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Chinas Current Account And Exchange Rate
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Author :Morris Goldstein Publisher :Peterson Inst for International Economics ISBN 13 :9780881324150 Total Pages :388 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (241 download)
Book Synopsis Debating China's Exchange Rate Policy by : Morris Goldstein
Download or read book Debating China's Exchange Rate Policy written by Morris Goldstein and published by Peterson Inst for International Economics. This book was released on 2008 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on an October 2007 conference, examines the impact that China's exchange rate policy has on the economics of the United States and the rest of the world.
Book Synopsis China's Growing Role in World Trade by : Robert C. Feenstra
Download or read book China's Growing Role in World Trade written by Robert C. Feenstra and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-10 with total page 603 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In less than three decades, China has grown from playing a negligible role in international trade to being one of the world's largest exporters, a substantial importer of raw materials, intermediate outputs, and other goods, and both a recipient and source of foreign investment. Not surprisingly, China's economic dynamism has generated considerable attention and concern in the United States and beyond. While some analysts have warned of the potential pitfalls of China's rise—the loss of jobs, for example—others have highlighted the benefits of new market and investment opportunities for US firms. Bringing together an expert group of contributors, China's Growing Role in World Trade undertakes an empirical investigation of the effects of China's new status. The essays collected here provide detailed analyses of the microstructure of trade, the macroeconomic implications, sector-level issues, and foreign direct investment. This volume's careful examination of micro data in light of established economic theories clarifies a number of misconceptions, disproves some conventional wisdom, and documents data patterns that enhance our understanding of China's trade and what it may mean to the rest of the world.
Book Synopsis China's Currency and Economic Issues by : Wayne M. Morrison
Download or read book China's Currency and Economic Issues written by Wayne M. Morrison and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2006 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China has a policy of pegging its currency (the yuan) to the U.S. dollar. If the yuan is undervalued against the dollar, there are likely to be both benefits and costs to the U.S. economy. It would mean that imported Chinese goods are cheaper than they would be if the yuan were market determined. This lowers prices for U.S. consumers and diminishes inflationary pressures. It also lowers prices for U.S. firms that use imported inputs (such as parts) in their production, making such firms more competitive. Critics of China's peg point to the large and growing U.S. trade deficit with China as evidence that the yuan is undervalued and harmful to the U.S. economy. The relationship is more complex, for a number of reasons. First, while China runs a large trade surplus with the United States, it runs a significant trade deficit with the rest of the world. Second, an increasing level of Chinese exports are from foreign invested companies in China that have shifted production there to take advantage of China's abundant low cost labour. Third, the deficit masks the fact that China has become one of the fastest growing markets for U.S. exports. total U.S. bilateral trade deficits in 2004, indicating that the overall trade deficit is not caused by the exchange rate policy of one country, but rather the shortfall between U.S. saving and investment. This book presents a coherent examination of the details behind China's currency policies as they relate to outside factors.
Book Synopsis The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China’s Shrinking Current Account Surplus by : Mr.Pragyan Deb
Download or read book The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China’s Shrinking Current Account Surplus written by Mr.Pragyan Deb and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-08 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expansionary credit and fiscal policies contributed, the trend decline has been largely structural, driven by economic rebalancing from investment to consumption, appreciation of the real effective exchange rate (REER) towards equilibrium, increase in outbound tourism, and moderation in goods surplus reflecting market saturation and China’s faster growth compared with trading partners. Policies should focus on continued rebalancing and opening up to ensure excessive surpluses do not return, and to prepare the economy and the financial system to handle more volatile capital flows. From a global perspective, the decline in China’s surplus has lowered global imbalances, but with different impact across countries. The analysis is based on data as of July 2019.
Book Synopsis The Future of China's Exchange Rate Policy by : Morris Goldstein
Download or read book The Future of China's Exchange Rate Policy written by Morris Goldstein and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2009 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis China's Current Account and Exchange Rate by : Yin-Wong Cheung
Download or read book China's Current Account and Exchange Rate written by Yin-Wong Cheung and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine whether the Chinese exchange rate is misaligned and how Chinese trade flows respond to the exchange rate and to economic activity. We find, first, that the Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), is substantially below the value predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample, when using the 2006 vintage of the World Development Indicators. The economic magnitude of the mis-alignment is substantial -- on the order of 50 percent in log terms. However, the misalignment is typically not statistically significant, in the sense of being more than two standard errors away from the conditional mean. However, this finding disappears completely when using the most recent 2008 vintage of data; then the estimated undervaluation is on the order of 10 percent. Second, we find that Chinese multilateral trade flows respond to relative prices -- as represented by a trade weighted exchange rate -- but the relationship is not always precisely estimated. In addition, the direction of the effects is sometimes different from what is expected a priori. For instance, Chinese ordinary imports actually rise in response to a RMB depreciation; however, Chinese exports appear to respond to RMB depreciation in the expected manner, as long as a supply variable is included. In that sense, Chinese trade is not exceptional. Furthermore, Chinese trade with the United States appears to behave in a standard manner -- especially after the expansion in the Chinese manufacturing capital stock is accounted for. Thus, the China-US trade balance should respond to real exchange rate and relative income movements in the anticipated manner. However, in neither the case of multilateral nor bilateral trade flows should one expect quantitatively large effects arising from exchange rate changes. And, of course, these results are not informative with regard to the question of how a change in the RMB/USD exchange rate would affect the overall US trade deficit. Finally, we stress the fact that considerable uncertainty surrounds both our estimates of RMB misalignment and the responsiveness of trade flows to movements in exchange rates and output levels. In particular, the results for trade elasticities are sensitive to econometric specification, accounting for supply effects, and for the inclusion of time trends.
Book Synopsis China's Exchange Rate Regime by : China Development Research Foundation
Download or read book China's Exchange Rate Regime written by China Development Research Foundation and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The imbalance between China's currency, the RMB, and those of other countries is widely regarded as a major problem for the world economy. There was a reform of China's exchange rate mechanism in 2005, following which the RMB appreciated 17% against the US dollar, but many people argue that further reform is still needed. This book reports on a major research project undertaken following the 2005 reform to assess the impact on China's economy. It considers the impact in a number of areas of the economy, including export-oriented companies, the banking industry, international trade, international capital flows, and China's macroeconomic policy. It concludes that the policies pursued so far have been correct, and that further reform, both to the exchange rate, and to the system overall, would be desirable, but that any reform should be gradual and incremental, preserving economic stability, and integrating changes with reform in other parts of the economy.
Book Synopsis China's Exchange Rate System Reform by : Paul Sau-Leung Yip
Download or read book China's Exchange Rate System Reform written by Paul Sau-Leung Yip and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author of this book is the original proponent of China''s exchange rate system reform announced in 2005. This book discusses: The transitional, medium-term and long-term designs of the reform; China''s achievements and mistakes on the reform; China''s banking reform and its lessons to other emerging economies; Maintaining a certain trade surplus as a dynamically optimal choice for China; China''s stock market bubble and the gradual bubble squeezing strategy; China''s property inflation and its solution; China''s fiscal and monetary policies during and after the global financial tsunami; Risk of global asset inflation, CPI inflation and cycle of exchange rate after the financial tsunami; Likelihood of an asset bubble and then a crisis in economies outside the US during the overheated phase of the recovery. Through these discussions, the author hopes to share his knowledge on macroeconomic policy management accumulated over the past thirty five years. In particular, he would like to share his insights on macroeconomic policy management before, during and after an asset inflation era or a crisis period. He would also like to warn policy makers and financial investors on the likelihood of an asset bubble and then a crisis in economies outside the US. The author hopes this book could eventually stimulate the emergence of OC macroeconomic policy managementOCO as a new and important discipline in economics. While the focus of the book is on macroeconomic policy management, it also offers important lessons and strategies on share and property investments. Thus, economists, policy makers, central bank officials, economics students, business and finance professionals, individual investors and academia in other disciplines will find the book useful."
Book Synopsis Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia by : Ms.Isabelle Mejean
Download or read book Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia written by Ms.Isabelle Mejean and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A reduction in the U.S. current account deficit vis-à-vis emerging Asia involves a shift in demand from U.S. to emerging Asia tradable goods and a change in international relative prices. This paper quantifies the required adjustment in the terms of trade and real exchange rates in a three-country open economy model of the U.S., China, and other emerging Asia. We compare scenarios where both Chinese and other emerging Asian export prices change by the same proportion to the case where export prices remain constant in one country and increase in the other. Our results are robust to different assumptions about elasticities of substitution and to introducing a high degree of vertical fragmentation in production in the model.
Book Synopsis China’s Currency: An Analysis of the Economic Issues by :
Download or read book China’s Currency: An Analysis of the Economic Issues written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2007 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many Members of Congress charge that China's policy of accumulating foreign reserves (especially U.S. dollars) to influence the value of its currency constitutes a form of currency manipulation intended to make its exports cheaper and imports into China more expensive than they would be under free market conditions. They further contend that this policy has caused a surge in the U.S. trade deficit with China and has been a major factor in the loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. Although China made modest reforms to its currency policy in 2005, resulting in a modest appreciation of its currency, many Members contend the reforms have not gone far enough and have warned of potential legislative action. This report summarizes the main findings in CRS Report RL32165, China's Currency: Economic Issues and Options for U.S. Trade Policy, by Wayne M. Morrison and Marc Labonte, and will be updated as events warrant.
Book Synopsis China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime by : Mr.Sonali Das
Download or read book China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime written by Mr.Sonali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s exchange rate regime has undergone gradual reform since the move away from a fixed exchange rate in 2005. The renminbi has become more flexible over time but is still carefully managed, and depth and liquidity in the onshore FX market is relatively low compared to other countries with de jure floating currencies. Allowing a greater role for market forces within the existing regime, and greater two-way flexibility of the exchange rate, are important steps to build on the progress already made. This should be complemented by further steps to develop the FX market, improve FX risk management, and modernize the monetary policy framework.
Book Synopsis The debate on China's exchange rate by : Jialin Zhang
Download or read book The debate on China's exchange rate written by Jialin Zhang and published by Hoover Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Rmb Exchange Rate, The: Past, Current, And Future by : Yin-wong Cheung
Download or read book Rmb Exchange Rate, The: Past, Current, And Future written by Yin-wong Cheung and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2016-11-22 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, China's robust economic performance has propelled it to the world stage. At the same time, the world has increasingly scrutinized China's economic policies and activities. One of the hotly contested issues is China's foreign exchange rate policy. China's current reform and modernization policies to convert its centrally planned economy towards a market-driven one could hardly draw on experiences of other countries.This book provides a succinct and up-to-date account of China's exchange rate policy including the currency undervaluation debate and the internationalization of its currency. It begins with a brief history of the modern China's foreign exchange rate policy. In particular, it highlights the three Chinese policy characteristics; namely, independence, controllability and practicability, and graduality. This prologue helps to interpret China's policy on its currency, the renminbi (RMB); including its recent initiatives to promote the international use of its currency.The book covers the basic theoretical and empirical issues that are relevant for determining the equilibrium value of the RMB exchange rate and, hence, its degree of misalignment. Then it evaluates the controversy surrounding the RMB valuation debate, and highlights the sensitivity of empirical estimates of the degree of misalignment to alternative presumptions.The book also examines the timely issues related to China's recent efforts in promoting the use of its currency in the global financial market. After describing the background of China's recent efforts to internationalize the RMB, the book a) discusses the main promotional policies, including the recent Qianhai project and Shanghai Free Trade Zone initiative, b) evaluates the current status of the offshore RMB market, the level of international use of the RMB and the admission to the SDR basket, and c) assesses the future prospects of the RMB to be a global currency.
Book Synopsis Chinese Currency and the Global Economy by : Chen Yulu
Download or read book Chinese Currency and the Global Economy written by Chen Yulu and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2014-05-26 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From ancient “knife money” to the Renminbi—a fascinating history of Chinese currency Chinese Currency and the Global Economy is an all-encapsulating study of the Chinese monetary system from the historical perspective of global economy and finance. From economic infrastructure to the cultural system and from world events to the domestic scene, author Chen Yulu describes the metamorphosis of the Chinese currency and examines what is entailed in the globalization of Renminbi against the background of world economic multi-polarization. Chen Yulu is an Eisenhower senior visiting fellow and a Fulbright senior scholar. He serves concurrently as president of Renmin University of China, vice-chairman of the China International Finance Association, and deputy secretary general and executive director of the China Society for Finance and Banking.
Book Synopsis Currencies and Globalization by : Marcy L. Ferrington
Download or read book Currencies and Globalization written by Marcy L. Ferrington and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2007 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Currencies are often the targets of speculators and the sometimes reflections and engines of a country's prosperity. They affect consumption rates, political stability and industrial success. Exchange rates are carefully set and endlessly analysed and changed. This book presents leading contemporary issues related to currencies and globalisation.
Book Synopsis China's Current Account and Exchange Rate by : Yin-Wong Cheung
Download or read book China's Current Account and Exchange Rate written by Yin-Wong Cheung and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine whether the Chinese exchange rate is misaligned and how Chinese trade flows respond to the exchange rate and to economic activity. We find, first, that the Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), is substantially below the value predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample, when using the 2006 vintage of the World Development Indicators. The economic magnitude of the mis-alignment is substantial - on the order of 50 percent in log terms. However, the misalignment is typically not statistically significant, in the sense of being more than two standard errors away from the conditional mean. Moreover, this finding disappears completely when using the most recent 2008 vintage of data; then the estimated undervaluation is on the order of 10 percent. Second, we find that Chinese multilateral trade flows respond to relative prices - as represented by a trade weighted exchange rate - but the relationship is not always precisely estimated. In addition, the direction of the effects is sometimes different from what is expected a priori. For instance, Chinese ordinary imports actually rise in response to a RMB depreciation; however, Chinese exports appear to respond to RMB depreciation in the expected manner, as long as a supply variable is included. In that sense, Chinese trade is not exceptional. Furthermore, Chinese trade with the United States appears to behave in a standard manner - especially after the expansion in the Chinese manufacturing capital stock is accounted for. Thus, the China-US trade balance should respond to real exchange rate and relative income movements in the anticipated manner. However, in neither the case of multilateral nor bilateral trade flows should one expect quantitatively large effects arising from exchange rate changes. And, of course, these results are not informative with regard to the question of how a change in the RMB/USD exchange rate would affect the overall US trade deficit.
Book Synopsis China's Economy in Transition by : Mr.Anoop Singh
Download or read book China's Economy in Transition written by Mr.Anoop Singh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-07 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China's current account surplus has declined to around one-quarter the peak reached before the global financial crisis. While this is a major reduction in China's external imbalance, it has not been accompanied by a decisive shift toward consumption-based growth. Instead, the compression in its external surplus has been accomplished through increasing fixed investment so that it is now an even higher share of China's national economy. This increasing reliance on fixed investment as the main driver of China's growth raises questions about the durability of the compression in the external surplus and the sustainability of the current growth model that has had unprecedented success in lifting about 500 million people out of poverty over the last three decades. This volume examines various aspects of the rebalancing process underway in China, highlighting policy lessons for achieving stable, sustainable, and inclusive growth.
