Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium by : Paulo F. Maio

Download or read book Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and the Equity Premium written by Paulo F. Maio and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I examine whether stock return dispersion (RD) provides useful information about future stock returns. RD consistently forecasts a decline in the excess market return at multiple horizons, and compares favorably with alternative predictors used in the literature. The out-of-sample performance of RD tends to beat the alternative predictors, and is economically significant as indicated by the certainty equivalent gain associated with a trading investment strategy. RD has greater forecasting power for big and growth stocks compared to small and value stocks, respectively. I discuss a theoretical mechanism giving rise to the negative correlation between RD and the equity premium.

Cross-Sectional Dispersion and Expected Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-Sectional Dispersion and Expected Returns by : Thanos Verousis

Download or read book Cross-Sectional Dispersion and Expected Returns written by Thanos Verousis and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates whether the cross-sectional dispersion of stock returns, which reflects the aggregate level of idiosyncratic risk in the market, represents a priced state variable. We find that stocks with high sensitivities to dispersion offer low expected returns. Furthermore, a zero-cost spread portfolio that is long (short) in stocks with low (high) dispersion betas produces a statistically and economically significant return, after accounting for its exposure to other systematic risk factors. Dispersion is associated with a significantly negative risk premium in the cross-section (-1.32% per annum) which is distinct from premia commanded by a set of alternative systematic factors. These results are robust to a wide set of stock characteristics, market conditions, and industry groupings.

Cross-sectional Return Dispersion and Time-Variation in Value and Momentum Premiums

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-sectional Return Dispersion and Time-Variation in Value and Momentum Premiums by : Chris T. Stivers

Download or read book Cross-sectional Return Dispersion and Time-Variation in Value and Momentum Premiums written by Chris T. Stivers and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find that the market's recent cross-sectional dispersion in stock returns is positively related to the subsequent value book-to-market premium and negatively related to the subsequent momentum premium. The partial relation between return dispersion (RD) and the subsequent value and momentum premiums remains strong when controlling for macroeconomic state variables suggested by the literature. Our findings are consistent with recent theoretical insights and empirical evidence which suggest that the market's RD may serve as a leading countercyclical state variable, the value premium is countercyclical, and the momentum premium is procyclical.

The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Stock Returns, Alpha and the Information Ratio

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Stock Returns, Alpha and the Information Ratio by : Larry R. Gorman

Download or read book The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Stock Returns, Alpha and the Information Ratio written by Larry R. Gorman and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both the cross-sectional dispersion of U.S. stock returns and the VIX provide forecasts of alpha dispersion across high- and low-performing portfolios of stocks that are statistically and economically significant. These findings suggest that absolute return investors can use cross-sectional dispersion and time-series volatility as signals to improve the tactical timing of their alpha-focused strategies. Because active risk increases by a greater amount than alpha, however, high return dispersion/high VIX periods are followed by slightly lower information ratio dispersion. Therefore, relative return investors who keep score in an information ratio framework are unlikely to find return dispersion useful as a signal regarding when to increase or decrease the activeness of their portfolio strategies.

Return Dispersion, Size, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns - Evidence from the German Stock Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Return Dispersion, Size, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns - Evidence from the German Stock Market by : Antonina Waszczuk

Download or read book Return Dispersion, Size, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns - Evidence from the German Stock Market written by Antonina Waszczuk and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates whether return dispersion (RD), proxied by the cross-sectional standard deviation of stock returns, captures variation in returns across German stocks between 1989 and 2010. I address existing evidence based on U.S. equity data that RD may serve as a proxy economic state variable. In the out-of-sample test I confirm the countercyclical character of RD and show that it loads significantly negatively on future equal-weighted average market return. Sorting stocks by their absolute loadings on RD, I uncover the negative pattern in simple average portfolio returns. Further analysis indicates that the negative relationship between absolute loadings on RD and future returns is present only in micro stock subgroup. This finding casts doubt on the RD as proxy for state variable. Instead, it suggests its relation to mispricing and idiosyncratic risk components. As a secondary results I confirm the existence of reversed size effect in German stock market over the considered period.

The Second Moment Matters! Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Firm Valuations and Expected Stock Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Second Moment Matters! Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Firm Valuations and Expected Stock Returns by : Danling Jiang

Download or read book The Second Moment Matters! Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Firm Valuations and Expected Stock Returns written by Danling Jiang and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavioral theories predict that firm valuation dispersion in the cross section (ldquo;dispersionrdquo;) measures aggregate overpricing caused by investor overconfidence and should be negatively related to expected aggregate returns. This paper develops and tests these hypotheses. Consistent with the model predictions, I find that measures of dispersion are positively related to aggregate valuations, trading volume, idiosyncratic volatility, past market returns, and current and future investor sentiment indexes. Dispersion is a strong negative predictor of subsequent shortand long-term market excess returns. Market beta is positively related to stock returns when the beginning-of-period dispersion is low and this relationship reverses when initial dispersion is high. A simple forecast model based on dispersion significantly outperforms a naive model based on historical equity premium in out-of-sample tests and the predictability is stronger in economic downturns.

Consumption, Dividends, and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumption, Dividends, and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns by : Ravi Bansal

Download or read book Consumption, Dividends, and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns written by Ravi Bansal and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A central economic idea is that an asset's risk premium is determined by its ability to insure against fluctuations in consumption (i.e., by the consumption beta). Cross-sectional differences in consumption betas mirror differences in the exposure of the asset's dividends to aggregate consumption, an implication of many general equilibrium models. Hence, cross-sectional differences in the exposure of dividends to consumption may provide valuable information regarding the cross-sectional dispersion in risk premia. We measure the exposure of dividends to consumption (labeled as consumption leverage) by the covariance of ex-post dividend growth rates with the expected consumption growth rate, and alternatively by relying on stochastic cointegration between dividends and consumption. Cross-sectional differences in this consumption leverage parameter can explain about 50% of the variation in risk premia across 30 portfolios - which include 10 momentum, 10 size, and 10 book-to-market sorted portfolios. The consumption leverage model can justify much of the observed value, momentum, and size risk premium spreads. For this asset menu, alternative models proposed in the literature (including time varying beta models) have considerable difficulty in justifying the cross-sectional dispersion in the risk premia. Our measures of consumption leverage are driven by the exposure of dividend growth rates to low frequency movements in consumption growth. We document that it is this exposure that contains valuable information regarding the cross-sectional differences in risk premia across assets.

Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781511918596
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board

Download or read book Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2015-04-27 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Solutions to the equity premium puzzle should inform us about the cross-section of stock returns. An external habit model with heterogeneous firms reproduces numerous stylized facts about both the equity premium and the value premium. The equity premium is large, time-varying, and linked with consumption volatility. The cross-section of expected returns is log-linear in B/M, and the slope matches the data. The explanation for the value pre-mium lies in the interaction between the cross-section of cash flows and the time-varying risk premium. Value firms are temporarily low produc-tivity firms, which will eventually experience high cash flows. The present value of these temporally distant cash flows is sensitive to risk premium movements. The value premium is the reward for bearing this sensitivity. Empirical evidence verifies that value firms have higher cash-flow growth. The data also show that value stock returns are more sensitive to risk premium movements, as measured by consumption volatility shocks.

The Cross-section of Stock Returns

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book The Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Stijn Claessens and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1995 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Habit, Production, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Habit, Production, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Andrew Y. Chen

Download or read book Habit, Production, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Andrew Y. Chen and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226116727
Total Pages : 185 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices by : John G. Cragg

Download or read book Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices written by John G. Cragg and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John G. Cragg and Burton G. Malkiel collected detailed forecasts of professional investors concerning the growth of 175 companies and use this information to examine the impact of such forecasts on the market evaluations of the companies and to test and extend traditional models of how stock market values are determined.

Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns by : Gregory R. Duffee

Download or read book Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns written by Gregory R. Duffee and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118589475
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility by : Robert A. Jarrow

Download or read book Volatility written by Robert A. Jarrow and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.

The Joint Cross-Sectional Variation of Equity Returns and Volatilities

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Joint Cross-Sectional Variation of Equity Returns and Volatilities by : Ana Gonzalez-Urteaga

Download or read book The Joint Cross-Sectional Variation of Equity Returns and Volatilities written by Ana Gonzalez-Urteaga and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the determinants of the simultaneous cross-sectional variation of return and volatility risk premia. Independently of the model specification employed, the estimated risk premium associated with the default premium beta is always positive and statistically different from zero. Moreover, the risk premium of the market volatility risk premium beta is negative and statistically significant. However, both risk factors are priced economically and statistically differently in the volatility and return segments of the market. On average, common factors in both segments explain 90% of the variability of volatility risk premium portfolios, but only 65% of the variability of equity return portfolios.

Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and Currency Momentum

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 77 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and Currency Momentum by : Jonas N. Eriksen

Download or read book Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and Currency Momentum written by Jonas N. Eriksen and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 77 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I assess the relation between cross-sectional return dispersion in foreign exchange (FX) markets and currency momentum. I find that cross-sectional dispersion is priced in the cross-section of currency momentum returns and that an unexpected increase in cross-sectional dispersion is associated with positive (negative) excess returns to winner (loser) currencies. This mechanism can be related to monetary policy conditions. The empirical findings are robust to the inclusion of traditional currency risk factors, liquidity and market volatility variables, and transaction costs. Finally, the explanatory ability of cross-sectional dispersion extends to broader cross-sections of currency portfolios and to individual currencies.

Return Dispersion and Active Management

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Return Dispersion and Active Management by : Harindra de Silva

Download or read book Return Dispersion and Active Management written by Harindra de Silva and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The cross-sectional variation of U.S. stock returns has been unusually high in the past few years. The wide dispersion in security returns has led to correspondingly wide dispersion in fund returns. For example, the cross-sectional standard deviation of returns on actively managed domestic equity mutual funds was 24 percent in 1999, compared with only 5 percent in 1996. We argue that the wide dispersion in fund performance is a natural result of increased security return dispersion and has little to do with changes in the informational efficiency of the market or the range of managerial talent. The dramatic increase in return dispersion warrants a reexamination of traditional methodologies for measuring fund performance that implicitly assume constant dispersion. We show how performance benchmarking can be extended to incorporate the information embedded in return dispersion, as well as the benchmark mean return, by correcting fund alphas with a period- and asset-class-specific measure of security return dispersion.