Capital flows, push versus pull factors and the global financial crisis

Download Capital flows, push versus pull factors and the global financial crisis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (747 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Capital flows, push versus pull factors and the global financial crisis by : Marcel Fratzscher

Download or read book Capital flows, push versus pull factors and the global financial crisis written by Marcel Fratzscher and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The causes of the 2008 collapse and subsequent surge in global capital flows remain an open and highly controversial issue. Employing a factor model coupled with a dataset of high-frequency portfolio capital flows to 50 economies, the paper finds that common shocks - key crisis events as well as changes to global liquidity and risk - have exerted a large effect on capital flows both in the crisis and in the recovery. However, these effects have been highly heterogeneous across countries, with a large part of this heterogeneity being explained by differences in the quality of domestic institutions, country risk and the strength of domestic macroeconomic fundamentals. Comparing and quantifying these effects shows that common factors ("push" factors) were overall the main drivers of capital flows during the crisis, while country-specific determinants ("pull" factors) have been dominant in accounting for the dynamics of global capital flows in 2009 and 2010, in particular for emerging markets.

Capital Flows, Push Versus Pull Factors and the Global Financial Crisis

Download Capital Flows, Push Versus Pull Factors and the Global Financial Crisis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Capital Flows, Push Versus Pull Factors and the Global Financial Crisis by :

Download or read book Capital Flows, Push Versus Pull Factors and the Global Financial Crisis written by and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Drivers of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis

Download The Drivers of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475586787
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Drivers of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis by : Swarnali Ahmed Hannan

Download or read book The Drivers of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis written by Swarnali Ahmed Hannan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-13 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a sample of 34 emerging markets and developing economies over the period 2009Q3-2015Q4, the paper employs a panel framework to study the determinants of capital flows, both net and gross, across a wide range of instruments. The baseline regressions are then extended to focus on high and low episodes – quarters with flows one standard deviation above/below mean. Overall, the results suggest that the capital flow slowdown witnessed in recent years is due to a combination of lower growth prospects of recipient countries and worse global risk sentiment. However, the determinants of flows can be considerably different across instruments and across the type of flows considered, net or gross. The sensitivity of certain types of flows, towards push and pull factors, increases during periods of high and low capital flows. Moreover, some variables may not necessarily be significant during normal times, but can be important drivers during such episodes, and vice versa. Indicators like the gap between the U.S. long- and short-term maturity bond yields – not significant during normal times – can be an important driver during high episodes.

Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature

Download Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484378288
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature by : Swarnali Ahmed Hannan

Download or read book Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature written by Swarnali Ahmed Hannan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-28 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper documents the evolution of gross and net capital flows to emerging market economies and surveys the large literature on the potential drivers. While the capital flow landscape has been shaped by the evolution of both global and country-specific factors, the relative importance of these factors has varied over time and differs depending on the type of capital flows. The findings from the survey of the literature thus underscores the importance of policies in both source and recipient countries in shaping capital flows.

Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows

Download Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513522906
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows by : Mr.R. G Gelos

Download or read book Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows written by Mr.R. G Gelos and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-12-20 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volatility of capital flows to emerging markets continues to pose challenges to policymakers. In this paper, we propose a new framework to answer critical policy questions: What policies and policy frameworks are most effective in dampening sharp capital flow movements in response to global shocks? What are the near- versus medium-term trade-offs of different policies? We tackle these questions using a quantile regression framework to predict the entire future probability distribution of capital flows to emerging markets, based on current domestic structural characteristics, policies, and global financial conditions. This new approach allows policymakers to quantify capital flows risks and evaluate policy tools to mitigate them, thus building the foundation of a risk management framework for capital flows.

What Makes International Capital Flows So Volatile?

Download What Makes International Capital Flows So Volatile? PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis What Makes International Capital Flows So Volatile? by : Tae-Joon Kim

Download or read book What Makes International Capital Flows So Volatile? written by Tae-Joon Kim and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the determinants of financial capital flows in Korea, which provides an intriguing case for examining the volatility of such flows as an almost fully opened capital market. Our empirical analysis finds both pull and push factors have significantly affected all three types of foreign capital flows- foreign equity investment, foreign bond investment and foreign other-type investment- in Korea, though the relative importance of each factor varies by sample period and type of financial capital. First, the determinants of capital inflows changed substantially following the 1997 currency crisis. The impact of push factors on foreign investment strengthened, rendering the Korean stock and bond market more susceptible to external shocks. Second, the global financial crisis, which increased global financial instability and preference for safe assets, appears to have had a negative effect on other-type investment. However, foreign equity investment showed a quick recovery in the wake of global financial crisis. Third, the effects of capital account liberalization on capital flows appear more complicated than expected. Korea's opening up of the stock market to foreign investors in 1992 did not usher in foreign equity investment. The liberalization of foreign portfolio investment after the 1997 crisis produced a significant effect on equity, but not on bond investment. Still, how to stabilize capital flows amid more deeply integrated domestic and foreign financial markets is another matter.

Surges

Download Surges PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463942303
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Surges by : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book Surges written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines why surges in capital flows to emerging market economies (EMEs) occur, and what determines the allocation of capital across countries during such surge episodes. We use two different methodologies to identify surges in EMEs over 1980-2009, differentiating between those mainly caused by changes in the country's external liabilities (reflecting the investment decisions of foreigners), and those caused by changes in its assets (reflecting the decisions of residents). Global factors-including US interest rates and risk aversion¡-are key to determining whether a surge will occur, but domestic factors such as the country's external financing needs (as implied by an intertemporal optimizing model of the current account) and structural characteristics also matter, which explains why not all EMEs experience surges. Conditional on a surge occurring, moreover, the magnitude of the capital inflow depends largely on domestic factors including the country's external financing needs, and the exchange rate regime. Finally, while similar factors explain asset- and liability-driven surges, the latter are more sensitive to global factors and contagion.

The Volatility of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets

Download The Volatility of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475585268
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Volatility of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets by : Maria Sole Pagliari

Download or read book The Volatility of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets written by Maria Sole Pagliari and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-07 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Capital flow volatility is a concern for macroeconomic and financial stability. Nonetheless, literature is scarce in this topic. Our paper sheds light on this issue in two dimensions. First, using quarterly data for 65 countries over the period 1970Q1-2016Q1, we construct three measures of volatility, for total capital flows and key instruments. Second, we perform panel regressions to understand the determinants of volatility. The measures show that the volatility of all instruments is prone to bouts, rising sharply during global shocks like the taper tantrum episode. Capital flow volatility thus remains a challenge for policy makers. The regression results suggest that push factors can be more important than pull factors in explaining volatility, illustrating that the characteristics of volatility can be different from those of the flows levels.

The Composition Matters

Download The Composition Matters PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873115
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Composition Matters by : Mr.Hui Tong

Download or read book The Composition Matters written by Mr.Hui Tong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-08-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study whether capital flows affect the degree of credit crunch faced by a country's manufacturing firms during the 2007-09 crisis. Examining 3823 firms in 24 emerging countries, we find that the decline in stock prices was more severe for firms that are intrinsically more dependent on external finance for working capital. The volume of capital flows has no significant effect on the severity of the credit crunch. However, the composition of capital flows matters: pre-crisis exposure to non-FDI capital inflows worsens the credit crunch, while exposure to FDI alleviates the liquidity constraint. Similar results also hold surrounding the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy

Capital Flows and Financial Crises

Download Capital Flows and Financial Crises PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Manchester University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780719056499
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (564 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Capital Flows and Financial Crises by : Miles Kahler

Download or read book Capital Flows and Financial Crises written by Miles Kahler and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Capital flows to the developing economies have long displayed a boom-and-bust pattern. However, rarely has the cycle turned as abruptly as it did in the 1990s, when the surges in lending were followed by the Mexican peso crisis of 1994-95, and the sudden collapse of currencies in Asia in 1997 and 1998. The volume maps an uncertain financial landscape in which volatile private capital flows and fragile banking systems produce sudden reversals of fortune for governments and economies. This environment creates dilemmas for both national policy-makers who confront the mixed blessing of capital inflows and the international institutions that manage the recurrent crises.

Push Vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited

Download Push Vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788932240268
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (42 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Push Vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited by : Tae Soo Kang

Download or read book Push Vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited written by Tae Soo Kang and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Download Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498352928
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets by : Erlend Nier

Download or read book Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets written by Erlend Nier and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-27 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the VIX, on capital flows and investigates the role of fundamentals and country characteristics in mitigating or amplifying its effect. Using interaction models, we find the effect of the VIX to be non-linear. For low levels of the VIX, capital flows are driven by fundamental factors. During periods of stress, the VIX becomes the dominant driver of capital flows while other determinants, with the exception of interest rate differentials, lose statistical significance. Our results also suggest that the effect of global financial conditions on gross private capital flows increases with the host country’s level of financial sector development. Finally, our results imply that countries cannot fully insulate themselves from global financial shocks, unless creating a fragmented global financial system.

Push vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited: A Cross-country Analysis(KIEP Working Paper 19-01)

Download Push vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited: A Cross-country Analysis(KIEP Working Paper 19-01) PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788932242835
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (428 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Push vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited: A Cross-country Analysis(KIEP Working Paper 19-01) by : Tae Soo Kang

Download or read book Push vs. Pull Factors of Capital Flows Revisited: A Cross-country Analysis(KIEP Working Paper 19-01) written by Tae Soo Kang and published by . This book was released on 2019-02-20 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Managing Elevated Risk

Download Managing Elevated Risk PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9812872841
Total Pages : 129 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (128 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Managing Elevated Risk by : Iwan J. Azis

Download or read book Managing Elevated Risk written by Iwan J. Azis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-12-11 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the risks and opportunities that arise in Emerging Asia given the context of a new environment in global liquidity and capital flows. It elaborates on the need to ensure financial and overall economic stability in the region through improved financial regulation and other policy measures to minimize the emergent risks. "Managing Elevated Risk: Global Liquidity, Capital Flows, and Macroprudential Policy—An Asian Perspective" also explores the range of policy options that may be deployed to address the impact of global liquidity on domestic financial and socio-economic conditions including income inequality. The book is primarily aimed at policy makers, financial market regulators and supervisory agencies to help them improve national regulatory systems and to promote harmonization of national regulations and practices in line with global standards. Scholars and researchers will also gain important information and knowledge about the overall impacts of changing global liquidity from the book.

Boom-bust Capital Flow Cycles

Download Boom-bust Capital Flow Cycles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Boom-bust Capital Flow Cycles by : Graciela L. Kaminsky

Download or read book Boom-bust Capital Flow Cycles written by Graciela L. Kaminsky and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper examines the new trends in research on capital flows fueled by the 2007-2009 Global Crisis. Previous studies on capital flows focused on current-account imbalances and net capital flows. The Global Crisis changed that. The onset of this crisis was preceded by a dramatic increase in gross financial flows while net capital flows remained mostly subdued. The attention in academia zoomed in on gross inflows and outflows with special attention to cross border banking flows before the crisis erupted and the shift towards corporate bond issuance in its aftermath. The boom and bust in capital flows around the Global Crisis also stimulated a new area of research: capturing the “global factor.” This research adopts two different approaches. The traditional literature on the push-pull factors, which before the crisis was mostly focused on monetary policy in the financial center as the “push factor,” started to explore what other factors contribute to the comovement of capital flows as well as to amplify the role of monetary policy in the financial center on capital flows to the periphery. This new research focuses on global banks’ leverage, risk appetite, and global uncertainty. Since the “global factor” is not known, a second branch of the literature has captured this factor indirectly using dynamic common factors extracted from actual capital flows or movements in asset prices."--Abstract.

How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows

Download How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484316606
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows by : Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti

Download or read book How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows written by Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-09-01 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study quantifies the importance of a Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) for capital flows. We use capital flow data dis-aggregated by direction and type between 1990Q1 and 2015Q5 for 85 countries, and conventional techniques, models and metrics. Since the GFCy is an unobservable concept, we use two methods to represent it: directly observable variables in center economies often linked to it, such as the VIX; and indirect manifestations, proxied by common dynamic factors extracted from actual capital flows. Our evidence seems mostly inconsistent with a significant and conspicuous GFCy; both methods combined rarely explain more than a quarter of the variation in capital flows. Succinctly, most variation in capital flows does not seem to be the result of common shocks nor stem from observables in a central country like the United States.

International Financial Contagion

Download International Financial Contagion PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475733143
Total Pages : 461 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis International Financial Contagion by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book International Financial Contagion written by Stijn Claessens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.