Perception and Misperception in International Politics

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400885116
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Perception and Misperception in International Politics by : Robert Jervis

Download or read book Perception and Misperception in International Politics written by Robert Jervis and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-05-02 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication in 1976, Perception and Misperception in International Politics has become a landmark book in its field, hailed by the New York Times as "the seminal statement of principles underlying political psychology." This new edition includes an extensive preface by the author reflecting on the book's lasting impact and legacy, particularly in the application of cognitive psychology to political decision making, and brings that analysis up to date by discussing the relevant psychological research over the past forty years. Jervis describes the process of perception (for example, how decision makers learn from history) and then explores common forms of misperception (such as overestimating one's influence). He then tests his ideas through a number of important events in international relations from nineteenth- and twentieth-century European history. Perception and Misperception in International Politics is essential for understanding international relations today.

Decision, Perception, Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780959710144
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision, Perception, Analysis by : James Charlton Kable

Download or read book Decision, Perception, Analysis written by James Charlton Kable and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Perception-based Decision Processing and Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (531 download)

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Book Synopsis Perception-based Decision Processing and Analysis by : Masoud Nikravesh

Download or read book Perception-based Decision Processing and Analysis written by Masoud Nikravesh and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

An Analysis of the Dynamics of Perception and Decision

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (386 download)

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Book Synopsis An Analysis of the Dynamics of Perception and Decision by : Samuel Michael Harding

Download or read book An Analysis of the Dynamics of Perception and Decision written by Samuel Michael Harding and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How an object's features are perceived over time, how they provide evidence, and how the evidence leads to a decision expressed with a binary response are explored using cursor movements. An object is presented on a computer monitor and a cursor controlled by a mouse is moved to one of two response regions to indicate the type of object presented. The object has two features, one 100% diagnostic of the desired response and the other 75% diagnostic. The features are presented simultaneously or sequentially. The cursor movements are analyzed with a Hidden Markov Model, a method that provides an exceptionally detailed inference about the moment-to-moment processes that govern perception and evidence change that produce a final decision: For each trial in each condition for each participant, the method provides a best guess, at each ten milliseconds from trial's start to trial's end, of the features that have been perceived by that time, and the evidence that has been accumulated by that time. These inferences can be analyzed in myriad ways to provide insights about the dynamic processes of cognition, and differences among conditions and individuals. A selection of such analyses is provided to illustrate the power of the approach.

Individual Perception and Social Context in Consumer Decision Making

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 15 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (955 download)

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Book Synopsis Individual Perception and Social Context in Consumer Decision Making by : Daniele Dalli

Download or read book Individual Perception and Social Context in Consumer Decision Making written by Daniele Dalli and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Measurement, Judgment, and Decision Making

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 008053600X
Total Pages : 387 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Measurement, Judgment, and Decision Making by : Michael H. Birnbaum

Download or read book Measurement, Judgment, and Decision Making written by Michael H. Birnbaum and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1997-11-27 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Measurement, Judgment, and Decision Making provides an excellent introduction to measurement, which is one of the most basic issues of the science of psychology and the key to science. Written by leading researchers, the book covers measurement, psychophysical scaling, multidimensional scaling, stimulus categorization, and behavioral decision making. Each chapter provides a useful handbook summary and unlocks the door for a scholar who desires entry to that field. Any psychologist who manipulates an independent variable that affects a psychological construct or who uses a numerical dependent variable to measure a psychological construct will want to study this book. Written by leading researchers in fields of measurement, psychophysical scaling, multidimensional scaling, stimulus categorization, and behavioral decision making Provides basic definitions and summaries of theories Presents summaries and citations to relevant literature Contains new developments, current controversies, and open questions Explains relationships among fields and historical links

Law, Politics, and Perception

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Publisher : University of Virginia Press
ISBN 13 : 0813928370
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Law, Politics, and Perception by : Eileen Braman

Download or read book Law, Politics, and Perception written by Eileen Braman and published by University of Virginia Press. This book was released on 2009-10-29 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are judges' decisions more likely to be based on personal inclinations or legal authority? The answer, Eileen Braman argues, is both. Law, Politics, and Perception brings cognitive psychology to bear on the question of the relative importance of norms of legal reasoning versus decision markers' policy preferences in legal decision-making. While Braman acknowledges that decision makers' attitudes—or, more precisely, their preference for policy outcomes—can play a significant role in judicial decisions, she also believes that decision-makers' belief that they must abide by accepted rules of legal analysis significantly limits the role of preferences in their judgements. To reconcile these competing factors, Braman posits that judges engage in "motivated reasoning," a biased process in which decision-makers are unconsciously predisposed to find legal authority that is consistent with their own preferences more convincing than those that go against them. But Braman also provides evidence that the scope of motivated reasoning is limited. Objective case facts and accepted norms of legal reasoning can often inhibit decision makers' ability to reach conclusions consistent with their preferences.

Patterns of Error: Perceptual and Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis and Decision-Making

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (742 download)

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Book Synopsis Patterns of Error: Perceptual and Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis and Decision-Making by :

Download or read book Patterns of Error: Perceptual and Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis and Decision-Making written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The history of man is written in choice. Whether simple or complex, on a whim or after labored consideration, inflamed by passion or calculated coolly, the judgments that we form and the choices that we make define who we are and what we want for the future. Yet most of us have little or no conscious awareness of the inner workings of our own minds. We often choose without understanding or accounting for the perceptions, intuitions, and inferences that underlie our decisions. So how do people make decisions? How do we cope with the volume and complexity of information in our environment without being overwhelmed? How do we use our senses to select and process this information, and how do we organize, contextualize, and conceptualize it once it reaches our brains? How do we form judgments about the value of a specific piece of information or about the likelihood of a particular event or outcome? And what are the factors that lead us astray? The search for answers to these questions is more than academic; understanding the fundamentals of perception and cognition is critical to effective analysis and decision-making. For those involved in national security, and particularly for those involved in the collection and analysis of national intelligence, an appreciation of the intricacies of these processes has real-world implications. As evidenced by the dramatic intelligence failures of the last few years, and in particular by the mistaken assessment concerning Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, understanding how we arrive at judgments and decisions can be quite literally a matter of life and death.

An Analysis of Perceptions about the Processes of Executive Decision-making in Four Complex Organizations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis An Analysis of Perceptions about the Processes of Executive Decision-making in Four Complex Organizations by : Andrew Clarke Jones

Download or read book An Analysis of Perceptions about the Processes of Executive Decision-making in Four Complex Organizations written by Andrew Clarke Jones and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Communication and Vaccination

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309057906
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Communication and Vaccination by : Institute of Medicine

Download or read book Risk Communication and Vaccination written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1997-08-10 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Learning from the Science of Cognition and Perception for Decision Making

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309476372
Total Pages : 79 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Learning from the Science of Cognition and Perception for Decision Making by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Learning from the Science of Cognition and Perception for Decision Making written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2018-06-29 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Beginning in October 2017, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine organized a set of workshops designed to gather information for the Decadal Survey of Social and Behavioral Sciences for Applications to National Security. The fourth workshop focused on the science of cognition and perception, and this publication summarizes the presentations and discussions from this workshop.

Organizational Decision Processes

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Publisher : Crane Russak, Incorporated
ISBN 13 : 9780844806198
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (61 download)

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Book Synopsis Organizational Decision Processes by : Ronald J. Ebert

Download or read book Organizational Decision Processes written by Ronald J. Ebert and published by Crane Russak, Incorporated. This book was released on 1975 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Single-Trial Analyses of Behavioural and Neuroimaging Data in Perception and Decision-Making

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Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
ISBN 13 : 2889190234
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (891 download)

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Book Synopsis Single-Trial Analyses of Behavioural and Neuroimaging Data in Perception and Decision-Making by : Paul Sajda

Download or read book Single-Trial Analyses of Behavioural and Neuroimaging Data in Perception and Decision-Making written by Paul Sajda and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2012 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The cognitive psychology of perception and decision-making is at a cross-road. Most studies still employ categorical designs, a priori classified stimuli and perform statistical evaluations across subjects. However, a shift has been observed in recent years towards parametric designs in which the information content of stimuli is systematically manipulated to study the single-trial dynamics of behaviour (reaction times, eye movements) and brain activity (EEG, MEG, fMRI). By using the information contained in the variance of individual trials, the single-trial approach goes beyond the activity of the average brain: it reveals the specificity of information processing in individual subjects, across tasks and stimulus space, revealing both inter-individual commonalties and differences. This Research Topic provides theoretical and empirical support for the study of single-trial data. Topics of particular interest include: 1. description of the richness of information in single-trials and how it can be successfully extracted; 2. statistical issues related to measures of central tendency, control for multiple comparisons, multivariate approaches, hierarchical modelling and characterization of individual differences; 3. how manipulation of the stimulus space can allow for a direct mapping of stimulus properties onto brain activity to infer dynamics of information processing and information content of brain states; 4. how results from different brain imaging techniques can be integrated at the single-trial level.

Perception-based Data Mining and Decision Making in Economics and Finance

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540362444
Total Pages : 374 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Perception-based Data Mining and Decision Making in Economics and Finance by : Ildar Batyrshin

Download or read book Perception-based Data Mining and Decision Making in Economics and Finance written by Ildar Batyrshin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-03-15 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary goal of this book is to present to the scientific and management communities a selection of applications using recent Soft Computing (SC) and Computing with Words and Perceptions (CWP) models and techniques meant to solve some economics and financial problems that are of utmost importance. The book starts with a coverage of data mining tools and techniques that may be of use and significance for economic and financial analyses and applications. Notably, fuzzy and natural language based approaches and solutions for a more human consistent dealing with decision support, time series analysis, forecasting, clustering, etc. are discussed. The second part deals with various decision making models, particularly under probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainty, and their applications in solving a wide array of problems including portfolio optimization, option pricing, financial engineering, risk analysis etc. The selected examples could also serve as a starting point or as an opening out, in the SC and CWP techniques application to a wider range of problems in economics and finance.

Anticipation and Decision Making in Sport

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351380192
Total Pages : 398 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (513 download)

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Book Synopsis Anticipation and Decision Making in Sport by : A. Mark Williams

Download or read book Anticipation and Decision Making in Sport written by A. Mark Williams and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-02-12 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ability to anticipate and make accurate decisions in a timely manner is fundamental to high-level performance in sport. This is the first book to identify the underlying science behind anticipation and decision making in sport, enhancing our scientific understanding of these phenomena and helping practitioners to develop interventions to facilitate the more rapid acquisition of the perceptual-cognitive skills that underpin these judgements. Adopting a multidisciplinary approach — encompassing research from psychology, biomechanics, neuroscience, physiology, computing science, and performance analysis — the book is divided into three sections. The first section provides a comprehensive analysis of the processes and mechanisms underpinning anticipation and skilled perception in sport. In the second section, the focus shifts towards exploring the science of decision making in sport. The final section is more applied, outlining how the key skills that impact on anticipation and decision making may be facilitated through various training interventions. With chapters written by leading experts from a vast range of countries and continents, no other book offers such a synthesis of the historical development of the field, contemporary research, and future areas for investigation in anticipation and decision making in sport. This is a fascinating and important text for students and researchers in sport psychology, skill acquisition, expert performance, motor learning, motor behaviour, and coaching science, as well as practicing coaches from any sport.

Perception, Cognition, and Decision Training

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Publisher : Human Kinetics
ISBN 13 : 9780736042567
Total Pages : 292 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Perception, Cognition, and Decision Training by : Joan N. Vickers

Download or read book Perception, Cognition, and Decision Training written by Joan N. Vickers and published by Human Kinetics. This book was released on 2007 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Joan Vickers presents evidence on gaze control within visual perception and action in sport as well as the science underlying decision training.

Advanced Decision Making

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Publisher : Select Knowledge Limited
ISBN 13 : 0744600685
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Decision Making by : John Band, Lesley Partridge

Download or read book Advanced Decision Making written by John Band, Lesley Partridge and published by Select Knowledge Limited. This book was released on with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title looks at decision making from the manager’s viewpoint and aims to help you improve your decision making. It also recognises that, in business today, decision making is everyone’s responsibility. Decision making for staff who are not managers is often through involvement in team decisions and the workbook also explores the benefits and limitations of team decision making.