Costs and Benefits of Leaving the EU. Possible Brexit Scenarios and Results

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3346553698
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (465 download)

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Book Synopsis Costs and Benefits of Leaving the EU. Possible Brexit Scenarios and Results by : Pascal Hlavka

Download or read book Costs and Benefits of Leaving the EU. Possible Brexit Scenarios and Results written by Pascal Hlavka and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2021-12-10 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2021 in the subject Politics - International Politics - Topic: European Union, grade: 1.7, LMU Munich, language: English, abstract: This paper outlines different approaches with the aim of analysing the robustness of outcomes of the Brexit in varying model assumptions. The paper first is concerned with the methodology and gives a brief overview of the possible Brexit scenarios and summarizes the results and the appropriate robustness checks estimated by Dhingra et al. (2017). Section 5 begins by laying out theoretical approaches of the research and discusses how the results change as the models extend by GVC and network effects. Over the past century, there has been a dramatic increase in economic integration. Policy makers continued signing trade agreements after decades of war and political isolation. In 2016, the British decided to leave the EU and initiated a turnaround in political framework. Recent developments in Europe signal that the EU could be under pressure if the consequences of leaving the EU are insignificant. Therefore, these developments have heightened the need for scientific studies on trade integration and trade disperse. The individual per capita benefits of trade liberalisation have been studied by many researchers. There is a growing body of literature that recognises new quantitative trade models and fill them with the latest input output data.

Brexit and Beyond

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Publisher : UCL Press
ISBN 13 : 1787352757
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (873 download)

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Book Synopsis Brexit and Beyond by : Benjamin Martill

Download or read book Brexit and Beyond written by Benjamin Martill and published by UCL Press. This book was released on 2018-01-29 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brexit will have significant consequences for the country, for Europe, and for global order. And yet much discussion of Brexit in the UK has focused on the causes of the vote and on its consequences for the future of British politics. This volume examines the consequences of Brexit for the future of Europe and the European Union, adopting an explicitly regional and future-oriented perspective missing from many existing analyses. Drawing on the expertise of 28 leading scholars from a range of disciplines, Brexit and Beyond offers various different perspectives on the future of Europe, charting the likely effects of Brexit across a range of areas, including institutional relations, political economy, law and justice, foreign affairs, democratic governance, and the idea of Europe itself. Whilst the contributors offer divergent predictions for the future of Europe after Brexit, they share the same conviction that careful scholarly analysis is in need – now more than ever – if we are to understand what lies ahead for the EU. Praise for Brexit and Beyond 'a wide-ranging and thought-provoking tour through the vagaries of British exit, with the question of Europe’s fate never far from sight...Brexit is a wake-up call for the EU. How it responds is an open question—but respond it must. To better understand its options going forward you should turn to this book, which has also been made free online.' Prospect Magazine 'This book explores wonderfully well the bombshell of Brexit: is it a uniquely British phenomenon or part of a wider, existential crisis for the EU? As the tensions and complexities of the Brexit negotiations come to the fore, the collection of essays by leading scholars will prove a very valuable reference for their depth of analysis, their lucidity, and their outlining of future options.' - Kevin Featherstone, Head of the LSE European Institute, London School of Economics 'Brexit and Beyond is a must read. It moves the ongoing debate about what Brexit actually means to a whole new level. While many scholars to date have examined the reasons for the British decision to leave, the crucial question of what Brexit will mean for the future of the European project is often overlooked. No longer. Brexit and Beyond bundles the perspectives of leading scholars of European integration. By doing so, it provides a much needed scholarly guidepost for our understanding of the significance of Brexit, not only for the United Kingdom, but also for the future of the European continent.' - Catherine E. De Vries, Professor in the department of Government, University of Essex and Professor in the department of Political Science and Public Administration Free University Amsterdam 'Brexit and Beyond provides a fascinating (and comprehensive) analysis on the how and why the UK has found itself on the path to exiting the European Union. The talented cast of academic contributors is drawn from a wide variety of disciplines and areas of expertise and this provides a breadth and depth to the analysis of Brexit that is unrivalled. The volume also provides large amounts of expert-informed speculation on the future of both the EU and UK and which is both stimulating and anxiety-inducing.' -Professor Richard Whitman, Head of School, Professor of Politics and International Relations, Director of the Global Europe Centre, University of Kent

Brexit

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108293662
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (82 download)

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Book Synopsis Brexit by : Harold D. Clarke

Download or read book Brexit written by Harold D. Clarke and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-04-20 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In June 2016, the United Kingdom shocked the world by voting to leave the European Union. As this book reveals, the historic vote for Brexit marked the culmination of trends in domestic politics and in the UK's relationship with the EU that have been building over many years. Drawing on a wealth of survey evidence collected over more than ten years, this book explains why most people decided to ignore much of the national and international community and vote for Brexit. Drawing on past research on voting in major referendums in Europe and elsewhere, a team of leading academic experts analyse changes in the UK's party system that were catalysts for the referendum vote, including the rise of the UK Independence Party (UKIP), the dynamics of public opinion during an unforgettable and divisive referendum campaign, the factors that influenced how people voted and the likely economic and political impact of this historic decision.

HM Treasury Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781474130905
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis HM Treasury Analysis by :

Download or read book HM Treasury Analysis written by and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "On 23 June 2016, the British people will make the most important decision for a generation - whether the United Kingdom (UK) should remain a member of the European Union (EU). This document provides rigorous and objective economic analysis of the long-term impact of remaining a member of the EU compared to the alternatives. The HM Treasury analysis uses a widely adopted gravity modelling approach, which distinguishes the specific effect of EU membership and the alternatives from all the other influences that determine trade and foreign direct investment (FDI). The consequences for productivity and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are then estimated based on the most relevant external evidence on the impact of trade and HM Treasury modelling of FDI. Through a range of realistic assumptions, many of them cautious, the HM Treasury analysis produces robust estimates, which are within the range of external studies."--Executive summary.

The Future of Migration to Europe

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Publisher : Ledizioni
ISBN 13 : 8855262025
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of Migration to Europe by : matteo villa

Download or read book The Future of Migration to Europe written by matteo villa and published by Ledizioni. This book was released on 2020-05-14 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Even as the 2013-2017 “migration crisis” is increasingly in the past, EU countries still struggle to come up with alternative solutions to foster safe, orderly, and regular migration pathways, Europeans continue to look in the rear-view mirror.This Report is an attempt to reverse the perspective, by taking a glimpse into the future of migration to Europe. What are the structural trends underlying migration flows to Europe, and how are they going to change over the next two decades? How does migration interact with specific policy fields, such as development, border management, and integration? And what are the policies and best practicies to manage migration in a more coherent and evidence-based way?

The Impact of Trade Agreements

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147554071X
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Trade Agreements by : Swarnali Ahmed Hannan

Download or read book The Impact of Trade Agreements written by Swarnali Ahmed Hannan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-23 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has reinvigorated research on the ex-ante impact of trade agreements. The results from these ex-ante models are subject to considerable uncertainties, and needs to be complimented by ex-post studies. The paper fills this gap in recent literature by employing synthetic control methods (SCM) – currently extremely popular in micro and macro studies – to understand the impact of trade agreements in the period 1983–1995 for 104 country pairs. The key advantage of using SCM to address selection bias – one of the persisting issues in trade literature – is that it allows the effect of unobserved confounder to vary with time, as opposed to traditional econometric methods that can deal with time-invariant unobserved country characteristics. Using SCM approach, the paper finds that trade agreements can generate substantial gains, on average an increase of exports by 80 percentage points over ten years. The export gains are higher when emerging markets have trade agreements with advanced markets. The paper shows that all the countries in NAFTA have substantially gained due to NAFTA. Finally, there is some evidence that trade agreements can potentially lead to slight import diversion, but not export diversion.

The European Union After Brexit

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781526133656
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (336 download)

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Book Synopsis The European Union After Brexit by : Scott L. Greer

Download or read book The European Union After Brexit written by Scott L. Greer and published by . This book was released on 2020-04-24 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume addresses the transformation of the EU during and after the process of Brexit. Covering topics such as trade, the internal market, freedom of movement, security, and social Europe, this book suggests that Brexit reorders the priorities, internal balance(s) of power, and legislation of the European Union, disrupting "ever closer union".

Brexit and the Consequences for International Competitiveness

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030032450
Total Pages : 311 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Brexit and the Consequences for International Competitiveness by : Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski

Download or read book Brexit and the Consequences for International Competitiveness written by Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-17 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a study on the impact of Brexit on international competitiveness and in doing so, presents a theoretical account of regional disintegration. In recent decades, the theory of regional economic integration has expanded following growing integration processes taking place not only in Europe, but in other continents too. The result of the EU Referendum in the United Kingdom on 23 June 2016 revealed that regional integration does not have to be a one-way process as was perceived for many years. Despite well-developed models of economic integration within economic theory, there still lacks an analytical explanation of the mechanics of disintegration. For many years, integration was commonly perceived as a beneficial process, and while disintegration is not desirable, this led to normative bias in the research on regional integration. This book, therefore, makes an important contribution to theoretical and empirical developments of regional economic disintegration.

Debating Scotland

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198789815
Total Pages : 243 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Debating Scotland by : Michael Keating

Download or read book Debating Scotland written by Michael Keating and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides in-depth analysis of the main issues of the Scottish independence referendum campaign of 2014 and features extensive original survey research.

Brexit and the Control of Tobacco Illicit Trade

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030459799
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Brexit and the Control of Tobacco Illicit Trade by : Marina Foltea

Download or read book Brexit and the Control of Tobacco Illicit Trade written by Marina Foltea and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-01-01 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book assesses the consequences of Brexit for the control of illicit trade in tobacco products in the UK and EU. Based on the currently applicable legal framework, it examines the significance of a possible non-application of the acquis communautaire in the UK in matters relating to anti-illicit trade in tobacco legislation. It also analyses the modes of future cooperation between the UK and the EU in this area, as well as possible regulatory scenarios and their consequences. The book comprises six main sections. After the introduction (Section 1), Section 2 discusses the state of play of Brexit and possible outcomes of Article 50 of the Treaty of European Union procedure. Section 3 illustrates the data and trends of illicit tobacco trade in the UK. Section 4 describes the relevant legal (e.g. trade and fiscal measures) and enforcement frameworks in the UK and suggests possible post-Brexit scenarios in control of tobacco illicit trade. Section 5 focuses on the relevance of arrangements between governments and the tobacco industry in the control of illicit trade. Section 6 then analyses the relevance of key EU and global anti-illicit trade initiatives. Lastly, Section 7 the book offers some recommendations and conclusions on how the UK could control illicit trade in tobacco after Brexit.

The Political Economy of Brexit

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781911116639
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (166 download)

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Book Synopsis The Political Economy of Brexit by : David Bailey

Download or read book The Political Economy of Brexit written by David Bailey and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of essays explores the ramifications of the Brexit decision for the UK and European economies. These essays provide an important first step in assessing the threats and challenges that a Brexit poses for the UK and wider EU economy and will be welcome reading for anyone in search of some rigor and clarity amid the hyperbole.

What Do We Know and What Should We Do About Immigration?

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 152647932X
Total Pages : 135 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (264 download)

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Book Synopsis What Do We Know and What Should We Do About Immigration? by : Jonathan Portes

Download or read book What Do We Know and What Should We Do About Immigration? written by Jonathan Portes and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2019-06-10 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A short, sharp and compelling book." The Observer At a time when immigration has once again become a deeply contentious political issue, Jonathan Portes provides some much-needed clarity, taking on misinformation and inaccurate reporting to reveal the true economic and social impact of immigration to the UK. This important book covers a short history of immigration to the UK, uses the latest research and data to summarise how it is financially beneficial to the economy, considers it′s positive effects on contemporary society, and provides straightforward answers to commonly asked questions such as: does immigration push down wages? Does it reduce job opportunities for those born in the UK? And what impact does it have on the NHS and other public services? Portes then proposes what we should do about immigration, defining what a post-Brexit system should look like, and outlining what, if anything, we should do to promote integration further. ABOUT THE SERIES: The ‘What Do We Know and What Should We Do About...?′ series offers readers short, up-to-date overviews of key issues often misrepresented, simplified or misunderstood in modern society and the media. Each book is written by a leading social scientist with an established reputation in the relevant subject area. The Series Editor is Professor Chris Grey, Royal Holloway, University of London

Brexit and the Future of the European Union

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000411907
Total Pages : 129 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Brexit and the Future of the European Union by : Marian Gorynia

Download or read book Brexit and the Future of the European Union written by Marian Gorynia and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-07-07 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following the British referendum held on June 23, 2016, voters supported the withdrawal of the UK from the European Union (EU) (Brexit), a starting point for the third round of European crisis, following the eurozone debt crisis and the migration crisis. This volume provides an overview of the process and consequences of Brexit for EU member states, with an emphasis on possible future EU-UK relations, and a particular focus on countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). The authors assess the extent to which firms in CEE states have already put in place strategies to counter the new economic reality post-Brexit and identify the strategies that firms are exploiting to better cope with the anticipated implications of Brexit. The book includes a ranking of countries most and least likely to be affected by Brexit; identification of the main determinants of the expansion of companies on the British market and the creation of a typology of strategies used by these companies in the face of Brexit. The book stands out as a complex and multidimensional research work that draws its roots from distinct yet simultaneously interlinked research areas. It will find a broad audience among academics and students across diverse fields of study, as well as practitioners and policy makers. It is a key reference for all those who want to better understand the complex nature of Brexit and its implications, not only for EU member states but, first and foremost, the business environment.

Global Trends 2040

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Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Investing for Prosperity

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Publisher : London School of Economics and Political Science
ISBN 13 : 9781909890022
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Investing for Prosperity by : Tim Besley

Download or read book Investing for Prosperity written by Tim Besley and published by London School of Economics and Political Science. This book was released on 2013 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What institutions and policies are needed to sustain UK economic growth in the dynamic world economy of the twenty-first century? After years of inadequate investment in skills, infrastructure and innovation, there are longstanding structural weaknesses in the economy, all rooted in a failure to achieve stable planning, strategic vision and a political consensus on the right policy framework to support growth. This must change if we are to meet our current challenges and more that may arise in the future. Despite the current recession gloom, the UK has many assets that can be mobilized to its advantage. It has strong rule of law, generally competitive product markets, flexible labour markets and a world-class university system. It has strengths in many key sectors, with cutting-edge firms in both manufacturing and services. These and other assets helped to reverse the UK's relative economic decline over the century before 1980. This book, based on the work of the LSE Growth Commission, argues that the UK should build on these strengths and proposes how we can address the inadequate institutional structures that have deterred long-term investment to support our future prosperity.

Trade Relations After Brexit

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783845293349
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (933 download)

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Book Synopsis Trade Relations After Brexit by : Friedemann Kainer

Download or read book Trade Relations After Brexit written by Friedemann Kainer and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The European Union

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Publisher : Independently Published
ISBN 13 : 9781790729203
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (292 download)

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Book Synopsis The European Union by : Kristin Archick

Download or read book The European Union written by Kristin Archick and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2018-12-04 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European Union (EU) is a unique partnership in which member states have pooled sovereignty in certain policy areas and harmonized laws on a wide range of economic and political issues. The EU is the latest stage in a process of European integration begun after World War II, initially by six Western European countries, to promote peace, security, and economic development. The EU currently consists of 28 member states, including most of the formerly communist countries of Central and Eastern Europe. The EU is largely viewed as a cornerstone of European stability and prosperity. For much of the last decade, however, many EU countries have faced considerable economic difficulties. Despite an improved economic situation in the EU since 2017, economic pressures and societal changes have contributed to the rise of populist and antiestablishment political parties, at least some of which harbor anti-EU or "euroskeptic" sentiments. Such trends have complicated the EU's ability to deal with multiple internal and external challenges. Among the most prominent challenges are the pending departure of the United Kingdom (UK) from the EU ("Brexit"); democracy and rule-of-law concerns in Poland, Hungary, and other EU members; migration and related societal integration concerns; a resurgent Russia; and a heightened terrorism threat. Amid these difficult issues, some are questioning the future shape and character of the EU are being. Supporters of the EU worry that some aspects of EU integration could be stopped or reversed. Others contend that the multiple crises could produce some beneficial reforms that ultimately would transform the EU into a more effective, cohesive entity. Recently, considerable attention has focused on developing a "multispeed EU," in which some EU members could pursue greater integration in specified areas and others could opt out. Successive U.S. Administrations and many Members of Congress long have supported the European integration project, viewing it as crucial to European peace and security and as a way to foster strong U.S. allies and trading partners. Despite some tensions over the years, the United States and the EU share a dynamic political partnership on various foreign policy issues and an extensive trade and investment relationship. How the EU evolves in the years ahead may have strategic and economic repercussions for the United States. At the same time, some EU leaders are concerned about President Trump's apparent skepticism of the EU and his reported assessment of the bloc as an economic competitor. Those of this view also worry that elements of the Trump Administration's "America First" foreign policy-such as the U.S. decision to withdraw from the 2015 multilateral nuclear deal with Iran-pit the United States against the EU. A number of European officials and analysts question whether traditional U.S. support for close U.S.-EU relations may be shifting and whether the United States will remain a reliable international partner. Some observers suggest that managing relations with the United States under the Trump Administration has emerged as another, somewhat unexpected, challenge for the EU. At the same time, many in the EU hope to preserve close U.S.-EU ties and EU policymakers continue to seek to cooperate with the Trump Administration where possible on issues of common interest and concern. This report provides a brief history of the EU and the major challenges confronting the bloc. It also discusses the potential implications for the EU and for U.S.-EU relations.