Author : Steffen Rebennack
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (75 download)
Book Synopsis A Unified State-space and Scenario Tree Framework for Multi-stage Stochastic Optimization by : Steffen Rebennack
Download or read book A Unified State-space and Scenario Tree Framework for Multi-stage Stochastic Optimization written by Steffen Rebennack and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ABSTRACT: In the hydro-thermal scheduling problem, one is interested in determining the optimal operating policy for the use of hydro and thermal resources in order to minimize total expected costs of fulfilling the demand for electricity over a given time horizon. Originally proposed in 1991 by Pereira and Pinto, Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) remains to date the most efficient algorithm which is able to cope with inflow uncertainty and a detailed representation of a system's characteristics. In this dissertation, we propose several extensions of the SDDP methodology: We embed the SDDP algorithm into a scenario tree framework, incorporate CO2 emission allowance constraints, and supplement the profit maximization models to account for CO2 emission allowance markets. These extensions allows us to additionally deal with uncertainties related to the evolution of demand and fuel prices. From a practical standpoint, this is an innovation as fuel price and electricity demand uncertainty could not be taken into account efficiently in hydro-thermal power systems so far, and from a technical standpoint, this is a new approach unifying the state-space and scenario tree framework. The importance of such an approach was made evident by the global economic crisis of 2008 when several countries experienced huge variations in demand and faced 13 sudden and sharp increases in fuel costs due to oil price swings, with implications not only on total incurred costs but also regarding security of supply.