Anticipating a Nuclear Iran

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Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231166222
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (311 download)

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Book Synopsis Anticipating a Nuclear Iran by : Jacquelyn K. Davis

Download or read book Anticipating a Nuclear Iran written by Jacquelyn K. Davis and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2013-12-31 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume assumes the worst: a defensive, aggressive Iran already possesses a nuclear arsenal. How should the United States handle this threat, and can it deter the use of such weapons? Through three scenario models, this study explores the political, strategic, and operational challenges facing the United States in a post–Cold War world. The authors concentrate on the type of nuclear capability Iran might develop; the conditions under which Iran might resort to threatened or actual weapons use; the extent to which Iran’s military strategy and declaratory policy might embolden Iran and its proxies to pursue more aggressive policies in the region and vis-à-vis the United States; and Iran’s ability to transfer nuclear materials to others within and outside the region, possibly sparking a nuclear cascade. Drawing on recent post–Cold War deterrence theory, the authors consider Iran’s nuclear ambitions as they relate to its foreign policy objectives, domestic politics, and role in the Islamic world, and they suggest specific approaches to improve U.S. defense and deterrence planning.

Anticipating a Nuclear Iran

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Author :
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231535945
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Anticipating a Nuclear Iran by : Jacquelyn K. Davis

Download or read book Anticipating a Nuclear Iran written by Jacquelyn K. Davis and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2013-12-17 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is based on the assumption that Iran will soon obtain nuclear weapons, and Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr. develop alternative models for assessing the challenges of a nuclear Iran for U.S. security. Through three scenario models, the book explores the political, strategic, and operational challenges facing the United States in a post–Cold War world. The authors concentrate on the type of nuclear capability Iran might develop; the conditions under which Iran might resort to threatened or actual weapons use; the extent to which Iran's military strategy and declaratory policy might embolden Iran and its proxies to pursue more aggressive policies in the region and vis-à-vis the United States; and Iran's ability to transfer nuclear materials to others within and outside the region, possibly sparking a nuclear cascade. Drawing on recent post–Cold War deterrence theory, the authors consider Iran's nuclear ambitions as they relate to its foreign policy objectives, domestic politics, and role in the Islamic world, and they suggest specific approaches to improve U.S. defense and deterrence planning.

Getting Ready for a Nuclear-ready Iran

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Getting Ready for a Nuclear-ready Iran by : Henry D. Sokolski

Download or read book Getting Ready for a Nuclear-ready Iran written by Henry D. Sokolski and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Iran's Nuclear Program

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Author :
Publisher : Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
ISBN 13 : 9948008480
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (48 download)

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Book Synopsis Iran's Nuclear Program by : The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research

Download or read book Iran's Nuclear Program written by The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research and published by Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research. This book was released on 2017-10-02 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International suspicion surrounding Iran's nuclear activities was first aroused in the late 1980s and early 1990s. However, it was not until the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) launched an intensive investigation into the Iranian nuclear program in 2002, that it was revealed that Iran had enriched uranium and separated plutonium in undeclared facilities in the absence of IAEA safeguards. In January 2006, Iran began to ignore limitations on nuclear fuel cycle activities yet again, in defiance of the broad opinion of the international community and despite both offers of assistance and the threat of sanctions. To discuss the issue of Iran's nuclear program and its possible future repercussions on regional and global security, the Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research (ECSSR) hosted a symposium entitled Iran's Nuclear Program: Realities and Repercussions, in Abu Dhabi on February 26, 2006. Visiting experts were invited to share their views on the Iranian nuclear program, its likely development and the extent to which the potential threat of nuclear weapons could destabilize the Arabian Gulf and the broader Middle East region. This volume represents a valuable collection of these expert views, covering Iran's current nuclear capability and its potential to develop atomic weapons; the changes and developments in Iran's nuclear program since the 2005 Iranian presidential elections; Israeli foreign policy in relation to Iran; the possible impact that an Iranian nuclear program could have on the security of the GCC; and the prospect of military action against Iran.

Predicting Iran's Nuclear Policy

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 113 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Iran's Nuclear Policy by : Matthew Howell

Download or read book Predicting Iran's Nuclear Policy written by Matthew Howell and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Reassessing the implications of a nuclear-armed Iran

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Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1428982493
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (289 download)

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Book Synopsis Reassessing the implications of a nuclear-armed Iran by : Judith S. Yaphe

Download or read book Reassessing the implications of a nuclear-armed Iran written by Judith S. Yaphe and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2005 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph reexamines the strategic implications for the United States in the event Iran moves ahead to acquire nuclear weapons capability. This study draws on expert workshops held in the Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS) at the National Defense University (NDU) in January and February 2005, as well as meetings, interviews, and research conducted at NDU and elsewhere over the past several years. Chapters are as follows: "Iran's Perspective: National Rights and Nuclear Weapons," "Neighbors, Negotiators, and Nonproliferators," and "U.S. Policy Options." Appendixes include "Timeline of Iran's Path to Nuclear Weapons," "Iran's Nuclear Program: Status, Risks, and Prospects," and "Walking the Tightrope: Israeli Options in Response to Iranian Nuclear Developments."

A Time to Attack

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Publisher : St. Martin's Press
ISBN 13 : 1137464151
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (374 download)

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Book Synopsis A Time to Attack by : Matthew Kroenig

Download or read book A Time to Attack written by Matthew Kroenig and published by St. Martin's Press. This book was released on 2014-05-13 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Iran's advanced nuclear program may be the world's most important emerging international security challenge. If not stopped, a nuclear-capable Iran will mean an even more crisis-prone Middle East, a potential nuclear-arms race in the region and around the world, and an increased risk of nuclear war against Israel and the United States, among many other imminent global threats. Matthew Kroenig, internationally recognized as one of the world's leading authorities on Iran's nuclear program, explains why we need to take immediate steps to a diplomatic and, if necessary, a military solution - now - before Iran makes any further nuclear advances. A Time to Attack provides an authoritative account of the history of Iran's nuclear program and the international community's attempts to stop it. Kroenig explains and assesses the options available to policymakers, and reflects on what the resolution of the Iranian nuclear challenge will mean for the future of international order. This dramatic call to action provides an insider's account of what is being said in Washington about what our next move must be as the crisis continues to develop.

Containing Iran

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Author :
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833076353
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Containing Iran by : Robert J. Reardon

Download or read book Containing Iran written by Robert J. Reardon and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2012-09-27 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Iran's nuclear program is one of this century's principal foreign policy challenges. Despite U.S., Israeli, and allied efforts, Iran has an extensive enrichment program and likely has the technical capacity to produce at least one nuclear bomb if it so chose. This study assesses U.S. policy options, identifies a way forward, and considers how the United States might best mitigate the negative international effects of a nuclear-armed Iran.

Iran's Nuclear Future

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Author :
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 083305306X
Total Pages : 155 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Iran's Nuclear Future by : Lynn E Davis

Download or read book Iran's Nuclear Future written by Lynn E Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2011-05 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As Iran?'s nuclear program evolves, U.S. decisionmakers will confront a series of critical policy choices involving complex considerations and policy trade-offs. These policy choices could involve dissuading Iran from developing nuclear weapons; deterring Iran from using its nuclear weapons, if it were to acquire them; and reassuring U.S. regional partners. The U.S. Air Force will need to prepare to carry out whatever policies are chosen.

Dangerous But Not Omnipotent

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Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833045547
Total Pages : 233 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Dangerous But Not Omnipotent by : Frederic M. Wehrey

Download or read book Dangerous But Not Omnipotent written by Frederic M. Wehrey and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2009 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Within this context, this report aims to provide policy planners with a new framework for anticipating and preparing for the strategic challenges Iran will present over the next ten to fifteen years. In an analysis grounded in the observation that although Iranian power projection is marked by strengths, it also has serious liabilities and limitations, this report assesses four critical areas - the Iranian regime's perception of itself as a regional and even global power, Iran's conventional military buildup and aspirations for asymmetric warfare, its support to Islamist militant groups, and its appeal to Arab public opinion. Based on this assessment, the report offers a new U.S. policy paradigm that seeks to manage the challenges Iran presents through the exploitation of regional barriers to its power and sources of caution in the regime's strategic calculus."--BOOK JACKET.

Israel and a Nuclear Iran

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Israel and a Nuclear Iran by : Ephraim Kam

Download or read book Israel and a Nuclear Iran written by Ephraim Kam and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Countdown to Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : Three Rivers Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Countdown to Crisis by : Kenneth R. Timmerman

Download or read book Countdown to Crisis written by Kenneth R. Timmerman and published by Three Rivers Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines the growing national security threat involving the nuclear capabilities of Iran, providing an exposé of the intelligence blunders and foreign policy decisions that have increased the threat.

Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781463504083
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions by : Henry Sokolski

Download or read book Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions written by Henry Sokolski and published by . This book was released on 2004-01-30 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Considering the latest Iranian nuclear developments, one might question whether a study now on how best to restrain Tehran is simply one that's come too late. To be sure, estimates vary as to when Iran could build its first bomb. Some believe Tehran could do it before the end of 2005; others think Iran would only be able to do so by the end of the decade. In either case, though, the die seems cast: If Iran wants, it has all that it needs eventually to build a bomb on its own. Certainly, trying to deny Iran further nuclear technology in the hopes that this will prevent it from getting nuclear weapons is no longer a credible strategy. The questions this edited volume addresses are whether or not any strategy can prevent Iran from going nuclear, what the proper goals of such a strategy might be (deterring use, keeping Tehran from deploying weapons, getting it to dismantle its nuclear program, etc.), and what other nonproliferation goals ought to be attempted (including trying to dissuade other nations from following Iran's example). The answers this volume offers are: 1) in the long-run Iran will gain little from going nuclear, and 2) much can be gained by enforcing the nonproliferation rules Iran agreed to and spelling out the costs to Iran of its continuing acquisition of nuclear weapons-related capabilities. The book's seven chapters were commissioned as the first of a two-part Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC) project on Iran supported by the Smith Richardson Foundation and the Offi ce of Net Assessment within the Department of Defense. The project's interim conclusions and policy recommendations are contained in this book's first chapter, "Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions." The key point made here is that whatever is done to keep Iran from proceeding with its nuclear program should be done with a eye toward deterring other states, including Iran's neighbors, from following Tehran's example of using the NPT and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to get within weeks of having a large arsenal of nuclear weapons. The details of just how Iran has been able to do this are spelled out in the book's second chapter, "Iran's 'Legal' Paths to the Bomb," by former U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commissioner Victor Gilinsky. In this chapter, Mr. Gilinsky details how Iran can use Bushehr and its "civilian" uranium enrichment program to come within weeks of having dozens of bombs even while being intrusively inspected by the IAEA. Would Iran ever actually deploy nuclear weapons though? Much depends on one's read of just how long-lived and truculent the current regime is. These issues are taken up in the volume's next two chapters. In "Iran's Internal Struggles," Genieve Abdo, an internationally recognized observer of Iranian politics, argues that the revolutionary government is unlikely to be overthrown anytime soon and that it will persist in its hostile foreign policies. Rob Sobhani, a leading American-Iranian commentator, however, argues that with sufficient U.S. support of the right sort, the current government in Iran could give way to a far more liberal and peaceable regime. But what is the "right" kind of support? Abbas William Samii, Radio Free Europe's Iranian broadcast analyst, explores this question in chapter 5, "Winning Iranian Hearts and Minds." Although Mr. Samii does not rule out speedy regime change, he warns that it is not likely and that for that reason, the United States needs to have a long-term outreach program that will encourage a more favorable opinion of the United States among the general Iranian population.

Containing Iran

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Author :
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 083307637X
Total Pages : 207 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Containing Iran by : Robert J. Reardon

Download or read book Containing Iran written by Robert J. Reardon and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2012-09-27 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Iran's nuclear program is one of this century's principal foreign policy challenges. Despite U.S., Israeli, and allied efforts, Iran has an extensive enrichment program and likely has the technical capacity to produce at least one nuclear bomb if it so chose. This study assesses U.S. policy options, identifies a way forward, and considers how the United States might best mitigate the negative international effects of a nuclear-armed Iran.

Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781463500566
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran by : Henry Sokolski

Download or read book Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran written by Henry Sokolski and published by . This book was released on 2005-10-31 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Little more than a year ago, the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC) completed its initial analysis of Iran's nuclear program, Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions. Since then, Tehran's nuclear activities and public diplomacy have only affirmed what this analysis first suggested: Iran is not about to give up its effort to make nuclear fuel and, thereby, come within days of acquiring a nuclear bomb. Iran's continued pursuit of uranium enrichment and plutonium recycling puts a premium on asking what a more confident nuclear-ready Iran might confront us with and what we might do now to hedge against these threats. These questions are the focus of this volume. The book is divided into four parts. The first presents the findings of the NPEC's working group on Iran. It reflects interviews with government officials and outside specialists and the work of some 20 regional security experts whom NPEC convened in Washington to discuss the commissioned research that is contained in this book. Some of this report's findings to keep Iran and others from overtly deploying nuclear weapons or leaving the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) are beginning to gain official support. The U.S. Government, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and an increasing number of allies now support the idea that states that violate the NPT be held accountable for their transgressions, even if they should withdraw from the treaty. There also has been increased internal governmental discussion about the need to clarify what should be permitted under the rubric of "peaceful" nuclear energy as delineated under the NPT. The remaining report recommendations, which were presented in testimony before Congress in March of 2005, remain to be acted upon. Whether they will or will not, of course, depends greatly on how public officials view the Iranian nuclear threat. This, then, brings us to the book's second part, "Tehran's Nuclear Endeavors: What's the Worry?" Richard Russell starts off this section by detailing how Iran's neighbors are likely to hedge their own security bets as Tehran goes literally more and more nuclear and ballistic. Critical to what these nations might do is just how nuclear-capable they are themselves. This is detailed by Wyn Bowen and Joanna Kidd in their chapter, "The Nuclear Capabilities and Ambitions of Iran's Neighbors." In it, we learn just how close Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Syria, and Iraq are to acquiring nuclear weapons of their own. The special case of Turkey, a full-fledged North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) ally, is addressed in greater detail in Ian Lesser's chapter, "Turkey, Iran and Nuclear Risks." The good news here is that if the European Union and the United States provide proper support on both security and economic fronts, Turkey is unlikely to go its own way. The bigger picture of what might transpire after Iran overtly goes nuclear, though, is sure to be grim. Kenneth Timmerman spells out the increased prospects for war and much more violent terrorism in his chapter, "The Day After Iran Gets the Bomb." What can be done? The two popular policy options-military strikes against Iran's known nuclear facilities and imposing economic sanctions against Tehran-are analyzed in the book's third part, "Is There A Simple Military or Sanctions Fix?" Shlomo Brom, a retired Israeli general, explains why, although it would be extremely popular in Israel to attempt another Osiraq-like raid against Iran's known facilities, the operational prospects for success are not very high. What of having the United States assume this mission? Thomas Donnelly, a staunch supporter of the invasion of Iraq, explains how launching a limited raid against Iran's nuclear facilities could jeopardize the larger American campaign to liberalize and moderate the Middle East.

Iran's Nuclear Ambitions

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Iran's Nuclear Ambitions by : Shahram Chubin

Download or read book Iran's Nuclear Ambitions written by Shahram Chubin and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a look into the motivations, perceptions, and domestic politics swirling around Iran. This book details the history of Iran's nuclear program and diplomacy.

Showdown with Nuclear Iran

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Author :
Publisher : Thomas Nelson
ISBN 13 : 1418551856
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Showdown with Nuclear Iran by : Michael D. Evans

Download or read book Showdown with Nuclear Iran written by Michael D. Evans and published by Thomas Nelson. This book was released on 2009-07-20 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is the world ready for nuclear Jihad? Showdown with Nuclear Iran is a gripping and detailed exposé of Iran's relentless pursuit of atomic weapons and its apocalyptic goal of wiping Israel off the face of the earth. Michael D. Evans, who has been working in the Middle East for the last three decades, cuts through the official lies an ddeceptions of the Iranian government and reveals in terrifying detail: how close the radical Islamic republic is to fulfilling its nuclear ambitions how Iran's president believes he has a divine mission to destroy Israel and cripple the United States in a nuclear holocaust and what America must do to avert this global disaster With the Middle East poised at the brink, Showdown with Nuclear Iran provides much-needed perspective on the current crisis and the dire threat that a nuclear Iran poses to the existence of Israel and global stability. "The most detailed account of the Iranian regime's determination, policy, and plan to acquire military nuclear capabilities. Mike Evans delves into the roots of the Iranian revolution and explores Iranian history to better understand a major challenge to the western world. he compellingly analyzes policy options for confronting this threat." ?Lt. Gen. Moshe Ya'Alon, red., former Chief of Staff, Israeli Defense Force