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Business Strategy Overvalued Equities And Stock Price Crash Risk
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Book Synopsis Business Strategy, Overvalued Equities, and Stock Price Crash Risk by : Ahsan Habib
Download or read book Business Strategy, Overvalued Equities, and Stock Price Crash Risk written by Ahsan Habib and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines empirically the effect of firm-level business strategies on future stock price crash risk and the extent to which equity overvaluation moderates this relation. By exploring the extent to which firms following particular business strategies are more or less likely to experience crash risk, we provide evidence that increases our understanding of the underlying determinants of crash risk. Using a composite strategy score developed by Bentley, Omer and Sharp (2013) and applying two variants of crash risk, we document that firms following innovative business strategies (prospectors) are more prone to future crash risk than defenders. We extend our analysis by examining the moderating role of equity overvaluation and find that prospectors are more prone to equity overvaluation which increases future crash risk.
Book Synopsis Overevaluation and Stock Price Crashes by : Qunfeng Liao
Download or read book Overevaluation and Stock Price Crashes written by Qunfeng Liao and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prior literature has shown that managers have incentives to opportunistically and selectively withhold bad news from investors because of career concerns, compensation contracts, litigation risks, earnings targets, and empire building. In their 2006 paper, Jin and Myers develop the "Bad News Hoarding" theory which suggests that when managers conceal bad news for extended periods of time, negative information is likely to get stockpiled within the firm. When managers' incentives for hiding bad news collapse or when the accumulation of bad news reaches a critical threshold level, all of the hitherto undisclosed negative firm-specific shocks become public at once, resulting in an abrupt decline in stock prices. Earnings management (EM) has been identified as the primary means employed by managers to conceal bad news. Earlier studies have shown separately that overvalued firms and firms characterized by high EM are associated with a greater risk of future stock price crash risk. In this thesis, I investigate the joint effect of extreme overvaluation and high EM on future stock price crash risk. It is shown that there is a robust positive relationship between extreme overvaluation accompanied by high EM and one-year ahead stock price crashes for a sample of U.S. public firms during the years 1995-2011. This result is consistent with Jensen's (2004, 2005) argument that when a firm becomes extremely overvalued it sets up organizational forces and incentives that are likely to impair the value of the firm. However, I also find that extremely overvalued firms that are not accompanied by high EM as well as firms with high EM that are not extremely overvalued do not exhibit greater crash risk. The results are robust to alternative proxies of crash risk and EM and hold after controlling for endogeneity. The effects are more pronounced in the post-SOX period and for firms that engage in real earnings management (REM), are small size, or have low analyst coverage. In addition, I find that accrual earnings management (AEM) is positively associated with future stock price crash risk in the early stages of overvaluation whereas REM is positively associated with future stock price crash risk in the late stages of overvaluation. Finally, I find that extreme overvaluation with high EM is negatively associated with future stock price jumps. I interpret these results as suggesting that the incentives to conceal bad news through EM do not necessarily arise in all cases of overvaluation and that both extreme overvaluation and high EM should co-exist for the crash risk to increase. In this way, my results fine tune Jensen's conjecture regarding overvalued firms.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Economic Development and Business Culture (ICEDBC 2023) by : Shehnaz Tehseen
Download or read book Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Economic Development and Business Culture (ICEDBC 2023) written by Shehnaz Tehseen and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-10-27 with total page 821 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book.The 3rd International Conference on Economic Development and Business Culture (ICEDBC 2023) will be held in Dali on June 30–July 2, 2023. ICEDBC 2023 is annual conference since 2021. It was held in Xiamen, Dali from 2021 to 2022. Every year, there are many attendees from Asia, Europe, America, etc., and quite a few well-known experts give plenary speeches. Business culture is an organic and important part of the social culture system, it is the comprehensive reflection and expression of national culture and modern consciousness in business behavior, and is formed under the influence of national culture and modern consciousness with modern business characteristics and group consciousness as well as the behavior norms generated by this consciousness. For business, one hand on the economy, the other on culture, will certainly promote China's business towards modernization in a big step. The day when business culture is flourishing is the day when business economy is flourishing. Business culture plays a fundamental and decisive role in economic development, providing adequate basic support and supporting services for business activities. Business culture regulates business behavior, regulates business relationships, and influences the way of thinking in economic operation. Business culture promotes economic development through the shaping of people's pattern realm, entrepreneurship and integrity spirit. Business culture plays the role of "adhesive, catalyst and lubricant" for economic development by constructing and practicing value creation in business management and business transactions. ICEDBC2023 aims to explore the role of business culture in promoting economic development and to thoroughly analyze how to use its economic functions more effectively. ICEDBC 2023 warmly invite you to participate in and look forward to seeing you in Dali, China.
Book Synopsis Equity Market Competition and Stock Price Crash Risk by : Patrick Vorst
Download or read book Equity Market Competition and Stock Price Crash Risk written by Patrick Vorst and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the impact of equity market competition on stock price crash risk. Higher levels of equity market competition lead to a faster incorporation of information into stock prices, so that the amount of information that is at any time impounded into prices is greater. I find that equity market competition reduces the effectiveness of bad news hiding and is associated with a reduced likelihood of crashes. Additional tests show that the importance of equity market competition is concentrated in firms with higher levels of information asymmetry and during high-sentiment periods and provide further support for this hypothesis.
Book Synopsis New Advances in Behavioural Finance by : Júlio
Lobão
Download or read book New Advances in Behavioural Finance written by Júlio
Lobão and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2021-05-14 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume explores some of the latest advances in the field of behavioural finance, one of the most dynamic areas in financial economics today. The book shows how, through its use of insights from psychology to better understand the decisions made by investors and corporate managers, behavioural finance has shed new light on several financial puzzles.
Book Synopsis Stock Price Crash Risk by : Ahsan Habib
Download or read book Stock Price Crash Risk written by Ahsan Habib and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We survey the burgeoning literature on the determinants of future stock price crash risk in the US, as well as in countries outside the US. Stock price crash risk, a manifestation of extreme negative values in the distribution of firm-specific returns, has attracted considerable research interests. According to Jin and Myers (2006), when cash flow is lower than investors expect, managers hide the bad news in an effort to protect their jobs. However, when the accumulated bad news finally crosses a tipping point, managers release all the bad news at once, which then results in a stock price crash. We synthesize a vast body of literature on the determinants of crash risk, identify weaknesses, and offer future research opportunities. We categorize the determinants into: (i) financial reporting and corporate disclosures, (ii) managerial incentives and managerial characteristics, (iii) capital market transactions, (iv) corporate governance mechanisms, and (v) informal institutional mechanisms. Despite a large body of research into the determinants of crash risk, very little research attention has been directed towards understanding the consequences of stock price crash.
Book Synopsis High Returns from Low Risk by : Pim van Vliet
Download or read book High Returns from Low Risk written by Pim van Vliet and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-11-21 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: HIGH RETURNS from LOW RISK If you lie awake at night worrying about your retirement, paying for your children’s schooling or your general financial security, High Returns from Low Risk is your solution to a sound sleep. This unique wealth management guide is written by a fund manager who oversees billions of dollars in portfolio assets, and who wants to share his approach with individual investors, advisors, bankers and everyone interested in the stock market. Despite all the appeal exciting stocks have, his evidence-based strategy repeatedly proves low-risk stocks historically beat high-risk ones going back well over eighty years. By how much? Over eighteen times the returns! Growing wealth doesn’t have to be stressful, and it shouldn’t be risky when you get High Returns from Low Risk. ‘The low-risk effect, that is the idea that historically, unlike many well-known theories, average return across stocks doesn’t appear to go up with most standard measures of risk, is one of the most important “anomalies” in modern finance. Pim van Vliet is one of the pioneers in studying this effect and using it to improve investor portfolios. Anyone interested in systematic equity investing should carefully read this important book.’ — Clifford S. Asness, Founder, Managing Principal and Chief Investment Officer at AQR Capital Management, USA ‘Pim van Vliet’s experience as one of the pioneers of low-volatility investing gives him unique insight into one of the most fascinating economic anomalies of our time. The idea that risk, properly defined, generates a positive return, is one of those ideas that becomes even more profound when we learn it is not true. There is no cosmic risk karma that pays people for taking risk, and this book will help people understand what types of investment risks generate premiums, and which will actually cost you money.’ —Eric Falkenstein, Author of The Missing Risk Premium: Why Low Volatility Investing Works, USA
Book Synopsis Stock Market Crashes: Predictable And Unpredictable And What To Do About Them by : William T Ziemba
Download or read book Stock Market Crashes: Predictable And Unpredictable And What To Do About Them written by William T Ziemba and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2017-08-30 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Overall, the book provides an interesting and useful synthesis of the authors’ research on the predictions of stock market crashes. The book can be recommended to anyone interested in the Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential model, and similar methods to predict crashes.'Quantitative FinanceThis book presents studies of stock market crashes big and small that occur from bubbles bursting or other reasons. By a bubble we mean that prices are rising just because they are rising and that prices exceed fundamental values. A bubble can be a large rise in prices followed by a steep fall. The focus is on determining if a bubble actually exists, on models to predict stock market declines in bubble-like markets and exit strategies from these bubble-like markets. We list historical great bubbles of various markets over hundreds of years.We present four models that have been successful in predicting large stock market declines of ten percent plus that average about minus twenty-five percent. The bond stock earnings yield difference model was based on the 1987 US crash where the S&P 500 futures fell 29% in one day. The model is based on earnings yields relative to interest rates. When interest rates become too high relative to earnings, there almost always is a decline in four to twelve months. The initial out of sample test was on the Japanese stock market from 1948-88. There all twelve danger signals produced correct decline signals. But there were eight other ten percent plus declines that occurred for other reasons. Then the model called the 1990 Japan huge -56% decline. We show various later applications of the model to US stock declines such as in 2000 and 2007 and to the Chinese stock market. We also compare the model with high price earnings decline predictions over a sixty year period in the US. We show that over twenty year periods that have high returns they all start with low price earnings ratios and end with high ratios. High price earnings models have predictive value and the BSEYD models predict even better. Other large decline prediction models are call option prices exceeding put prices, Warren Buffett's value of the stock market to the value of the economy adjusted using BSEYD ideas and the value of Sotheby's stock. Investors expect more declines than actually occur. We present research on the positive effects of FOMC meetings and small cap dominance with Democratic Presidents. Marty Zweig was a wall street legend while he was alive. We discuss his methods for stock market predictability using momentum and FED actions. These helped him become the leading analyst and we show that his ideas still give useful predictions in 2016-2017. We study small declines in the five to fifteen percent range that are either not expected or are expected but when is not clear. For these we present methods to deal with these situations.The last four January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections are analzyed using simple volatility-S&P 500 graphs. Another very important issue is can you exit bubble-like markets at favorable prices. We use a stopping rule model that gives very good exit results. This is applied successfully to Apple computer stock in 2012, the Nasdaq 100 in 2000, the Japanese stock and golf course membership prices, the US stock market in 1929 and 1987 and other markets. We also show how to incorporate predictive models into stochastic investment models.
Book Synopsis Stock Price Crash Risk on International Stock Markets by : Dominick Franzi
Download or read book Stock Price Crash Risk on International Stock Markets written by Dominick Franzi and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the relationship between opacity in financial reporting and the distribution of stock returns. The performance of stocks in the Swiss stock market is analyzed in a sample period from 1985 till 2010 with regard to the level of firms' opaqueness in financial statements. Using earnings management as a measure for opacity, it is shown that opacity is associated with stock price crash risk. Opaque firms are more susceptible to stock price crashes, but not more prone to explore positive jump events than firms with high transparency in financial reporting.
Book Synopsis Corporate Governance and Firm-Specific Stock Price Crashes by : Panayiotis C. Andreou
Download or read book Corporate Governance and Firm-Specific Stock Price Crashes written by Panayiotis C. Andreou and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate whether four dimensions of corporate governance mechanisms, namely ownership structure, accounting opacity, board structure and process and managerial incentives, relate to 1-year-ahead stock price crash risk. Employing principal component analysis on the 21 attributes that comprise these four categories, we find that corporate governance explains overall between 13.1% and 23.0% of a one standard deviation in future crash risk. Further analysis reveals that transient institutional ownership, CEO stock option incentives and the percentage of directors that hold equity in the firm increase a firm's future stock price crash, whilst insiders' ownership, conditional accounting conservatism, board size and the presence of a corporate governance policy have the ability to mitigate crashes. The relations between these governance attributes and future crash risk are more pronounced in environments that accentuate agency risk. Our findings support the notion that sound corporate governance systems curb opportunistic behavior of managers to hide and accumulate bad news from outsiders.
Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations by : Ilias Maglogiannis
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations written by Ilias Maglogiannis and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-06-16 with total page 541 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of five International Workshops held as parallel events of the 18th IFIP WG 12.5 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations, AIAI 2022, virtually and in Hersonissos, Crete, Greece, in June 2022: the 11th Mining Humanistic Data Workshop (MHDW 2022); the 7th 5G-Putting Intelligence to the Network Edge Workshop (5G-PINE 2022); the 1st workshop on AI in Energy, Building and Micro-Grids (AIBMG 2022); the 1st Workshop/Special Session on Machine Learning and Big Data in Health Care (ML@HC 2022); and the 2nd Workshop on Artificial Intelligence in Biomedical Engineering and Informatics (AIBEI 2022). The 35 full papers presented at these workshops were carefully reviewed and selected from 74 submissions.
Book Synopsis Stock Price Crash Risk and Insider Trading by : Sunny Chen
Download or read book Stock Price Crash Risk and Insider Trading written by Sunny Chen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the impact of prior crash risk on insider trading behaviour using a sample of Chinese A-share firms for the 2010-2015 period. Prior crash risk is publicly available information yet represents a source of informational advantage for insiders due to their unique capacity to assess its impact on stock price. Consistent with this assertion, we find a positive correlation between prior crash risk and insider sales value scaled by firm value. This result is robust to market sentiment and contrarian strategy. The result still holds after accounting for possible endogeneity issues using a two-stage least squares estimation. Additionally, we find the relationship is attenuated in state-owned enterprises (SOEs), where corporate governance affects insider motivation and creates administrative restrictions. Our study contributes to the growing literature on crash risk consequences by examining its association with insider trading behaviour. Our results are economically meaningful and feature important implications for investors, boards of directors, and policymakers.
Book Synopsis Margin-Trading Volatility and Stock Price Crash Risk by : Dayong Lv
Download or read book Margin-Trading Volatility and Stock Price Crash Risk written by Dayong Lv and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Previous studies rarely discuss the effect of margin trading on future stock price crash risk, though margin trading is often blamed for destabilizing stock market. We propose three possible mechanisms through which margin trading may affect crash risk. Our empirical results show that neither margin-buying activity nor margin debt are associated with future crash risk, rejecting mechanisms of both “liquidity provision” and “fire sales”. In contrasts, stocks with more margin-trading volatility are predicted to have more crash risk, supporting the view of “arbitrage risk mechanism”. Furthermore, we find that higher margin-trading volatility results in higher overpricing and less information content.
Book Synopsis Two Essays on Customer Concentration and Stock Price Crash Risk by : Chenxing Meng
Download or read book Two Essays on Customer Concentration and Stock Price Crash Risk written by Chenxing Meng and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Closed-end Fund Discount by : Elroy Dimson
Download or read book The Closed-end Fund Discount written by Elroy Dimson and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Analyst Herding and Stock Price Crash Risk by : Xuanyu Jiang
Download or read book Analyst Herding and Stock Price Crash Risk written by Xuanyu Jiang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a rich database of Chinese firms, we examine the proposition that firms with disproportionately more analysts herding, as measured by a larger herding index value, have higher future stock price crash risk. Our findings are consistent with the proposition and are robust to different measures of stock price crash risk, stock price crash risk windows, herding measures, and subsamples. In addition, we document that the positive relation between analyst herding behavior and future stock price crash risk is more pronounced when firms have higher information asymmetry. Furthermore, we find no correlation between analyst herding and positive stock price jumps and firms with disproportionately more analysts herding have greater stock price synchronicity.
Book Synopsis The Market for Crash Risk by : David Scott Bates
Download or read book The Market for Crash Risk written by David Scott Bates and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the equilibrium when negative stock market jumps (crashes) can occur, and investors have heterogeneous attitudes towards crash risk. The less crash-averse insure the more crash-averse through the options markets that dynamically complete the economy. The resulting equilibrium is compared with various option pricing anomalies reported in the literature: the tendency of stock index options to overpredict volatility and jump risk, the Jackwerth (2000) implicit pricing kernel puzzle, and the stochastic evolution of option prices. The specification of crash aversion is compatible with the static option pricing puzzles, while heterogeneity partially explains the dynamic puzzles. Heterogeneity also magnifies substantially the stock market impact of adverse news about fundamentals
