Mathematical Risk Analysis

Download Mathematical Risk Analysis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364233590X
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Mathematical Risk Analysis by : Ludger Rüschendorf

Download or read book Mathematical Risk Analysis written by Ludger Rüschendorf and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-12 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author's particular interest in the area of risk measures is to combine this theory with the analysis of dependence properties. The present volume gives an introduction of basic concepts and methods in mathematical risk analysis, in particular of those parts of risk theory that are of special relevance to finance and insurance. Describing the influence of dependence in multivariate stochastic models on risk vectors is the main focus of the text that presents main ideas and methods as well as their relevance to practical applications. The first part introduces basic probabilistic tools and methods of distributional analysis, and describes their use to the modeling of dependence and to the derivation of risk bounds in these models. In the second, part risk measures with a particular focus on those in the financial and insurance context are presented. The final parts are then devoted to applications relevant to optimal risk allocation, optimal portfolio problems as well as to the optimization of insurance contracts. Good knowledge of basic probability and statistics as well as of basic general mathematics is a prerequisite for comfortably reading and working with the present volume, which is intended for graduate students, practitioners and researchers and can serve as a reference resource for the main concepts and techniques.

Dependence Modeling

Download Dependence Modeling PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981429988X
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (142 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Dependence Modeling by : Harry Joe

Download or read book Dependence Modeling written by Harry Joe and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. Introduction : Dependence modeling / D. Kurowicka -- 2. Multivariate copulae / M. Fischer -- 3. Vines arise / R.M. Cooke, H. Joe and K. Aas -- 4. Sampling count variables with specified Pearson correlation : A comparison between a naive and a C-vine sampling approach / V. Erhardt and C. Czado -- 5. Micro correlations and tail dependence / R.M. Cooke, C. Kousky and H. Joe -- 6. The Copula information criterion and Its implications for the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator / S. Gronneberg -- 7. Dependence comparisons of vine copulae with four or more variables / H. Joe -- 8. Tail dependence in vine copulae / H. Joe -- 9. Counting vines / O. Morales-Napoles -- 10. Regular vines : Generation algorithm and number of equivalence classes / H. Joe, R.M. Cooke and D. Kurowicka -- 11. Optimal truncation of vines / D. Kurowicka -- 12. Bayesian inference for D-vines : Estimation and model selection / C. Czado and A. Min -- 13. Analysis of Australian electricity loads using joint Bayesian inference of D-vines with autoregressive margins / C. Czado, F. Gartner and A. Min -- 14. Non-parametric Bayesian belief nets versus vines / A. Hanea -- 15. Modeling dependence between financial returns using pair-copula constructions / K. Aas and D. Berg -- 16. Dynamic D-vine model / A. Heinen and A. Valdesogo -- 17. Summary and future directions / D. Kurowicka

Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks

Download Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470016442
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks by : Michel Denuit

Download or read book Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks written by Michel Denuit and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-05-01 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increasing complexity of insurance and reinsurance products has seen a growing interest amongst actuaries in the modelling of dependent risks. For efficient risk management, actuaries need to be able to answer fundamental questions such as: Is the correlation structure dangerous? And, if yes, to what extent? Therefore tools to quantify, compare, and model the strength of dependence between different risks are vital. Combining coverage of stochastic order and risk measure theories with the basics of risk management and stochastic dependence, this book provides an essential guide to managing modern financial risk. * Describes how to model risks in incomplete markets, emphasising insurance risks. * Explains how to measure and compare the danger of risks, model their interactions, and measure the strength of their association. * Examines the type of dependence induced by GLM-based credibility models, the bounds on functions of dependent risks, and probabilistic distances between actuarial models. * Detailed presentation of risk measures, stochastic orderings, copula models, dependence concepts and dependence orderings. * Includes numerous exercises allowing a cementing of the concepts by all levels of readers. * Solutions to tasks as well as further examples and exercises can be found on a supporting website. An invaluable reference for both academics and practitioners alike, Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks will appeal to all those eager to master the up-to-date modelling tools for dependent risks. The inclusion of exercises and practical examples makes the book suitable for advanced courses on risk management in incomplete markets. Traders looking for practical advice on insurance markets will also find much of interest.

Analysis of Survival Data with Dependent Censoring

Download Analysis of Survival Data with Dependent Censoring PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9811071640
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (11 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Analysis of Survival Data with Dependent Censoring by : Takeshi Emura

Download or read book Analysis of Survival Data with Dependent Censoring written by Takeshi Emura and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-04-05 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces readers to copula-based statistical methods for analyzing survival data involving dependent censoring. Primarily focusing on likelihood-based methods performed under copula models, it is the first book solely devoted to the problem of dependent censoring. The book demonstrates the advantages of the copula-based methods in the context of medical research, especially with regard to cancer patients’ survival data. Needless to say, the statistical methods presented here can also be applied to many other branches of science, especially in reliability, where survival analysis plays an important role. The book can be used as a textbook for graduate coursework or a short course aimed at (bio-) statisticians. To deepen readers’ understanding of copula-based approaches, the book provides an accessible introduction to basic survival analysis and explains the mathematical foundations of copula-based survival models.

Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling

Download Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039216244
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (392 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling by : Elisa Luciano

Download or read book Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling written by Elisa Luciano and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Measurement is a challenging task, because both the types of risk and the techniques evolve very quickly. This book collects a number of novel contributions to the measurement of financial risk, which address either non-fully explored risks or risk takers, and does so in a wide variety of empirical contexts.

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment

Download Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470035498
Total Pages : 2163 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment by :

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment written by and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 2163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.

Risk Analysis VII & Brownfields V

Download Risk Analysis VII & Brownfields V PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : WIT Press
ISBN 13 : 1845644727
Total Pages : 961 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (456 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Analysis VII & Brownfields V by : C. A. Brebbia

Download or read book Risk Analysis VII & Brownfields V written by C. A. Brebbia and published by WIT Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 961 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains the papers presented at two conferences organized by the Wessex Institute of Technology. The first conference is the Seventh International Conference on Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, being held in Algarve, Portugal, September 13-15. This biennial conference is the latest in a successful series that began in 1998 and that includes many practical applications, demonstrating how to analyze and manage risk and mitigate hazards. The applications cover man-made as well as natural hazards, the importance of which is becoming increasingly evident in our modern world. These problems have become a priority for all governments, as well as a cause for public concern. The second conference is the Fifth International Conference on Prevention, Assessment, Rehabilitation and Development of Brownfield Sites, also being held in Algarve, September 14-16. The biennial conference was first held in 2002 and covers the challenges the public and private sectors must face in seeking to reuse brownfield sites and to capitalize on the opportunities.

Heavy Tails And Copulas: Topics In Dependence Modelling In Economics And Finance

Download Heavy Tails And Copulas: Topics In Dependence Modelling In Economics And Finance PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814689815
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (146 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Heavy Tails And Copulas: Topics In Dependence Modelling In Economics And Finance by : Rustam Ibragimov

Download or read book Heavy Tails And Copulas: Topics In Dependence Modelling In Economics And Finance written by Rustam Ibragimov and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2017-02-24 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Overall, the book is highly technical, including full mathematical proofs of the results stated. Potential readers are post-graduate students or researchers in Quantitative Risk Management willing to have a manual with the state-of-the-art on portfolio diversification and risk aggregation with heavy tails, including the fundamental theorems as well as collateral (but most useful) results on majorization and copula theory.'Quantitative Finance This book offers a unified approach to the study of crises, large fluctuations, dependence and contagion effects in economics and finance. It covers important topics in statistical modeling and estimation, which combine the notions of copulas and heavy tails — two particularly valuable tools of today's research in economics, finance, econometrics and other fields — in order to provide a new way of thinking about such vital problems as diversification of risk and propagation of crises through financial markets due to contagion phenomena, among others. The aim is to arm today's economists with a toolbox suited for analyzing multivariate data with many outliers and with arbitrary dependence patterns. The methods and topics discussed and used in the book include, in particular, majorization theory, heavy-tailed distributions and copula functions — all applied to study robustness of economic, financial and statistical models, and estimation methods to heavy tails and dependence.

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Download Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1100 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports by :

Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 1100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Extreme Financial Risks

Download Extreme Financial Risks PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540272666
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Extreme Financial Risks by : Yannick Malevergne

Download or read book Extreme Financial Risks written by Yannick Malevergne and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-01-16 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Clearly elucidates extreme financial risks associated with rare events such as financial crashes. The highlight of the book is the delineation of various copulas in conjunction with financial dependences among different assets of a portfolio. In particular, the insightful discussion on quadrant and orthant dependences casts new light on the connection between marginal models and financial dependence...brings a vivid portrayal of the subject." -- MATHEMATICAL REVIEWS

Risk - A Multidisciplinary Introduction

Download Risk - A Multidisciplinary Introduction PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319044869
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk - A Multidisciplinary Introduction by : Claudia Klüppelberg

Download or read book Risk - A Multidisciplinary Introduction written by Claudia Klüppelberg and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-06-10 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a unique book addressing the integration of risk methodology from various fields. It will stimulate intellectual debate and communication across disciplines, promote better risk management practices and contribute to the development of risk management methodologies. Individual chapters explain fundamental risk models and measurement, and address risk and security issues from diverse areas such as finance and insurance, the health sciences, life sciences, engineering and information science. Integrated Risk Sciences is an emerging discipline that considers risks in different fields, aiming at a common language, and at sharing and improving methods developed in different fields. Readers should have a Bachelor degree and have taken at least one basic university course in statistics and probability. The main goal of the book is to provide basic knowledge on risk and security in a common language; the authors have taken particular care to ensure that all content can readily be understood by doctoral students and researchers across disciplines. Each chapter provides simple case studies and examples, open research questions and discussion points, and a selected bibliography inviting readers to further study.

Statistical Learning for Big Dependent Data

Download Statistical Learning for Big Dependent Data PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119417384
Total Pages : 562 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (194 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Statistical Learning for Big Dependent Data by : Daniel Peña

Download or read book Statistical Learning for Big Dependent Data written by Daniel Peña and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-05-04 with total page 562 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master advanced topics in the analysis of large, dynamically dependent datasets with this insightful resource Statistical Learning with Big Dependent Data delivers a comprehensive presentation of the statistical and machine learning methods useful for analyzing and forecasting large and dynamically dependent data sets. The book presents automatic procedures for modelling and forecasting large sets of time series data. Beginning with some visualization tools, the book discusses procedures and methods for finding outliers, clusters, and other types of heterogeneity in big dependent data. It then introduces various dimension reduction methods, including regularization and factor models such as regularized Lasso in the presence of dynamical dependence and dynamic factor models. The book also covers other forecasting procedures, including index models, partial least squares, boosting, and now-casting. It further presents machine-learning methods, including neural network, deep learning, classification and regression trees and random forests. Finally, procedures for modelling and forecasting spatio-temporal dependent data are also presented. Throughout the book, the advantages and disadvantages of the methods discussed are given. The book uses real-world examples to demonstrate applications, including use of many R packages. Finally, an R package associated with the book is available to assist readers in reproducing the analyses of examples and to facilitate real applications. Analysis of Big Dependent Data includes a wide variety of topics for modeling and understanding big dependent data, like: New ways to plot large sets of time series An automatic procedure to build univariate ARMA models for individual components of a large data set Powerful outlier detection procedures for large sets of related time series New methods for finding the number of clusters of time series and discrimination methods , including vector support machines, for time series Broad coverage of dynamic factor models including new representations and estimation methods for generalized dynamic factor models Discussion on the usefulness of lasso with time series and an evaluation of several machine learning procedure for forecasting large sets of time series Forecasting large sets of time series with exogenous variables, including discussions of index models, partial least squares, and boosting. Introduction of modern procedures for modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data Perfect for PhD students and researchers in business, economics, engineering, and science: Statistical Learning with Big Dependent Data also belongs to the bookshelves of practitioners in these fields who hope to improve their understanding of statistical and machine learning methods for analyzing and forecasting big dependent data.

Survival Analysis

Download Survival Analysis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030334392
Total Pages : 475 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (33 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Survival Analysis by : John O'Quigley

Download or read book Survival Analysis written by John O'Quigley and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-04-27 with total page 475 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an extensive coverage of the methodology of survival analysis, ranging from introductory level material to deeper more advanced topics. The framework is that of proportional and non-proportional hazards models; a structure that is broad enough to enable the recovery of a large number of established results as well as to open the way to many new developments. The emphasis is on concepts and guiding principles, logical and graphical. Formal proofs of theorems, propositions and lemmas are gathered together at the end of each chapter separate from the main presentation. The intended audience includes academic statisticians, biostatisticians, epidemiologists and also researchers in these fields whose focus may be more on the applications than on the theory. The text could provide the basis for a two semester course on survival analysis and, with this goal in mind, each chapter includes a section with a range of exercises as a teaching aid for instructors.

The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, Second Edition

Download The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, Second Edition PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022603819X
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, Second Edition by : Jane E. Miller

Download or read book The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, Second Edition written by Jane E. Miller and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-09-26 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many different people, from social scientists to government agencies to business professionals, depend on the results of multivariate models to inform their decisions. Researchers use these advanced statistical techniques to analyze relationships among multiple variables, such as how exercise and weight relate to the risk of heart disease, or how unemployment and interest rates affect economic growth. Yet, despite the widespread need to plainly and effectively explain the results of multivariate analyses to varied audiences, few are properly taught this critical skill. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis is the book researchers turn to when looking for guidance on how to clearly present statistical results and break through the jargon that often clouds writing about applications of statistical analysis. This new edition features even more topics and real-world examples, making it the must-have resource for anyone who needs to communicate complex research results. For this second edition, Jane E. Miller includes four new chapters that cover writing about interactions, writing about event history analysis, writing about multilevel models, and the “Goldilocks principle” for choosing the right size contrast for interpreting results for different variables. In addition, she has updated or added numerous examples, while retaining her clear voice and focus on writers thinking critically about their intended audience and objective. Online podcasts, templates, and an updated study guide will help readers apply skills from the book to their own projects and courses. This continues to be the only book that brings together all of the steps involved in communicating findings based on multivariate analysis—finding data, creating variables, estimating statistical models, calculating overall effects, organizing ideas, designing tables and charts, and writing prose—in a single volume. When aligned with Miller’s twelve fundamental principles for quantitative writing, this approach will empower readers—whether students or experienced researchers—to communicate their findings clearly and effectively.

Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis

Download Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309161525
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis by : National Research Council

Download or read book Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-09-10 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of September 11, 2001 changed perceptions, rearranged national priorities, and produced significant new government entities, including the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created in 2003. While the principal mission of DHS is to lead efforts to secure the nation against those forces that wish to do harm, the department also has responsibilities in regard to preparation for and response to other hazards and disasters, such as floods, earthquakes, and other "natural" disasters. Whether in the context of preparedness, response or recovery from terrorism, illegal entry to the country, or natural disasters, DHS is committed to processes and methods that feature risk assessment as a critical component for making better-informed decisions. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis explores how DHS is building its capabilities in risk analysis to inform decision making. The department uses risk analysis to inform decisions ranging from high-level policy choices to fine-scale protocols that guide the minute-by-minute actions of DHS employees. Although DHS is responsible for mitigating a range of threats, natural disasters, and pandemics, its risk analysis efforts are weighted heavily toward terrorism. In addition to assessing the capability of DHS risk analysis methods to support decision-making, the book evaluates the quality of the current approach to estimating risk and discusses how to improve current risk analysis procedures. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis recommends that DHS continue to build its integrated risk management framework. It also suggests that the department improve the way models are developed and used and follow time-tested scientific practices, among other recommendations.

Application of Uncertainty Analysis to Ecological Risks of Pesticides

Download Application of Uncertainty Analysis to Ecological Risks of Pesticides PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439807353
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Application of Uncertainty Analysis to Ecological Risks of Pesticides by : William J. Warren-Hicks

Download or read book Application of Uncertainty Analysis to Ecological Risks of Pesticides written by William J. Warren-Hicks and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-04-07 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While current methods used in ecological risk assessments for pesticides are largely deterministic, probabilistic methods that aim to quantify variability and uncertainty in exposure and effects are attracting growing interest from industries and governments. Probabilistic methods offer more realistic and meaningful estimates of risk and hence, pot

Neurobiological Perspectives in Behavioral Addiction

Download Neurobiological Perspectives in Behavioral Addiction PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
ISBN 13 : 2889457982
Total Pages : 187 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (894 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Neurobiological Perspectives in Behavioral Addiction by : Jung-Seok Choi

Download or read book Neurobiological Perspectives in Behavioral Addiction written by Jung-Seok Choi and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2019-07-25 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some classes of behaviors, including gambling, Internet gaming, and sexual behaviors, may lead to compulsive engagement for a minority of individuals. In extreme cases where individuals may feel unable to control these behaviors without external influence, these behaviors may be considered non-substance or behavioral addictions. Many such behaviors may occur predominantly online, such as gaming, social media, shopping, and pornography, and may be driven by constant accessibility via smartphone and other mobile device technologies. This Research Topic presents diverse papers on neurobiological evidence of behavioral addictions, encompassing gambling disorder, Internet-based disorders, including Internet gaming disorder and smartphone addiction, and compulsive sexual behaviors.