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Boom Bust Cycles
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Book Synopsis Boom-bust Cycles and Financial Liberalization by : Aaron Tornell
Download or read book Boom-bust Cycles and Financial Liberalization written by Aaron Tornell and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysis and evidence of how the factors that give rise to boom-bust cycles in fast-growing developing economies also enhance long-run growth. The volatility that has hit many middle-income countries (MICs) after liberalizing their financial markets has prompted critics to call for new policies to stabilize these boom-bust cycles. But, as Aaron Tornell and Frank Westermann point out in this book, over the last two decades most of the developing countries that have experienced lending booms and busts have also exhibited the fastest growth among MICs. Countries with more stable credit growth, by contrast, have exhibited, on average, lower growth rates. Factors that contribute to financial fragility thus appear, paradoxically, to be a source of long-run growth as well. Tornell and Westermann analyze boom-bust cycles in the developing world and discuss how these cycles are generated by credit market imperfections. They explain why the financial liberalization that allows countries to overcome imperfections impeding rapid growth also generates the financial fragility that leads to greater volatility and occasional crises. The conceptual framework they present illustrates this linkage and allows Tornell and Westermann to address normative questions regarding liberalization policies.The authors also characterize key macroeconomic regularities observed across MICs, showing that credit markets play a key role not only in boom-bust episodes but in the strong "credit channel" observed during tranquil times. A theoretical framework is then presented that explains how credit market imperfections can account for these empirical patterns. Finally, Tornell and Westermann provide microeconomic evidence on the credit market imperfections that drive the results of the theoretical framework, finding that asymmetries between tradables and nontradables are key to understanding the patterns in MIC data.
Download or read book Boom and Bust written by William Quinn and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-08-06 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do stock and housing markets sometimes experience amazing booms followed by massive busts and why is this happening more and more frequently? In order to answer these questions, William Quinn and John D. Turner take us on a riveting ride through the history of financial bubbles, visiting, among other places, Paris and London in 1720, Latin America in the 1820s, Melbourne in the 1880s, New York in the 1920s, Tokyo in the 1980s, Silicon Valley in the 1990s and Shanghai in the 2000s. As they do so, they help us understand why bubbles happen, and why some have catastrophic economic, social and political consequences whilst others have actually benefited society. They reveal that bubbles start when investors and speculators react to new technology or political initiatives, showing that our ability to predict future bubbles will ultimately come down to being able to predict these sparks.
Download or read book Boom and Bust written by Alex J. Pollock and published by Government Institutes. This book was released on 2010-11-16 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the recent economic crisis was a painful period for many Americans, the panic surrounding the downturn was fueled by an incomplete understanding of economic history. Economic hysteria made for riveting journalism and effective political theater, but the politicians and members of the media who declared that America was in the midst of the greatest financial calamity since the Great Depression were as wrong and misguided as the expansionists of the Roosevelt era. In reality the cyclical nature of market economies is as old as the markets themselves. In a free market system, financial downturns inevitably accompany economic prosperity-but the overall trend is upward progress in living standards and national wealth. While it is helpful to understand what caused the recent crisis, the more important questions to consider are 'What makes the 'boom and bust' cycle so predictable?' and 'What are the ethical responsibilities of the citizens of a free market economy?' In Boom and Bust: Financial Cycles and Human Prosperity, Alex J. Pollock argues that while economic downturns can be frightening and difficult, people living in free market economies enjoy greater health, better access to basic necessities, better education, work less arduous jobs, and have more choices and wider horizons than people at any other point in history. This wonderful reality would not exist in the absence of financial cycles. This book explains why.
Book Synopsis Boom and Bust Banking by : David M. Beckworth
Download or read book Boom and Bust Banking written by David M. Beckworth and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploring the forceful renewal of the boom-and-bust cycle after several decades of economic stability, this book is a research-based review of the factors that caused the 2008 recession. It offers cutting-edge diagnoses of the recession and prescriptions on how to boost the economy from leading economists. The book concentrates on the Federal Reserve and its leading role in creating the economic boom and recession of the 2000s. Aimed at professional economists and readers well versed in the basic workings of the economy, it includes innovative proposals on how to avoid future boom-and-bust cycles.
Download or read book Boom Bust written by Fred Harrison and published by Shepheard-Walwyn. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Not employment or inflation as argued during the Great Depression and years of Reaganomics, the mechanism that drives the business cycle is proven to be the housing and property market in this analysis of the instability of financial markets. The consequences of how neoclassical economics ignores the importance of land are presented in a discussion of the dot-com crash. Agricultural, industrial, and commercial property and the housing market are examined to suggest that policymakers must revise their treatment of land in economic decisions to avoid the next economic crash, predicted for 2010.
Book Synopsis Crude Volatility by : Robert McNally
Download or read book Crude Volatility written by Robert McNally and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2017-01-17 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As OPEC has loosened its grip over the past ten years, the oil market has been rocked by wild price swings, the likes of which haven't been seen for eight decades. Crafting an engrossing journey from the gushing Pennsylvania oil fields of the 1860s to today's fraught and fractious Middle East, Crude Volatility explains how past periods of stability and volatility in oil prices help us understand the new boom-bust era. Oil's notorious volatility has always been considered a scourge afflicting not only the oil industry but also the broader economy and geopolitical landscape; Robert McNally makes sense of how oil became so central to our world and why it is subject to such extreme price fluctuations. Tracing a history marked by conflict, intrigue, and extreme uncertainty, McNally shows how—even from the oil industry's first years—wild and harmful price volatility prompted industry leaders and officials to undertake extraordinary efforts to stabilize oil prices by controlling production. Herculean market interventions—first, by Rockefeller's Standard Oil, then, by U.S. state regulators in partnership with major international oil companies, and, finally, by OPEC—succeeded to varying degrees in taming the beast. McNally, a veteran oil market and policy expert, explains the consequences of the ebbing of OPEC's power, debunking myths and offering recommendations—including mistakes to avoid—as we confront the unwelcome return of boom and bust oil prices.
Download or read book Boom, Bust, Boom written by Bill Carter and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2021-08-31 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A sweeping account of civilization's dependence on copper traces the industry's history, culture and economics while exploring such topics as the dangers posed to communities living near mines, its ubiquitous use in electronics and the activities of the London Metal Exchange. By the author of Fools Rush In. 30,000 first printing.
Book Synopsis The Housing Boom and Bust by : Thomas Sowell
Download or read book The Housing Boom and Bust written by Thomas Sowell and published by Basic Books (AZ). This book was released on 2009-05-12 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.
Book Synopsis Navigating the Boom/Bust Cycle by : Murray Sabrin
Download or read book Navigating the Boom/Bust Cycle written by Murray Sabrin and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2021-10-05 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Will Your Business Be Prepared When the Bubble Bursts? Sabrin’s book is a must guide for corporate executives, managers, and business owners, for any size company; and for MBA students and executives in professional education programs and seminars to assist them better manage their companies during the boom-bust cycle. The business cycle in the United States has been characterized booms and busts for decades. But how can corporate executives and their firms not just survive--but also thrive--when economic bubbles burst? And how can small business owners steer their companies during the business cycle so they too can thrive and survive. This book is designed to give them tools and strategies to do that. After that grounding in fundamentals, readers are given specific tools and strategies that entrepreneurs and executives can use to help their companies prepare for when the next bubble bursts.
Book Synopsis Bubbles, Booms, and Busts by : Donald Rapp
Download or read book Bubbles, Booms, and Busts written by Donald Rapp and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-11-14 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals at some length with the question: Since there are many more poor than rich, why don’t the poor just tax the rich heavily and reduce the inequality? In the 19th century and the first half of the 20th century, the topic of inequality was discussed widely. Ending or reducing inequality was a prime motivating factor in the emergence of communism and socialism. The book discusses why later in the 20th century, inequality has faded out as an issue. Extensive tables and graphs of data are presented showing the extent of inequality in America, as well as globally. It is shown that a combination of low taxes on capital gains contributed to a series of real estate and stock bubbles that provided great wealth to the top tiers, while real income for average workers stagnated. Improved commercial efficiency due to computers, electronics, the Internet and fast transport allowed production and distribution with fewer workers, just as the advent of electrification, mechanization, production lines, vehicles and trains in the 1920s and 1930s produced the same stagnating effect.
Book Synopsis Falling Behind? by : Michael S. Teitelbaum
Download or read book Falling Behind? written by Michael S. Teitelbaum and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-03-30 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How the fear of a shortage in American science talent fuels cycles in the technical labor market Is the United States falling behind in the global race for scientific and engineering talent? Are U.S. employers facing shortages of the skilled workers that they need to compete in a globalized world? Such claims from some employers and educators have been widely embraced by mainstream media and political leaders, and have figured prominently in recent policy debates about education, federal expenditures, tax policy, and immigration. Falling Behind? offers careful examinations of the existing evidence and of its use by those involved in these debates. These concerns are by no means a recent phenomenon. Examining historical precedent, Michael Teitelbaum highlights five episodes of alarm about "falling behind" that go back nearly seventy years to the end of World War II. In each of these episodes the political system responded by rapidly expanding the supply of scientists and engineers, but only a few years later political enthusiasm or economic demand waned. Booms turned to busts, leaving many of those who had been encouraged to pursue science and engineering careers facing disheartening career prospects. Their experiences deterred younger and equally talented students from following in their footsteps—thereby sowing the seeds of the next cycle of alarm, boom, and bust. Falling Behind? examines these repeated cycles up to the present, shedding new light on the adequacy of the science and engineering workforce for the current and future needs of the United States.
Book Synopsis Business Cycle Economics by : Todd A. Knoop
Download or read book Business Cycle Economics written by Todd A. Knoop and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2015-02-17 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents the empirical data of business cycles and the theories that economists have developed to explain and prevent them, and considers case studies of recessions and depressions in the United States and internationally. Despite more than two centuries of debate, a definitive explanation of the causes of economic cycles still does not exist. Economists, politicians, and policymakers have argued many well-known theories as to why these peaks and slumps occur, and cyclical recessions and depressions continue in spite of the enormous intellectual reserves working to prevent them. This timely analysis presents a comprehensive overview of global economics, assessing older theories alongside of new ways of thinking to reveal the empirical methods needed to evaluate, forecast, and prevent future crises. Educator and economist Todd Knoop provides explanations of influential macroeconomic theories that have shaped modern economics, such as Keynesian economics, Neoclassical economics, Austrian economics, and New Keynesian economics. In addition, he considers case studies of specific recessions and depressions, beginning with the Great Depression through the East Asian crisis and Great Recession in Japan and culminating with a detailed examination of the European debt crisis and the 2008 global financial crisis. The work concludes with a look at the insights gained from these fiscal events as well as the major questions that still remain unanswered as a result of these crises.
Book Synopsis Global Economic Boom & Bust Cycles by : Khafra Om-Ra-Seti
Download or read book Global Economic Boom & Bust Cycles written by Khafra Om-Ra-Seti and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2012-11-30 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Was the Meltdown of 2008 the first phase of the Great Depression of the 21st Century? In 2013, this global economic crisis is not over and no one knows the hour or the day when the Final Reckoning will occur! The 2008 Meltdown that culminated in the serial collapse of some of the most powerful corporations in the world, represented only the tip of the iceberg in the emergence of this epic economic bust cycle. What we are now witnessing is the greatest bubble and credit expansion in modern economic history, and when this entire system finally implodes, it will bring into existence some harsh economic and financial realities. The Meltdown of 2008 (and its aftershocks) was the initial bursting of this bubble and the first phase of the Great Depression of the 21st century. As this bust cycle continues to unfold in the wake of the 2008 collapse, the sovereign debt crisis that has a strangle hold on most of the developed world, has evolved into the epicenter of a massive credit and money supply expansion bubble that threatens to derail the entire global economic system. The sovereign debt crisis in Europe is a constant reminder of why this bust cycle may linger on for many years without resolution and a robust recovery. The narrative journey taken in this book helps the reader to better understand the following key issues:* Greece and Spain are microcosms of a much larger looming global catastrophe, and the world can learn valuable lessons by observing the failed austerity policies that are not working in their ongoing depression years. This book also takes a very close look at Japan and its long deflationary bust cycle that spans the period of over two decades. After its extraordinary boom period. Japan has been in a titanic battle to break the grip of a deep deflationary era. There are valuable lessons to be learned in Japan's economic drama. * The analysis presented provides an introduction to Om-Ra-Seti's "Grand Convergence Theory," the confluence of a diversity of economic forces destined to bring about a manifestation of creative destruction and global economic revision. * In historical and narrative form, the reader is presented with a review analysis, power and continuing nature of boom and bust cycles. * The book supports the premise that our civilization has arrived at the end of the "Age of Oil," and that governments, corporations and institutions should be actively engaged in a transition process and period of withdrawal from this depleting and environmentally destructive resource. * This publication offers unique insights and perspectives on the inevitable recovery phase that will begin after the period of global economic purgatory. The year 2012 was the pivotal turning point in this unfolding dramaGovernments and their central bankers are conducting a titanic battle to prevent contagion and collapse into deflation and global depression. We have reached a major turning point in this bust cycle where an accurate assessment and appropriate reforms are critical; inappropriate policies and short-term remedies will only produce greater failure. And there must be a total recognition by global leaders and lawmakers that unrestrained and unbridled free enterprise systems will not work in this current economic bust cycle. The longer our leaders delay in implementing the full measure of economic and depression-era reforms, the more difficult it becomes to stop what is now inevitable: Global Economic Turmoil and Collapse! At some point in this bust cycle, additional stimulus programs, massive money printing, bailouts and corporate welfare will not reverse what we will witness in the second decade of the 21st century. This book brings to light the need for strategic plans for the future in a world that has entered a great technological transition phase.
Download or read book Money Mania written by Bob Swarup and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2014-02-25 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From ancient Rome to the Great Meltdown of 2008, this account of financial crises throughout history reveals the common human foibles that drive economic booms and busts.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Boom-bust Cycles: the Role of Communication by : Rolf Knütter
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Boom-bust Cycles: the Role of Communication written by Rolf Knütter and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Boom-Bust Cycle, Asymmetrical Fiscal Response and the Dutch Disease by : Mr.Rabah Arezki
Download or read book Boom-Bust Cycle, Asymmetrical Fiscal Response and the Dutch Disease written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the behavior of expenditure policy during boom-bust in commodity price cycles, and its implication for real exchange rate movements. To do so, we introduce a Dutch disease model with downward rigidities in government spending to revenue shock. This model leads to a decoupling between real exchange rate and commodity price movement during busts. We test our model's theoretical predictions and underlying assumptions using panel data for 32 oil-producing countries over the period 1992 to 2009. Results are threefold. First, we find that change in current spending have a stronger impact on the change in real exchange rate compared to capital spending. Second, we find that current spending is downwardly sticky, but increases in boom time, and conversely for capital spending. Third, we find limited evidence that fiscal rules have helped reduce the degree of responsiveness of current spending during booms. In contrast, we find evidence that fiscal rules are associated with a significant reduction in capital expenditure during busts while responsiveness to boosts is more muted. This raises concerns about potential adverse consequences of this asymmetry on economic performance in oil-producing countries.
Download or read book Crash! written by Phillip G. Payne and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2015-12-01 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The irrationally exuberant highs and lows of the 1920s can help students recognize boom and bust cycles past, present, and future. Speculation—an economic reality for centuries—is a hallmark of the modern U.S. economy. But how does speculation work? Is it really caused, as some insist, by popular delusions and the madness of crowds, or do failed regulations play a greater part? And why is it that investors never seem to learn the lessons of past speculative bubbles? Crash! explores these questions by examining the rise and fall of the American economy in the 1920s. Phillip G. Payne frames the story of the 1929 stock market crash within the booming New Era economy of the 1920s and the bust of the Great Depression. Taking into account the emotional drivers of the consumer market, he offers a clear, concise explanation of speculation's complex role in creating one of the greatest financial panics in U. S. history. Crash! explains how postWorld War I changes in the global financial markets transformed the world economy, examines the role of boosters and politicians in promoting speculation, and describes in detail the disastrous aftermath of the 1929 panic. Payne's book will help students recognize the telltale signs of bubbles and busts, so that they may become savvier consumers and investors.
