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An Examination Of The Relation Between Options Volume And Earnings Surprises
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Book Synopsis An Examination of the Relation Between Options Volume and Earnings Surprises by : Griffin Corn
Download or read book An Examination of the Relation Between Options Volume and Earnings Surprises written by Griffin Corn and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Information is the key to any successful market. In equity markets, the possession of undiscovered or unpublished information can lead to abnormal returns. This study attempts to determine if there is a relationship between option volumes and earnings surprises. By examining option volumes leading up to company earnings announcements for the 100 companies in the S&P 100 Index over the five year period from 2008 to 2012 and comparing these figures to the earnings surprises of the firms for each announcement period, this study aims to determine if option volumes have predictive ability for company performance. Ultimately, results were not entirely conclusive. Call option volumes were only 40% successful in predicting an earnings surprise, but put option volumes were 62% effective. Utilizing both calls and puts to predict earnings surprise directions was only 25% predictive. These results suggest that unusual option volume is not a reliable predictor of earnings surprise direction; nevertheless, it has some relevance.
Book Synopsis The Relative Option to Stock Volume (OS) and Market Response to Earnings Surprises by : Atul Rai
Download or read book The Relative Option to Stock Volume (OS) and Market Response to Earnings Surprises written by Atul Rai and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the effect of option volume relative to stock volume (O/S) on market response to earnings surprises. The market reaction per unit of earnings surprise is lower for firms that have high O/S prior to earnings announcement than for firms with low O/S prior to earnings announcement. The difference is exacerbated for higher levels of preannouncement returns. Results suggest informed trading by option traders stimulates preemption of the information content of earnings releases and makes earnings surprises less of a surprise. Overall, results are consistent with the view that options improve informational efficiency. Results are robust to several controls.
Book Synopsis Option Strategies for Earnings Announcements by : Ping Zhou
Download or read book Option Strategies for Earnings Announcements written by Ping Zhou and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2012-10-15 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By trading on corporate earnings, investors can reliably profit in both up and down markets, while avoiding market risk for nearly the entire quarter. In this book, two leading traders and portfolio managers present specific, actionable techniques anyone can use to capture these sizable profits. Ping Zhou and John Shon have performed an unprecedented empirical analysis of thousands of stocks, reviewing tens of millions of data points associated with option prices, earnings announcement returns, and fundamentals. Their massive analysis has identified consistent opportunities associated with focusing on the magnitude of the market’s reaction to earnings, not its direction. Option Trading Set-Ups for Corporate Earnings News offers concrete guidance for improving the likelihood of making correct forecasts, and managing the risks of incorrect forecasts. It introduces several ways to exploit option trading opportunities around earnings news, discuss crucial issues that most retail investors haven’t considered, and explore aspects of earnings-related option trading that have never been empirically examined and documented before. For example, they identify hidden patterns and potential opportunities based on valuation, industry, volatility, analyst forecasts, seasonality, and trades that immediately follow earnings announcements. Simply put, trading on earnings reports offers immense profit opportunities, if you know how. This book provides incontrovertible facts and detailed strategies, not just theories and anecdotes!
Book Synopsis Earnings Surprises and the Options Market by : Donald H. Fehrs
Download or read book Earnings Surprises and the Options Market written by Donald H. Fehrs and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numerous articles over the past few decades have documented a consistent relationship between earnings surprises and subsequent stock price performance. [See, for example, Ball and Brown (1968), Rendleman, Jones, and Latane (1982), Foster, Olsen, and Shevlin (1984), and Bernard and Thomas (1989).] Specifically when firms announce quarterly earnings figures that are higher (lower) than market expectations, as proxied by either mechanical time-series models or commercially available analysts forecasts, the stock price performance following the announcement tends to be abnormally good (bad). This phenomenon is referred to as post-earnings-announcement drift or the standardized unexpected earnings effect, SUE for short.
Book Synopsis Trading on Corporate Earnings News by : John Shon
Download or read book Trading on Corporate Earnings News written by John Shon and published by Financial Times/Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades--in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies' quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks-and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests-to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.
Book Synopsis Options and Earnings Announcements by : Monique W.M. Donders
Download or read book Options and Earnings Announcements written by Monique W.M. Donders and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we study the impact of earnings announcements on trading volume, open interest and spreads in the stock option market. We find that option volume is higher around announcement days, even if we correct for stock volume and the expected future volatility of stock returns. Results in the pre-event period are different for good and bad news samples, indicating that option traders have access to (possibly short lived) private information. During the days before the announcements open interest tends to increase. After the earnings news dissemination traders seem to lose interest in the contracts and cancel part of their option positions thereby reducing open interest to normal levels. Analysis of quoted spreads provide no evidence of dealers' anticipation of higher information asymmetry in the pre- or post announcement period. However, results for effective spreads indicate that the transaction costs are higher on the announcement day itself and on the day immediately following the earnings dissemination. Both quoted and effective spreads are shown to respond to changes in trading volume and expected return variability.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Examination of the Relation Between the Option-Implied Volatility Smile and Heterogeneous Beliefs by : Shu Feng
Download or read book An Empirical Examination of the Relation Between the Option-Implied Volatility Smile and Heterogeneous Beliefs written by Shu Feng and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An option contract is a zero-sum game, so two identical risk-averse investors would never take opposite sides of it. While they will agree on the correct option price, they would never trade with each other. Heterogeneity is essential for options trading to exist, and aggregating diverse expectations into a single market clearing price is an important function of any derivatives market. In this article, the authors look at the impact of heterogeneous beliefs about earnings, as reflected in the dispersion of analysts' forecasts in the IBES database. The effect on the market is measured by the slopes of the volatility smile for out-of-the-money (OTM) minus at-the-money (ATM) puts (left side of the smile) and OTM minus ATM calls (right side). Smiles for individual stocks are higher and more smile-shaped than for the SPX index and show significant and interesting effects from the explanatory variables, including firm size, liquidity, market volatility, and book-to-market. But controlling for those effects, dispersion in earnings forecasts raises OTM IVs relative to ATM IVs, both in regressions and in portfolio sorts. Interesting differences appear between systematic and idiosyncratic components of the smile slope, with systematic effects especially important for OTM puts, while OTM calls are more influenced by the idiosyncratic component.
Download or read book Options Markets written by John C. Cox and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1985 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes the first published detailed description of option exchange operations, the first published treatment using only elementary mathematics and the first step-by-step procedure for implementing the Black-Scholes formula in actual trading.
Book Synopsis Rethinking Determinants of Trading Volume at Earnings Announcements by : Alina Lerman
Download or read book Rethinking Determinants of Trading Volume at Earnings Announcements written by Alina Lerman and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theory offers three main determinants of informationally driven trading volume at earnings announcements: pre-announcement difference in private information precision, belief divergence or differential interpretation, and signal strength. In this paper, we empirically test which theoretical determinants best explain earnings announcement volume conditional on the level of earnings news. We first document that, consistent with signal strength, there is a strong positive (negative) association between volume and both contemporaneous and immediately preceding returns for good (bad) earnings news. Next, we explicitly test the association between volume and various proxies for its three theorized determinants conditional on earnings news. We find that trading volume is highly associated with upward (downward) contemporaneous analyst revisions in the presence of good (bad) earnings news. It is also associated with future earnings surprises, the F-score, and the change in shares shorted, especially for good news firms. Volume is moderately associated with proxies of belief divergence, particularly for bad and neutral news firms. Finally, proxies for pre-announcement difference in private information precision do not appear to significantly explain trading volume for any level of earnings news. Examining financial press data we document an association between abnormal volume and coverage of a multitude of news items. Taken together, our results suggest that trading volume at earnings announcements is more reflective of the quantity and quality of information released, but its dynamics significantly vary with the nature of the disclosed news.
Book Synopsis The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies by : Leonard Zacks
Download or read book The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies written by Leonard Zacks and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-24 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Book Synopsis Implied Volatility Functions by : Bernard Dumas
Download or read book Implied Volatility Functions written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black-Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S & P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DV option valuation model. We find that its performance is worse than that of an ad hoc Black-Scholes model with variable implied volatilities.
Book Synopsis Earnings Quality by : Jennifer Francis
Download or read book Earnings Quality written by Jennifer Francis and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2008 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This review lays out a research perspective on earnings quality. We provide an overview of alternative definitions and measures of earnings quality and a discussion of research design choices encountered in earnings quality research. Throughout, we focus on a capital markets setting, as opposed, for example, to a contracting or stewardship setting. Our reason for this choice stems from the view that the capital market uses of accounting information are fundamental, in the sense of providing a basis for other uses, such as stewardship. Because resource allocations are ex ante decisions while contracting/stewardship assessments are ex post evaluations of outcomes, evidence on whether, how and to what degree earnings quality influences capital market resource allocation decisions is fundamental to understanding why and how accounting matters to investors and others, including those charged with stewardship responsibilities. Demonstrating a link between earnings quality and, for example, the costs of equity and debt capital implies a basic economic role in capital allocation decisions for accounting information; this role has only recently been documented in the accounting literature. We focus on how the precision of financial information in capturing one or more underlying valuation-relevant constructs affects the assessment and use of that information by capital market participants. We emphasize that the choice of constructs to be measured is typically contextual. Our main focus is on the precision of earnings, which we view as a summary indicator of the overall quality of financial reporting. Our intent in discussing research that evaluates the capital market effects of earnings quality is both to stimulate further research in this area and to encourage research on related topics, including, for example, the role of earnings quality in contracting and stewardship.
Book Synopsis Visual Guide to Options by : Jared Levy
Download or read book Visual Guide to Options written by Jared Levy and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-02-18 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The practical, visual guide to the complex world of options investing loaded with tactics and tips for market success Options provide a diverse, strategic, advantaged approach to trading that can significantly limit the overall risks of a trade or yield additional returns. For many people, investing in options seem so risky that they fail to capitalize on this potentially lucrative opportunity that can unlock doors you would never imagine. The Bloomberg Visual Guide to Options uses full-color charts and other illustrations to help readers understand the mechanics and actionable details of the marketplace and how to profit from options trading. An accessible reference volume for investment professionals of all levels of experience, the book takes a direct and to the point approach to the topic, enhanced by colorful and visually effective graphs and charts of the options market. Discussing the functions of the exchanges, how they work, and the strategies for taking advantage of the market while steering clear of risk, this is the ultimate visual guide to understanding the world of trading options. Immerses readers in the exciting world of options trading through the use of full-color graphs and charts Provides tips, tricks, and real scenarios for successful trading, whether trading in a bull, bear, or neutral market Presents detailed, unique strategies for understanding and succeeding in the real options market Includes special learning aids, such as Key Point Summaries, Do-It-Yourself Exercises, Step-By-Step Instructions, and much more Putting even the most complex options trading issues at your fingertips in an easy-to-understand, readily accessible format, Bloomberg Visual Guide to Options is a must-have trading reference for professional investors.
Book Synopsis Earnings Management by : Joshua Ronen
Download or read book Earnings Management written by Joshua Ronen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-06 with total page 587 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a study of earnings management, aimed at scholars and professionals in accounting, finance, economics, and law. The authors address research questions including: Why are earnings so important that firms feel compelled to manipulate them? What set of circumstances will induce earnings management? How will the interaction among management, boards of directors, investors, employees, suppliers, customers and regulators affect earnings management? How to design empirical research addressing earnings management? What are the limitations and strengths of current empirical models?
Author :American Bar Association. House of Delegates Publisher :American Bar Association ISBN 13 :9781590318737 Total Pages :216 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (187 download)
Book Synopsis Model Rules of Professional Conduct by : American Bar Association. House of Delegates
Download or read book Model Rules of Professional Conduct written by American Bar Association. House of Delegates and published by American Bar Association. This book was released on 2007 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Model Rules of Professional Conduct provides an up-to-date resource for information on legal ethics. Federal, state and local courts in all jurisdictions look to the Rules for guidance in solving lawyer malpractice cases, disciplinary actions, disqualification issues, sanctions questions and much more. In this volume, black-letter Rules of Professional Conduct are followed by numbered Comments that explain each Rule's purpose and provide suggestions for its practical application. The Rules will help you identify proper conduct in a variety of given situations, review those instances where discretionary action is possible, and define the nature of the relationship between you and your clients, colleagues and the courts.
Book Synopsis Get Rich With Options by : Lee Lowell
Download or read book Get Rich With Options written by Lee Lowell and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-05-23 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In order to survive and thrive in today's financial markets, you must seriously consider the use of options in your investment endeavors. Options allow you to reap the same benefits as an outright stock or commodity trade, but with less risk and less money on the line. The truth is, you can achieve everything with options that you would with stocks or commodities?at less cost?while gaining a much higher percentage return on your invested dollars. After numerous years as a market maker in the trenches of the New York Mercantile Exchange, few analysts know how to make money trading options like author Lee Lowell. In this well-rounded resource, Lowell shows both stock and commodity option traders exactly what works and what doesn't. Filled with in-depth insight and expert advice, Get Rich with Options provides you with the knowledge and strategies needed to achieve optimal results within the options market. The book quickly covers the basics?how options are priced, strike price selection, the use of Delta, and using volatility to one's advantage?before moving on to the four options trading strategies that have helped Lowell profit in this arena time and again: buying deep-in-the-money call options, selling naked puts, selling option credit spreads, and selling covered calls. Using these strategoes decisively, he says, is the fastest route to riches in the options trading game. Get Rich with Options is packed with real-life examples of actual trades and detailed discussions of how options can be used as a hedging, speculating, or income-producing tool. You'll learn how to set up a home business with the best options trading software, tools, and Web sites. And you'll begin to see options in a whole new light and discover how to become part of a small group of investors who consistently win.
Book Synopsis Handbook of the Economics of Finance SET:Volumes 2A & 2B by : George M. Constantinides
Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Finance SET:Volumes 2A & 2B written by George M. Constantinides and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-01-21 with total page 1732 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This two-volume set of 23 articles authoritatively describes recent scholarship in corporate finance and asset pricing. Volume 1 concentrates on corporate finance, encompassing topics such as financial innovation and securitization, dynamic security design, and family firms. Volume 2 focuses on asset pricing with articles on market liquidity, credit derivatives, and asset pricing theory, among others. Both volumes present scholarship about the 2008 financial crisis in contexts that highlight both continuity and divergence in research. For those who seek insightful perspectives and important details, they demonstrate how corporate finance studies have interpreted recent events and incorporated their lessons. - Covers core and newly-developing fields - Explains how the 2008 financial crises affected theoretical and empirical research - Exposes readers to a wide range of subjects described and analyzed by the best scholars
