Forecasting: principles and practice

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Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780803931350
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (313 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by : Charles W. Ostrom

Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by Charles W. Ostrom and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1990 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The text gives a good basis for understanding the ideas of the time series models and estimation, without overwhelming readers with the complexity of the subject." --Journal of the American Statistical Association Completely revised and updated, this second edition of Time Series Analysis examines techniques for the study of change based on regression analysis. Ostrom demonstrates how these regression techniques may be employed for hypothesis testing, estimating, and forecasting. In addition, analysis strategies for both lagged and nonlagged models are presented and alternative time-dependent processes are explored.

A Combined Parametric and Nonparametric Approach to Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : IOS Press
ISBN 13 : 9781586031206
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (312 download)

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Book Synopsis A Combined Parametric and Nonparametric Approach to Time Series Analysis by : Stefan Kriebol

Download or read book A Combined Parametric and Nonparametric Approach to Time Series Analysis written by Stefan Kriebol and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis and prediction of natural phenomena is an interesting and challenging task. Time series obtained from the observation of one or more features of a phenomenon are often the only access to the data generating system. Unfortunately, time series analysis is usually done by specialists in the field of the phenomenon with traditional analysis techniques. The application of modern analysis and prediction tools is often avoided due to their complexity or the risk of failure. This issue can be surmounted by an interdisciplinary approach. This work is an example for the possible synergetic effect of interdisciplinary research. In the field of oceanography the coastal upwelling phenomenon is analysed in experimental studies with a numerical model in order to develop a parametric prediction model. Artificial neural networks seem to be a suitable parametric model. However, in the field of computer science traditional artificial neural techniques showed limitations in the analysis and prediction of time series obtained from natural phenomena, particularly with nonlinear and nonstationary time series. Motivated by this limitations a new approach to time series analysis and prediction is presented in this work, the mixture of nonparametric segmented experts (MONSE). The MONSE approach is exploiting the synergetic effect of a combined nonparametric and parametric analysis. It is supposed to be applied to explorative time series analysis and prediction in various fields, i.e. in a context where hardly any kowledge about the time series of concern is available.

Data Analysis with Open Source Tools

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Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
ISBN 13 : 1449396658
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (493 download)

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Book Synopsis Data Analysis with Open Source Tools by : Philipp K. Janert

Download or read book Data Analysis with Open Source Tools written by Philipp K. Janert and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2010-11-11 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Collecting data is relatively easy, but turning raw information into something useful requires that you know how to extract precisely what you need. With this insightful book, intermediate to experienced programmers interested in data analysis will learn techniques for working with data in a business environment. You'll learn how to look at data to discover what it contains, how to capture those ideas in conceptual models, and then feed your understanding back into the organization through business plans, metrics dashboards, and other applications. Along the way, you'll experiment with concepts through hands-on workshops at the end of each chapter. Above all, you'll learn how to think about the results you want to achieve -- rather than rely on tools to think for you. Use graphics to describe data with one, two, or dozens of variables Develop conceptual models using back-of-the-envelope calculations, as well asscaling and probability arguments Mine data with computationally intensive methods such as simulation and clustering Make your conclusions understandable through reports, dashboards, and other metrics programs Understand financial calculations, including the time-value of money Use dimensionality reduction techniques or predictive analytics to conquer challenging data analysis situations Become familiar with different open source programming environments for data analysis "Finally, a concise reference for understanding how to conquer piles of data."--Austin King, Senior Web Developer, Mozilla "An indispensable text for aspiring data scientists."--Michael E. Driscoll, CEO/Founder, Dataspora

Interrupted Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780803914933
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (149 download)

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Book Synopsis Interrupted Time Series Analysis by : David McDowall

Download or read book Interrupted Time Series Analysis written by David McDowall and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1980-08 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Describes ARIMA or Box Tiao models, widely used in the analysis of interupted time series quasi-experiments, assuming no statistical background beyond simple correlation. The principles and concepts of ARIMA time series analyses are developed and applied where a discrete intervention has impacted a social system. '...this is the kind of exposition I wished I had had some ten years ago when venturing into the world of autoregressive, moving-average (ARIMA) models of time-series analysis...This monograph nicely lays out a method for assessing the impact of a discrete policy or event of some importance on behavior which can be continuously observed...If widely used, as I hope, it will save a generation of social scientists fro

Time Series Analysis: Methods and Applications

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444538631
Total Pages : 777 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis: Methods and Applications by :

Download or read book Time Series Analysis: Methods and Applications written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-05-18 with total page 777 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of statistics not only affects all areas of scientific activity, but also many other matters such as public policy. It is branching rapidly into so many different subjects that a series of handbooks is the only way of comprehensively presenting the various aspects of statistical methodology, applications, and recent developments.The Handbook of Statistics is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with Volume 30 dealing with time series. The series is addressed to the entire community of statisticians and scientists in various disciplines who use statistical methodology in their work. At the same time, special emphasis is placed on applications-oriented techniques, with the applied statistician in mind as the primary audience. - Comprehensively presents the various aspects of statistical methodology - Discusses a wide variety of diverse applications and recent developments - Contributors are internationally renowened experts in their respective areas

Time Series Analysis: Methods and Applications

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444538585
Total Pages : 778 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis: Methods and Applications by : Tata Subba Rao

Download or read book Time Series Analysis: Methods and Applications written by Tata Subba Rao and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-06-26 with total page 778 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Handbook of Statistics' is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with volume 30 dealing with time series.

Time Series Analysis and Its Applications

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781475732627
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (326 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Its Applications by : Robert H. Shumway

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Its Applications written by Robert H. Shumway and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Structural Econometric Time Series Analysis Approach

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9781139453431
Total Pages : 736 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (534 download)

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Book Synopsis The Structural Econometric Time Series Analysis Approach by : Arnold Zellner

Download or read book The Structural Econometric Time Series Analysis Approach written by Arnold Zellner and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-10-21 with total page 736 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bringing together a collection of previously published work, this book provides a discussion of major considerations relating to the construction of econometric models that work well to explain economic phenomena, predict future outcomes and be useful for policy-making. Analytical relations between dynamic econometric structural models and empirical time series MVARMA, VAR, transfer function, and univariate ARIMA models are established with important application for model-checking and model construction. The theory and applications of these procedures to a variety of econometric modeling and forecasting problems as well as Bayesian and non-Bayesian testing, shrinkage estimation and forecasting procedures are also presented and applied. Finally, attention is focused on the effects of disaggregation on forecasting precision and the Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that features demand, supply and entry equations for major sectors of economies is analysed and described. This volume will prove invaluable to professionals, academics and students alike.

Regression Models for Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471461687
Total Pages : 361 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis Regression Models for Time Series Analysis by : Benjamin Kedem

Download or read book Regression Models for Time Series Analysis written by Benjamin Kedem and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-03-11 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A thorough review of the most current regression methods in time series analysis Regression methods have been an integral part of time series analysis for over a century. Recently, new developments have made major strides in such areas as non-continuous data where a linear model is not appropriate. This book introduces the reader to newer developments and more diverse regression models and methods for time series analysis. Accessible to anyone who is familiar with the basic modern concepts of statistical inference, Regression Models for Time Series Analysis provides a much-needed examination of recent statistical developments. Primary among them is the important class of models known as generalized linear models (GLM) which provides, under some conditions, a unified regression theory suitable for continuous, categorical, and count data. The authors extend GLM methodology systematically to time series where the primary and covariate data are both random and stochastically dependent. They introduce readers to various regression models developed during the last thirty years or so and summarize classical and more recent results concerning state space models. To conclude, they present a Bayesian approach to prediction and interpolation in spatial data adapted to time series that may be short and/or observed irregularly. Real data applications and further results are presented throughout by means of chapter problems and complements. Notably, the book covers: * Important recent developments in Kalman filtering, dynamic GLMs, and state-space modeling * Associated computational issues such as Markov chain, Monte Carlo, and the EM-algorithm * Prediction and interpolation * Stationary processes

Wavelet Methods for Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107717396
Total Pages : 628 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Wavelet Methods for Time Series Analysis by : Donald B. Percival

Download or read book Wavelet Methods for Time Series Analysis written by Donald B. Percival and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-02-27 with total page 628 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to wavelet analysis 'from the ground level and up', and to wavelet-based statistical analysis of time series focuses on practical discrete time techniques, with detailed descriptions of the theory and algorithms needed to understand and implement the discrete wavelet transforms. Numerous examples illustrate the techniques on actual time series. The many embedded exercises - with complete solutions provided in the Appendix - allow readers to use the book for self-guided study. Additional exercises can be used in a classroom setting. A Web site offers access to the time series and wavelets used in the book, as well as information on accessing software in S-Plus and other languages. Students and researchers wishing to use wavelet methods to analyze time series will find this book essential.

Handbook of Longitudinal Research

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080554229
Total Pages : 681 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Longitudinal Research by : Scott Menard

Download or read book Handbook of Longitudinal Research written by Scott Menard and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2007-10-11 with total page 681 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Longitudinal research is a broad field in which substantial advances have been made over the past decade. Unlike many of the existing books that only address the analysis of information. The Handbook of Longitudinal Research covers design and measurement as well as the data analysis. Designed for use by a wide-ranging audience, this Handbook not only includes perspective on the methodological and data analysis problems in longitudinal research but it also includes contributors' data sets that enable readers who lack sophisticated statistics skills to move from theories about longitudinal data into practice. As the comprehensive reference, this Handbook has no direct competition as most books in this subject area are more narrowly specialized and are pitched at a high mathematical level. Contributors and subject areas are interdisciplinary to reach the broadest possible audience (i.e., psychology, epidemiology, and economics research fields) Summary material will be included for less sohisticated readers Extensive coverage is provided of traditional advanced topics

Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191627194
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods by : James Durbin

Download or read book Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods written by James Durbin and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2012-05-03 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edition updates Durbin & Koopman's important text on the state space approach to time series analysis. The distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that observations are regarded as made up of distinct components such as trend, seasonal, regression elements and disturbance terms, each of which is modelled separately. The techniques that emerge from this approach are very flexible and are capable of handling a much wider range of problems than the main analytical system currently in use for time series analysis, the Box-Jenkins ARIMA system. Additions to this second edition include the filtering of nonlinear and non-Gaussian series. Part I of the book obtains the mean and variance of the state, of a variable intended to measure the effect of an interaction and of regression coefficients, in terms of the observations. Part II extends the treatment to nonlinear and non-normal models. For these, analytical solutions are not available so methods are based on simulation.

Alternative Approaches to Economic Theory

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429664516
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Alternative Approaches to Economic Theory by : Victor A. Beker

Download or read book Alternative Approaches to Economic Theory written by Victor A. Beker and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-06-11 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2007–2008 financial crisis exposed the shortcomings of mainstream economic theory with economists unprepared to deal with it. In the face of this, a major rethinking of economics seems necessary and in presenting alternative approaches to economic theory, this book contributes to the rebuilding of the discipline. This volume brings together contributions from different perspectives and theoretical approaches that address the challenge of updating the economic theory corpus and seek to recover prestige for this discipline after the failure of neoclassical economics. It addresses a range of topics, including the complexity approach to economics, category theory, the Post-Keynesian approach to micro and macroeconomics, financialisation, multidimensional analysis and ecological economics. The book is aimed at economics scholars, researchers, academics and practitioners, as well as upper undergraduates and graduates in this area of knowledge. It may also be of interest for people interested in methodological issues in economics and the relationship between economic theory and the real world.

Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230280838
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis by : Steven Durlauf

Download or read book Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-30 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.

Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods

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Publisher : Pearson
ISBN 13 : 9780134995366
Total Pages : 648 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods by : William W. S. Wei

Download or read book Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods written by William W. S. Wei and published by Pearson. This book was released on 2018-03-14 with total page 648 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With its broad coverage of methodology, this comprehensive book is a useful learning and reference tool for those in applied sciences where analysis and research of time series is useful. Its plentiful examples show the operational details and purpose of a variety of univariate and multivariate time series methods. Numerous figures, tables and real-life time series data sets illustrate the models and methods useful for analyzing, modeling, and forecasting data collected sequentially in time. The text also offers a balanced treatment between theory and applications. Time Series Analysis is a thorough introduction to both time-domain and frequency-domain analyses of univariate and multivariate time series methods, with coverage of the most recently developed techniques in the field.

Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128134100
Total Pages : 435 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications by : Massimo Guidolin

Download or read book Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications written by Massimo Guidolin and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2018-05-29 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications serves as an agile reference for upper level students and practitioners who desire a formal, easy-to-follow introduction to the most important time series methods applied in financial applications (pricing, asset management, quant strategies, and risk management). Real-life data and examples developed with EViews illustrate the links between the formal apparatus and the applications. The examples either directly exploit the tools that EViews makes available or use programs that by employing EViews implement specific topics or techniques. The book balances a formal framework with as few proofs as possible against many examples that support its central ideas. Boxes are used throughout to remind readers of technical aspects and definitions and to present examples in a compact fashion, with full details (workout files) available in an on-line appendix. The more advanced chapters provide discussion sections that refer to more advanced textbooks or detailed proofs. - Provides practical, hands-on examples in time-series econometrics - Presents a more application-oriented, less technical book on financial econometrics - Offers rigorous coverage, including technical aspects and references for the proofs, despite being an introduction - Features examples worked out in EViews (9 or higher)