Contagion In The World Equity Markets And The Asian Economic Crisis

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Contagion in the World Equity Markets and the Asian Economic Crisis

Author : Robert G. Bowman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion in the World Equity Markets and the Asian Economic Crisis by : Robert G. Bowman

Download or read book Contagion in the World Equity Markets and the Asian Economic Crisis written by Robert G. Bowman and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is growing evidence that economic crises are transmitted across economies and equity markets. This motivates two questions. First, can the direction and magnitude of a country's stock market reaction during an extreme case (quot;contagionquot;) be explained by economic fundamentals? Second, are there benefits of international diversification during times of widespread contagion among equity markets?We examine the reaction of major world equity markets to the 1997 Asian Crisis. In particular, we investigate the interrelationships among world equity markets, the factors explaining the different directions and magnitudes of countries' reactions to this crisis and the effectiveness of the global diversification of investment portfolios during financial crises. Our analyses provide evidence that is consistent with the correlations among world equity markets increasing dramatically during the period of the Asian Crisis. However, this effect is concentrated on a short period around the crisis. The benefits of international diversification may be obtainable, even when the period contains a worldwide financial crisis. We show that the productivity and interest rate macroeconomic variables, worldwide beta and the existence of derivatives trading are important in explaining the stock market returns during the Asian Crisis. The effect of the worldwide beta variable is particularly strong. Finally, the trade variables are insignificant, their influences being subsumed by interest rate and inflation macroeconomic variables. On balance, we interpret our results as supporting a rational view of the spread of an economic crisis to other markets.

Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis

Author : Taimur Baig
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis by : Taimur Baig

Download or read book Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis written by Taimur Baig and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-11 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests for evidence of contagion between the financial markets of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Korea, and the Philippines. Cross-country correlations among currencies and sovereign spreads are found to increase significantly during the crisis period, whereas the equity market correlations offer mixed evidence. A set of dummy variables using daily news is constructed to capture the impact of own-country and cross-border news on the markets. After controlling for own-country news and other fundamentals, the paper shows evidence of cross-border contagion in the currency and equity markets.

International Financial Contagion

Author : Stijn Claessens
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475733143
Total Pages : 461 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis International Financial Contagion by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book International Financial Contagion written by Stijn Claessens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.

Crisis and Contagion in East Asia

Author : Masahiro Kawai
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Crisis and Contagion in East Asia by : Masahiro Kawai

Download or read book Crisis and Contagion in East Asia written by Masahiro Kawai and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2001 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Currency and banking crises such as those originating in Mexico (1994), Thailand (1997), and the Russian Federation (1998) tend to be associated and often take place together across countries. The East Asian experience was a fruitful laboratory for examining key questions. For example: How did contagion occur so extensively, and why was it so devastating? Did policy responses to crises and contagion minimize their impact on the real economy? What type of international financial architecture is needed to prevent and manage crises and contagion?

Extreme Contagion in Equity Markets

Author : Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme Contagion in Equity Markets by : Jorge A. Chan-Lau

Download or read book Extreme Contagion in Equity Markets written by Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-05 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study uses bivariate extremal dependence measures, based on the number of equity return co-exceedances in two markets, to quantify both negative and positive equity returns contagion in mature and emerging equity markets during the past decade. The results indicate (a) higher contagion for negative returns than for positive returns; (b) a secular increase in contagion in Latin America not matched in other regions; (c) global increases in contagion following the 1998 financial crises; and (d) that the use of simple correlations as a proxy for contagion could be misleading, as the former exhibit low correlation with extremal dependence measures of contagion.

Volatility and Contagion in a Financially Integrated World

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Contagion in a Financially Integrated World by :

Download or read book Volatility and Contagion in a Financially Integrated World written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1998 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: November 1998 Recent events in East Asia highlighted the risks of weak financial institutions and distorted incentives in a financially integrated world. These weaknesses led to two sources of vulnerability: East Asia's rapid buildup of contingent liabilities, and overreliance on short-term foreign borrowing. The buildup of vulnerabilities in East Asia is shown here to be mainly the result of weaknesses in financial intermediation, poor corporate governance, and deficient government policies, including pro-cyclical macroeconomic policy responses to large capital inflows. Weak due diligence by external creditors, fueled partly by ample global liquidity, also played a role but global factors were more important in triggering the crises than in causing them. The crisis occurred partly because the economies lacked the institutional and regulatory structure to cope with increasingly integrated capital markets. Trouble arose from private sector decisions (by both borrowers and lenders) but governments created incentives for risky behavior and exerted little regulatory authority. Governments failed to encourage the transparency needed for the market to recognize and correct such problems as unreported mutual guarantees, insider relations, and nondisclosure of banks' and companies' true net positions. Domestic weaknesses were aggravated by poorly disciplined foreign lending. The problem was not so much overall indebtedness as the composition of debt: a buildup of short-term unhedged debt left the economies vulnerable to a sudden loss of confidence. The same factors made the crisis's economic and social impact more severe than some anticipated. The loss of confidence directly affected private demand-both investment and consumption-which could not be offset in the short run by net external demand. The effect on corporations and financial institutions has been severe because of the high degree of leveraging and the unhedged, short-term nature of foreign liabilities, which has led to a severe liquidity crunch. Domestic recession, financial and corporate distress, liquidity constraints, and political uncertainty were self-reinforcing, leading to a severe downturn. This paper-a joint product of the Economic Policy Unit, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network and the Central Bank of Chile-was presented at the CEPR/World Bank conference Financial Crises: Contagion and Market Volatility, May 8-9, 1998, London, and at the PAFTAD 24 conference, Asia Pacific Financial Liberation and Reform, May 20-22, 1998, in Chiangmai, Thailand. Pedro Alba may be contacted at [email protected].

Asian Contagion

Author : Karl Jackson
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429981805
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (299 download)

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Book Synopsis Asian Contagion by : Karl Jackson

Download or read book Asian Contagion written by Karl Jackson and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-03-05 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For much of the second half of the twentieth century, the Asian economic "miracle" has fueled the greatest expansion of wealth for the largest population in the history of mankind. In the summer of 1997, thirty years of economic boom came crashing back to earth. The reality of unrestrained speculation, inefficiently regulated currency exchange, banking instability and bad loans have struck the much-vaunted "Asian Tigers" like Thailand, Indonesia, Korea, and, finally, Japan, casting a shadow of uncertainty on a region recently to the fore in the world economic system. Recovery depends largely on reform within the Asian economies themselves and a cold assessment of the structural weaknesses that lay under the surface, but only now have come to light. The implications for world economies and, more broadly, the dynamics of world politics, are tremendous.

Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises

Author : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451857977
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises by : Mr.Paul R. Masson

Download or read book Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-12-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper surveys the types of models producing multiple equilibria in financial markets. It argues that such models are consistent with observed phenomena, such as the greater volatility of financial asset prices than of macroeconomic fundamentals. Alternative explanations are compared with the stylized facts concerning capital flows, portfolio shifts, and exchange rate crises. Implications for crisis prediction and prevention are then discussed.

The Asian Financial Crisis

Author : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521770807
Total Pages : 446 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (217 download)

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Book Synopsis The Asian Financial Crisis by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book The Asian Financial Crisis written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-11-04 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents the first theoretical analysis of the Asian financial crisis and draws out the general lessons of an event whose potential long term effects have been likened to those of the Crash of 1929. Part I presents a factual and analytic overview of what happened: the role of 'vulnerability'; the interconnection between currency crises and financial crises; and why crisis turned into collapse. Part II considers more detailed issues, including how the inflation of non-traded goods prices created vulnerability, welfare-reducing capital inflow owing to under-regulated financial markets, and the onset of speculative attacks. Part III assesses all aspects of contagion, in particular the role of geographic proximity. The final section addresses policy issues. Joseph Stiglitz argues that there is much that can be done to reduce the frequency of crises and to mitigate the severity of crises when they happen. The book finishes with a round-table discussion of policy issues.

Financial Contagion

Author : Rob Quail
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118016521
Total Pages : 570 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Contagion by : Rob Quail

Download or read book Financial Contagion written by Rob Quail and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-09 with total page 570 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Financial Contagion: The Viral Threat to the Wealth of Nations covers a lot of territory. It is, of course, terribly important to analyze case histories to discover potential triggers, mechanisms of transmission, and viable ways to contain the damage of financial contagion. The problem is, as these articles amply demonstrate, that there’s always a new virus or a mutation of a former one lurking in some corner of the financial world. We don’t know what it is or where it is. And, even if we had some inkling, there’s almost never enough time to develop a financial flu shot." --SeekingAlpha.com The latest insights on financial contagion and how both nations and investors can effectively deal with it. The domino-style structure in which the financial system exists is a perilous one. Although historically, the financial system has been able to deal with major shocks, the fact remains that our financial system is not as secure as it should be. Recent years have brought about too many examples of contagion and systemic risk. That is why Financial Contagion is such an important read. In it, the serious concerns that revolve around our fragile economic system are investigated, researched, and explained. Throughout the book, Kolb offers valuable insights on this dilemma as he compiles the history of financial contagion, highlights the latest research on systemic failure and interrelated markets, and analyzes the risks and consequences we face moving forward. Examines the importance of careful regulation and what must be done to stabilize the global financial system Includes contributed chapters from both academics and experienced professionals, offering a variety of perspectives and a rich interplay of ideas Details how close we are to witnessing a financial contagion that could devastate the world economy We have been harshly reminded of how fragile our economic ecosystem is. With Financial Contagion, you'll hold a better understanding of what needs to be done to strengthen our system and safeguard our financial future.

Theories of Contagion

Author : Andreas Vester
Publisher : diplom.de
ISBN 13 : 3832498737
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (324 download)

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Book Synopsis Theories of Contagion by : Andreas Vester

Download or read book Theories of Contagion written by Andreas Vester and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2006-10-02 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: In recent years academics and policy makers have become more and more interested in the phenomenon of contagion, a concept involving the transmission of a financial crisis from one country to one or more other countries. During the 1990s world capital markets witnessed a number of financial crises. In 1992 the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) crisis hit the European continent. Several countries in Latin America have been rocked during the 1994-95 Tequila crisis, and the Asian Flu spread through East Asian countries in 1997-98 with dramatic social implications. Later in 1998 the famous hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) had to file for bankruptcy and the Russian debt failure shocked international capital markets and increased volatility on a global scale. The crisis spread to as far as Brazil in early 1999 and developed markets have become victims as well. The question asked by academics and policy makers is how countries should behave in order to avoid contagion. To answer this question it is necessary to understand the different channels of contagion in greater detail and how a crisis can be transmitted from one country to another. The objective of this paper is to highlight those channels and to present a number of models and theories of contagion, which have recently been developed by academics. In general, there are several strands of theories in the literature that try to explain the transmission of crises. During the mid and late 1990s fundamental-based contagion and spillovers became popular among researchers and policy makers. Furthermore, financial linkages have been known to contribute to contagion. In contrast, in recent years, portfolio flows of international investors moved into the focus of academics. The advocates of fundamental-based contagion and spillovers argue that trade linkages between countries are responsible for contagion. For instance, a devaluation of a country's currency may lead to a negative change in fundamentals of its trading partners. On the other hand, contagion due to financial linkages is mainly explained by the fact that countries share the same banks and therefore have common creditors. A crisis in one country then leads to a deteriorating balance sheet of those common creditors. This in turn may force banks to withdraw money out of other countries in order to avoid further losses, a fact that leads to contagious sellouts. The role of international portfolio flows, which is [...]

Unanticipated Shocks and Systemic Influences

Author : Mr.Mardi Dungey
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451850662
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Unanticipated Shocks and Systemic Influences by : Mr.Mardi Dungey

Download or read book Unanticipated Shocks and Systemic Influences written by Mr.Mardi Dungey and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: August to September 1998 has been characterized as one of the worst episodes of global financial distress in decades. This paper investigates the transmission of the Russian and the LTCM crises through global equity markets using a panel of 14 developing and industrial countries. The results show that contagion was systemic during the period, with industrial countries providing the dominant cross-country transmission linkages. Both crises reinforced each other, highlighting the importance of studying them jointly. An implication of the empirical results is that models of contagion that exclude industrial countries are potentially misspecified and may yield misleading outcomes.

Global Financial Contagion

Author : Shalendra D. Sharma
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107027209
Total Pages : 405 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Contagion by : Shalendra D. Sharma

Download or read book Global Financial Contagion written by Shalendra D. Sharma and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an authoritative account of the economic and political roots of the 2008 financial crisis. It examines why it was triggered in the United States, why it morphed into the Great Recession, and why the contagion spread with such ferocity around the globe. It also examines how and why economies - including the Eurozone, Russia, China, India, East Asia, and the Middle East - have been impacted and explores their response to the unprecedented challenges of the crisis and the effectiveness of their policy measures. Global Financial Contagion specifically looks at how the Obama administration's policy missteps have contributed to America's huge debt and slow recovery, why the Eurozone's response to its existential crisis has become a never-ending saga, and why the G-20's efforts to create a new international financial architecture may fall short. This book will long be regarded as the standard account of the crisis and its aftermath.

Identifying International Financial Contagion

Author : Mardi Dungey
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Identifying International Financial Contagion by : Mardi Dungey

Download or read book Identifying International Financial Contagion written by Mardi Dungey and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2005 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book tackles these factors theoretically, providing an intellectually satisfying framework for the understanding of financial contagion."--Jacket.

Financial Crisis, Contagion, and Containment

Author : Padma Desai
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691164606
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crisis, Contagion, and Containment by : Padma Desai

Download or read book Financial Crisis, Contagion, and Containment written by Padma Desai and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-11-23 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a sweeping, up-to-date, and boldly critical account of the financial crises that rocked East Asia and other parts of the world beginning with the collapse of the Thai baht in 1997. Retracing the story of Asia's "Crisis Five"--Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, the Philippines, and Thailand--Padma Desai argues that the region's imprudently fast-paced opening to the free flow of capital was pushed by determined advocates, official and private, in the global economy's U.S.-led developed center. Turmoil ensued in these peripheral economies, the Russian ruble faltered, and Brazil was eventually hit. The inequitable center-periphery relationship also extended to the policy measures that the crisis-swept economies implemented under International Monetary Fund bailouts, which intensified the downturns induced by the panic-driven outflows of short-term capital. Financial Crisis, Contagion, and Containment examines crisis origin and resolution in a comparative perspective by combing empirical evidence from the most robust economies to the least. Why is the U.S. relatively successful at weathering economic ups and downs? Why is Japan stuck in policy paralysis? Why is the European Central Bank unable to achieve both inflation control and stable growth? How can emerging markets avoid turbulence amid free-flowing speculative capital from private lenders of the developed center? Engaging and nontechnical yet deeply insightful, this book appears at a time when the continuing turmoil in Argentina has revived policy debates for avoiding and addressing financial crises in emerging market economies.

Contagion Effects During the Asian Financial Crisis

Author : Jose Antonio R. Tan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion Effects During the Asian Financial Crisis by : Jose Antonio R. Tan

Download or read book Contagion Effects During the Asian Financial Crisis written by Jose Antonio R. Tan and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financial Markets and Development

Author : Alison Harwood
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 9780815716204
Total Pages : 430 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (162 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and Development by : Alison Harwood

Download or read book Financial Markets and Development written by Alison Harwood and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume brings together market practitioners, policymakers, development specialists, and academics from developed and emerging market countries to examine the underlying causes of the Asian financial crisis and ways of preventing future crises in emerging markets. Contents of the volume include: •"The Asian Crisis: Causes and Consequences" by Richard Cooper, Harvard University •"A Closer Look at Equity Flows to Emerging Markets" by Michael Barth, Capital Markets Development Department, The World Bank, and Konstantinos Tsatsaronis, Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements •"Corporate Governance and the Treatment of Minority Shareholders," by Kenneth Scott, Stanford Law School •"Foreign Investment in Asia" by Jarrod Wilcox, PanAgora Asset Management •"The Future of Emerging Markets Investing" by Michael Adler, Columbia Graduate School of Business •"Lessons of the Asian Crisis for Latin America" by Sebastian Edwards, University of California at Los Angeles •"Global Capital Markets: What Do They Mean?" by Ian Giddy, Stern School of Business, New York University Copublished with the World Bank