Applied Decision Making

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Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331713
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Business Research for Decision Making

Author : Duane Davis
Publisher : South Western Educational Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9780534373979
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (739 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Research for Decision Making by : Duane Davis

Download or read book Business Research for Decision Making written by Duane Davis and published by South Western Educational Publishing. This book was released on 2000 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Fifth Edition reflects the ever-increasing changes in the tools and technology available today. Duane Davis teaches students and managers how to develop ways to efficiently and effectively plan, collect, organize, and assimilate information to make informed business decisions. This book covers the fundamentals of conducting research as well as the recent advancements in the field of business research such as the use of the Internet, qualitative research, and modern analytical tools (SPSS and Excel). The new edition is available packaged with the SPSS Student Version Software.

Applied Decision-Making

Author : Mauricio A. Sanchez
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030179850
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Decision-Making by : Mauricio A. Sanchez

Download or read book Applied Decision-Making written by Mauricio A. Sanchez and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-05-18 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gathers a collection of the latest research, applications, and proposals, introducing readers to innovations and concepts from diverse environments and systems. As such, it will provide students and professionals alike with not only cutting-edge information, but also new inspirations and potential research directions. Each chapter focuses on a specific aspect of applied decision making, e.g. in complex systems, computational intelligence, security, and ubiquitous computing.

Naive Decision Making

Author : T. W. Körner
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139473565
Total Pages : 375 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Naive Decision Making by : T. W. Körner

Download or read book Naive Decision Making written by T. W. Körner and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-10-16 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should one choose the best restaurant to eat in? Can one really make money at gambling? Or predict the future? Naive Decision Making presents the mathematical basis for making decisions where the outcome may be uncertain or the interests of others have to taken into consideration. Professor Körner takes the reader on an enjoyable journey through many aspects of mathematical decision making, with pithy observations, anecdotes and quotations. Topics include probability, statistics, Arrow's theorem, Game Theory and Nash equilibrium. Readers will also gain a great deal of insight into mathematics in general and the role it can play within society. Intended for those with elementary calculus, this book is ideal as a supplementary text for undergraduate courses in probability, game theory and decision making. Engaging and intriguing, it will also appeal to all those of a mathematical mind. To aid understanding, many exercises are included, with solutions available online.

Applied Ethics and Decision Making in Mental Health

Author : Michael Moyer
Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 1506346537
Total Pages : 649 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (63 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Ethics and Decision Making in Mental Health by : Michael Moyer

Download or read book Applied Ethics and Decision Making in Mental Health written by Michael Moyer and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2016-06-22 with total page 649 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applied Ethics and Decision Making in Mental Health covers ACA, APA, and AAMFT codes of ethics in an easy-to-read format that applies ethical standards to real-life scenarios. Authors Michael Moyer and Charles Crews not only focus on the various aspects of legal issues and codes of ethics, but also include ethical decision making models and exploration into the philosophy behind ethical decision making. By challenging readers to understand their own morals, values, and beliefs, this in-depth guide encourages critical thinking, real world application, and classroom discussion using case illustrations, exercises, and examples of real dialogue in every chapter.

Applied Decision-making in Civil Engineering

Author : Oliver Kübler
Publisher : vdf Hochschulverlag AG
ISBN 13 : 3728131474
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Decision-making in Civil Engineering by : Oliver Kübler

Download or read book Applied Decision-making in Civil Engineering written by Oliver Kübler and published by vdf Hochschulverlag AG. This book was released on 2007 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fuzzy Logic for Planning and Decision Making

Author : Freerk A. Lootsma
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 147572618X
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Fuzzy Logic for Planning and Decision Making by : Freerk A. Lootsma

Download or read book Fuzzy Logic for Planning and Decision Making written by Freerk A. Lootsma and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book starts with the basic concepts of Fuzzy Logic: the membership function, the intersection and the union of fuzzy sets, fuzzy numbers, and the extension principle underlying the algorithmic operations. Several chapters are devoted to applications of Fuzzy Logic in Operations Research: PERT planning with uncertain activity durations, Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) with vague preferential statements, and Multi-Objective Optimization (MOO) with weighted degrees of satisfaction. New items are: Fuzzy PERT using activity durations with triangular membership functions, Fuzzy SMART with a sensitivity analysis based upon Fuzzy Logic, the Additive and the Multiplicative AHP with a similar feature, ELECTRE using the ideas of the AHP and SMART, and a comparative study of the ideal-point methods for MOO. Finally, earlier studies of colour perception illustrate the attempts to find a physiological basis for the set-theoretical and the algorithmic operations in Fuzzy Logic. The last chapter also discusses some key issues in linguistic categorization and the prospects of Fuzzy Logic as a multi-disciplinary research activity. Audience: Researchers and students working in applied mathematics, operations research, management science, business administration, econometrics, industrial engineering, information systems, artificial intelligence, mathematical psychology, and psycho-physics.

Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods

Author : Evangelos Triantaphyllou
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475731574
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods by : Evangelos Triantaphyllou

Download or read book Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods written by Evangelos Triantaphyllou and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) has been one of the fastest growing problem areas in many disciplines. The central problem is how to evaluate a set of alternatives in terms of a number of criteria. Although this problem is very relevant in practice, there are few methods available and their quality is hard to determine. Thus, the question `Which is the best method for a given problem?' has become one of the most important and challenging ones. This is exactly what this book has as its focus and why it is important. The author extensively compares, both theoretically and empirically, real-life MCDM issues and makes the reader aware of quite a number of surprising `abnormalities' with some of these methods. What makes this book so valuable and different is that even though the analyses are rigorous, the results can be understood even by the non-specialist. Audience: Researchers, practitioners, and students; it can be used as a textbook for senior undergraduate or graduate courses in business and engineering.

Forward-Looking Decision Making

Author : Robert E. Hall
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400835267
Total Pages : 152 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Forward-Looking Decision Making by : Robert E. Hall

Download or read book Forward-Looking Decision Making written by Robert E. Hall and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-08 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Individuals and families make key decisions that impact many aspects of financial stability and determine the future of the economy. These decisions involve balancing current sacrifice against future benefits. People have to decide how much to invest in health care, exercise, their diet, and insurance. They must decide how much debt to take on, and how much to save. And they make choices about jobs that determine employment and unemployment levels. Forward-Looking Decision Making is about modeling this individual or family-based decision making using an optimizing dynamic programming model. Robert Hall first reviews ideas about dynamic programs and introduces new ideas about numerical solutions and the representation of solved models as Markov processes. He surveys recent research on the parameters of preferences--the intertemporal elasticity of substitution, the Frisch elasticity of labor supply, and the Frisch cross-elasticity. He then examines dynamic programming models applied to health spending, long-term care insurance, employment, entrepreneurial risk-taking, and consumer debt. Linking theory with data and applying them to real-world problems, Forward-Looking Decision Making uses dynamic optimization programming models to shed light on individual behaviors and their economic implications.

Strategic Decision Making

Author : Navneet Bhushan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1852338644
Total Pages : 175 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (523 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Decision Making by : Navneet Bhushan

Download or read book Strategic Decision Making written by Navneet Bhushan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-28 with total page 175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Strategic Decision Making provides an effective, formal methodology that provides help with decision making problems, especially strategic ones with high stakes involving human perceptions and judgements. Focusing on applying the AHP to decision-making problems, Strategic Decision Making covers problems in the realms of business, defence and governance. Using case studies drawn from years of experience, the book discusses decision making for real life problems and includes many worked examples and solutions to problems throughout. The reader will gain comprehensive exposure to the extent of assistance that a formal methodology, such as AHP, can provide to the decision maker in evolving decisions in complex and varied domains.

Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior

Author : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309523893
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior by : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations

Download or read book Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior written by Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-08-14 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulations are widely used in the military for training personnel, analyzing proposed equipment, and rehearsing missions, and these simulations need realistic models of human behavior. This book draws together a wide variety of theoretical and applied research in human behavior modeling that can be considered for use in those simulations. It covers behavior at the individual, unit, and command level. At the individual soldier level, the topics covered include attention, learning, memory, decisionmaking, perception, situation awareness, and planning. At the unit level, the focus is on command and control. The book provides short-, medium-, and long-term goals for research and development of more realistic models of human behavior.

Human Judgment and Decision Processes in Applied Settings

Author : Martin F. Kaplan
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483261107
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Human Judgment and Decision Processes in Applied Settings by : Martin F. Kaplan

Download or read book Human Judgment and Decision Processes in Applied Settings written by Martin F. Kaplan and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human Judgment and Decision Processes in Applied Settings is the second to two volumes that attempt to define the areas of progress in the understanding of human decision making processes. The first volume, Human Judgment and Decision Processes (Academic Press, 1975) was concerned with formal and mathematical approaches to the problems of judgment and decision making. The major theoretical orientations (information integration theory, signal detection theory, portfolio theory, and multiattribute-utility measurement) were presented and their rationales discussed. The present volume is concerned with the application of these theories, and the various techniques derived from them, to the problems of decision making in the everyday world. The chapters reflect the many modifications and adjustments that must be made to mathematical rules in order to apply decision theory models in the real world. The tools described serve a broad variety of interests: those of the urban health or social planner, the organizational manager, the researcher, the educator, and, in fact, all of those who must weight evidence to reach decisions. Planner, manager, researcher, teacher, policymaker—all will find assistance in overcoming the commonly encountered roadblocks when one must choose between alternatives in what remains an uncertain world.

Applied Intelligent Decision Making in Machine Learning

Author : Himansu Das
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000208540
Total Pages : 263 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Intelligent Decision Making in Machine Learning by : Himansu Das

Download or read book Applied Intelligent Decision Making in Machine Learning written by Himansu Das and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-11-18 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this edited book is to share the outcomes from various research domains to develop efficient, adaptive, and intelligent models to handle the challenges related to decision making. It incorporates the advances in machine intelligent techniques such as data streaming, classification, clustering, pattern matching, feature selection, and deep learning in the decision-making process for several diversified applications such as agriculture, character recognition, landslide susceptibility, recommendation systems, forecasting air quality, healthcare, exchange rate prediction, and image dehazing. It also provides a premier interdisciplinary platform for scientists, researchers, practitioners, and educators to share their thoughts in the context of recent innovations, trends, developments, practical challenges, and advancements in the field of data mining, machine learning, soft computing, and decision science. It also focuses on the usefulness of applied intelligent techniques in the decision-making process in several aspects. To address these objectives, this edited book includes a dozen chapters contributed by authors from around the globe. The authors attempt to solve these complex problems using several intelligent machine-learning techniques. This allows researchers to understand the mechanism needed to harness the decision-making process using machine-learning techniques for their own respective endeavors.

Real-world Data Mining

Author : Dursun Delen
Publisher : Pearson Education
ISBN 13 : 0133551075
Total Pages : 289 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (335 download)

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Book Synopsis Real-world Data Mining by : Dursun Delen

Download or read book Real-world Data Mining written by Dursun Delen and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2015 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As business becomes increasingly complex and global, decision-makers must act more rapidly and accurately, based on the best available evidence. Modern data mining and analytics is indispensable for doing this. Real-World Data Mining demystifies current best practices, showing how to use data mining and analytics to uncover hidden patterns and correlations, and leverage these to improve all business decision-making. Drawing on extensive experience as a researcher, practitioner, and instructor, Dr. Dursun Delen delivers an optimal balance of concepts, techniques and applications. Without compromising either simplicity or clarity, Delen provides enough technical depth to help readers truly understand how data mining technologies work. Coverage includes: data mining processes, methods, and techniques; the role and management of data; tools and metrics; text and web mining; sentiment analysis; and integration with cutting-edge Big Data approaches. Throughout, Delen's conceptual coverage is complemented with application case studies (examples of both successes and failures), as well as simple, hands-on tutorials.

Applied Decision Analysis

Author : Francisco Javier Girón
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401707596
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Decision Analysis by : Francisco Javier Girón

Download or read book Applied Decision Analysis written by Francisco Javier Girón and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Taking advantage of the many specialists visiting Spain prior to the INFORMS Meeting in Barcelona, hold from July 14th to July 17th 1997, we organized a work shop on Decision Analysis Applications at the Real Academia de Ciencias, Madrid, Spain, from J uly 11th to 12th 1997, under the sponsorship of de the Instituto Espaiia. This workshop had a precedent in the International Conference Decision Making: Towards the 21st Century also held at the Real Academia de Ciencias in 1993. The idea of organizing an event, this time devoted to applications of Decision Analysis, was due to Prof. Sixto Rfos, who some four years ago, .sponsored and encouraged by the Royal Academy of Sciences, was the creator of an Interdisciplinary Working Group on Decision Analysis -formed with researchers from within and outside this Academy- which has been active since then, organizing periodical meetings, and whose last project has tumed out into this Workshop. The workshop turned out to be an stimulating opportunity for communicating and discussing the enormous variety of applications of Decision Sciences. In this volume we have included most of the invited papers and a selection of refereed contributed papers. Due to the varied nature of the applications, we have grouped them into five groups ending, as way of an epilog, with a paper by Sarin which contains important insights and reftections on the nature of Decision Analysis in public and private sectors.

Human Judgement and Decision Processes

Author : Martin F. Kaplan
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483288722
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Human Judgement and Decision Processes by : Martin F. Kaplan

Download or read book Human Judgement and Decision Processes written by Martin F. Kaplan and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human Judgment and Decision Processes is a collection of papers that covers the various theoretical frameworks that relate judgment to decision making. The book is comprised of 10 chapters that cover both mathematical models involved in decision making and interpersonal aspect of judgment process. The first five chapters cover papers about decision making. The subjects of the papers include multiattribute utility measurement for social decision making; portfolio theory and the measurement of risk; and information-integration analysis of risky decision making. The other half of the text deals with the judgment process, which includes topics such as interaction of judge and informational components; judgment and decision processes in the formation and change of social attitudes; and the role of probabilistic and syllogistic reasoning in cognitive organization and social inference. The book will be of great use to psychologists involved in research on human judgment and decision process.

Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

Author : George K. Chacko
Publisher : Praeger
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision-Making Under Uncertainty by : George K. Chacko

Download or read book Decision-Making Under Uncertainty written by George K. Chacko and published by Praeger. This book was released on 1991 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In real-life decision-making situations it is necessary to make decisions with incomplete information, for oftentimes uncertain results. In Decision-Making Under Uncertainty, Dr. Chacko applies his years of statistical research and experience to the analysis of twenty-four real-life decision-making situations, both those with few data points (eg: Cuban Missile Crisis), and many data points (eg: aspirin for heart attack prevention). These situations encompass decision-making in a variety of business, social and political, physical and biological, and military environments. Though different, all of these have one characteristic in common: their outcomes are uncertain/unkown, and unknowable. Chacko Demonstrates how the decision-maker can reduce uncertainty by choosing probable outcomes using the statistical methods he introduces. This detailed volume develops standard statistical concepts (t, x2, normal distribution, ANOVA), and the less familiar concepts (logical probability, subjective probability, Bayesian Inference, Penalty for Non-Fulfillment, Bluff-Threats Matrix, etc.). Chacko also offers a thorough discussion of the underlying theoretical principles. The end of each chapter contains a set of questions, three quarters of which focus on concepts, formulation, conclusion, resource commitments, and caveats; only one quarter with computations. Ideal for the practitioner, the work is also designed to serve as the primary text for graduate or advanced undergraduate courses in statistics and decision science.