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Adjusting To Transitory Shocks
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Book Synopsis Adjusting to Transitory Shocks by : Ana Margarida Fernandes
Download or read book Adjusting to Transitory Shocks written by Ana Margarida Fernandes and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates worker and firm impacts of foreign shocks, and the income support provided by assistance programs. It exploits quasi-experimental variation in firms' foreign demand resulting from the global financial crisis, using employer-employee data for Brazil in 2004-2017, linked with firm customs and financial data, and administrative data covering the universe of cash transfer, unemployment insurance, and training beneficiaries. Negative employment effects take over a decade to dissipate fully, wage effects persist, and firm restructuring involves occupational adjustment, increasing permanently skilled workers while reducing unskilled workers. Brazilian workers suffer smaller employment losses in highly informal locations and concentrated sectors. Underlying labor scarring is firm scarring caused by selection (exit) and (revenue, employment and productivity) downsizing. Unemployment insurance and cash transfers yield limited wage loss replacement (6 percent). Training does not increase. The evidence shows that a temporary shock induces persistent effects: firm restructuring scars incumbent workers and increases long-run inequality. Firm scarring may be even more severe in less flexible labor markets. Using data from Ecuador, analysis finds that firms do not adjust workforce composition, but they permanently reduce capital which increases scarring.
Book Synopsis Long-term Labor Market Adjustment to Transitory Shocks by : Ana Margarida Fernandes
Download or read book Long-term Labor Market Adjustment to Transitory Shocks written by Ana Margarida Fernandes and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates worker and firm impacts of foreign shocks, and the income support provided by assistance programs. It exploits quasi-experimental variation in firms’ foreign demand resulting from the global financial crisis, using employer-employee data for Brazil in 2004-2017, linked with firm customs and financial data, and administrative data covering the universe of cash transfer, unemployment insurance, and training beneficiaries. Negative employment effects take over a decade to dissipate fully, wage effects persist, and firm restructuring involves occupational adjustment, increasing permanently skilled workers while reducing unskilled workers. Brazilian workers suffer smaller employment losses in highly informal locations and concentrated sectors. Underlying labor scarring is firm scarring caused by selection (exit) and (revenue, employment and productivity) downsizing. Unemployment insurance and cash transfers yield limited wage loss replacement (6 percent). Training does not increase. The evidence shows that a temporary shock induces persistent effects: firm restructuring scars incumbent workers and increases long-run inequality. Firm scarring may be even more severe in less flexible labor markets. Using data from Ecuador, analysis finds that firms do not adjust workforce composition, but they permanently reduce capital which increases scarring.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :9781557752192 Total Pages :340 pages Book Rating :4.7/5 (521 download)
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Models for Adjustment in Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Macroeconomic Models for Adjustment in Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-06-15 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, edited by Mohsin S. Khan, Peter J. Montiel, and Nadeem U. Haque, examines recent IMF-developed empirical macroeconomic models dealing with adjustment and stabilization policies in developing countries. Some models are relevant for specific countries, and others relate to groups of developing countries.
Book Synopsis What drives US foreign borrowings? by : Giancarlo Corsetti
Download or read book What drives US foreign borrowings? written by Giancarlo Corsetti and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Striving for Growth After Adjustment by : Luis Serven
Download or read book Striving for Growth After Adjustment written by Luis Serven and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1993 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the results of about three years of work finished in early 1992 in the area of private investment and macroeconomic adjustment. Its purpose is to explore the macroeconomic determinants of investment and the causes and cures for the gap between maroeconomic adjustment and stabilization and the resumption of economic growth in developing countries, a gap that even today - 10 years after the debt crisis and the subsequent adjustment of the eighties - remains wide. This volume highlights the central role of capital formation (public and private) in the restoration of sustainable growth.
Book Synopsis Adjustment Policies and Investment Performance in Developing Coutries by :
Download or read book Adjustment Policies and Investment Performance in Developing Coutries written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis External Shocks, Adjustment Policies, and Investment by : Delfin S. Go
Download or read book External Shocks, Adjustment Policies, and Investment written by Delfin S. Go and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1991 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Adjustment to Oil Shocks and Fiscal Reform by : Ibrahim Elbadawi
Download or read book Macroeconomic Adjustment to Oil Shocks and Fiscal Reform written by Ibrahim Elbadawi and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1991 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Deep fiscal reform will significantly help Zimbabwe achieve a sustainable debt path, a decline in interest rates paid on public debt and a recovery of private consumption and investment.
Author :Jean-Olivier Hairault Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :1461561736 Total Pages :355 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (615 download)
Book Synopsis Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Stability by : Jean-Olivier Hairault
Download or read book Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Stability written by Jean-Olivier Hairault and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Setting the issue "Most economists consider the marked increase in automatic stabilizers a highly favorable development with respect to maintenance of economic stability". Besides the rare privilege of having being signed by both Milton Friedman and Paul Samuelson (Depres,Friedman, Hart, Samuelson, and Wallace [1950]), among others, this sentence expressed as soon as 1950 the consensus view on the stabilizing effect of fiscal rules governing tax revenue and public expendi tures and transfers. This positive ex ante assessment will have been confirmed ex post as part of the explanation for post war stabilization (Burns [1960], de Long and Summers [1986], Moore and Zarnovitz [1986]). However, it becomes disputed in both its positive and normative aspects. Many institutional changes since the eighties point at curbing back the transfer mechanisms underlying automatic stabilizers, and legal restraints on deficits such as the US balanced budget amendment or the European Maastricht criteria would involve serious risks for the future of stabilizers. Under such rules "the government would become, almost inevitally, a destabilizer rather than a stabilizer" said Joseph Stiglitz, quoted by the New York Times (April 1995)). "Built-in stabilizers are automatic fiscal adjustments that reduce the national income multiplier and thus cushion the effects of changes in autonomous spend ing on the level of income" (Pechman [1987]). Early analyses of the automatic fiscal stabilizers include the contributions of A. G. Hart [1945], R. Musgrave and M. Miller (1948) and E. C. Brown (1955).
Book Synopsis Productivity Growth and Adjustment to Shocks in Local Economies by : Giovanni Peri
Download or read book Productivity Growth and Adjustment to Shocks in Local Economies written by Giovanni Peri and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Economic Adjustment and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries by : Sebastian Edwards
Download or read book Economic Adjustment and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries written by Sebastian Edwards and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In spite of the attention paid exchange rates in recent economic debates on developing countries, relatively few studies have systematically analyzed in detail the various ramifications of exchange rate policy in these countries. In this new volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research, leading economists use rigorous models to tackle various exchange rate issues, while also illuminating policy implications that emerge from their analyses. The volume, divided into four main sections, addresses: the role of exchange rates in stabilization programs and the adjustment process; the importance of exchange rate policy during liberalization reform in developing countries; exchange rate problems relevant and unique to developing countries, illustrated by case studies; and the problems defining, measuring, and identifying determinants of real exchange rates. Authors of individual papers examine the relation between commercial policies and exchange rates, the role of exchange rate policy in stabilization programs, the effectiveness of devaluations as a policy tool, and the interaction between exchange rate terms of trade an capital flow. This research will not only prove crucial to our understanding of the role of exchange rates in developing countries, but will clearly set the standard for future work in the field.
Book Synopsis What Drives US Foreign Borrowing? by : Giancarlo Corsetti
Download or read book What Drives US Foreign Borrowing? written by Giancarlo Corsetti and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Euler Equations, Subjective Expectations and Income Shocks by : Orazio Attanasio
Download or read book Euler Equations, Subjective Expectations and Income Shocks written by Orazio Attanasio and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we make three substantive contributions: first, we use elicited subjective income expectations to identify the levels of permanent and transitory income shocks in a life-cycle framework; second, we use these shocks to assess whether households' consumption is insulated from them; third, we use the shock data to estimate an Euler equation for consumption. We find that households are able to smooth transitory shocks, but adjust their consumption in response to permanent shocks, albeit not fully. The estimates of the Euler equation parameters with and without expectational errors are similar, which is consistent with rational expectations. We break new ground by combining data on subjective expectations about future income from the Michigan Survey with micro data on actual Income from the Consumer Expenditure Survey.
Book Synopsis Private Investment and Macroeconomic Adjustment by : Luis Serven
Download or read book Private Investment and Macroeconomic Adjustment written by Luis Serven and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dynamic Response to Foreign Transfers and Terms-of-trade Shocks in Open Economies by : Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel
Download or read book Dynamic Response to Foreign Transfers and Terms-of-trade Shocks in Open Economies written by Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1992 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both permanent and transitory disturbances can change long- run capacity and output -- although they may have opposite effects on the current account. Liquidity constraints and wage rigidities tend to amplify the cyclical adjustment to external shocks.
Book Synopsis Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations by : Mr.Pau Rabanal
Download or read book Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.
Book Synopsis The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control by : Marco P. Tucci
Download or read book The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control written by Marco P. Tucci and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the major controversies in macroeconomics over the last 30 years has been that on the effectiveness of stabilization policies. However, this debate, between those who believe that this kind of policies is useless if not harmful and those who argue in favor of it, has been mainly theoretical so far. The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control wants to represent a step toward the construction of a common ground on which to empirically compare the two "beliefs" and to do this three strands of literature are brought together. The first strand is the research on time-varying parameters (TVP), the second strand is the work on adaptive control and the third one is the literature on linear stationary models with rational expectations (RE). The material presented in The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control is divided into two parts. Part 1 combines the strand of literature on adaptive control with that on TVP. It generalizes the approach pioneered by Tse and Bar-Shalom (1973) and Kendrick (1981) and one recently used in Amman and Kendrick (2002), where the law of motion of the TVP and the hyperstructural parameters are assumed known, to the case where the hyperstructural parameters are assumed unknown. Part 2 is devoted to the linear single-equation stationary RE model estimated with the error-in-variables (EV) method. It presents a new formulation of this problem based on the use of TVP in an EV model. This new formulation opens the door to a very promising development. All the theory developed in the first part to control a model with TVP can sic et simpliciter be applied to control a model with RE.
