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A Regime Switching Long Memory Model For Electricity Prices
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Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices by : Rafal Weron
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices written by Rafal Weron and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-01-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.
Book Synopsis Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems by : Mohamed E. El-Hawary
Download or read book Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems written by Mohamed E. El-Hawary and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-07-12 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of state-of-the-art approaches to power systems forecasting from the most respected names in the field, internationally Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is the first book devoted exclusively to a subject of increasing urgency to power systems planning and operations. Written for practicing engineers, researchers, and post-grads concerned with power systems planning and forecasting, this book brings together contributions from many of the world’s foremost names in the field who address a range of critical issues, from forecasting power system load to power system pricing to post-storm service restoration times, river flow forecasting, and more. In a time of ever-increasing energy demands, mounting concerns over the environmental impacts of power generation, and the emergence of new, smart-grid technologies, electricity price forecasting has assumed a prominent role within both the academic and industrial arenas. Short-run forecasting of electricity prices has become necessary for power generation unit schedule, since it is the basis of every maximization strategy. This book fills a gap in the literature on this increasingly important topic. Following an introductory chapter offering background information necessary for a full understanding of the forecasting issues covered, this book: Introduces advanced methods of time series forecasting, as well as neural networks Provides in-depth coverage of state-of-the-art power system load forecasting and electricity price forecasting Addresses river flow forecasting based on autonomous neural network models Deals with price forecasting in a competitive market Includes estimation of post-storm restoration times for electric power distribution systems Features contributions from world-renowned experts sharing their insights and expertise in a series of self-contained chapters Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is a valuable resource for practicing engineers, regulators, planners, and consultants working in or concerned with the electric power industry. It is also a must read for senior undergraduates, graduate students, and researchers involved in power system planning and operation.
Book Synopsis Quantitative Methods for Electricity Trading and Risk Management by : S. Fiorenzani
Download or read book Quantitative Methods for Electricity Trading and Risk Management written by S. Fiorenzani and published by Springer. This book was released on 2006-01-31 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents practical Risk Management and Trading applications for the Electricity Markets. Various methodologies developed over the last few years are considered and current literature is reviewed. The book emphasizes the relationship between trading, hedging and generation asset management.
Book Synopsis Statistical Modelling and Regression Structures by : Thomas Kneib
Download or read book Statistical Modelling and Regression Structures written by Thomas Kneib and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-01-12 with total page 486 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributions collected in this book have been written by well-known statisticians to acknowledge Ludwig Fahrmeir's far-reaching impact on Statistics as a science, while celebrating his 65th birthday. The contributions cover broad areas of contemporary statistical model building, including semiparametric and geoadditive regression, Bayesian inference in complex regression models, time series modelling, statistical regularization, graphical models and stochastic volatility models.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Energy Economics and Policy by : Alessandro Rubino
Download or read book Handbook of Energy Economics and Policy written by Alessandro Rubino and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Energy Economics and Policy: Fundamentals and Applications for Engineers and Energy Planners presents energy engineers and managers with analytical skills and concepts that enable them to apply simple economic logic to understand the interrelations between energy technologies, economics, regulation and governance of the industry. Sections cover the origins, types and measurement of energy sources, transportation networks, and regulatory and policy issues on electricity and gas at a global level, new economic and policy issues, including innovation processes in the energy industry and economic and policy implications. Final sections cover state-of-the-art methods for modeling and predicting the dynamics of energy systems. Its unique approach and learning path makes this book an ideal resource for energy engineering practitioners and researchers working to design, develop, plan or deploy energy systems. Energy planners and policymakers will also find this to be a solid foundation on which to base decisions. Presents key-concepts and their interrelation with energy technologies and systems in a clear way for ready application during planning and deployment of energy technologies and systems Includes global case studies covering a wide array of energy sources and regulatory models Explores methodologies for modeling and forecasting the impacts of energy technologies and systems, as well as their costs and possible business models
Book Synopsis Statistics for Long-Memory Processes by : Jan Beran
Download or read book Statistics for Long-Memory Processes written by Jan Beran and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1994-10-01 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Methods for Long Term Memory Processes covers the diverse statistical methods and applications for data with long-range dependence. Presenting material that previously appeared only in journals, the author provides a concise and effective overview of probabilistic foundations, statistical methods, and applications. The material emphasizes basic principles and practical applications and provides an integrated perspective of both theory and practice. This book explores data sets from a wide range of disciplines, such as hydrology, climatology, telecommunications engineering, and high-precision physical measurement. The data sets are conveniently compiled in the index, and this allows readers to view statistical approaches in a practical context. Statistical Methods for Long Term Memory Processes also supplies S-PLUS programs for the major methods discussed. This feature allows the practitioner to apply long memory processes in daily data analysis. For newcomers to the area, the first three chapters provide the basic knowledge necessary for understanding the remainder of the material. To promote selective reading, the author presents the chapters independently. Combining essential methodologies with real-life applications, this outstanding volume is and indispensable reference for statisticians and scientists who analyze data with long-range dependence.
Book Synopsis Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics by : Terence C. Mills
Download or read book Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics written by Terence C. Mills and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-06-25 with total page 1406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following theseminal Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics: Volume I , this second volume brings together the finestacademicsworking in econometrics today andexploresapplied econometrics, containing contributions onsubjects includinggrowth/development econometrics and applied econometrics and computing.
Book Synopsis The Econometrics of Energy Systems by : Jacques Girod
Download or read book The Econometrics of Energy Systems written by Jacques Girod and published by Springer. This book was released on 2006-12-14 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The complexity and volatility of energy markets creates strong demand for quantitative analysis and econometric techniques. This book offers an introduction to the state of the art in econometric modelling applied to the most pertinent issues in today's energy markets for a better understanding of the working of energy systems and energy economics.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of COMPSTAT'2010 by : Yves Lechevallier
Download or read book Proceedings of COMPSTAT'2010 written by Yves Lechevallier and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-08 with total page 627 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Proceedings of the 19th international symposium on computational statistics, held in Paris august 22-27, 2010.Together with 3 keynote talks, there were 14 invited sessions and more than 100 peer-reviewed contributed communications.
Book Synopsis The Interrelationship Between Financial and Energy Markets by : Sofia Ramos
Download or read book The Interrelationship Between Financial and Energy Markets written by Sofia Ramos and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-09 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last decade, energy markets have developed substantially due to the growing activity of financial investors. One consequence of this massive presence of investors is a stronger link between the hitherto segmented energy and financial markets. This book addresses some of the recent developments in the interrelationship between financial and energy markets. It aims to further the understanding of the rich interplay between financial and energy markets by presenting several empirical studies that illustrate and discuss some of the main issues on this agenda.
Book Synopsis Advances in Theoretical and Applied Statistics by : Nicola Torelli
Download or read book Advances in Theoretical and Applied Statistics written by Nicola Torelli and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-26 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume includes contributions selected after a double blind review process and presented as a preliminary version at the 45th Meeting of the Italian Statistical Society. The papers provide significant and innovative original contributions and cover a broad range of topics including: statistical theory; methods for time series and spatial data; statistical modeling and data analysis; survey methodology and official statistics; analysis of social, demographic and health data; and economic statistics and econometrics.
Book Synopsis Economics: Advances in Research and Application: 2011 Edition by :
Download or read book Economics: Advances in Research and Application: 2011 Edition written by and published by ScholarlyEditions. This book was released on 2012-01-09 with total page 593 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economics: Advances in Research and Application: 2011 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ eBook that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Economics and Organizations. The editors have built Economics: Advances in Research and Application: 2011 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Economics and Organizations in this eBook to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Economics: Advances in Research and Application: 2011 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.
Book Synopsis Data Analysis and Classification by : Francesco Palumbo
Download or read book Data Analysis and Classification written by Francesco Palumbo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-03-14 with total page 473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume provides results from the latest methodological developments in data analysis and classification and highlights new emerging subjects within the field. It contains articles about statistical models, classification, cluster analysis, multidimensional scaling, multivariate analysis, latent variables, knowledge extraction from temporal data, financial and economic applications, and missing values. Papers cover both theoretical and empirical aspects.
Book Synopsis Optimization in the Energy Industry by : Josef Kallrath
Download or read book Optimization in the Energy Industry written by Josef Kallrath and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-25 with total page 537 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a broad, in-depth overview that reflects the requirements, possibilities and limits of mathematical optimization and, especially, stochastic optimization in the energy industry.
Book Synopsis The Economics and Econometrics of the Energy-Growth Nexus by : Angeliki Menegaki
Download or read book The Economics and Econometrics of the Energy-Growth Nexus written by Angeliki Menegaki and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2018-03-29 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Economics and Econometrics of the Energy-Growth Nexus recognizes that research in the energy-growth nexus field is heterogeneous and controversial. To make studies in the field as comparable as possible, chapters cover aggregate energy and disaggregate energy consumption and single country and multiple country analysis. As a foundational resource that helps researchers answer fundamental questions about their energy-growth projects, it combines theory and practice to classify and summarize the literature and explain the econometrics of the energy-growth nexus. The book provides order and guidance, enabling researchers to feel confident that they are adhering to widely accepted assumptions and procedures. Provides guidance about selecting and implementing econometric tools and interpreting empirical findings Equips researchers to get clearer pictures of the most robust relationships between variables Covers up-to-date empirical and econometric methods Combines theory and practice to classify and summarize the literature and explain the econometrics of the energy-growth nexus
Book Synopsis Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott
Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-04-05 with total page 567 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike
Book Synopsis Nonstationary Systems: Theory and Applications by : Fakher Chaari
Download or read book Nonstationary Systems: Theory and Applications written by Fakher Chaari and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-07-21 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an overview of current and recent methods for the analysis of the nonstationary processes, focusing on cyclostationary systems that are ubiquitous in various application fields. Based on the 13th Workshop on Nonstationary Systems and Their Applications, held on February 3-5, 2020, in Grodek nad Dunajcem, Poland, the book merges theoretical contributions describing new statistical and intelligent methods for analyzing nonstationary processes, and applied works showing how the proposed methods can be implemented in practice and do perform in real-world case studies. A significant part of the book is dedicated to nonstationary systems applications, with a special emphasis on those in condition monitoring.
