Determinacy, Indeterminacy and Dynamic Misspecification in Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (694 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinacy, Indeterminacy and Dynamic Misspecification in Linear Rational Expectations Models by :

Download or read book Determinacy, Indeterminacy and Dynamic Misspecification in Linear Rational Expectations Models written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a testing strategy for the null hypothesis that a multivariate linear rational expectations (LRE) model has a unique stable solution (determinacy) against the alternative of multiple stable solutions (indeterminacy). Under a proper set of identification restrictions, determinacy is investigated by a misspecification-type approach in which the result of the overidentifying restrictions test obtained from the estimation of the LRE model through a version of generalized method of moments is combined with the result of a likelihood-based test for the cross-equation restrictions that the LRE places on its finite order reduced form under determinacy. This approach (i) circumvents the nonstandard inferential problem that a purely likelihood-based approach implies because of the presence of nuisance parameters that appear under the alternative but not under the null, (ii) does not involve inequality parametric restrictions and nonstandard asymptotic distributions, and (iii) gives rise to a joint test which is consistent against indeterminacy almost everywhere in the space of nuisance parameters, i.e. except for a point of zero measure which gives rise to minimum state variable solutions, and is also consistent against the dynamic misspecification of the LRE model. Monte Carlo simulations show that the testing strategy delivers reasonable size coverage and power in finite samples. An empirical illustration focuses on the determinacy/indeterminacy of a New Keynesian monetary business cycle model for the US.

Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models by : Olivier J. Blanchard

Download or read book Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models written by Olivier J. Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many methods have been proposed for the solution and simulation of medium or large size models under the assumption of rational expectations. The purpose of this paper is to present these methods, and to show how and where each can be applied. The methods fall into two groups. Methods in the first can be used to solve for perfect foresight paths in non-linear models. Methods in the second can be used in linear models, to solve either for paths or processes followed by endogenous variables. All the methods described here have been used in empirical applications and computer algorithms are available for most.

Linear Rational Expectations Models

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Publisher : U of Minnesota Press
ISBN 13 : 1452907935
Total Pages : 151 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Charles H. Whiteman

Download or read book Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Charles H. Whiteman and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1984 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria by : Seonghoon Cho

Download or read book Refining Linear Rational Expectations Models and Equilibria written by Seonghoon Cho and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes forward convergence as a model refinement scheme for linear rational expectations (LRE) models and an associated no-bubble condition as a solution selection criterion. We relate these two concepts to determinacy and characterize the complete set of economically relevant rational expectations solutions to the LRE models under determinacy and indeterminacy. Our results show (1) why a determinate solution is economically meaningful in most, but not all, cases, and (2) that those models that are not forward-convergent have no economically relevant solutions.

A Generalized Approach to Indeterminacy in Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis A Generalized Approach to Indeterminacy in Linear Rational Expectations Models by : François Bianchi

Download or read book A Generalized Approach to Indeterminacy in Linear Rational Expectations Models written by François Bianchi and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Role of Identification and Nonstationarity in Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (219 download)

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Book Synopsis The Role of Identification and Nonstationarity in Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Kong-pʻil Chʻoe

Download or read book The Role of Identification and Nonstationarity in Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Kong-pʻil Chʻoe and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Solutions of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (715 download)

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Book Synopsis Solutions of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models by : L. Broze

Download or read book Solutions of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models written by L. Broze and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimation of Dynamic Limited-dependent Rational Expectation Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Dynamic Limited-dependent Rational Expectation Models by : Lung-fei Lee

Download or read book Estimation of Dynamic Limited-dependent Rational Expectation Models written by Lung-fei Lee and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Recursive Solution Methods for Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (165 download)

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Book Synopsis Recursive Solution Methods for Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Mark W. Watson

Download or read book Recursive Solution Methods for Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Mark W. Watson and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

On the Solution of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Solution of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book On the Solution of Dynamic Linear Rational Expectations Models written by Francis X. Diebold and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Expectational Stability in Regime-switching Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectational Stability in Regime-switching Rational Expectations Models by : William A. Branch

Download or read book Expectational Stability in Regime-switching Rational Expectations Models written by William A. Branch and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regime-switching rational expectations models, in which the parameters of the model evolve according to a finite state Markov process, have properties that differentiate them from linear models. Issues that are well understood in linear contexts, such as equilibrium determinacy and stability under adaptive learning, re-emerge in this new context. This paper outlines these issues and defines two classes of equilibria that emerge from regime-switching models. The distinguishing feature between the two classes is whether the conditional density of the endogenous state variables depends on past regimes. An assumption on whether agents condition their expectations on past regimes has important implications for determinacy and equilibrium dynamics. The paper addresses the stability properties of the different classes of equilibria under adaptive learning, extending the learning literature to a non-linear framework.

The American Economic Review

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1184 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The American Economic Review by :

Download or read book The American Economic Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 1184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes annual List of doctoral dissertations in political economy in progress in American universities and colleges; and the Hand book of the American Economic Association.

Expectational Stability in Regime-Switching Rational Expectations Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectational Stability in Regime-Switching Rational Expectations Models by : William Branch

Download or read book Expectational Stability in Regime-Switching Rational Expectations Models written by William Branch and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regime-switching rational expectations models, in which the parameters of the model evolve according to a amp;finite state Markov process, have properties that differentiate them from linear models. Issues that are well understood in linear contexts, such as equilibrium determinacy and stability under adaptive learning, re-emerge in this new context. This paper outlines these issues and deamp;fines two classes of equilibria that emerge from regime-switching models. The distinguishing feature between the two classes is whether the conditional density of the endogenous state variables depends on past regimes. An assumption on whether agents condition their expectations on past regimes has important implications for determinacy and equilibrium dynamics. The paper addresses the stability properties of the different classes of equilibria under adaptive learning, extending the learning literature to a non-linear framework.

Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691161089
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models by : Edward P. Herbst

Download or read book Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models written by Edward P. Herbst and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-12-29 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become one of the workhorses of modern macroeconomics and are extensively used for academic research as well as forecasting and policy analysis at central banks. This book introduces readers to state-of-the-art computational techniques used in the Bayesian analysis of DSGE models. The book covers Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for linearized DSGE models, novel sequential Monte Carlo methods that can be used for parameter inference, and the estimation of nonlinear DSGE models based on particle filter approximations of the likelihood function. The theoretical foundations of the algorithms are discussed in depth, and detailed empirical applications and numerical illustrations are provided. The book also gives invaluable advice on how to tailor these algorithms to specific applications and assess the accuracy and reliability of the computations. Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models is essential reading for graduate students, academic researchers, and practitioners at policy institutions.

Post Walrasian Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139459058
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Post Walrasian Macroeconomics by : David Colander

Download or read book Post Walrasian Macroeconomics written by David Colander and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-07-17 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomics is evolving in an almost dialectic fashion. The latest evolution is the development of a new synthesis that combines insights of new classical, new Keynesian and real business cycle traditions into a dynamic, stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that serves as a foundation for thinking about macro policy. That new synthesis has opened up the door to a new antithesis, which is being driven by advances in computing power and analytic techniques. This new synthesis is coalescing around developments in complexity theory, automated general to specific econometric modeling, agent-based models, and non-linear and statistical dynamical models. This book thus provides the reader with an introduction to what might be called a Post Walrasian research program that is developing as the antithesis of the Walrasian DSGE synthesis.

Handbook of Monetary Economics

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444534547
Total Pages : 971 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Monetary Economics by : Benjamin M. Friedman

Download or read book Handbook of Monetary Economics written by Benjamin M. Friedman and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2010-11-16 with total page 971 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "What tools are available for setting and analyzing monetary policy? World-renowned contributors examine recent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship." [source : 4e de couv.].

Journal of Economic Literature

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 704 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (243 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Economic Literature by :

Download or read book Journal of Economic Literature written by and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 704 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: