Analysts' Dividend Forecasts, Portfolio Selection, and Market Risk Premia

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysts' Dividend Forecasts, Portfolio Selection, and Market Risk Premia by : Franziska Becker

Download or read book Analysts' Dividend Forecasts, Portfolio Selection, and Market Risk Premia written by Franziska Becker and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most relevant practical impediment to an application of the Markowitz portfolio selection approach is the problem of estimating return moments, in particular return expectations. We analyze the consequences of using return estimates implied by analysts' dividend forecasts under the explicit notion of taxes and non-flat term structures of interest rates and achieve quite good performance results. As a by-product, these results cast some doubt upon the adequacy of estimating market risk premia with implied returns, because estimation techniques with good performance results are hardly suited to describe market expectations.

Dividend Risk and the Cross-Section of Equity Risk Premia

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Dividend Risk and the Cross-Section of Equity Risk Premia by : Antonio Picca

Download or read book Dividend Risk and the Cross-Section of Equity Risk Premia written by Antonio Picca and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide the first description of the cross-section of risk premia on short-maturity dividend claims. My data on risk premia for cash flows at a specific horizon (one to two years) provide a more tractable setting for understanding the differences in asset pricing across firms compared to standard equity returns, which mixes risk premia for cash flows at infinitely many maturities. The first empirical fact that emerges is a strong positive association between dividend risk and risk premia for short maturity claims. This contrasts with well-known "low risk" anomalies for standard equity. Specifically, I find that firms with high dividend volatility have (i) higher risk premia, (ii) a strongly pro-cyclical slope in their term structure of risk premia, and (iii) an inverse risk-return relation in realized stock returns. Lastly, I develop an asset-pricing model with heterogeneity in dividend volatility and time-varying market price of risk that explains my empirical results.

Operations Research Proceedings 2007

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540779035
Total Pages : 494 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Operations Research Proceedings 2007 by : Jörg Kalcsics

Download or read book Operations Research Proceedings 2007 written by Jörg Kalcsics and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-03-20 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The symposium Operations Research 2007 was held from September 5-7, 2007 at the Saarland University in Saarbru ̈cken. This international conference is at the same time the annual meeting of the German - erations Research Society (GOR). The transition in Germany (and many other countries in Europe) from a production orientation to a service society combined with a continuous demographic change generated a need for intensi?ed Op- ations Research activities in this area. On that account this conference has been devoted to the role of Operations Research in the service industry. The links to Operations Research are manifold and include many di?erent topics which are particularly emphasized in scienti?c sections of OR 2007. More than 420 participants from 30 countries made this event very international and successful. The program consisted of three p- nary,elevensemi-plenaryandmorethan300contributedpresentations, which had been organized in 18 sections. During the conference, the GOR Dissertation and Diploma Prizes were awarded. We congratulate all winners, especially Professor Wolfgang Domschke from the Da- stadt University of Technology, on receiving the GOR Scienti?c Prize Award.

The Risk Modeling Evaluation Handbook: Rethinking Financial Risk Management Methodologies in the Global Capital Markets

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071663711
Total Pages : 529 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (716 download)

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Book Synopsis The Risk Modeling Evaluation Handbook: Rethinking Financial Risk Management Methodologies in the Global Capital Markets by : Greg N. Gregoriou

Download or read book The Risk Modeling Evaluation Handbook: Rethinking Financial Risk Management Methodologies in the Global Capital Markets written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2010-02-12 with total page 529 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Addresses newly exposed weaknesses of financial risk models in the context of market stress scenarios This will be the definitive book for readers looking to improve their approach to modeling financial risk

Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0124158757
Total Pages : 658 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (241 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models by : Carsten Wehn

Download or read book Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models written by Carsten Wehn and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2012-11-08 with total page 658 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is widely acknowledged that many financial modelling techniques failed during the financial crisis, and in our post-crisis environment many techniques are being reconsidered. This single volume provides a guide to lessons learned for practitioners and a reference for academics. Including reviews of traditional approaches, real examples, and case studies, contributors consider portfolio theory; methods for valuing equities and equity derivatives, interest rate derivatives, and hybrid products; and techniques for calculating risks and implementing investment strategies. Describing new approaches without losing sight of their classical antecedents, this collection of original articles presents a timely perspective on our post-crisis paradigm. Highlights pre-crisis best classical practices, identifies post-crisis key issues, and examines emerging approaches to solving those issues Singles out key factors one must consider when valuing or calculating risks in the post-crisis environment Presents material in a homogenous, practical, clear, and not overly technical manner

The Equity Risk Premium: A Contextual Literature Review

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Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960325
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

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Book Synopsis The Equity Risk Premium: A Contextual Literature Review by : Laurence B. Siegel

Download or read book The Equity Risk Premium: A Contextual Literature Review written by Laurence B. Siegel and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2017-12-08 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research into the equity risk premium, often considered the most important number in finance, falls into three broad groupings. First, researchers have measured the margin by which equity total returns have exceeded fixed-income or cash returns over long historical periods and have projected this measure of the equity risk premium into the future. Second, the dividend discount model—or a variant of it, such as an earnings discount model—is used to estimate the future return on an equity index, and the fixed-income or cash yield is then subtracted to arrive at an equity risk premium expectation or forecast. Third, academics have used macroeconomic techniques to estimate what premium investors might rationally require for taking the risk of equities. Current thinking emphasizes the second, or dividend discount, approach and projects an equity risk premium centered on 3½% to 4%.

Risk and Return for Regulated Industries

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128125888
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Return for Regulated Industries by : Bente Villadsen

Download or read book Risk and Return for Regulated Industries written by Bente Villadsen and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-04-27 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and Return for Regulated Industries provides a much-needed, comprehensive review of how cost of capital risk arises and can be measured, how the special risks regulated industries face affect fair return, and the challenges that regulated industries are likely to face in the future. Rather than following the trend of broad industry introductions or textbook style reviews of utility finance, it covers the topics of most interest to regulators, regulated companies, regulatory lawyers, and rate-of-return analysts in all countries. Accordingly, the book also includes case studies about various countries and discussions of the lessons international regulatory procedures can offer. Presents a unified treatment of the regulatory principles and practices used to assess the required return on capital Addresses current practices before exploring the ways methods play out in practice, including irregularities, shortcomings, and concerns for the future Focuses on developed economies instead of providing a comprehensive global reviews Foreword by Stewart C. Myers

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019158
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting

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Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960090
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting by : Jacques Lussier

Download or read book Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting written by Jacques Lussier and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-10-10 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Equity Risk Premium

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199881979
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis The Equity Risk Premium by : William N. Goetzmann

Download or read book The Equity Risk Premium written by William N. Goetzmann and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2006-11-16 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

The Fama Portfolio

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022642684X
Total Pages : 826 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (264 download)

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Book Synopsis The Fama Portfolio by : Eugene F. Fama

Download or read book The Fama Portfolio written by Eugene F. Fama and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2017-09-07 with total page 826 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Few scholars have been as influential in finance, both as an academic field and an industry, as Eugene Fama. Since writing his groundbreaking 1970 essay on efficient capital markets, Fama has written over 100 papers and books that have been cited hundreds of thousands of times. Yet there is no one collection where one can easily find his best work in all fields. "The Fama Portfolio" will be an outstanding and unprecedented resource in a field that still concentrates mainly on questions stemming from Fama s work: Is the finance industry too large or too small? Why do people continue to pay active managers so much? What accounts for the monstrous amount of trading? Do high-speed traders help or hurt? The ideas, facts, and empirical methods in Fama s work continue to guide these investigations. "The Fama Portfolio" will be a historic and long-lasting collection of some of the finest work ever produced in finance."

Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling

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Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039216244
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (392 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling by : Elisa Luciano

Download or read book Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling written by Elisa Luciano and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Measurement is a challenging task, because both the types of risk and the techniques evolve very quickly. This book collects a number of novel contributions to the measurement of financial risk, which address either non-fully explored risks or risk takers, and does so in a wide variety of empirical contexts.

Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080555853
Total Pages : 635 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium by : Rajnish Mehra

Download or read book Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium written by Rajnish Mehra and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-08-11 with total page 635 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.

Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective

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Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960155
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

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Book Synopsis Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective by : Vasant Naik

Download or read book Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective written by Vasant Naik and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-12-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Price Expectations in Goods and Financial Markets

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Price Expectations in Goods and Financial Markets by : François Gardes

Download or read book Price Expectations in Goods and Financial Markets written by François Gardes and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2000 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists and scholars in related fields discuss the concept of rationality of expectations from both a theoretical and an empirical point of view, and at both individual and collective levels. Concerning the first aspect, the book focuses on how agents collect and process information and how market opinion is formed. Concerning the second aspect, it presents studies based on individual price expectations and on the consensus revealed by survey data. Contributors analyze price expectations in a variety of markets, periods, and countries, paying special attention to financial markets which have represented the main field of study over the last ten years. Annotation copyrighted by Book News Inc., Portland, OR

Financial Stability Monitoring

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Stability Monitoring by : Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Financial Stability Monitoring written by Tobias Adrian and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a recently released New York Fed staff report, we present a forward-looking monitoring program to identify and track time-varying sources of systemic risk.