A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505663
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks by : Mr.Nassim N. Taleb

Download or read book A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks written by Mr.Nassim N. Taleb and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a simple heuristic measure of tail risk, which is applied to individual bank stress tests and to public debt. Stress testing can be seen as a first order test of the level of potential negative outcomes in response to tail shocks. However, the results of stress testing can be misleading in the presence of model error and the uncertainty attending parameters and their estimation. The heuristic can be seen as a second order stress test to detect nonlinearities in the tails that can lead to fragility, i.e., provide additional information on the robustness of stress tests. It also shows how the measure can be used to assess the robustness of public debt forecasts, an important issue in many countries. The heuristic measure outlined here can be used in a variety of situations to ascertain an ordinal ranking of fragility to tail risks.

Goals-Based Portfolio Theory

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119906121
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Goals-Based Portfolio Theory by : Franklin J. Parker

Download or read book Goals-Based Portfolio Theory written by Franklin J. Parker and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-11-29 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An in-depth overview of investing in the real world In Goals-Based Portfolio Theory, award-winning Chartered Financial Analyst® Franklin J. Parker delivers an insightful and eye-opening discussion of how real people can navigate the financial jungle and achieve their financial goals. The book accepts the reality that the typical investor has specific funding requirements within specified periods of time and a limited amount of wealth to dedicate to those objectives. It then works within those limits to show you how to build an investment portfolio that maximizes the possibility you’ll achieve your goals, as well as how to manage the tradeoffs between your goals. In the book, you’ll find: Strategies for incorporating taxation and rebalancing into a goals-based portfolio A discussion of the major non-financial risks faced by people engaged in private wealth management An incisive prediction of what the future of wealth management and investment management may look like An indispensable exploration of investing as it actually works in the real world for real people, Goals-Based Portfolio Theory belongs in the library of all investors and their advisors who want to maximize the chances of meeting financial goals.

IMF Research Bulletin, December 2012

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475540868
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Research Bulletin, December 2012 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, December 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-12-14 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Research Summaries in the December 2012 IMF Research Bulletin look at "Market Failures and Macroprudential Policy" (Giovanni Favara and Lev Ratnovski) and "Measurement Matters for House Price Indices" (Mick Silver). The Q&A column looks at "Seven Questions on Turning Points of the Global Business Cycle." The Bulletin also includes a listing of recent IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes, as well as a list of the top-viewed articles for the first three issues of IMF Economic Review in 2012. Information is also included on a call for papers for the conference "Asia: Challenges of Stability and Growth" to be held in Seoul in 2013.

Modifications to the Current List of Financial Soundness Indicators

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498341098
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Modifications to the Current List of Financial Soundness Indicators by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Modifications to the Current List of Financial Soundness Indicators written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-14 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this paper is to inform Executive Directors on the outcomes of consultations conducted by the IMF’s Statistics Department (STA) on revising the current list of FSIs in response to the global financial crisis and the adoption of a new regulatory framework under the Basel III Accord. In addition, the G-20 Data Gaps Initiative calls on the IMF to review the FSI list (Recommendation no. 2). STA has undertaken these consultations in close collaboration with a broad-based group of national and international experts, international standard setting bodies, IMF’s relevant departments and all FSI-reporting countries and concerned international organizations

Fooled by Randomness

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Publisher : Editeurs divers USA
ISBN 13 : 0399590455
Total Pages : 1570 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Fooled by Randomness by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Fooled by Randomness written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Editeurs divers USA. This book was released on 2016 with total page 1570 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series is an investigation of luck, uncertainty, probability, opacity, human error, risk, disorder, and decision-making in a world we don't understand, in nonoverlapping and standalone books. All four volumes--Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and the expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes, updated with more than 50 percent new material--are now together in one boxed set. ANTIFRAGILE "Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides."--The Wall Street Journal Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, many things in life benefit from disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls "antifragile" is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. What is crucial is that the antifragile loves errors, as it incurs small harm and large benefits from them. Spanning politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine in an interdisciplinary and erudite style, Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. THE BLACK SWAN "[A book] that altered modern thinking."--The Times (London) A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows that black swan events underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives, and yet we--especially the experts--are blind to them. FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS "[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church."--Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? Fooled by Randomness is about luck: more precisely, about how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill--the markets--Fooled by Randomness is an irreverent, eye-opening, and endlessly entertaining exploration of one of the least understood forces in our lives. THE BED OF PROCRUSTES "Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems."--Financial Times This collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses Taleb's major ideas in ways you least expect. The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical views of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness.

Antifragile

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Author :
Publisher : Random House
ISBN 13 : 0679645276
Total Pages : 545 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (796 download)

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Book Synopsis Antifragile by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Antifragile written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House. This book was released on 2012-11-27 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear. Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Praise for Antifragile “Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.”—The Economist “A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek

A New Approach to Tail Risk

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis A New Approach to Tail Risk by : Ana Cascon

Download or read book A New Approach to Tail Risk written by Ana Cascon and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the fundamental requirements of investment management is the ability to assess risk and to adjust exposure to control tail risk, the risk of larger than acceptable losses. Since the onset of the recent credit crisis, the effects of widespread failure of standard techniques for tail risk management have been an almost daily feature in the financial news.The most widely used approach to risk assessment by large financial institutions is the statistical tool known as Value at Risk (VaR). In fact, VaR is the risk measure commonly accepted by bank regulators in the banks' internal models for regulatory capital calculations (International Money Fund 2007). Conventional VaR and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) are useful, however, only if their implementation is consistent with the nature of the data. Conventional VaR and CVaR assume that data come from a normal distribution. We examine some of the failings of using this approach with tail risk in a number of examples from 2007 and 2008.To make VaR and CVaR work, it is important to correctly identify the nature of the tails that these techniques try to estimate. For this we introduce tail risk bands, a practical risk measurement tool that categorizes risk levels and identifies assets and market conditions for which conventional VaR cannot be expected to adequately represent downside risk.We illustrate our approach on daily data from equity markets and monthly data from hedge funds. In particular we show that this analysis provided warning of the riskiness of AIG, JPMorgan Chase, Lehman Brothers, the S&P 500 Index, and other equity indexes well in advance of the credit crisis. For the cases where tail risk bands indicate that the conventional VaR model cannot work, we provide a simple, easy-to-implement alternative. This is appropriate in the case of moderately heavy tails, which are common in financial data. This alternative is easily substituted for the standard approach and, as we show in a number of examples, provides a more realistic estimate of risk. We show that this can be used to make risk-adjusted comparisons of assets, using Berkshire Hathaway and JPMorgan Chase shares and the S&P 500 Index as examples. Finally, we provide evidence that during periods of unusual market turmoil only specialized techniques designed to deal with the statistics of extremes are likely to adequately assess the probability or the size of large losses.

Antifragile

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Author :
Publisher : Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 13 : 0812979680
Total Pages : 546 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Antifragile by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Antifragile written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House Trade Paperbacks. This book was released on 2014-01-28 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear. Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Praise for Antifragile “Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.”—The Economist “A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek

Incerto

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Publisher : Random House Trade
ISBN 13 : 059324365X
Total Pages : 1873 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (932 download)

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Book Synopsis Incerto by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Incerto written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House Trade. This book was released on 2021-05-04 with total page 1873 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The landmark five-book series--all together in one boxed set The Incerto is an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don't understand the world, expressed in the form of a personal essay with autobiographical sections, stories, parables, and philosophical, historical, and scientific discussions, in non-overlapping volumes that can be accessed in any order. The main thread is that while there is inordinate uncertainty about what is going on, there is great certainty as to what one should do about it. This boxed set includes: FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS THE BLACK SWAN THE BED OF PROCRUSTES ANTIFRAGILE SKIN IN THE GAME

Succeeding with AI

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Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1638356319
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (383 download)

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Book Synopsis Succeeding with AI by : Veljko Krunic

Download or read book Succeeding with AI written by Veljko Krunic and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2020-03-15 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Summary Companies small and large are initiating AI projects, investing vast sums of money on software, developers, and data scientists. Too often, these AI projects focus on technology at the expense of actionable or tangible business results, resulting in scattershot results and wasted investment. Succeeding with AI sets out a blueprint for AI projects to ensure they are predictable, successful, and profitable. It’s filled with practical techniques for running data science programs that ensure they’re cost effective and focused on the right business goals. Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications. About the technology Succeeding with AI requires talent, tools, and money. So why do many well-funded, state-of-the-art projects fail to deliver meaningful business value? Because talent, tools, and money aren’t enough: You also need to know how to ask the right questions. In this unique book, AI consultant Veljko Krunic reveals a tested process to start AI projects right, so you’ll get the results you want. About the book Succeeding with AI sets out a framework for planning and running cost-effective, reliable AI projects that produce real business results. This practical guide reveals secrets forged during the author’s experience with dozens of startups, established businesses, and Fortune 500 giants that will help you establish meaningful, achievable goals. In it you’ll master a repeatable process to maximize the return on data-scientist hours and learn to implement effectiveness metrics for keeping projects on track and resistant to calcification. What's inside Where to invest for maximum payoff How AI projects are different from other software projects Catching early warnings in time to correct course Exercises and examples based on real-world business dilemmas About the reader For project and business leadership, result-focused data scientists, and engineering teams. No AI knowledge required. About the author Veljko Krunic is a data science consultant, has a computer science PhD, and is a certified Six Sigma Master Black Belt. Table of Contents: 1. Introduction 2. How to use AI in your business 3. Choosing your first AI project 4. Linking business and technology 5. What is an ML pipeline, and how does it affect an AI project? 6. Analyzing an ML pipeline 7. Guiding an AI project to success 8. AI trends that may affect you

Why are the G-20 Data Gaps Initiative and the SDDS Plus Relevant for Financial Stability Analysis?

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475530560
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Why are the G-20 Data Gaps Initiative and the SDDS Plus Relevant for Financial Stability Analysis? by : Mr.Robert M. Heath

Download or read book Why are the G-20 Data Gaps Initiative and the SDDS Plus Relevant for Financial Stability Analysis? written by Mr.Robert M. Heath and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-11 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the wake of the recent global crisis the international community is giving an increased focus on stability of the financial system, so-called financial stability analysis. With the increasing need for data sets to undertake this analysis, the question naturally arises as to what types of data are needed? While various data initiatives are underway, two initiatives at the forefront are: (1) the IMF/FSB G-20 Data Gaps Initiative (DGI) created by the international statistical community and endorsed by the G-20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors as well as the IMF’s International Monetary and Financial Committee, and (2) the new Special Data Dissemination Standard Plus (SDDS Plus), aimed particularly at economies with systemically important financial sectors. This paper explains the relevance of the DGI for financial stability analysis and the close link with the SDDS Plus. The importance of the SDDS Plus in promoting the dissemination to the public of a core set of data for financial stability analysis is emphasized.

Minnesota Law Review

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 516 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Minnesota Law Review by :

Download or read book Minnesota Law Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2014-06 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Balance of Power Between Russia and NATO in the Arctic and High North

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Author :
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000772330
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis The Balance of Power Between Russia and NATO in the Arctic and High North by : Sidharth Kausha

Download or read book The Balance of Power Between Russia and NATO in the Arctic and High North written by Sidharth Kausha and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-06-21 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The resurgence of Russian power in the Arctic and High North will be a key consideration for NATO planners. The Alliance’s northern flank represents both a potential vulnerability due to its relative isolation and an area in which NATO enjoys options for horizontal escalation in a conflict. Moreover, as the effects of climate change create opportunities for both navigation and resource extraction, peacetime control over the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and a contest to establish effective administrative control in this area are likely. Disagreements regarding the degree of Russia’s jurisdiction over the NSR could, for example, simmer into a form of sub-threshold competition. The purpose of this Whitehall Paper will be to examine the balance of power between NATO and Russia in this critical region in order to establish the level of ambition that the capabilities being developed by Russia can support.

Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial Institutions

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108756484
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (87 download)

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Book Synopsis Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial Institutions by : David Lynch

Download or read book Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial Institutions written by David Lynch and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-12-31 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial models are an inescapable feature of modern financial markets. Yet it was over reliance on these models and the failure to test them properly that is now widely recognized as one of the main causes of the financial crisis of 2007–2011. Since this crisis, there has been an increase in the amount of scrutiny and testing applied to such models, and validation has become an essential part of model risk management at financial institutions. The book covers all of the major risk areas that a financial institution is exposed to and uses models for, including market risk, interest rate risk, retail credit risk, wholesale credit risk, compliance risk, and investment management. The book discusses current practices and pitfalls that model risk users need to be aware of and identifies areas where validation can be advanced in the future. This provides the first unified framework for validating risk management models.

The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198732244
Total Pages : 625 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management by : Bent Flyvbjerg

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management written by Bent Flyvbjerg and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 625 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook provides state-of-the-art scholarship in the emerging field of megaproject management. The 25 chapters cover all aspects of megaproject management, from front-end planning to project delivery, including how to deal with stakeholders, risk, finance, complexity, innovation, governance, ethics, project breakdowns, and scale itself.

Dynamic Hedging

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471152804
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (528 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Hedging by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Dynamic Hedging written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1997-01-14 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Destined to become a market classic, Dynamic Hedging is the only practical reference in exotic options hedgingand arbitrage for professional traders and money managers Watch the professionals. From central banks to brokerages to multinationals, institutional investors are flocking to a new generation of exotic and complex options contracts and derivatives. But the promise of ever larger profits also creates the potential for catastrophic trading losses. Now more than ever, the key to trading derivatives lies in implementing preventive risk management techniques that plan for and avoid these appalling downturns. Unlike other books that offer risk management for corporate treasurers, Dynamic Hedging targets the real-world needs of professional traders and money managers. Written by a leading options trader and derivatives risk advisor to global banks and exchanges, this book provides a practical, real-world methodology for monitoring and managing all the risks associated with portfolio management. Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the founder of Empirica Capital LLC, a hedge fund operator, and a fellow at the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York University. He has held a variety of senior derivative trading positions in New York and London and worked as an independent floor trader in Chicago. Dr. Taleb was inducted in February 2001 in the Derivatives Strategy Hall of Fame. He received an MBA from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from University Paris-Dauphine.

Extremes

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108457002
Total Pages : 187 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Extremes by : Duncan Needham

Download or read book Extremes written by Duncan Needham and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-03-07 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essays by leading intellectuals and public figures explore extreme events, environments, and achievements.