques using trees, PDE methods, Fourier methods, and approximations. It is an essential reference for academics and practitioners alike." --Sanjiv Ranjan Das Professor of Finance, Santa Clara University, California, coeditor, Journal of Derivatives "Bravo! This is an exhaustive analysis of the yield curve dynamics. It is clear, pedagogically impressive, well presented, and to the point." --Nassim Nicholas Taleb author, Dynamic Hedging and The Black Swan "Nawalkha, Beliaeva, and Soto have put together a comprehensive, up-to-date textbook on modern dynamic term structure modeling. It is both accessible and rigorous and should be of tremendous interest to anyone who wants to learn about state-of-the-art fixed income modeling. It provides many numerical examples that will be valuable to readers interested in the practical implementations of these models." --Pierre Collin-Dufresne Associate Professor of Finance, UC Berkeley "The book provides a comprehensive description of the continuous time interest rate models. It serves an important part of the trilogy, useful for financial engineers to grasp the theoretical underpinnings and the practical implementation." --Thomas S. Y. Ho, PHD President, Thomas Ho Company, Ltd, coauthor, The Oxford Guide to Financial Modeling

Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0124158889
Total Pages : 657 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (241 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models by : Carsten Wehn

Download or read book Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models written by Carsten Wehn and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2012-12-17 with total page 657 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is widely acknowledged that many financial modelling techniques failed during the financial crisis, and in our post-crisis environment many techniques are being reconsidered. This single volume provides a guide to lessons learned for practitioners and a reference for academics. Including reviews of traditional approaches, real examples, and case studies, contributors consider portfolio theory; methods for valuing equities and equity derivatives, interest rate derivatives, and hybrid products; and techniques for calculating risks and implementing investment strategies. Describing new approaches without losing sight of their classical antecedents, this collection of original articles presents a timely perspective on our post-crisis paradigm. Highlights pre-crisis best classical practices, identifies post-crisis key issues, and examines emerging approaches to solving those issues Singles out key factors one must consider when valuing or calculating risks in the post-crisis environment Presents material in a homogenous, practical, clear, and not overly technical manner

Variance Swap Premium Under Stochastic Volatility and Self-exciting Jumps

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (881 download)

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Book Synopsis Variance Swap Premium Under Stochastic Volatility and Self-exciting Jumps by : Ke Chen (Economist)

Download or read book Variance Swap Premium Under Stochastic Volatility and Self-exciting Jumps written by Ke Chen (Economist) and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119990807
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance by : Gautam Mitra

Download or read book The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance written by Gautam Mitra and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-13 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance is a landmarkpublication bringing together the latest models and applications ofNews Analytics for asset pricing, portfolio construction, tradingand risk control. The content of the Hand Book is organised to provide arapid yet comprehensive understanding of this topic. Chapter 1 setsout an overview of News Analytics (NA) with an explanation of thetechnology and applications. The rest of the chapters are presentedin four parts. Part 1 contains an explanation of methods and modelswhich are used to measure and quantify news sentiment. In Part 2the relationship between news events and discovery of abnormalreturns (the elusive alpha) is discussed in detail by the leadingresearchers and industry experts. The material in this part alsocovers potential application of NA to trading and fund management.Part 3 covers the use of quantified news for the purpose ofmonitoring, early diagnostics and risk control. Part 4 is entirelyindustry focused; it contains insights of experts from leadingtechnology (content) vendors. It also contains a discussion oftechnologies and finally a compact directory of content vendor andfinancial analytics companies in the marketplace of NA. Thebook draws equally upon the expertise of academics andpractitioners who have developed these models and is supported bytwo major content vendors - RavenPack and Thomson Reuters - leadingproviders of news analytics software and machine readablenews. The book will appeal to decision makers in the banking, finance andinsurance services industry. In particular: asset managers;quantitative fund managers; hedge fund managers; algorithmictraders; proprietary (program) trading desks; sell-side firms;brokerage houses; risk managers and research departments willbenefit from the unique insights into this new and pertinent areaof financial modelling.

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers

Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

GARCH Models

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119957397
Total Pages : 469 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis GARCH Models by : Christian Francq

Download or read book GARCH Models written by Christian Francq and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-06-24 with total page 469 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive and systematic approach to understanding GARCH time series models and their applications whilst presenting the most advanced results concerning the theory and practical aspects of GARCH. The probability structure of standard GARCH models is studied in detail as well as statistical inference such as identification, estimation and tests. The book also provides coverage of several extensions such as asymmetric and multivariate models and looks at financial applications. Key features: Provides up-to-date coverage of the current research in the probability, statistics and econometric theory of GARCH models. Numerous illustrations and applications to real financial series are provided. Supporting website featuring R codes, Fortran programs and data sets. Presents a large collection of problems and exercises. This authoritative, state-of-the-art reference is ideal for graduate students, researchers and practitioners in business and finance seeking to broaden their skills of understanding of econometric time series models.

Responsible Investing

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351361910
Total Pages : 319 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (513 download)

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Book Synopsis Responsible Investing by : Matthew W. Sherwood

Download or read book Responsible Investing written by Matthew W. Sherwood and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-09-21 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides the first holistic resource on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing for undergraduate and graduate programs. It provides a thorough background and history of ESG investing, as well as cutting-edge industry developments, in a way that introduces the reader to the rapidly developing field of responsible investing. Beginning with a comprehensive background of ESG investing and the development of models measuring risk and return, the book then discusses the development of ESG risks, and provides an overview of ESG rating systems. The textbook also outlines the current position of ESG investing in portfolio management through granular analysis, provides insight into common investor concerns about ESG investments, discloses qualitative theories relevant to ESG investing, and reviews literature attempting to model ESG investment performance. Finally, the authors provide readers with a foundation on the development of financial models measuring risk and return, which will be useful for measuring the performance of ESG investments. With case studies from contributors around the world, this textbook is the first of its kind to truly provide a compelling blend of quantitative and qualitative analysis supporting the incorporation of ESG investment strategies into investment portfolios. Offering an excellent overview of the growing trends in ESG investing, as well as a close analysis of ESG theories and their practical application both today and in the future, this book will be a great resource for both undergraduates and graduate students.

Estimating Consumption and Portfolio Decisions in an Economy with Jump and Volatility Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Consumption and Portfolio Decisions in an Economy with Jump and Volatility Risk by : Tetsuya Adachi

Download or read book Estimating Consumption and Portfolio Decisions in an Economy with Jump and Volatility Risk written by Tetsuya Adachi and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Price-Based Investment Strategies

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319915304
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Price-Based Investment Strategies by : Adam Zaremba

Download or read book Price-Based Investment Strategies written by Adam Zaremba and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-25 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This compelling book examines the price-based revolution in investing, showing how research over recent decades has reinvented technical analysis. The authors discuss the major groups of price-based strategies, considering their theoretical motivation, individual and combined implementation, and back-tested results when applied to investment across country stock markets. Containing a comprehensive sample of performance data, taken from 24 major developed markets around the world and ranging over the last 25 years, the authors construct practical portfolios and display their performance—ensuring the book is not only academically rigorous, but practically applicable too. This is a highly useful volume that will be of relevance to researchers and students working in the field of price-based investing, as well as individual investors, fund pickers, market analysts, fund managers, pension fund consultants, hedge fund portfolio managers, endowment chief investment officers, futures traders, and family office investors.