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Argentinas Currency Board Collapse
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Book Synopsis Argentina's Currency Board Collapse by : Michael Bleaney
Download or read book Argentina's Currency Board Collapse written by Michael Bleaney and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two basic views can be discerned in post-mortems of Argentina's currency board: (1) that weak fiscal policy was fundamentally to blame, and (2) that the peso had become too severely overvalued for the peg to survive. This paper evaluates the evidence for these rival interpretations. The real effective exchange rate index did not indicate massive overvaluation, but this index does not capture the effects on the equilibrium rate of the 'sudden stop' in capital flows to emerging markets after 1998. It also understates the amount of adjustment required for Argentina to reach the equilibrium rate, because neighbour countries' dollar exchange rates were held up by Argentina's overvaluation, as is indicated by their depreciation in 2002. Argentina was particularly vulnerable to the sudden stop because of the extreme volatility of its portfolio inflows. Fiscal policy simulations suggest that, even with a substantially improved primary balance from 1994 onwards, loss of investor confidence would still have triggered unsustainable debt dynamics once the recession began to bite after 1998. The stagnation of output and prices in Argentina created a yawning gap between the interest rate on debt and the rate of growth of nominal GDP. Had the currency been floated in, say, 1995, the real devaluation of the peso would still have pushed up the debt/GDP ratio, but higher output would have left greater scope for addressing this by running a sizeable primary surplus. Moreover, the more gradual depreciation under floating might have allowed the economy to adjust to higher debt service payments without resort to default. The IMF has criticised itself for not pressing for tighter fiscal policy in the 1990s. A more fundamental criticism would be that it was seduced by the bipolar model into complacency about adjustment to real shocks and forgetting the teachings of optimum currency area theory.
Book Synopsis Hyperinflation, Currency Board, and Bust by : Jutta Maute
Download or read book Hyperinflation, Currency Board, and Bust written by Jutta Maute and published by Peter Lang Publishing. This book was released on 2006 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally presented as the author's thesis (doctoral)--Universiteat Hohenheim, 2006.
Book Synopsis Why Did Argentina's Currency Board Collapse? by : Francois J. Gurtner
Download or read book Why Did Argentina's Currency Board Collapse? written by Francois J. Gurtner and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper sheds light on the risks associated with currency board arrangements, referring to the severe liquidity crisis that emerged in Argentina in November 2000. The inability of the Argentinean economy to grow because of an overvalued peso and the massive borrowing needs of the government in the context of rapidly rising borrowing costs seriously undermined the credibility of the fixed-exchange rate regime. Given the widespread dollarisation of the financial sector on the liability side, Argentina had arguably little choice but to stick to the currency board. A series of measures aimed at reviving growth were implemented but with no signs of upturn in demand, increasingly distrustful international investors and growing social unrest, the country was forced into default in December 2001, putting an abrupt end to its decade long experiment with hard money. This study shows that with rigid labour markets, a lack of fiscal discipline and the absence of a natural anchor currency, Argentina was never a strong candidate for a hard peg.
Book Synopsis Living and Dying with Hard Pegs by : Augusto de la Torre
Download or read book Living and Dying with Hard Pegs written by Augusto de la Torre and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Argentine Currency Board by : Miguel Alberto Kiguel
Download or read book The Argentine Currency Board written by Miguel Alberto Kiguel and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Straining at the Anchor by : Gerardo della Paolera
Download or read book Straining at the Anchor written by Gerardo della Paolera and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The "Argentine disappointment"—why Argentina persistently failed to achieve sustained economic stability during the twentieth century—is an issue that has mystified scholars for decades. In Straining the Anchor, Gerardo della Paolera and Alan M. Taylor provide many of the missing links that help explain this important historical episode. Written chronologically, this book follows the various fluctuations of the Argentine economy from its postrevolutionary volatility to a period of unprecedented prosperity to a dramatic decline from which the country has never fully recovered. The authors examine in depth the solutions that Argentina has tried to implement such as the Caja de Conversión, the nation's first currency board which favored a strict gold-standard monetary regime, the forerunner of the convertibility plan the nation has recently adopted. With many countries now using—or seriously contemplating—monetary arrangements similar to Argentina's, this important and persuasive study maps out one of history's most interesting monetary experiments to show what works and what doesn't.
Book Synopsis Hyperinflation, Currency Board, and Bust by : Jutta Maute
Download or read book Hyperinflation, Currency Board, and Bust written by Jutta Maute and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on «Convertibilidad», the latest Argentine experience of exchange rate based stabilisation, and aims at isolating the main causes for its tragic collapse in 2001-2002. The characteristics of Argentina's high and hyperinflation during the 1980s are analysed, and the theory of currency boards is expounded. The stabilisation tool, an institutionally highly credible currency board arrangement (CBA), though highly effective, could not be an optimal long-term solution, given the country's structural and trade characteristics. The analysis of the causes of the CBA's collapse yields a complex picture of interacting factors, among them invaliding ones that had created multiple vulnerabilities over years, and triggering ones that unfolded their worst potential in meeting such vulnerable conditions.
Book Synopsis Lessons from the Crisis in Argentina by : Ms.Christina Daseking
Download or read book Lessons from the Crisis in Argentina written by Ms.Christina Daseking and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-02-10 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2001- 02, Argentina experienced one of the worst economic crises in its history. A default on government debt, which occurred against the backdrop of a prolonged recession, sent the Argentine currency and economy into a tailspin. Although the economy has since recovered from the worst, the crisis has imposed hardships on the people of Argentina, and the road back to sustained growth and stability is long. The crisis was all the more troubling in light of the fact that Argentina was widely considered a model reformer and was engaged in a succession of IMF-supported programs through much of the 1990s. This Occasional Paper examines the origins of the crisis and its evolution up to early 2002 and draws general policy lessons, both for countries’ efforts to prevent crises and for the IMF’s surveillance and use of its financial resources.
Book Synopsis Could the Collapse of the Currency Board System in Argentina Have Been Prevented? by : Olga Teresa Cardenas
Download or read book Could the Collapse of the Currency Board System in Argentina Have Been Prevented? written by Olga Teresa Cardenas and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Lender of Last Resort Function Under a Currency Board by :
Download or read book The Lender of Last Resort Function Under a Currency Board written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1996 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Crisis that was Not Prevented by : Jan Joost Teunissen
Download or read book The Crisis that was Not Prevented written by Jan Joost Teunissen and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Success and Failures of Arentina's [sic] Currency Board by : Sima Motamen-Samadian
Download or read book Success and Failures of Arentina's [sic] Currency Board written by Sima Motamen-Samadian and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Argentina and the Fund by : Michael Mussa
Download or read book Argentina and the Fund written by Michael Mussa and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2002 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The catastrophic crisis of late 2001 and early 2002 marks the tragic end to Argentina's initially successful, decade-long experiment with sound money and market-oriented economic reform. The IMF consistently Supported Argentina's stabilization and reform efforts in the decade leading up to the current crisis and often pointed to many of Argentina's policies as examples for other emerging-market economies to emulate. In this policy analysis, former IMF Chief Economist Michael Mussa addresses the obvious question: What went wrong in Argentina and what important errors did the IMF make in either supporting inappropriate policies or in failing to press for alternatives that might have avoided catastrophe? He emphasizes that the persistent inability of the Argentine authorities at all levels to run a responsible fiscal policy--even when the Argentine economy was performing very well--was the primary avoidable cause of the country's catastrophic financial collapse. The IMF failed to press aggressively for a more responsible fiscal policy. Mussa also addresses the role of the Convertibility Plan, which linked the Argentine peso rigidly at parity with the US dollar and played a central role in both the initial success and ultimate collapse of Argentina's stabilization and reform efforts. While the IMF accepted this plan as a basic policy choice of the Argentine authorities so long as it remained viable, it erred in the summer of 2001 by extending further massive support for unsustainable policies, rather than insisting on a new policy strategy that might have mitigated some of the damage from a crisis that had become unavoidable. Mussa lays out what needs to be done to restore economic andfinancial stability in Argentina and begin the process of recovery, including the proper role of the IMF and the international community. He also examines what the IMF can do to avoid repeating the types of mistakes it made in t
Book Synopsis The Lender of Last Resort Function Under a Currency Board by : Gerard Caprio
Download or read book The Lender of Last Resort Function Under a Currency Board written by Gerard Caprio and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No grand solution appears to exist for the problems that seem inevitable in the Argentine system, in which the Central Bank is both lender of last resort and currency board, providing full convertibility between pesos and U.S. dollars. Argentina's strategy therefore must turn on actively strengthening its banking systems to reduce solvency risks and on building its reserves.Within the current rules of the game, Argentina's central bank (BCRA) is charged with being the lender of last resort as well as providing full convertibility between pesos and U.S. dollars - two objectives with one instrument, namely, reserves. Within those rules, it may well be that the balance of responsibilities needs to shift. Complete dollarization can significantly reduce risks but not entirely eliminate them. If the BCRA can concentrate more on building up reserves and helping to ward off crises of confidence in the currency, perhaps the banking system can protect itself better from liquidity shocks. But this will require, among other things, consolidation of the sector (which could give it greater access to outside liquidity) and prudential strengthening of the system. Triage of weaker banks should continue and not await another crisis.More experience with the new liquidity policy is needed and so is reform of the settlement system, as it affects the functioning of the interbank market, which is essential for containing crises. Essentially, however, no grand solution seems to exist for the problems that seem inevitable in a system where the central bank is also the currency board. Argentina's strategy must therefore turn on actively strengthening its banking systems to reduce the risks of insolvency.This paper - a product of the Finance and Private Sector Development Division, Policy Research Department - is part of a larger effort in the department to advise member countries on financial sector policy.
Book Synopsis A Model of Contagious Currency Crises with Application to Argentina by : Ms.Nada Choueiri
Download or read book A Model of Contagious Currency Crises with Application to Argentina written by Ms.Nada Choueiri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-03-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a model of contagious currency crises: crises transmit across countries by raising the risk premium on government bonds. Three types of equilibria can occur: a “no-collapse” equilibrium (crises never transmit from abroad); a “collapse” equilibrium (crises are inevitably contagious); or a “fundamentals” equilibrium (crises are contagious if domestic fundamentals are weak). A calibration exercise finds that the 1995 turmoil in Argentina coexisted with a combination of risk-averse investors and weak credibility in the currency board arrangement. This turmoil could only be attributed to a Tequila effect from the Mexican crisis alone if investors were excessively risk-averse.
Book Synopsis Central Banking in Latin America by : Mr.Luis Ignacio Jácome
Download or read book Central Banking in Latin America written by Mr.Luis Ignacio Jácome and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-03-17 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a brief historical journey of central banking in Latin America to shed light on the debate about monetary policy in the post-global financial crisis period. The paper distinguishes three periods in Latin America’s central bank history: the early years, when central banks endorsed the gold standard and coped with the collapse of this monetary system; a second period, in which central banks turned into development banks under the aegis of governments at the expense of increasing inflation; and the “golden years,” when central banks succeeded in preserving price stability in an environment of political independence. The paper concludes by cautioning against overburdening central banks in Latin America with multiple mandates as this could end up undermining their hard-won monetary policy credibility.
Book Synopsis Currency Boards and Its Implications for Argentina by : Alberto F. Ades
Download or read book Currency Boards and Its Implications for Argentina written by Alberto F. Ades and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
![Download Success and Failures of Arentina's [sic] Currency Board PDF Online Free](https://books.google.com/books/content/images/frontcover/55RzAAAACAAJ?fife=w200-h370)
