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A Smiling Bear In The Equity Options Market And The Cross Section Of Stock Returns
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Book Synopsis A Smiling Bear in the Equity Options Market and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Hye-hyun Park
Download or read book A Smiling Bear in the Equity Options Market and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Hye-hyun Park and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a measure for the convexity of an option-implied volatility curve, IV convexity, as a forward-looking measure of excess tail-risk contribution to the perceived variance of underlying equity returns. Using equity options data for individual U.S.-listed stocks during 2000-2013, we find that the average return differential between the lowest and highest IV convexity quintile portfolios exceeds 1% per month, which is both economically and statistically significant on a risk-adjusted basis. Our empirical findings indicate the contribution of informed options trading to price discovery in terms of the realization of tail-risk aversion in the stock market.
Book Synopsis Option-Implied Equity Risk and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Te-Feng Chen
Download or read book Option-Implied Equity Risk and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Te-Feng Chen and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using forward-looking information in the options market, we introduce a new method for better identifying systematic market risk as a predictor for the cross-section of stock returns. Empirical results show that there is a significantly positive relation between our option-implied beta and subsequent stock returns, in which a long-short portfolio formed on the option-implied beta generates an average monthly risk-adjusted return of 0.96%. In support of its economic significance, we further find that our option-implied beta significantly predicts the future realized betas and that the associated risk premium is a strong predictor of future market returns.
Book Synopsis Differences in Options Investors' Expectations and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Panayiotis C. Andreou
Download or read book Differences in Options Investors' Expectations and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Panayiotis C. Andreou and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide strong evidence that the dispersion of individual stock options trading volume across moneynesses (IDISP) contains valuable information about future stock returns. Stocks with high IDISP consistently underperform those with low IDISP by more than 1% per month. In line with the idea that IDISP reflects dispersion in investors' beliefs, we find that the negative IDISP-return relationship is particularly pronounced around earnings announcements, in high sentiment periods and among stocks that exhibit relatively high short-selling impediments. Moreover, the IDISP effect is highly persistent and robustly distinct from the effects of a large array of previously documented cross-sectional return predictors.
Book Synopsis The Joint Cross Section of Stocks and Options by : Byeong-Je An
Download or read book The Joint Cross Section of Stocks and Options written by Byeong-Je An and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stocks with large increases in call implied volatilities over the previous month tend to have high future returns while stocks with large increases in put implied volatilities over the previous month tend to have low future returns. Sorting stocks ranked into decile portfolios by past call implied volatilities produces spreads in average returns of approximately 1% per month, and the return differences persist up to six months. The cross section of stock returns also predicts option-implied volatilities, with stocks with high past returns tending to have call and put option contracts which exhibit increases in implied volatility over the next month, but with decreasing realized volatility. These predictability patterns are consistent with rational models of informed trading.
Book Synopsis Informed Traders, Long-Dated Options, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns by : Mark Clements
Download or read book Informed Traders, Long-Dated Options, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Mark Clements and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Option prices predict the cross section of equity returns. We show that, unconditionally, the prices of long-dated options contain all the information relevant for predicting returns. Information, however, shifts towards short-dated options when an earnings announcement is imminent and when options are cheap to trade. The difference between short- and long-dated options also predicts the timing of merger announcements. Our results are consistent with option prices reflecting the actions of informed traders, and with these traders optimally choosing option maturities to maximize the value of their information.
Book Synopsis The Bulls and Bears in the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Cheekiat Low
Download or read book The Bulls and Bears in the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Cheekiat Low and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many financial decision-makers seem to regard risk as the variability of returns below some pre-specified target and treat above-target variability as a sweetener. The disutility from losses also appears to be larger than the utility from gains. Using some simple metrics of downside bearishness and upside bullishness constructed from semivariances, this paper tests for the empirical content of this asymmetry. Some of these simple metrics are priced in the U.S. stock market. In particular, exploring a composite metric of asymmetric risk reveals that non-linearity in the covariation of stock returns with bullish and bearish states of the market carries a significant price. Also, market premium for bearishness is larger in magnitude than that for bullishness, lending support to the existence of loss aversion in the aggregate. While small-cap stocks tend to be more bearish than bullish, the asymmetric risk effect is not spuriously driven by the size effect. Finally, some results consistent with an aymmetric-risk-based explanation for the puzzles of return momentum and reversal are presented.
Book Synopsis What Does Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns? by : Xiaoyan Zhang
Download or read book What Does Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns? written by Xiaoyan Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The shape of the volatility smirk has significant cross-sectional predictive power for future equity returns. Stocks exhibiting the steepest smirks in their traded options underperform stocks with the least pronounced volatility smirks in their options by around 10.9% per year on a risk-adjusted basis. This predictability persists for at least six months, and firms with the steepest volatility smirks are those experiencing the worst earnings shocks in the following quarter. The results are consistent with the notion that informed traders with negative news prefer to trade out-of-the-money put options, and that the equity market is slow in incorporating the information embedded in volatility smirks.
Book Synopsis Liquidity and Asset Prices by : Yakov Amihud
Download or read book Liquidity and Asset Prices written by Yakov Amihud and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2006 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Liquidity and Asset Prices reviews the literature that studies the relationship between liquidity and asset prices. The authors review the theoretical literature that predicts how liquidity affects a security's required return and discuss the empirical connection between the two. Liquidity and Asset Prices surveys the theory of liquidity-based asset pricing followed by the empirical evidence. The theory section proceeds from basic models with exogenous holding periods to those that incorporate additional elements of risk and endogenous holding periods. The empirical section reviews the evidence on the liquidity premium for stocks, bonds, and other financial assets.
Book Synopsis Stock Return Characteristics, Skew Laws, and the Differential Pricing of Individual Equity Options by : Gurdip Bakshi
Download or read book Stock Return Characteristics, Skew Laws, and the Differential Pricing of Individual Equity Options written by Gurdip Bakshi and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article provides several new insights into the economic sources of skewness. First, we document the differential pricing of individual equity options versus the market index, and relate it to variations in return skewness. Second, we show how risk aversion introduces skewness in the risk-neutral density. Third, we derive laws that decompose individual return skewness into a systematic component and an idiosyncratic component. Empirical analysis of OEX options and 30 stocks demonstrates that individual risk-neutral distributions differ from that of the market index by being far less negatively skewed. This paper explains the presence and evolution of risk-neutral skewness over time and in the cross-section of individual stocks.
Book Synopsis Efficiency and the Bear by : Arturo Bris
Download or read book Efficiency and the Bear written by Arturo Bris and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze cross-sectional and time series information from forty-seven equity markets around the world, to consider whether short-sales restrictions affect the efficiency of the market, and the distributional characteristics of returns to individual stocks and market indices. Using the approach developed in Morck et.al. (2000) we find significantly more cross-sectional variation in equity returns in markets where short selling is feasible and practiced, controlling for a host of other factors. This evidence is consistent with more efficient price discovery at the individual security level. A common conjecture by regulators is that short-selling restrictions can reduce the relative severity of a market panic. We test this conjecture by examining the skewness of market returns. We find that in markets where short selling is either prohibited or not practiced, returns display significantly less negative skewness, and the frequency of extreme negative returns is lower. On the other hand, the overall volatility of individual returns and market returns is higher
Book Synopsis Parallels between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns by : Clifford S. Asness
Download or read book Parallels between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns written by Clifford S. Asness and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Book-to-market ratio (BE/ME), market equity (ME), and one- year past return (momentum) (MOM) help explain the cross- section of expected individual stock returns within the U.S. and within other countries. Examining equity markets as a whole, in contrast to individual stocks, we uncover strong parallels between the explanatory power of these variables for individual stocks and for countries. First, country versions of BE/ME, ME, and MOM help explain the cross-section of expected country returns. Second, the January seasonal in ME's explanatory power for stocks also appears for countries. Third, portfolios formed by sorting stocks and countries on these variables produce similar patterns in profitability before and after the portfolio formation date.
Book Synopsis Why Does the Ratio of Book to Market Value of Equity Explain Cross-section Stock Returns? by : George Bulkley
Download or read book Why Does the Ratio of Book to Market Value of Equity Explain Cross-section Stock Returns? written by George Bulkley and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Trading Volatility by : Colin Bennett
Download or read book Trading Volatility written by Colin Bennett and published by . This book was released on 2014-08-17 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication aims to fill the void between books providing an introduction to derivatives, and advanced books whose target audience are members of quantitative modelling community. In order to appeal to the widest audience, this publication tries to assume the least amount of prior knowledge. The content quickly moves onto more advanced subjects in order to concentrate on more practical and advanced topics. "A master piece to learn in a nutshell all the essentials about volatility with a practical and lively approach. A must read!" Carole Bernard, Equity Derivatives Specialist at Bloomberg "This book could be seen as the 'volatility bible'!" Markus-Alexander Flesch, Head of Sales & Marketing at Eurex "I highly recommend this book both for those new to the equity derivatives business, and for more advanced readers. The balance between theory and practice is struck At-The-Money" Paul Stephens, Head of Institutional Marketing at CBOE "One of the best resources out there for the volatility community" Paul Britton, CEO and Founder of Capstone Investment Advisors "Colin has managed to convey often complex derivative and volatility concepts with an admirable simplicity, a welcome change from the all-too-dense tomes one usually finds on the subject" Edmund Shing PhD, former Proprietary Trader at BNP Paribas "In a crowded space, Colin has supplied a useful and concise guide" Gary Delany, Director Europe at the Options Industry Council
Book Synopsis The Relationship Between the Option-Implied Volatility Smile, Stock Returns and Heterogeneous Beliefs by : Shu Feng
Download or read book The Relationship Between the Option-Implied Volatility Smile, Stock Returns and Heterogeneous Beliefs written by Shu Feng and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the relationship between stock returns and the implied volatility smile slope of call and put options. Stocks with a steeper put slope earn lower future returns, while stocks with a steeper call slope earn higher future returns. Using dispersion of opinion as a proxy for belief differences, we find that the slope-stock return relation is strongest for stocks with high belief differences. The idiosyncratic component of the put slope fully explains the negative risk-adjusted stock returns. For the call slope, the idiosyncratic component dominates the systematic one, and explains the positive risk-adjusted returns.
Book Synopsis Early Resolution of Uncertainty by : Kevin Aretz
Download or read book Early Resolution of Uncertainty written by Kevin Aretz and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We offer evidence that exposures to consumption growth, expected consumption growth, and consumption volatility are significantly priced in the cross-section of delta-hedged option and straddle returns. Consumption growth and expected consumption growth command a positive risk premium, whereas consumption volatility commands a negative risk premium. In a representative-agent economy with recursive preferences, our results suggest that investors prefer early resolution of uncertainty. Our results further suggest that consumption risk exposures provide rational foundations for well-known relations between option moneyness or idiosyncratic underlying-stock volatility and the cross-section of delta-hedged option or straddle returns.
Book Synopsis The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence by : Andrew Ang
Download or read book The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence written by Andrew Ang and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2011 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) asserts that, at all times, the price of a security reflects all available information about its fundamental value. The implication of the EMH for investors is that, to the extent that speculative trading is costly, speculation must be a loser's game. Hence, under the EMH, a passive strategy is bound eventually to beat a strategy that uses active management, where active management is characterized as trading that seeks to exploit mispriced assets relative to a risk-adjusted benchmark. The EMH has been refined over the past several decades to reflect the realism of the marketplace, including costly information, transactions costs, financing, agency costs, and other real-world frictions. The most recent expressions of the EMH thus allow a role for arbitrageurs in the market who may profit from their comparative advantages. These advantages may include specialized knowledge, lower trading costs, low management fees or agency costs, and a financing structure that allows the arbitrageur to undertake trades with long verification periods. The actions of these arbitrageurs cause liquid securities markets to be generally fairly efficient with respect to information, despite some notable anomalies.
Book Synopsis Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion by : Jens Carsten Jackwerth
Download or read book Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion written by Jens Carsten Jackwerth and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
