Bubbles & Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles & Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model by :

Download or read book Bubbles & Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model by : Paul De Grauwe

Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model written by Paul De Grauwe and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model by : Paul De Grauwe

Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model written by Paul De Grauwe and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a stochastic environment the model generates a complex dynamics in which bubbles and crashes occur at unpredictable moments. We contrast these behavioural bubbles with rational bubbles.

Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030791823
Total Pages : 619 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes by : Harold L. Vogel

Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-12-17 with total page 619 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and are defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.

Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316101576
Total Pages : 471 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (161 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes by : Harold L. Vogel

Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-12-14 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the thousands of articles and the millions of times that the word 'bubble' has been used in the business press, there still does not appear to be a cohesive theory or persuasive empirical approach with which to study 'bubble' and 'crash' conditions. This book presents a plausible and accessible descriptive theory and empirical approach to the analysis of such financial market conditions. It advances such a framework through application of standard econometric methods to its central idea, which is that financial bubbles reflect urgent short side rationed demand. From this basic idea, an elasticity of variance concept is developed. It is further shown that a behavioral risk premium can probably be measured and related to the standard equity risk premium models in a way that is consistent with conventional theory.

Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319715283
Total Pages : 477 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition by : Harold L. Vogel

Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-16 with total page 477 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, and equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and can also be defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.

Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Asset Markets

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642021476
Total Pages : 179 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Asset Markets by : Stefan Palan

Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Asset Markets written by Stefan Palan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-10-03 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes a laboratory experiment designed to test the causes and properties of bubbles in financial markets and explores the question whether it is possible to design markets which avoid such bubbles and crashes. In the experiment, subjects were given the opportunity to trade in a stock market modeled after the seminal work of Smith et al. (1988). To account for the increasing importance of online betting sites, subjects were also allowed to trade in a digital option market. The outcomes shed new light on how subjects form and update their expectations, placing special emphasis on the bounded rationality of investors. Various analytical bubble measures found in the literature are collected, calculated, classified and presented for the first time. The very interesting new bubble measures "Dispersion Ratio", "Overpriced Transactions" and "Underpriced Transactions" are developed, making the book an important step towards the research goal of preventing bubbles and crashes in financial markets.

Bubble Bursts and Emotional Booms : In Financial Crisis

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Publisher : Blue Rose Publishers
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Bubble Bursts and Emotional Booms : In Financial Crisis by : Dr. R. Radhika

Download or read book Bubble Bursts and Emotional Booms : In Financial Crisis written by Dr. R. Radhika and published by Blue Rose Publishers. This book was released on 2024-06-04 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing upon their collective expertise, the authors delve into the depths of market bubbles, dissecting the irrational exuberance and subsequent despair that often accompany periods of financial turmoil. Through meticulous analysis and compelling narratives, they navigate the tumultuous landscape of past crises, illuminating the underlying emotional currents that drive market behavior. This book serves as a timely reminder of the profound impact that human psychology can have on economic phenomena, urging readers to critically examine their own biases and emotions in navigating the complexities of financial markets. 'Bubble Bursts Emotional Booms: in Financial Crisis' is a must-read for anyone seeking a deeper understanding of the interplay between emotions and economics, offering invaluable insights for investors, policymakers, and scholars alike.

Adaptive Markets

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 069119680X
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Adaptive Markets by : Andrew W. Lo

Download or read book Adaptive Markets written by Andrew W. Lo and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-05-14 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new, evolutionary explanation of markets and investor behavior Half of all Americans have money in the stock market, yet economists can’t agree on whether investors and markets are rational and efficient, as modern financial theory assumes, or irrational and inefficient, as behavioral economists believe. The debate is one of the biggest in economics, and the value or futility of investment management and financial regulation hangs on the answer. In this groundbreaking book, Andrew Lo transforms the debate with a powerful new framework in which rationality and irrationality coexist—the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis. Drawing on psychology, evolutionary biology, neuroscience, artificial intelligence, and other fields, Adaptive Markets shows that the theory of market efficiency is incomplete. When markets are unstable, investors react instinctively, creating inefficiencies for others to exploit. Lo’s new paradigm explains how financial evolution shapes behavior and markets at the speed of thought—a fact revealed by swings between stability and crisis, profit and loss, and innovation and regulation. An ambitious new answer to fundamental questions about economics and investing, Adaptive Markets is essential reading for anyone who wants to understand how markets really work.

Boom and Bust

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108369359
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (83 download)

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Book Synopsis Boom and Bust by : William Quinn

Download or read book Boom and Bust written by William Quinn and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-08-06 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do stock and housing markets sometimes experience amazing booms followed by massive busts and why is this happening more and more frequently? In order to answer these questions, William Quinn and John D. Turner take us on a riveting ride through the history of financial bubbles, visiting, among other places, Paris and London in 1720, Latin America in the 1820s, Melbourne in the 1880s, New York in the 1920s, Tokyo in the 1980s, Silicon Valley in the 1990s and Shanghai in the 2000s. As they do so, they help us understand why bubbles happen, and why some have catastrophic economic, social and political consequences whilst others have actually benefited society. They reveal that bubbles start when investors and speculators react to new technology or political initiatives, showing that our ability to predict future bubbles will ultimately come down to being able to predict these sparks.

Investors and their Behavior during the South Sea Bubble

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3668526133
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (685 download)

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Book Synopsis Investors and their Behavior during the South Sea Bubble by : Maike Lux

Download or read book Investors and their Behavior during the South Sea Bubble written by Maike Lux and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2017-09-18 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Document from the year 2016 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,6, University of Paderborn (Wirtschaftswissenschaften), course: Unternehmenspolitik im internationalen Kontext, language: English, abstract: In this essay I will examine the investor behavior during the South Sea Bubble around 1720 and the involved South Sea Company. Nearly 300 years ago at the London Stock Exchange formed an enormous speculative bubble. In the eighteenth century the trade brought exotic products, such as commodities and slaves with exorbitant profits. This benefited appropriate commercial companies like the trading company South Sea Company. Its share price exploded from 120 to 950 pounds. Trigger of the former stock market crash: The South Sea Company did not have enough cash to pay overdue dividends. Therefore, I will try to reflect the investor behaviour at that time to maintain more information about why they act like they act. Additionally, I want to give a small outlook on equity valuation the time of the South Sea Bubble. My intent is not to deliver a detailed calculation of shares, rather to investigate the valuation at that time and thus to represent the theory of the pricing relationship. Second it should demonstrate the purpose of the subscription finance and its implementation. In 1720 and the later eighteenth century subscription finance was one of the great legal and political debates. Therefore, for this article it’s important to give information about subscription shares and the historical background, before investigate the legal and political history of the South Sea Company and to give a context to the eighteen-century for subscription finance and the South Sea Company. Deducted from this information, the paper will thus investigate what kind of investor behaviour was common and it will try to answer the question if this behaviour was rational or irrational. What different investor strategies can be found in this period and during the bubble, regarding the question which explanations can be found to explain the phenomenon when market prices deviate from fundamental values. Additionally, why investors act how they act settled in an overloaded stock market. Therefore, the paper focuses on one of the most famous bubbles, that associated with the rise and fall of the South Sea Company during 1720. [...]

Can the Theory of Behavioral Finance Depict the Reality on Stock Markets and Does it Contribute to the Progression in the Capital Market Theory?

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Author :
Publisher : Grin Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783668597341
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (973 download)

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Book Synopsis Can the Theory of Behavioral Finance Depict the Reality on Stock Markets and Does it Contribute to the Progression in the Capital Market Theory? by : STEPHAN. SCHEBITZ HOPPE (CARINA ANNA.)

Download or read book Can the Theory of Behavioral Finance Depict the Reality on Stock Markets and Does it Contribute to the Progression in the Capital Market Theory? written by STEPHAN. SCHEBITZ HOPPE (CARINA ANNA.) and published by Grin Publishing. This book was released on 2018-01-16 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2015 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,7, University of Applied Sciences Essen, language: English, abstract: "The Portfolio Theory" by Harry Markowitz, the "Capital Asset Pricing Model" by William Sharpe and the concept of the "Homo Oeconomicus" of Adam Smith - all of these models that are taught to business students and referred to by financial specialists all over the world are based on the assumption of the fundamental efficiency of markets. Market analysts build their substantial economic and financial predictions on the supposition that investors and corporations always behave and decide rationally. Consequently there would not be a chance that manias, panics or crashes ever occur. Nevertheless there were various speculation bubbles in the past such as the 1929 Stock-market-crash, the Dot-com bubble starting 1997 and the US-Subprime crisis as of 2007. So stock prices show fluctuations that cannot be only elucidated by economic factors. Moreover there are studies that come to the conclusion that there is only a low correlation between share prices and fundamental data. Concomitant new research approaches deployed that either developed the existing models further or even created a complete paradigmatic change. Nowadays when it comes to explaining the occurrences on the stock markets the field of psychology and the behavioral science gain in relevance. However the following question arises: Can the theory of Behavioral Finance depict the reality on stock markets and its participants and does it make a contribution for the progression in the Capital Market Theory? Yet there are some approaches that attempted to answer this question but there is no scientific consensus about it. Hence this term paper should accomplish a concise but fundamental contribution for the contemplation of this topic.

Bubbles and Contagion in Financial Markets, Volume 1

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137358769
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles and Contagion in Financial Markets, Volume 1 by : E. Porras

Download or read book Bubbles and Contagion in Financial Markets, Volume 1 written by E. Porras and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-29 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the formation of bubbles and the contagion mechanisms afflicting financial markets is a must as extreme volatility events leave no market untouched. Debt, equity, real estate, commodities... Shanghai, NY, or London: The severe fluctuations, explained to a large extent by contagion and the fear of new bubbles imploding, justify the newly awaken interest in the contagion and bubble dynamics as yet again the world brazes for a new global economic upheaval. Bubbles and Contagion in Financial Markets explores concepts, intuition, theory, and models. Fundamental valuation, share price development in the presence of asymmetric information, the speculative behavior of noise traders and chartists, herding and the feedback and learning mechanisms that surge within the markets are key aspects of these dynamics. Bubbles and contagion are a vast world and fascinating phenomena that escape a narrow exploration of financial markets. Hence this work looks beyond into macroeconomics, monetary policy, risk aggregation, psychology, incentive structures and many more subjects which are in part co-responsible for these events. Responding to the ever more pressing need to disentangle the dynamics by which financial local events are transmitted across the globe, this volume presents an exhaustive and integrative outlook to the subject of bubbles and contagion in financial markets. The key objective of this volume is to give the reader a comprehensive understanding of all aspects that can potentially create the conditions for the formation and bursting of bubbles, and the aftermath of such events: the contagion of macro-economic processes. Achieving a better understanding of the formation of bubbles and the impact of contagion will no doubt determine the stability of future economies – let these two volumes be the starting point for a rational approach to a seemingly irrational phenomena.

Natural Computing in Computational Finance

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540959734
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Computing in Computational Finance by : Anthony Brabazon

Download or read book Natural Computing in Computational Finance written by Anthony Brabazon and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-03-13 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent years have seen the widespread application of Natural Computing algorithms (broadly defined in this context as computer algorithms whose design draws inspiration from phenomena in the natural world) for the purposes of financial modelling and optimisation. A related stream of work has also seen the application of learning mechanisms drawn from Natural Computing algorithms for the purposes of agent-based modelling in finance and economics. In this book we have collected a series of chapters which illustrate these two faces of Natural Computing. The first part of the book illustrates how algorithms inspired by the natural world can be used as problem solvers to uncover and optimise financial models. The second part of the book examines a number agent-based simulations of financial systems. This book follows on from Natural Computing in Computational Finance (Volume 100 in Springer’s Studies in Computational Intelligence series) which in turn arose from the success of EvoFIN 2007, the very first European Workshop on Evolutionary Computation in Finance & Economics held in Valencia, Spain in April 2007.

Behavioural Finance

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Publisher : Vikas Publishing House
ISBN 13 : 9325984571
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (259 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioural Finance by : Singh Shuchita & Bahi Shilpa

Download or read book Behavioural Finance written by Singh Shuchita & Bahi Shilpa and published by Vikas Publishing House. This book was released on with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theories and concepts of behavioural finance are not widely studied. In many countries, the acceptance level of behavioural theories is quite low. However, the increasing instances of various anomalies of financial markets have forced many researchers to look closer to this modern field of finance. Behavioural Finance seeks to bring together all the concepts and theories developed by renowned international and national researchers and practitioners in financial markets. An in-depth study has been made to explain the current economic downturn and the role of behavioural finance in it. KEY FEATURES • Interviews: Latest industry views by various asset-class experts • Facts: Important factual information in boxes titled 'Do You Know?' • Abbreviations: Important and relevant abbreviated terms • Model Test Papers: For practice • Summary: Given as 'Key Learning Points' for revision

Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198296980
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (969 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information by : Markus Konrad Brunnermeier

Download or read book Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information written by Markus Konrad Brunnermeier and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2001 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of information is central to the academic debate on finance. This book provides a detailed, current survey of theoretical research into the effect on stock prices of the distribution of information, comparing and contrasting major models. It examines theoretical models that explain bubbles, technical analysis, and herding behavior. It also provides rational explanations for stock market crashes. Analyzing the implications of asymmetries in information is crucial in this area. This book provides a useful survey for graduate students.

Bubbles, Crashes and Financial Disasters

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Publisher : Austin Macauley Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1035836130
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (358 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles, Crashes and Financial Disasters by : Ralph Lyons

Download or read book Bubbles, Crashes and Financial Disasters written by Ralph Lyons and published by Austin Macauley Publishers. This book was released on 2024-05-24 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Throughout history, the allure of promising opportunities has often ignited a speculative frenzy, arousing the get-rich-quick syndrome in millions of credulous souls, driving them to the extremes of ambition and greed in their quest for wealth. The symptoms of such behaviour frequently manifest during the build-up to a market crash, when months or even years of gains are wiped out in mere hours. This phenomenon is known as the ‘boom-and-bust scenario’, characterized by an economic bubble followed by a devastating crash. In this book, we delve into a number of remarkable events that have taken place between the seventeenth century and the present day, culminating in enormous financial losses for the general public or even the collapse of entire economies. The Great Crash of 1929 and some of the instances depicted from the 1980s onwards had seismic effects felt on a global scale. Today, despite living in a highly sophisticated world of economic regulation, financial manipulation, and extensive application of fiscal policy, economic bubbles still seem to burgeon from invisible beginnings, grow rapidly out of control, and then fragment into a melee of problems for modern society. While many believe that the random forces of human nature are responsible, spiralling out of control during periods of heady speculation, others share a different view. They argue that large economic bubbles are non-organic, engineered from within the system itself. This book takes a light-hearted journey through the subject matter, considering both the historical events and the intriguing possibility that financial engineering plays a role in the creation and destruction of economic bubbles.