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A Dynamic Model For Housing Price Spillovers With An Evidence From The Us And The Uk Markets
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Book Synopsis A Dynamic Model for Housing Price Spillovers with an Evidence from the US and the UK Markets by : Alper Ozun
Download or read book A Dynamic Model for Housing Price Spillovers with an Evidence from the US and the UK Markets written by Alper Ozun and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Purpose - The purpose of ...
Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies by : Canh Thien Dang
Download or read book Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies written by Canh Thien Dang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-10-07 with total page 1874 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings volume contains papers accepted by the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies (CONF-BPS 2023), which are carefully selected and reviewed by professional reviewers from corresponding research fields and the editorial team of the conference. This volume presents the latest research achievements, inspirations, and applications in applied economy, finance, enterprise management, public administration, and policy studies. CONF-BPS 2023 was a hybrid conference that includes several workshops (offline and online) around the world in Cardiff (Jan, 2023), London(Feb, 2023) and Sydney (Feb, 2023). Prof. Canh Thien Dang from King's College London, Prof. Arman Eshraghi from Cardiff Business School, and Prof. Kristle Romero Cortés from UNSW Business School have chaired those offline workshop.
Book Synopsis Global Housing Markets and Monetary Policy Spillovers by : Scott Luo
Download or read book Global Housing Markets and Monetary Policy Spillovers written by Scott Luo and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are the driving forces of housing market volatilities across countries within the context of financial globalization? To address this broad question, we integrate the Campbell-Shiller decomposition with a dynamic factor model and apply this approach to the housing price-rent ratios in 17 OECD countries. Our novel approach allows us not only to assess geographically the relative importance of global and country-specific factors in explaining the housing market volatilities, but also to distinguish economically between those housing market volatilities attributable to different economic driving forces including the expected rent growth, the expected risk free rate, and the housing risk premium, within global and country-specific factors respectively. We find that the housing market volatility for an average country is mainly driven by the global factors, especially during the years leading up to the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Furthermore, among the global factors it is the global housing risk premium component that is primarily responsible for the housing market volatility. Using a Structural Vector-Autoregressive (SVAR) model identified through the instrumental variable method, we find that an unexpected U.S. monetary policy tightening is typically followed by a persistent and statistically significant rise in the global housing risk premium with some lag to a run-up of the U.S. housing risk premium. Moreover, the local factor in U.S. housing risk premium tends to go up sharply around 2 years before a U.S. recession, and leads the global housing risk premium. Our findings are broadly in line with the credit or risk-taking channel of the monetary policy spillovers from the United States to the global financial markets.
Book Synopsis Housing Market Spillovers by : Matteo Iacoviello
Download or read book Housing Market Spillovers written by Matteo Iacoviello and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Linear and Non-Linear Financial Econometrics by : Mehmet Terzioğlu
Download or read book Linear and Non-Linear Financial Econometrics written by Mehmet Terzioğlu and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2021-03-17 with total page 339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The importance of experimental economics and econometric methods increases with each passing day as data quality and software performance develops. New econometric models are developed by diverging from earlier cliché econometric models with the emergence of specialized fields of study. This book, which is expected to be an extensive and useful reference by bringing together some of the latest developments in the field of econometrics, also contains quantitative examples and problem sets. We thank all the authors who contributed to this book with their studies that provide extensive and accessible explanations of the existing econometric methods.
Book Synopsis The Role of Price Spillovers in the American Housing Boom by : Anthony DeFusco
Download or read book The Role of Price Spillovers in the American Housing Boom written by Anthony DeFusco and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the striking features of the last U.S. housing boom was the heterogeneity in the timing of its onset across local markets. In this paper, we exploit this heterogeneity to estimate the extent to which the boom was spread via spatial spillovers from one market to another. Our analysis focuses on spillovers that occur around the time that a local market enters its boom, which we identify using sharp structural breaks in house price growth rates. On the extensive margin, there is evidence that the likelihood of a market booming increases substantially if nearby neighbors boom. On the intensive margin, we also find statistically significant but economically modest effects of the size of a neighbor's boom on subsequent price growth in nearby markets. These affects appear to be unrelated to local market fundamentals, suggesting a potential role for non-rational factors.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 18th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate by : Donglang Yang
Download or read book Proceedings of the 18th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate written by Donglang Yang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-21 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Chinese Research Institute of Construction Management (CRIOCM) in collaboration with Xi'an Jiaotong University proudly invites all academics, researchers and professionals to participate in the CRIOCM 2013, the 18th International Symposium on "Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate". We will uphold and preserve the idea and tradition of pragmatism and innovation, to offer an excellent academic and communication platform for academics and professionals to exchange information on the latest developments in real estate and construction management.
Book Synopsis Volatility Spillovers, Comovements and Contagion in Securitized Real Estate Markets by : Martin Hoesli
Download or read book Volatility Spillovers, Comovements and Contagion in Securitized Real Estate Markets written by Martin Hoesli and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the relationships between local and global securitized real estate markets, but also between securitized real estate and common stock markets. First, the volatility transmissions across markets are examined using an asymmetric t-BEKK (Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner) specification of their covariance matrix. Second, correlations from that model and tail dependences estimated using a time-varying copula framework are analyzed to assess whether different dynamics underlie the comovements in the whole distribution and those in the trails. Third, we investigate market contagion by testing for structural changes in the tail dependences. We use data for the U.S., the U.K. and Australia for the period 1990-2010 as a basis for our analyses. Spillover effects are found to be the largest in the U.S., both domestically and internationally. Further, comovements in tail distributions between markets appear to be quite important. We also document different dynamics between the conditional tail dependences and correlations. Finally, we find evidence of market contagion between the U.S. and the U.K. markets following the subprime crisis.
Book Synopsis Housing Price Dynamics and Their Effects by : Weiran Huang
Download or read book Housing Price Dynamics and Their Effects written by Weiran Huang and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis U.S. Housing Market Volatility by : Xibin Zhang
Download or read book U.S. Housing Market Volatility written by Xibin Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first chapter considers the determinants of U.S. housing market volatility. With volatility defined as the sample variance of home value monthly returns during a given quarter, a model of volatility from equilibrium in the housing market is derived. Supply and demand effects on housing return volatility for the U.S. as a whole and for a panel of 16 cities are tested, during the period 1985:1-2009:4. There are some statistically significant links between volatility and fundamentals, but significance generally plummets when fundamentals are allowed to be endogenous. These results are consistent with time plots, which show no clear historical link between housing return volatility and basic market factors. This enigma may be due to data limitations and/or short-run disequilibrium in home prices. In Chapter 2, GARCH(1,1) model family are utilized to describe dynamics of U.S. national and metropolitan housing market volatilities ranging from the first month of 1985 to the last month of 2009. ARCH effects of housing return exist in U.S. national and 15 MSA markets. Housing return volatility positively influences housing return in some MSAs and negatively in some other MSAs. The last chapter discusses the housing return volatility spillovers across U.S. metropolitan markets. House return volatilities in 15 MSAs ranging from the first month of 1985 to the last month of 2009 are estimated by the standard GARCH(1,1) model. The results of the vector error correction model and the vector autoregressive models show that there are unidirectional and bidirectional housing return volatility spillover effects among not only contiguous MSAs but also noncontiguous MSAs. More volatility spillovers happen among the MSAs that share the same economic characters. The long-run housing return volatility convergence exists in U.S. market.
Book Synopsis Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling by : Elisa Luciano
Download or read book Risk Analysis and Portfolio Modelling written by Elisa Luciano and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Measurement is a challenging task, because both the types of risk and the techniques evolve very quickly. This book collects a number of novel contributions to the measurement of financial risk, which address either non-fully explored risks or risk takers, and does so in a wide variety of empirical contexts.
Book Synopsis Housing Market Spillovers by : David H. Autor
Download or read book Housing Market Spillovers written by David H. Autor and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding potential spillovers from the attributes and actions of neighborhood residents onto the value of surrounding properties and neighborhoods is central to both the theory of urban economics and the development of efficient housing policy. This paper measures the capitalization of housing market spillovers by studying the sudden and largely unanticipated 1995 elimination of stringent rent controls in Cambridge, Massachusetts that had previously muted landlords' investment incentives and altered the assignment of residents to locations. Pooling administrative data on the assessed values of each residential property and the prices and characteristics of all residential transactions between 1988 and 2005, we find that rent control's removal produced large, positive, and robust spillovers onto the price of never-controlled housing from nearby decontrolled units. Elimination of rent control added about $1.8 billion to the value of Cambridge's housing stock between 1994 and 2004, equal to nearly a quarter of total Cambridge residential price appreciation in this period. Positive spillovers to never-controlled properties account for more half of the induced price appreciation. Residential investments can explain only a small fraction of the total. Keywords: Urban Economics, Residential Externalities, Rent Control, Price Regulations. JEL Classification: D61, H23, R23, R31, R32, R38.
Book Synopsis Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data by : Gilles Dufrénot
Download or read book Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data written by Gilles Dufrénot and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-21 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a comprehensive overview of the latest econometric methods for studying the dynamics of macroeconomic and financial time series. It examines alternative methodological approaches and concepts, including quantile spectra and co-spectra, and explores topics such as non-linear and non-stationary behavior, stochastic volatility models, and the econometrics of commodity markets and globalization. Furthermore, it demonstrates the application of recent techniques in various fields: in the frequency domain, in the analysis of persistent dynamics, in the estimation of state space models and new classes of volatility models. The book is divided into two parts: The first part applies econometrics to the field of macroeconomics, discussing trend/cycle decomposition, growth analysis, monetary policy and international trade. The second part applies econometrics to a wide range of topics in financial economics, including price dynamics in equity, commodity and foreign exchange markets and portfolio analysis. The book is essential reading for scholars, students, and practitioners in government and financial institutions interested in applying recent econometric time series methods to financial and economic data.
Book Synopsis A Dynamic Model of the Housing Market by : Jeffrey E. Zabel
Download or read book A Dynamic Model of the Housing Market written by Jeffrey E. Zabel and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the hedonic property value model and recently developed computable general equilibrium urban models assume the housing market is in equilibrium, recent years have witnessed extreme circumstances such as large changes in housing prices, high levels of mortgage default, and high levels of foreclosure that bring into question this assumption. This highlights the need for a better understanding of the dynamics of the housing market and the mechanisms that drive and sustain periods of disequilibrium. In this analysis, I develop and estimate a dynamic model of the housing market where vacancies naturally arise as the error correction mechanism.I estimate this model using annual U.S. panel data at the MSA level for 1990-2011. The results show that when there is excess demand, prices rise when vacancies fall but prices do not fall when there is excess supply and vacancies rise. This is consistent with the belief that prices are sticky downwards and hence prolong housing downturns. On the other hand, when there is excess supply, there is a relatively stronger decline in new housing in response to a rise in vacancies and much less of a new housing reaction when there is excess demand and vacancies fall. Furthermore, when I allow for a structural shift in the housing market brought on by the Great Recession (2006-2011), I find that the housing market became more responsive on both sides - excess supply and demand - during this period.
Book Synopsis Cycles in the UK Housing Economy by : David Gray
Download or read book Cycles in the UK Housing Economy written by David Gray and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-08-19 with total page 199 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book uses empirical research to examine fluctuations and periodicities in housing markets in the United Kingdom. Chapters investigate received wisdom on housing market co-determination before exploring an unconventional approach to analysing the interaction and diffusion evidence base. Finally, the author presents varied case studies, analysing price diffusion across first-time and repeat buyer groups, regions and housing vintages, as well as related macro variables. This volume will be of interest to academics and researchers interested in the area of price diffusion across housing markets.
Book Synopsis Anticipating Correlations by : Robert Engle
Download or read book Anticipating Correlations written by Robert Engle and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-01-19 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial markets respond to information virtually instantaneously. Each new piece of information influences the prices of assets and their correlations with each other, and as the system rapidly changes, so too do correlation forecasts. This fast-evolving environment presents econometricians with the challenge of forecasting dynamic correlations, which are essential inputs to risk measurement, portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and many other critical financial activities. In Anticipating Correlations, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Engle introduces an important new method for estimating correlations for large systems of assets: Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC). Engle demonstrates the role of correlations in financial decision making, and addresses the economic underpinnings and theoretical properties of correlations and their relation to other measures of dependence. He compares DCC with other correlation estimators such as historical correlation, exponential smoothing, and multivariate GARCH, and he presents a range of important applications of DCC. Engle presents the asymmetric model and illustrates it using a multicountry equity and bond return model. He introduces the new FACTOR DCC model that blends factor models with the DCC to produce a model with the best features of both, and illustrates it using an array of U.S. large-cap equities. Engle shows how overinvestment in collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs, lies at the heart of the subprime mortgage crisis--and how the correlation models in this book could have foreseen the risks. A technical chapter of econometric results also is included. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Anticipating Correlations puts powerful new forecasting tools into the hands of researchers, financial analysts, risk managers, derivative quants, and graduate students.
Book Synopsis Housing Dynamics by : Edward L. Glaeser
Download or read book Housing Dynamics written by Edward L. Glaeser and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The key stylized facts of the housing market are positive serial correlation of price changes at one year frequencies and mean reversion over longer periods, strong persistence in construction, and highly volatile prices and construction levels within markets over time. We calibrate a dynamic model of housing in the spatial equilibrium tradition of Rosen and Roback to see whether such a model can generate these facts. With reasonable parameter values, this model readily explains the mean reversion of prices over five year periods, but cannot explain the observed positive serial correlation at higher frequencies. The model predicts the positive serial correlation of new construction that we see in the data and the volatility of both prices and quantities in the typical market, and it can account for substantial variation on construction intensity across markets. However, the model cannot explain the most volatile markets in terms of low frequency price changes. More research is needed to determine whether measurement error-related data smoothing or market inefficiency can best account for the persistence of high frequency price changes. With respect to the extremely high house price change volatility in certain coastal markets, more research is needed to ascertain whether shocks to interest rates or better measurement of local income variability can match this moment of data without appealing to some type of animal spirits.
