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Assigned Risk As A Lottery With A Decision To Be Optimized
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Book Synopsis Assigned Risk as a Lottery with a Decision to be Optimized by : M. Brown
Download or read book Assigned Risk as a Lottery with a Decision to be Optimized written by M. Brown and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The assigned risk program for obtaining public liability insurance in connection with driving an automobile in California (and other places) was studied as a lottery, with a decision. A model of the lottery and a criterion for making the decision optimally were postulated. A general mathematical solution is given for the problem. This solution in nondimensional form for two distribution functions of practical numerical interest is presented. Approximate numerical results for any realistic case can be obtained readily with the help of this illustrated solution. (Author).
Book Synopsis U.S. Government Research Reports by :
Download or read book U.S. Government Research Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 1310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Risk Evaluation and Management by : V.T. Covello
Download or read book Risk Evaluation and Management written by V.T. Covello and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 543 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Public attention has focused in recent years on an array of technological risks to health, safety, and the environment. At the same time, responsibilities for technological risk as sessment, evaluation, and management have grown in both the public and private sectors because of a perceived need to anticipate, prevent, or reduce the risks inherent in modem society. In attempting to meet these responsibilities, legislative, judicial, regulatory, and private sector institutions have had to deal with the extraordinarily complex problems of assessing and balancing risks, costs, and benefits. The need to help society cope with technological risks has given rise to a new intellectual endeavor: the social and behavioral study of issues in risk evaluation and risk management. The scope and complexity of these analyses require a high degree of cooperative effort on the part of specialists from many fields. Analyzing social and behavioral issues requires the efforts of political scientists, sociologists, decision analysts, management scientists, econ omists, psychologists, philosophers, and policy analysts, among others.
Book Synopsis Decision Science and Social Risk Management by : M.W Merkhofer
Download or read book Decision Science and Social Risk Management written by M.W Merkhofer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists, decision analysts, management scientists, and others have long argued that government should take a more scientific approach to decision making. Pointing to various theories for prescribing and rational izing choices, they have maintained that social goals could be achieved more effectively and at lower costs if government decisions were routinely subjected to analysis. Now, government policy makers are putting decision science to the test. Recent government actions encourage and in some cases require government decisions to be evaluated using formally defined principles 01' rationality. Will decision science pass tbis test? The answer depends on whether analysts can quickly and successfully translate their theories into practical approaches and whether these approaches promote the solution of the complex, highly uncertain, and politically sensitive problems that are of greatest concern to government decision makers. The future of decision science, perhaps even the nation's well-being, depends on the outcome. A major difficulty for the analysts who are being called upon by government to apply decision-aiding approaches is that decision science has not yet evolved a universally accepted methodology for analyzing social decisions involving risk. Numerous approaches have been proposed, including variations of cost-benefit analysis, decision analysis, and applied social welfare theory. Each of these, however, has its limitations and deficiencies and none has a proven track record for application to govern ment decisions involving risk. Cost-benefit approaches have been exten sively applied by the government, but most applications have been for decisions that were largely risk-free.
Book Synopsis Bibliography of Scientific and Industrial Reports by :
Download or read book Bibliography of Scientific and Industrial Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1964-07 with total page 1334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Explainable Artificial Intelligence by : Luca Longo
Download or read book Explainable Artificial Intelligence written by Luca Longo and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Journal of Agricultural Economics Research by :
Download or read book The Journal of Agricultural Economics Research written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems by : Marc Maes
Download or read book Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems written by Marc Maes and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-11-17 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is an outcome of the 11th IFIP WG7.5 working conference on Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems in Canada. The conference focuses on structural reliability methods and applications and engineering risk analysis and decision-making.
Book Synopsis Organization and Decision Theory by : Ira Horowitz
Download or read book Organization and Decision Theory written by Ira Horowitz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ira Horowitz Depending upon one's perspective, the need to choose among alternatives can be an unwelcome but unavoidable responsibility, an exciting and challenging opportunity, a run-of-the-mill activity that one performs seem ingly "without thinking very much about it," or perhaps something in between. Your most recent selections from a restaurant menu, from a set of jobs or job candidates, or from a rent-or-buy or sell-or-Iease option, are cases in point. Oftentimes we are involved in group decision processes, such as the choice of a president, wherein one group member's unwelcome responsibility is another's exciting opportunity. Many of us that voted in the presidential elections of both 1956 and 1984, irrespective of political affiliation, experienced both emotions; others just pulled the lever or punched the card without thinking very much about it. Arriving at either an individual or a group decision can sometimes be a time consuming, torturous, and traumatic process that results in a long regretted choice that could have been reached right off the bat. On other occasions, the "just let's get it over with and get out of here" solution to a long-festering problem can yield rewards that are reaped for many 1 ORGANIZATION AND DECISION THEORY 2 years to come. One way or another, however, individuals and organiza tions somehow manage to get the decision-making job done, even if they don't quite understand, and often question, just how this was accomplished.
Book Synopsis Analysis for Optimal Decisions by : Derek W. Bunn
Download or read book Analysis for Optimal Decisions written by Derek W. Bunn and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1982 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Good,No Highlights,No Markup,all pages are intact, Slight Shelfwear,may have the corners slightly dented, may have slight color changes/slightly damaged spine.
Book Synopsis Improving Homeland Security Decisions by : Ali E. Abbas
Download or read book Improving Homeland Security Decisions written by Ali E. Abbas and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-11-02 with total page 787 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are we safer from terrorism today and is our homeland security money well spent? This book offers answers and more.
Book Synopsis Opportunities in Neuroscience for Future Army Applications by : National Research Council
Download or read book Opportunities in Neuroscience for Future Army Applications written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2009-07-16 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances and major investments in the field of neuroscience can enhance traditional behavioral science approaches to training, learning, and other applications of value to the Army. Neural-behavioral indicators offer new ways to evaluate how well an individual trainee has assimilated mission critical knowledge and skills, and can also be used to provide feedback on the readiness of soldiers for combat. Current methods for matching individual capabilities with the requirements for performing high-value Army assignments do not include neuropsychological, psychophysiological, neurochemical or neurogenetic components; simple neuropsychological testing could greatly improve training success rates for these assignments. Opportunities in Neuroscience for Future Army Applications makes 17 recommendations that focus on utilizing current scientific research and development initiatives to improve performance and efficiency, collaborating with pharmaceutical companies to employ neuropharmaceuticals for general sustainment or enhancement of soldier performance, and improving cognitive and behavioral performance using interdisciplinary approaches and technological investments. An essential guide for the Army, this book will also be of interest to other branches of military, national security and intelligence agencies, academic and commercial researchers, pharmaceutical companies, and others interested in applying the rapid advances in neuroscience to the performance of individual and group tasks.
Book Synopsis Decision Making in Engineering Design by : Kemper E. Lewis
Download or read book Decision Making in Engineering Design written by Kemper E. Lewis and published by American Society of Mechanical Engineers. This book was released on 2006 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether you are an engineer facing decisions in product design, an instructor or student engaged in course work, or a researcher exploring new options and opportunities, you can turn to Decision Making in Engineering Design for: Foundations and fundamentals of making decisions in product design; Clear examples of effective application of Decision-Based Design; State-of-the-art theory and practice in Decision-Based Design; Thoughtful insights on validation, uncertainty, preferences, distributed design, demand modeling, and other issues; End-of-chapter exercise problems to facilitate learning. With this advanced text, you become current with research results on DBD developed since the inception of The Open Workshop on Decision-Based Design, a project funded by the National Science Foundation.
Book Synopsis Value of Information in the Earth Sciences by : Jo Eidsvik
Download or read book Value of Information in the Earth Sciences written by Jo Eidsvik and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-11-19 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gathering the right kind and the right amount of information is crucial for any decision-making process. This book presents a unified framework for assessing the value of potential data gathering schemes by integrating spatial modelling and decision analysis, with a focus on the Earth sciences. The authors discuss the value of imperfect versus perfect information, and the value of total versus partial information, where only subsets of the data are acquired. Concepts are illustrated using a suite of quantitative tools from decision analysis, such as decision trees and influence diagrams, as well as models for continuous and discrete dependent spatial variables, including Bayesian networks, Markov random fields, Gaussian processes, and multiple-point geostatistics. Unique in scope, this book is of interest to students, researchers and industry professionals in the Earth and environmental sciences, who use applied statistics and decision analysis techniques, and particularly to those working in petroleum, mining, and environmental geoscience.
Book Synopsis Portfolio Decision Analysis by : Ahti Salo
Download or read book Portfolio Decision Analysis written by Ahti Salo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-12 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation provides an extensive, up-to-date coverage of decision analytic methods which help firms and public organizations allocate resources to 'lumpy' investment opportunities while explicitly recognizing relevant financial and non-financial evaluation criteria and the presence of alternative investment opportunities. In particular, it discusses the evolution of these methods, presents new methodological advances and illustrates their use across several application domains. The book offers a many-faceted treatment of portfolio decision analysis (PDA). Among other things, it (i) synthesizes the state-of-play in PDA, (ii) describes novel methodologies, (iii) fosters the deployment of these methodologies, and (iv) contributes to the strengthening of research on PDA. Portfolio problems are widely regarded as the single most important application context of decision analysis, and, with its extensive and unique coverage of these problems, this book is a much-needed addition to the literature. The book also presents innovative treatments of new methodological approaches and their uses in applications. The intended audience consists of practitioners and researchers who wish to gain a good understanding of portfolio decision analysis and insights into how PDA methods can be leveraged in different application contexts. The book can also be employed in courses at the post-graduate level.
Book Synopsis Wiley 11th Hour Guide for 2019 Level III CFA Exam by : Wiley
Download or read book Wiley 11th Hour Guide for 2019 Level III CFA Exam written by Wiley and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-04-02 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Wiley's 11th Hour Final Review Guide for 2019 Level III CFA Exam compacts all of the readings tested on the 2019 CFA exam into one portable volume. Organized in order, this best-selling guide has helped thousands of candidates from over one-hundred countries pass the CFA exam. Designed to boil it all down to the crucial concepts, formulas and rules, this guide ensures candidates are familiar with the most important testable information. It's difficult to go over multiple books in the last few weeks before the exam, so Wiley's 11th Hour Review Guide does the work for you—condensing each reading down to two- to five pages. Enter the exam room with confidence and reinforce your knowledge and preparation! This comprehensive guide complements Wiley's CFA Study Guides sold separately but may be used with any review course. An effective, efficient study guide, this book prepares you to reach the next level in your career. "The Eleventh Hour Review book is simply brilliant. Virtually every sentence it contains is testable—it's an absolute must-have for every Level I candidate." —Ameer, UK "The eleventh hour guide was a great help." —Konrad, South Africa "I used your eleventh hour guide and mock exams for the last bit of my studying and greatly enjoyed your material. Out of all of the exam prep material, I thought [yours] was the best." —Thomas, USA "Thanks to the team for writing the most intelligent Chartered Financial Analyst material I have seen to date. The eleventh hour guide is absolute genius and proving very valuable at this stage of the revision process." —Doug, UK
Book Synopsis Portfolio Management by : Scott D. Stewart
Download or read book Portfolio Management written by Scott D. Stewart and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-03-19 with total page 723 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A career’s worth of portfolio management knowledge in one thorough, efficient guide Portfolio Management is an authoritative guide for those who wish to manage money professionally. This invaluable resource presents effective portfolio management practices supported by their underlying theory, providing the tools and instruction required to meet investor objectives and deliver superior performance. Highlighting a practitioner’s view of portfolio management, this guide offers real-world perspective on investment processes, portfolio decision making, and the business of managing money for real clients. Real world examples and detailed test cases—supported by sophisticated Excel templates and true client situations—illustrate real investment scenarios and provide insight into the factors separating success from failure. The book is an ideal textbook for courses in advanced investments, portfolio management or applied capital markets finance. It is also a useful tool for practitioners who seek hands-on learning of advanced portfolio techniques. Managing other people’s money is a challenging and ever-evolving business. Investment professionals must keep pace with the current market environment to effectively manage their client’s assets while students require a foundation built on the most relevant, up-to-date information and techniques. This invaluable resource allows readers to: Learn and apply advanced multi-period portfolio methods to all major asset classes. Design, test, and implement investment processes. Win and keep client mandates. Grasp the theoretical foundations of major investment tools Teaching and learning aids include: Easy-to-use Excel templates with immediately accessible tools. Accessible PowerPoint slides, sample exam and quiz questions and sample syllabi Video lectures Proliferation of mathematics in economics, growing sophistication of investors, and rising competition in the industry requires advanced training of investment professionals. Portfolio Management provides expert guidance to this increasingly complex field, covering the important advancements in theory and intricacies of practice.
